Short Trade on AAVE (BosPullback)
With 7.46 AAVE at 88.703$ per unit. Take profit: 86.0238 (3.02 %) & Stop Loss: 89.7747 (1.21 %)
Short Trade on AAVE (BosPullback)
With 7.46 AAVE at 88.703$ per unit. Take profit: 86.0238 (3.02 %) & Stop Loss: 89.7747 (1.21 %)
Position
Entry 88.703$
Qty 7.4648 AAVE
Size 662.1543$ (margin 100$) (leverage 7)
Risk Setup
TP 86.0238 (+3.02%)
TP $ 20$
SL 89.7747 (-1.21%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2507
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | 0.42×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.44×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 06/08 10:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 05/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 06/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 06/08 10:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bull | expansion | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4130 | r1h: 0.402% · r4h: 0.121% · r1d: -3.48% · r3d: -4.89% · ema21_slope: -0.1237% · dist_ema21: -0.830% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4284 | rs_1h: 0.392% · rs_4h: 0.514% · rs_1d: -3.51% · rs_3d: -6.57% · beta_24h: 1.963 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2396 | rvol_20: 0.63× · zscore_50: -0.603 · trend: -6.11% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6945 | ADX: 33.8 (trend) · Chop: 49.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.857% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.164% | 0.1R | -0.859% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.365% | 0.3R | -0.859% | 0.7R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.365% | 0.3R | -0.859% | 0.7R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.365% | 0.3R | -1.038% | 0.9R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.365% | 0.3R | -2.795% | 2.3R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | near -1.4ATR | — | 0.71 | bear_high | -3.82% | -0.26 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.48 | range_high | +0.67% | -0.54 | 06/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | explosive | compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near -0.5ATR | 0.56 | range_low | +0.54% | -0.10 | 06/08 10:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | range_low |
41%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | — | range_low | -0.19% | +0.09 | 06/08 10:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 10b | — | 2.943×ATR | p27 | -0.685×ATR | p66 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 18b | — | 3.489×ATR | p62 | -0.523×ATR | p50 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.701×ATR | p10 | +0.279×ATR | p24 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 4b | — | 3.2×ATR | p67 | +1.634×ATR | p96 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
87.439
145
0.2856
0.6455
0.3077
0.2611
0.3458
1
0.4898
0.3423
0.3503
0.2779
0.6823
0.1977
-0.1216
-0.1015
0
-0.3531
-1.6772
0.5
0.5
-1
4
1
0.4779
0.601
5.0318
0.5
1.4196
2.8735
-1.6772
0.7192
0.2213
0.32
-0.1712
0.5161
0.4576
0.9501
0.1977
-7.0348
1.7335
1
0
0
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[time] => 2026-08-02 07:00:00
[price] => 92.766
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-02 12:00:00
[price] => 90.79
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[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-02 21:00:00
[price] => 93.4
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[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-03 03:00:00
[price] => 90.912
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Array
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[time] => 2026-08-03 06:00:00
[price] => 92.303
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Array
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[price] => 91.112
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Array
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[time] => 2026-08-03 15:00:00
[price] => 93.974
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-03 16:00:00
[price] => 92.42
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-03 18:00:00
[price] => 93.703
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
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[time] => 2026-08-04 00:00:00
[price] => 91.747
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-04 01:00:00
[price] => 93.131
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-04 16:00:00
[price] => 89.463
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-05 00:00:00
[price] => 90.939
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-05 01:00:00
[price] => 89.576
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-05 06:00:00
[price] => 92.145
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-05 10:00:00
[price] => 90.485
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-05 12:00:00
[price] => 92.152
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-06 03:00:00
[price] => 88.11
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-06 05:00:00
[price] => 89.709
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-06 10:00:00
[price] => 87.439
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-05 14:45:00
[price] => 91.608
[kind] => high
[label] =>
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Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-05 15:45:00
[price] => 89.94
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[label] =>
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Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-05 17:30:00
[price] => 91.118
[kind] => high
[label] =>
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Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-05 23:45:00
[price] => 89.533
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-06 00:15:00
[price] => 90.431
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-06 01:30:00
[price] => 88.696
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
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[time] => 2026-08-06 01:45:00
[price] => 89.309
[kind] => high
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[price] => 89.709
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Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-06 07:45:00
[price] => 88.273
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-06 08:45:00
[price] => 88.8
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-06 10:00:00
[price] => 87.439
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-06 10:45:00
[price] => 88.07
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-06 11:00:00
[price] => 87.488
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-06 11:45:00
[price] => 88.655
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-06 13:00:00
[price] => 87.768
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
87.439
89.709
89.709
87.439
89.709
88.351
89.03
0.7686
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:20 | 88.70300000 | 0% |
| 2 | 10:26 | 88.70300000 | 0% |
| 3 | 12:38 | 88.50700000 | -0.221% |
| 4 | 12:44 | 88.50700000 | -0.221% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88.703 | 89.7747 | 86.0238 | 2.5 | 122.37 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 89.7747 - 88.703 = 1.0717
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 88.703 - 86.0238 = 2.6792
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.6792 / 1.0717 = 2.5
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 662.1543 | 100 | 7.4648 | 7.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 1.0717 = 7.46
Taille de position USD = 7.46 x 88.703 = 661.72
Donc, tu peux acheter 7.46 avec un stoploss a 89.7747
Avec un position size USD de 661.72$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 7.46 x 1.0717 = 7.99
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 7.46 x 2.6792 = 19.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.02 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.21 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.21 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.2108 % | 100.22 % | 14 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88.703 | 89.7747 | 86.0238 | 2.5 | 122.37 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 89.7747 - 88.703 = 1.0717
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 88.703 - 86.0238 = 2.6792
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.6792 / 1.0717 = 2.5
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.164% | 0.1R | -0.859% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.365% | 0.3R | -0.859% | 0.7R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.365% | 0.3R | -0.859% | 0.7R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.365% | 0.3R | -1.038% | 0.9R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.365% | 0.3R | -2.795% | 2.3R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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