Long Trade on ZRO (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 210.92 ZRO at 0.822$ per unit. Take profit: 0.9173 (11.54 %) & Stop Loss: 0.7845 (4.61 %)
06 Aug 2026 at 12:09:04
hyperliquid
ZRO
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
06 Aug 2026 12:09
→ 00:05
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.8224$
Qty 210.9234 ZRO
Size 173.4697$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.9173 (+11.54%)
TP $ 20.02$
SL 0.7845 (-4.61%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-0.21%
/ -0.37$
MAE -1.24%
MFE +1.46%
0.3R
expires
07 Aug 00:08
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 60577)
#3 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 06/08/2026 12:00
score du 06/08/2026 12:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9177
Quality Score
0.755
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
72 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
06/08 12:00
06/08 12:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#3 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
72 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.61 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#3 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
72 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.61 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.43×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 21.81×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 06/08 12:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 05/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 06/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 06/08 11:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_breakout_attempt
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bull | expansion | — | +1 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.57
Transition risk :
0.43
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.49
Snapshot évalué : 06/08 12:00
· env range_with_momentum
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.7553
Score SMA
0.5652
Rank
#3
/ 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9177
Rank Norm SMA
0.5783
Calculé le
06/08/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7084 | r1h: -1.150% · r4h: 1.604% · r1d: 7.98% · r3d: 14.14% · ema21_slope: 0.2541% · dist_ema21: 4.072% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6803 | rs_1h: -1.105% · rs_4h: 1.422% · rs_1d: 7.41% · rs_3d: 12.48% · beta_24h: -0.399 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7650 | rvol_20: 1.99× · zscore_50: 1.908 · trend: 103.85% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7978 | ADX: 35.7 (trend) · Chop: 19.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.416% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.609%
(0.0379)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.087% | 0.2R | -1.115% | 0.2R | 1.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.087% | 0.2R | -1.115% | 0.2R | 1.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.087% | 0.2R | -1.115% | 0.2R | 1.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.463% | 0.3R | -1.235% | 0.3R | 1.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.463% | 0.3R | -1.235% | 0.3R | 1.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.463% | 0.3R | -1.817% | 0.4R | 0.8× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.38
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | — | 0.49 | bear_high | -3.82% | +0.42 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
68%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | 0.37 | bull_high | +1.37% | +0.82 | 06/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 48% | mid | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.39 | bull_low | +0.95% | +0.64 | 06/08 11:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
69%
|
noisy_chop 52% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | +0.22% | +0.33 | 06/08 11:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 10b | — | 2.434×ATR | p0 | +0.705×ATR | p65 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 5b | — | 3.109×ATR | p44 | +1.733×ATR | p98 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 1b | — | 1.625×ATR | p4 | +1.279×ATR | p83 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 3.173×ATR | p60 | -0.55×ATR | p47 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.7189
- reason: up_bo width=2.22×ATR dur=50b phase=extending
- stop_price: 0.78450154
- tp_price: 0.91725115
- atr:
- score: 0.71892659205889
- expires_at: 2026-08-07T04:08:57.305694
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.71892659205889
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0067
- obi_top10 : 0.0655
- micro_price : 0.82128124
- spread_pct : 0.060909
- mid_price : 0.82115
- bid_wall_price : 0.816
- bid_wall_size : 43099
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0724
- obi_top5_std : 0.1315
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6887
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.798915
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.77247
- balance_zone_mid:
0.7856925
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785855600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786032000
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.2205
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
50
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7189
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: extending
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786010400
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.798915
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.78
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
6
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.9745
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
2
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
12
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.0119096 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
50
inside_close_ratio
0.78
bars_since_breakout
6
distance_to_edge_atr
1.9745
Signaux confirmants (58)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:09 | 0.82243000 | +0.004% |
| 2 | 12:14 | 0.82243000 | +0.004% |
| 3 | 12:20 | 0.81707000 | -0.648% |
| 4 | 12:26 | 0.81707000 | -0.648% |
| 5 | 12:33 | 0.81707000 | -0.648% |
| 6 | 12:38 | 0.82085000 | -0.188% |
| 7 | 12:44 | 0.82085000 | -0.188% |
| 8 | 12:50 | 0.82084000 | -0.19% |
| 9 | 12:56 | 0.82084000 | -0.19% |
| 10 | 13:03 | 0.82084000 | -0.19% |
| 11 | 13:08 | 0.82305000 | +0.079% |
| 12 | 13:14 | 0.82305000 | +0.079% |
| 13 | 13:20 | 0.82176000 | -0.078% |
| 14 | 13:26 | 0.82176000 | -0.078% |
| 15 | 13:32 | 0.82176000 | -0.078% |
| 16 | 13:38 | 0.82203000 | -0.045% |
| 17 | 13:44 | 0.82203000 | -0.045% |
| 18 | 13:50 | 0.82598000 | +0.435% |
| 19 | 13:56 | 0.82598000 | +0.435% |
| 20 | 14:03 | 0.82598000 | +0.435% |
| 21 | 14:09 | 0.82523000 | +0.344% |
| 22 | 14:15 | 0.82523000 | +0.344% |
| 23 | 14:20 | 0.82069000 | -0.208% |
| 24 | 14:26 | 0.82069000 | -0.208% |
| 25 | 14:33 | 0.82069000 | -0.208% |
| 26 | 14:39 | 0.82082000 | -0.192% |
| 27 | 14:44 | 0.82082000 | -0.192% |
| 28 | 14:50 | 0.82028000 | -0.258% |
| 29 | 14:56 | 0.82028000 | -0.258% |
| 30 | 15:03 | 0.82028000 | -0.258% |
| 31 | 15:08 | 0.81604000 | -0.773% |
| 32 | 15:14 | 0.81604000 | -0.773% |
| 33 | 15:20 | 0.81948000 | -0.355% |
| 34 | 15:26 | 0.81948000 | -0.355% |
| 35 | 15:33 | 0.81948000 | -0.355% |
| 36 | 15:38 | 0.81968000 | -0.331% |
| 37 | 15:44 | 0.81968000 | -0.331% |
| 38 | 15:50 | 0.81704000 | -0.652% |
| 39 | 15:56 | 0.81704000 | -0.652% |
| 40 | 16:03 | 0.81704000 | -0.652% |
| 41 | 16:08 | 0.81765000 | -0.578% |
| 42 | 16:14 | 0.81765000 | -0.578% |
| 43 | 16:20 | 0.81653000 | -0.714% |
| 44 | 16:26 | 0.81653000 | -0.714% |
| 45 | 16:33 | 0.81653000 | -0.714% |
| 46 | 16:38 | 0.81297000 | -1.147% |
| 47 | 16:44 | 0.81297000 | -1.147% |
| 48 | 16:50 | 0.81535000 | -0.857% |
| 49 | 16:56 | 0.81535000 | -0.857% |
| 50 | 17:03 | 0.81535000 | -0.857% |
| 51 | 17:08 | 0.81569000 | -0.816% |
| 52 | 17:14 | 0.81569000 | -0.816% |
| 53 | 17:20 | 0.81489000 | -0.913% |
| 54 | 17:26 | 0.81489000 | -0.913% |
| 55 | 17:32 | 0.81489000 | -0.913% |
| 56 | 17:38 | 0.81961000 | -0.339% |
| 57 | 17:44 | 0.81961000 | -0.339% |
| 58 | 18:08 | 0.82573000 | +0.405% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6887ms
Confidence avant OB :
72%
→
72%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.007
avg 0.072
± 0.132
OBI Top 10
0.066
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.8212
Micro Price
0.8213
Spread
0.0609%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.8160
Size
43,099.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8224 | 0.7845 | 0.9173 | 2.5 | 0.9649 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.8224
- Stop Loss: 0.7845
- Take Profit: 0.9173
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7845 - 0.8224 = -0.0379
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.8224 - 0.9173 = -0.0949
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0949 / -0.0379 = 2.504
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 173.4697 | 100 | 210.9234 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0379
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0379 = -211.08
Taille de position USD = -211.08 x 0.8224 = -173.59
Donc, tu peux acheter -211.08 avec un stoploss a 0.7845
Avec un position size USD de -173.59$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -211.08 x -0.0379 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -211.08 x -0.0949 = 20.03
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.03$
Résumé
- Taille de position -211.08
- Taille de position USD -173.59
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.03
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.504
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 11.54 % | 20.02 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.61 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -0.37 $ | -0.21 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.2354 % | 26.81 % | 38 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8224 | 0.7845 | 0.9173 | 2.5 | 0.9649 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.8224
- Stop Loss: 0.7845
- Take Profit: 0.9173
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7845 - 0.8224 = -0.0379
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.8224 - 0.9173 = -0.0949
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0949 / -0.0379 = 2.504
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.609%
(0.0379)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.087% | 0.2R | -1.115% | 0.2R | 1.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.087% | 0.2R | -1.115% | 0.2R | 1.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.087% | 0.2R | -1.115% | 0.2R | 1.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.463% | 0.3R | -1.235% | 0.3R | 1.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.463% | 0.3R | -1.235% | 0.3R | 1.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.463% | 0.3R | -1.817% | 0.4R | 0.8× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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