Short Trade on NEAR (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 234.15 NEAR at 1.6$ per unit. Take profit: 1.5601 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1.6343 (2.14 %)
Short Trade on NEAR (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 234.15 NEAR at 1.6$ per unit. Take profit: 1.5601 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1.6343 (2.14 %)
Position
Entry 1.6001$
Qty 234.1492 NEAR
Size 374.6621$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 1.5601 (+2.5%)
TP $ 9.37$
SL 1.6343 (-2.14%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 1.17
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5636
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.41×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.89×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.23×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_medium Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 07/08 14:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 06/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 07/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 07/08 13:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3248 | r1h: -0.487% · r4h: -2.649% · r1d: -4.24% · r3d: -7.64% · ema21_slope: -0.1232% · dist_ema21: -2.753% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3157 | rs_1h: -0.298% · rs_4h: -2.139% · rs_1d: -4.35% · rs_3d: -8.75% · beta_24h: 0.661 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7826 | rvol_20: 2.01× · zscore_50: 2.122 · trend: 101.09% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8278 | ADX: 39.3 (trend) · Chop: 38.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.913% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.825% | 0.4R | -0.106% | 0.1R | 7.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.862% | 0.4R | -0.106% | 0.1R | 8.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.256% | 0.6R | -0.106% | 0.1R | 11.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.256% | 0.6R | -0.119% | 0.1R | 10.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.256% | 0.6R | -0.713% | 0.3R | 1.8× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.56 | bear_high | -2.70% | -0.92 | 06/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | near -0.9ATR | — | 0.63 | bull_high | +1.04% | -0.76 | 07/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 51% | late | near -0.4ATR | — | 0.56 | range_low | +0.55% | -0.43 | 07/08 13:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | fading | expansion_after_compression | bear_medium_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late | — | — | — | range_low | -0.04% | -0.17 | 07/08 13:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 23b | — | 5.207×ATR | p65 | -0.561×ATR | p53 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 21b | — | 5.977×ATR | p75 | -1.606×ATR | p97 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 7b | — | 5.02×ATR | p91 | -1.854×ATR | p97 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 13b | — | 5.18×ATR | p91 | -0.727×ATR | p59 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6001 | 1.6343 | 1.5601 | 1.17 | 1.9232 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.6343 - 1.6001 = 0.0342
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.6001 - 1.5601 = 0.04
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.04 / 0.0342 = 1.1696
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 374.6621 | 100 | 234.1492 | 4.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0342 = 233.92
Taille de position USD = 233.92 x 1.6001 = 374.3
Donc, tu peux acheter 233.92 avec un stoploss a 1.6343
Avec un position size USD de 374.3$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 233.92 x 0.0342 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 233.92 x 0.04 = 9.36
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 9.36$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 9.37 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.14 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0.4 $ | 0.11 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1062 % | 4.97 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6001 | 1.6343 | 1.5601 | 1.17 | 1.9232 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.6343 - 1.6001 = 0.0342
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.6001 - 1.5601 = 0.04
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.04 / 0.0342 = 1.1696
Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.825% | 0.4R | -0.106% | 0.1R | 7.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.862% | 0.4R | -0.106% | 0.1R | 8.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.256% | 0.6R | -0.106% | 0.1R | 11.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.256% | 0.6R | -0.119% | 0.1R | 10.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.256% | 0.6R | -0.713% | 0.3R | 1.8× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
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