Short Trade on MET

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01 Oct 2026 at 10:15:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on MET (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 646.17 MET at 0.298$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2905 (2.48 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3103 (4.16 %)

MET SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 10:15 → 16:10 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.2979$

Qty 646.1733 MET

Size 192.5079$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.2905 (+2.48%)

TP $ 4.78$

SL 0.3103 (-4.16%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR 0.6

Status loss PnL -0.51% / -0.99$ MAE -2.49% MFE +1.51% 0.4R expires 01 Oct 16:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 169890)

#75 / 77 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 10:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2245

Quality Score

0.386

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#75 / 77 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

99 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-2

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-2

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-4 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.16 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#75 / 77 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

99 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-4 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.16 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	1.27×ATR
4h	clear	0.98×ATR
1d	clear	2.54×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
4h	↓ down	mid	OK
1d	↓ down	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-2 OK

seuil : ≥ +3

Breadth Leadership

btc OK

attendu : btc_leading

Breadth State

N/A

attendu : contracting / deteriorating

Décision V5

N/A

regime + leadership

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

1.4M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 10:02

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 01/10 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 01/10 09:00 Score : -2 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : range_high (0)

01/10 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

01/10 09:00

Score : -2 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4561

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull 0.90	expansion -2
Operational	range 0.25	range 0
Tactical	range 0.25	range 0
Micro	range 0.25	range

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 25.1%

Macro btc_led_risk_on

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Legacy leadership : btc

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	14.8%
1h	39.3%
4h	31.2%
24h	18.0%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	45.9%	-0.21%
4h	31.2%	-0.35%
24h	29.5%	-2.73%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : 0.152

Universe : 61 · ≥ $2.0M

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 01/10 10:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.4947

Score SMA

0.6448

Rank

#68 / 76

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.1067

Rank Norm SMA

0.5466

Calculé le

30/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6501	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -2.93% · r3d: -16.96% · ema21_slope: 3.2380% · dist_ema21: 8.635%
Force Relative	25%	0.4203	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -2.91% · rs_3d: -15.98% · beta_24h: 1.945
Volume	20%	0.2416	rvol_20: 0.45× · zscore_50: -0.315 · trend: -3.10%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.9754	ADX: 57.0 (trend) · Chop: 26.4 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 11.136% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 10:00

Score brut

0.3859

Score SMA

0.5060

Rank

#75 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.2245

Rank Norm SMA

0.3745

Calculé le

01/10/2026 10:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2403	r1h: -0.067% · r4h: -1.064% · r1d: -9.43% · r3d: -10.00% · ema21_slope: -0.3074% · dist_ema21: -4.141%
Force Relative	25%	0.2653	rs_1h: -0.332% · rs_4h: -1.287% · rs_1d: -8.61% · rs_3d: -10.37% · beta_24h: 1.195
Volume	20%	0.2312	rvol_20: 0.52× · zscore_50: -0.379 · trend: -9.78%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7153	ADX: 30.9 (trend) · Chop: 43.4 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.730% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 08:00

Score brut

0.3549

Score SMA

0.5087

Rank

#73 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0328

Rank Norm SMA

0.3642

Calculé le

01/10/2026 08:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3043	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.002% · r1d: -6.72% · r3d: -6.59% · ema21_slope: -0.3449% · dist_ema21: -6.999%
Force Relative	25%	0.2293	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.587% · rs_1d: -6.71% · rs_3d: -7.56% · beta_24h: 3.072
Volume	20%	0.4773	rvol_20: 1.85× · zscore_50: 0.097 · trend: -8.83%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.4814	ADX: 16.9 (weak) · Chop: 57.9 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.3859	ATR%: 4.842% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.163% (0.0124)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.507%	0.4R	-0.138%	0.0R	11.0×	12
2h	+1.507%	0.4R	-0.279%	0.1R	5.4×	24
4h	+1.507%	0.4R	-2.487%	0.6R	0.6×	48
6h ★	+1.507%	0.4R	-2.487%	0.6R	0.6×	72
8h	+1.507%	0.4R	-2.487%	0.6R	0.6×	96
12h	+1.507%	0.4R	-3.102%	0.8R	0.5×	144
24h	+1.507%	0.4R	-10.319%	2.5R	0.2×	288
48h	+5.374%	1.3R	-10.319%	2.5R	0.5×	576
72h	+5.374%	1.3R	-10.319%	2.5R	0.5×	864

⏱ MFE in 54 min MAE in 874 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 4.39

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	volatile_reversal	bull_high	62%	noisy_chop 40%	early	—	—	0.48	bull_high	+12.59%	+1.00	29/09 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	compression	range_high	30%	noisy_chop 37%	mid	—	—	0.34	bull_high	+1.77%	-0.92	01/10 04:00
1h	↓ down	range	range	strong	fading	compression	bear_high	52%	noisy_chop 44%	late	—	—	0.48	range_medium	+0.18%	-0.78	01/10 09:00
15m	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	compression	bear_medium	57%	noisy_chop 45%	mid	near -0.1ATR	near 0.0ATR	0.60	range_low	+0.19%	-0.23	01/10 09:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #187756	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	0.820	volatile_reversal	bull_high	62%	noisy_chop 40%	early 7b 0.6ATR	—	—	0.45	75%	↔ +0.00	below_value	-2.62	—	#101625	0.48	bull_high	+12.59%	+1.00	29/09 20:00 upd 30/09 20:26
4h #192652	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.516	compression	range_high	30%	noisy_chop 37%	mid 8b -1.8ATR	—	—	1.85	88%	↓ -0.37	below_value	-4.24	—	#103734	0.34	bull_high	+1.77%	-0.92	01/10 04:00 upd 01/10 08:20
1h anchor #193409	↓ down	range	range	strong	fading	0.725	compression	bear_high	52%	noisy_chop 44%	late 20b -2.8ATR	—	—	0.52	35%	↑ +0.16	below_value	-4.73	inside	#104126	0.48	range_medium	+0.18%	-0.78	01/10 09:00 upd 01/10 10:13
15m #193331	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	0.751	compression	bear_medium	57%	noisy_chop 45%	mid 3b -1.6ATR	near -0.1ATR	near 0.0ATR	0.21	33%	↓ -0.68	below_value	-4.39	—	#103969	0.60	range_low	+0.19%	-0.23	01/10 09:45 upd 01/10 10:04
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	early	7b	—	2.672×ATR	p0	+0.612×ATR	p38
4h	↓ down	mid	8b	—	3.02×ATR	p27	-1.794×ATR	p79
1h	↓ down	late	20b	—	6.931×ATR	p96	-2.811×ATR	p94
15m	↑ up	mid	3b	—	1.172×ATR	p0	-1.628×ATR	p69

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.31030058
tp_price: 0.290472
atr: 0.00495223
expires_at: 2026-10-01T20:15:05+00:00

Details

rank: 77
total: 78
score: 0.2339
delta_2h: -0.052
extension_atr: -2.18
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2245
confidence: 0.987

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.2979	0.3103	0.2905	0.6	0.2982

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.2979
Stop Loss: 0.3103
Take Profit: 0.2905

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.3103 - 0.2979 = 0.0124
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.2979 - 0.2905 = 0.0074
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0074 / 0.0124 = 0.5968

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
192.5079	100	646.1733	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.0124

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0124 = 645.16

Taille de position USD = 645.16 x 0.2979 = 192.19

Donc, tu peux acheter 645.16 avec un stoploss a 0.3103

Avec un position size USD de 192.19$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 645.16 x 0.0124 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 645.16 x 0.0074 = 4.77

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.77$

Résumé

Taille de position 645.16
Taille de position USD 192.19
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 4.77
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5968

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.48 %	4.78 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
4.16 %	8.01 $

PNL	PNL %
-0.99 $	-0.51

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-2.4874 %	59.76 %	14

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.2979	0.3103	0.2905	0.6	0.2982

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.2979
Stop Loss: 0.3103
Take Profit: 0.2905

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.3103 - 0.2979 = 0.0124
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.2979 - 0.2905 = 0.0074
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0074 / 0.0124 = 0.5968

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.163% (0.0124)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.507%	0.4R	-0.138%	0.0R	11.0×	12
2h	+1.507%	0.4R	-0.279%	0.1R	5.4×	24
4h	+1.507%	0.4R	-2.487%	0.6R	0.6×	48
6h ★	+1.507%	0.4R	-2.487%	0.6R	0.6×	72
8h	+1.507%	0.4R	-2.487%	0.6R	0.6×	96
12h	+1.507%	0.4R	-3.102%	0.8R	0.5×	144
24h	+1.507%	0.4R	-10.319%	2.5R	0.2×	288
48h	+5.374%	1.3R	-10.319%	2.5R	0.5×	576
72h	+5.374%	1.3R	-10.319%	2.5R	0.5×	864

⏱ MFE in 54 min MAE in 874 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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