Short Trade on NEAR

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01 Oct 2026 at 10:15:06 hyperliquid

Short Trade on NEAR (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 23.62 NEAR at 4.957$ per unit. Take profit: 4.8333 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 5.2959 (6.83 %)

NEAR SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 10:15 → 10:50 · 34 minutes

Position

Entry 4.9572$

Qty 23.6227 NEAR

Size 117.1025$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 4.8333 (+2.5%)

TP $ 2.93$

SL 5.2959 (-6.83%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.37

Status win PnL +2.50% / +2.93$ MAE -0.44% MFE +4.16% 0.6R expires 01 Oct 16:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 169851)

#21 / 77 OUT

seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 10:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.5125

Quality Score

0.523

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#21 / 77 OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

97 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-2

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

6.83 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#21 / 77 OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

97 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

6.83 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-0.84×ATR
4h	clear	1.79×ATR
1d	clear	6.62×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
4h	↑ up	early	OK
1d	↑ up	late	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-2 OK

seuil : ≥ +3

Breadth Leadership

btc OK

attendu : btc_leading

Breadth State

N/A

attendu : contracting / deteriorating

Décision V5

N/A

regime + leadership

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

344.1M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 10:00

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 01/10 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 01/10 09:00 Score : -4 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

01/10 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

01/10 09:00

Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4561

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull 0.90	expansion -2
Operational	range 0.25	range 0
Tactical	range 0.25	range 0
Micro	range 0.25	range

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 25.1%

Macro btc_led_risk_on

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Legacy leadership : btc

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	14.8%
1h	39.3%
4h	31.2%
24h	18.0%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	45.9%	-0.21%
4h	31.2%	-0.35%
24h	29.5%	-2.73%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : 0.152

Universe : 61 · ≥ $2.0M

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 01/10 10:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.7848

Score SMA

0.7851

Rank

#5 / 76

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.9467

Rank Norm SMA

0.8897

Calculé le

30/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.9179	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 9.36% · r3d: -0.93% · ema21_slope: 4.9749% · dist_ema21: 32.072%
Force Relative	25%	0.8676	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 9.37% · rs_3d: 0.05% · beta_24h: 1.624
Volume	20%	0.7124	rvol_20: 1.64× · zscore_50: 1.952 · trend: 128.40%
Qualité Tendance	15%	1.0000	ADX: 61.3 (trend) · Chop: 22.1 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 9.227% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 10:00

Score brut

0.5230

Score SMA

0.5874

Rank

#21 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.5125

Rank Norm SMA

0.6499

Calculé le

01/10/2026 10:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2969	r1h: -2.592% · r4h: -4.643% · r1d: -7.13% · r3d: -5.12% · ema21_slope: -0.0315% · dist_ema21: -4.977%
Force Relative	25%	0.1550	rs_1h: -2.857% · rs_4h: -4.865% · rs_1d: -6.31% · rs_3d: -5.49% · beta_24h: 1.944
Volume	20%	1.0000	rvol_20: 6.15× · zscore_50: 5.355 · trend: 118.00%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6946	ADX: 23.3 (weak) · Chop: 33.2 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.838% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 08:00

Score brut

0.4474

Score SMA

0.5910

Rank

#56 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.5148

Rank Norm SMA

0.6055

Calculé le

01/10/2026 08:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.5403	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -3.221% · r1d: -3.54% · r3d: -0.69% · ema21_slope: 0.3121% · dist_ema21: 0.189%
Force Relative	25%	0.4729	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -3.806% · rs_1d: -3.54% · rs_3d: -1.66% · beta_24h: 1.417
Volume	20%	0.2359	rvol_20: 0.68× · zscore_50: -0.542 · trend: -17.84%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6190	ADX: 28.9 (trend) · Chop: 53.2 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.2704	ATR%: 5.189% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.833% (0.3387)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+3.256%	0.5R	-0.440%	0.1R	7.4×	12
2h	+3.256%	0.5R	-0.440%	0.1R	7.4×	24
4h	+3.256%	0.5R	-0.440%	0.1R	7.4×	48
6h ★	+4.160%	0.6R	-0.440%	0.1R	9.5×	72
8h	+4.160%	0.6R	-0.440%	0.1R	9.5×	96
12h	+4.180%	0.6R	-0.440%	0.1R	9.5×	144
24h	+4.180%	0.6R	-2.340%	0.3R	1.8×	288
48h	+7.452%	1.1R	-2.340%	0.3R	3.2×	576
72h	+7.452%	1.1R	-2.340%	0.3R	3.2×	864

⏱ MFE in 514 min MAE in 874 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 6.24

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	60%	noisy_chop 46%	late	—	—	0.53	bull_high	+12.59%	+1.00	29/09 20:00
4h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	normal	bull_high	61%	noisy_chop 36%	early	—	—	0.40	bull_high	+1.77%	-0.27	01/10 04:00
1h	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	normal	bear_high_confirmed	50%	noisy_chop 44%	late	near -0.8ATR	—	0.32	range_medium	+0.18%	-0.66	01/10 09:00
15m	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	expansion_after_compression	bear_high_confirmed	60%	noisy_chop 45%	late	near 0.4ATR	—	0.45	range_low	+0.19%	-0.50	01/10 09:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #187631	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	0.732	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	60%	noisy_chop 46%	late 17b 2.0ATR	—	—	1.64	99%	↑ +0.90	above_value	+2.82	—	#101587	0.53	bull_high	+12.59%	+1.00	29/09 20:00 upd 30/09 20:22
4h #192541	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.738	normal	bull_high	61%	noisy_chop 36%	early 14b 0.0ATR	—	—	0.68	75%	↓ -0.29	above_value	+1.57	—	#103694	0.40	bull_high	+1.77%	-0.27	01/10 04:00 upd 01/10 08:14
1h anchor #193369	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.506	normal	bear_high_confirmed	50%	noisy_chop 44%	late 7b -2.0ATR	near -0.8ATR	—	6.15	100%	↔ +0.03	above_value	+0.27	—	#104086	0.32	range_medium	+0.18%	-0.66	01/10 09:00 upd 01/10 10:11
15m #193295	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.240	expansion_after_compression	bear_high_confirmed	60%	noisy_chop 45%	late 3b -2.0ATR	near 0.4ATR	—	1.44	93%	↑ +0.58	value	+1.36	—	#103930	0.45	range_low	+0.19%	-0.50	01/10 09:45 upd 01/10 10:02
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	late	17b	—	6.239×ATR	p87	+1.988×ATR	p84
4h	↑ up	early	14b	—	2.156×ATR	p6	+0.038×ATR	p2
1h	↓ down	late	7b	—	4.055×ATR	p88	-1.984×ATR	p92
15m	↑ up	late	3b	—	3.071×ATR	p64	-2.031×ATR	p88

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 5.29585726
tp_price: 4.83327
atr: 0.13546291
expires_at: 2026-10-01T20:15:06+00:00

Details

rank: 76
total: 78
score: 0.291
delta_2h: -0.1248
extension_atr: -1.76
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.5141
confidence: 0.974

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
4.9572	5.2959	4.8333	0.37	4.4023

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 4.9572
Stop Loss: 5.2959
Take Profit: 4.8333

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 5.2959 - 4.9572 = 0.3387
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 4.9572 - 4.8333 = 0.1239
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1239 / 0.3387 = 0.3658

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
117.1025	100	23.6227	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.3387

Taille de position = 8 / 0.3387 = 23.62

Taille de position USD = 23.62 x 4.9572 = 117.09

Donc, tu peux acheter 23.62 avec un stoploss a 5.2959

Avec un position size USD de 117.09$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 23.62 x 0.3387 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 23.62 x 0.1239 = 2.93

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.93$

Résumé

Taille de position 23.62
Taille de position USD 117.09
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 2.93
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3658

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	2.93 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
6.83 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
2.93 $	2.50

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-0.4398 %	6.44 %	3

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
4.9572	5.2959	4.8333	0.37	4.4023

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 4.9572
Stop Loss: 5.2959
Take Profit: 4.8333

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 5.2959 - 4.9572 = 0.3387
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 4.9572 - 4.8333 = 0.1239
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1239 / 0.3387 = 0.3658

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.833% (0.3387)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+3.256%	0.5R	-0.440%	0.1R	7.4×	12
2h	+3.256%	0.5R	-0.440%	0.1R	7.4×	24
4h	+3.256%	0.5R	-0.440%	0.1R	7.4×	48
6h ★	+4.160%	0.6R	-0.440%	0.1R	9.5×	72
8h	+4.160%	0.6R	-0.440%	0.1R	9.5×	96
12h	+4.180%	0.6R	-0.440%	0.1R	9.5×	144
24h	+4.180%	0.6R	-2.340%	0.3R	1.8×	288
48h	+7.452%	1.1R	-2.340%	0.3R	3.2×	576
72h	+7.452%	1.1R	-2.340%	0.3R	3.2×	864

⏱ MFE in 514 min MAE in 874 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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