Short Trade on CHIP

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01 Oct 2026 at 10:15:06 hyperliquid

Short Trade on CHIP (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 4429.7 CHIP at 0.0416$ per unit. Take profit: 0.04055 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0434 (4.35 %)

CHIP SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 10:15 → 16:10 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.04159$

Qty 4429.7034 CHIP

Size 184.2358$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.04055 (+2.5%)

TP $ 4.61$

SL 0.0434 (-4.35%)

SL $ 8.02$

RR 0.57

Status loss PnL -3.25% / -5.98$ MAE -4.04% MFE +1.18% 0.3R expires 01 Oct 16:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 169897)

#42 / 77 OUT

seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 10:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1106

Quality Score

0.477

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#42 / 77 OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

96 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-2

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-2 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.35 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#42 / 77 OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

96 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-2 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.35 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-0.06×ATR
4h	near	-0.89×ATR
1d	clear	2.46×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
4h	↓ down	early	OK
1d	↑ up	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-2 OK

seuil : ≥ +3

Breadth Leadership

btc OK

attendu : btc_leading

Breadth State

N/A

attendu : contracting / deteriorating

Décision V5

N/A

regime + leadership

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

2.2M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 10:03

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 01/10 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 01/10 09:00 Score : 0 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

01/10 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

01/10 09:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4561

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull 0.90	expansion -2
Operational	range 0.25	range 0
Tactical	range 0.25	range 0
Micro	range 0.25	range

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 25.1%

Macro btc_led_risk_on

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Legacy leadership : btc

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	14.8%
1h	39.3%
4h	31.2%
24h	18.0%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	45.9%	-0.21%
4h	31.2%	-0.35%
24h	29.5%	-2.73%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : 0.152

Universe : 61 · ≥ $2.0M

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 01/10 10:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.4160

Score SMA

0.4970

Rank

#73 / 76

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0400

Rank Norm SMA

0.1583

Calculé le

30/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6122	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -1.72% · r3d: -7.18% · ema21_slope: 0.3920% · dist_ema21: -3.299%
Force Relative	25%	0.4710	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.71% · rs_3d: -6.20% · beta_24h: 2.694
Volume	20%	0.1933	rvol_20: 0.65× · zscore_50: -0.716 · trend: -37.50%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5065	ADX: 23.8 (weak) · Chop: 62.0 (range)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 12.949% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 10:00

Score brut

0.4769

Score SMA

0.5293

Rank

#42 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.1106

Rank Norm SMA

0.4260

Calculé le

01/10/2026 10:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2918	r1h: -0.762% · r4h: -1.953% · r1d: -9.99% · r3d: -7.49% · ema21_slope: -0.1239% · dist_ema21: -3.085%
Force Relative	25%	0.2319	rs_1h: -1.027% · rs_4h: -2.175% · rs_1d: -9.16% · rs_3d: -7.86% · beta_24h: 2.559
Volume	20%	0.7543	rvol_20: 2.97× · zscore_50: 1.103 · trend: 13.89%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5808	ADX: 18.6 (weak) · Chop: 47.4 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.793% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 08:00

Score brut

0.3427

Score SMA

0.4705

Rank

#75 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0391

Rank Norm SMA

0.2213

Calculé le

01/10/2026 08:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3087	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.667% · r1d: -5.52% · r3d: -3.87% · ema21_slope: -0.2514% · dist_ema21: -3.826%
Force Relative	25%	0.3771	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.252% · rs_1d: -5.52% · rs_3d: -4.84% · beta_24h: 2.816
Volume	20%	0.1841	rvol_20: 0.60× · zscore_50: -0.671 · trend: -39.88%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.3662	ADX: 10.7 (weak) · Chop: 65.7 (range)
Volatilité	10%	0.6407	ATR%: 4.078% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.352% (0.0018)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.183%	0.3R	-0.555%	0.1R	2.1×	12
2h	+1.183%	0.3R	-0.695%	0.2R	1.7×	24
4h	+1.183%	0.3R	-3.898%	0.9R	0.3×	48
6h ★	+1.183%	0.3R	-4.039%	0.9R	0.3×	72
8h	+1.183%	0.3R	-4.039%	0.9R	0.3×	96
12h	+1.183%	0.3R	-4.566%	1.1R	0.3×	144
24h	+1.183%	0.3R	-10.399%	2.4R	0.1×	288
48h	+1.183%	0.3R	-10.399%	2.4R	0.1×	576
72h	+1.183%	0.3R	-13.948%	3.2R	0.1×	864

⏱ MFE in 54 min MAE in 1394 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 1.58

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	compression	bull_high	50%	noisy_chop 37%	early	—	—	—	bull_high	+12.59%	-0.90	29/09 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	52%	noisy_chop 34%	early	near -0.9ATR	—	0.37	bull_high	+1.77%	-0.55	01/10 04:00
1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	56%	noisy_chop 40%	late	near -0.1ATR	—	0.41	range_medium	+0.18%	-0.46	01/10 09:00
15m	↓ down	range	range	strong	explosive	expansion_after_compression	bear_high_confirmed	61%	noisy_chop 49%	mid	—	—	0.63	range_low	+0.19%	-0.32	01/10 09:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #187777	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.654	compression	bull_high	50%	noisy_chop 37%	early 14b -0.3ATR	—	—	0.65	57%	↓ -0.19	below_value	-6.64	—	#101632	—	bull_high	+12.59%	-0.90	29/09 20:00 upd 30/09 20:27
4h #192676	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.520	compression	bear_high	52%	noisy_chop 34%	early 5b -1.0ATR	near -0.9ATR	—	0.60	10%	↔ +0.03	below_value	-9.07	—	#103742	0.37	bull_high	+1.77%	-0.55	01/10 04:00 upd 01/10 08:22
1h anchor #193416	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.533	compression	bear_high	56%	noisy_chop 40%	late 7b -2.0ATR	near -0.1ATR	—	2.97	83%	↑ +0.15	below_value	-9.55	—	#104133	0.41	range_medium	+0.18%	-0.46	01/10 09:00 upd 01/10 10:13
15m #193337	↓ down	range	range	strong	explosive	0.272	expansion_after_compression	bear_high_confirmed	61%	noisy_chop 49%	mid 3b -1.6ATR	—	—	0.72	64%	↑ +0.60	below_value	-9.42	—	#103977	0.63	range_low	+0.19%	-0.32	01/10 09:45 upd 01/10 10:04
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	early	14b	—	1.456×ATR	p0	-0.265×ATR	p13
4h	↓ down	early	5b	—	2.342×ATR	p9	-1.037×ATR	p57
1h	↓ down	late	7b	—	3.306×ATR	p71	-1.977×ATR	p88
15m	↑ up	mid	3b	—	1.818×ATR	p13	-1.62×ATR	p79

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.04339699
tp_price: 0.04055123
atr: 0.00072239
expires_at: 2026-10-01T20:15:06+00:00

Details

rank: 75
total: 78
score: 0.2955
delta_2h: -0.0901
extension_atr: -1.94
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1155
confidence: 0.961

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.04159	0.0434	0.04055	0.57	0.04721

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.04159
Stop Loss: 0.0434
Take Profit: 0.04055

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.0434 - 0.04159 = 0.00181
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.04159 - 0.04055 = 0.00104
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00104 / 0.00181 = 0.5746

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
184.2358	100	4429.7034	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.00181

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00181 = 4419.89

Taille de position USD = 4419.89 x 0.04159 = 183.82

Donc, tu peux acheter 4419.89 avec un stoploss a 0.0434

Avec un position size USD de 183.82$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 4419.89 x 0.00181 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 4419.89 x 0.00104 = 4.6

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.6$

Résumé

Taille de position 4419.89
Taille de position USD 183.82
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 4.6
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5746

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	4.61 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
4.35 %	8.02 $

PNL	PNL %
-5.98 $	-3.25

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-4.0394 %	92.82 %	14

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.04159	0.0434	0.04055	0.57	0.04721

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.04159
Stop Loss: 0.0434
Take Profit: 0.04055

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.0434 - 0.04159 = 0.00181
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.04159 - 0.04055 = 0.00104
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00104 / 0.00181 = 0.5746

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.352% (0.0018)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.183%	0.3R	-0.555%	0.1R	2.1×	12
2h	+1.183%	0.3R	-0.695%	0.2R	1.7×	24
4h	+1.183%	0.3R	-3.898%	0.9R	0.3×	48
6h ★	+1.183%	0.3R	-4.039%	0.9R	0.3×	72
8h	+1.183%	0.3R	-4.039%	0.9R	0.3×	96
12h	+1.183%	0.3R	-4.566%	1.1R	0.3×	144
24h	+1.183%	0.3R	-10.399%	2.4R	0.1×	288
48h	+1.183%	0.3R	-10.399%	2.4R	0.1×	576
72h	+1.183%	0.3R	-13.948%	3.2R	0.1×	864

⏱ MFE in 54 min MAE in 1394 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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