Long Trade on SUI (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 296.57 SUI at 1.184$ per unit. Take profit: 1.2515 (5.69 %) & Stop Loss: 1.1571 (2.28 %)
01 Oct 2026 at 14:13:53
hyperliquid
SUI
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
01 Oct 2026 14:13
→ 02:05
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 1.1841$
Qty 296.5669 SUI
Size 351.1649$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 1.2515 (+5.69%)
TP $ 19.99$
SL 1.1571 (-2.28%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+0.30%
/ +1.07$
MAE -1.90%
MFE +3.01%
1.3R
expires
02 Oct 02:13
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 170215)
#17 / 77
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 14:00
score du 01/10/2026 14:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6693
Quality Score
0.573
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#17 / 77
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.28 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#17 / 77
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.28 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.18×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.71×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.91×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
37.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 14:00
01/10 14:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 01/10 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 01/10 13:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 4577
bull
developing
bull_consolidation
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
45.6%
Macro
btc_led_risk_on
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 15.8% |
| 1h | 96.5% |
| 4h | 61.4% |
| 24h | 40.4% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 33.3% | -0.14% |
| 4h | 26.3% | +0.33% |
| 24h | 26.3% | -0.58% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.151
Universe :
57
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
0.75
Snapshot évalué :
01/10 14:01
· env trend_consolidation
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6580
Score SMA
0.7289
Rank
#20
/ 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7467
Rank Norm SMA
0.7840
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8151 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 1.06% · r3d: -7.88% · ema21_slope: 2.8947% · dist_ema21: 17.388% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7059 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 1.07% · rs_3d: -6.90% · beta_24h: 1.944 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5471 | rvol_20: 1.18× · zscore_50: 0.933 · trend: 82.03% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8507 | ADX: 42.1 (trend) · Chop: 19.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.600% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
01/10/2026 14:00
Score brut
0.5728
Score SMA
0.5915
Rank
#17
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6693
Rank Norm SMA
0.6490
Calculé le
01/10/2026 14:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5803 | r1h: 3.812% · r4h: 2.586% · r1d: 1.31% · r3d: 1.86% · ema21_slope: -0.0506% · dist_ema21: 2.349% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6637 | rs_1h: 2.979% · rs_4h: 1.465% · rs_1d: 0.29% · rs_3d: 0.65% · beta_24h: 2.702 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8376 | rvol_20: 2.76× · zscore_50: 1.666 · trend: 73.52% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4850 | ADX: 13.0 (weak) · Chop: 53.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.035% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
01/10/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.5302
Score SMA
0.6404
Rank
#19
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7697
Rank Norm SMA
0.7494
Calculé le
01/10/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5729 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.608% · r1d: -3.03% · r3d: -0.10% · ema21_slope: -0.0072% · dist_ema21: -0.844% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5075 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.905% · rs_1d: -3.03% · rs_3d: -1.01% · beta_24h: 2.634 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5186 | rvol_20: 1.69× · zscore_50: 0.863 · trend: 2.93% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3745 | ADX: 22.2 (weak) · Chop: 76.6 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.7155 | ATR%: 3.853% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.280%
(0.0270)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.929% | 0.4R | -1.165% | 0.5R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.929% | 0.4R | -1.731% | 0.8R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.929% | 0.4R | -1.900% | 0.8R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.929% | 0.4R | -1.900% | 0.8R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +3.015% | 1.3R | -1.900% | 0.8R | 1.6× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.015% | 1.3R | -2.779% | 1.2R | 1.1× | 288 |
| 36h | +3.015% | 1.3R | -6.655% | 2.9R | 0.5× | 432 |
| 48h | +3.015% | 1.3R | -6.655% | 2.9R | 0.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +6.925% | 3.0R | -6.655% | 2.9R | 1.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 631 min
MAE in 1471 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.16
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
55%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | — | — | 0.77 | bull_high | +12.59% | +1.00 | 29/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 32% | early | — | — | 0.58 | bull_high | +2.03% | -0.38 | 01/10 08:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | near -1.2ATR | 0.55 | bull_medium_confirmed | +1.25% | +0.13 | 01/10 13:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
51%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | 0.72 | bull_low_confirmed | +1.16% | +0.13 | 01/10 13:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#187536
|
↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.452 | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
55%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid 15b 1.6ATR | — | — | 1.18 | 93% | ↑ +0.82 | above_value | +0.17 | — | #101566 | 0.77 | bull_high | +12.59% | +1.00 |
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:18
|
|
4h
#194137
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.604 | compression | bull_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 32% | early 15b -0.2ATR | — | — | 1.69 | 93% | ↓ -0.37 | above_value | -0.53 | — | #104376 | 0.58 | bull_high | +2.03% | -0.38 |
01/10 08:00
upd 01/10 12:12
|
|
1h
anchor #194980
|
↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.647 | expansion | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid 2b 1.2ATR | — | near -1.2ATR | 2.76 | 88% | ↑ +0.80 | above_value | +1.22 | — | #104762 | 0.55 | bull_medium_confirmed | +1.25% | +0.13 |
01/10 13:00
upd 01/10 14:10
|
|
15m
#194905
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.565 | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
51%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late 4b 1.9ATR | — | — | 1.61 | 94% | ↑ +0.34 | above_value | -0.69 | — | #104607 | 0.72 | bull_low_confirmed | +1.16% | +0.13 |
01/10 13:45
upd 01/10 14:00
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 15b | — | 5.554×ATR | p68 | +1.591×ATR | p75 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 15b | — | 1.189×ATR | p0 | -0.24×ATR | p13 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 2b | — | 2.609×ATR | p56 | +1.187×ATR | p61 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 4b | — | 3.418×ATR | p67 | +1.873×ATR | p94 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.7693
- reason: up_bo width=1.67×ATR dur=40b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 1.15712464
- tp_price: 1.2515384
- atr:
- score: 0.76929163430944
- expires_at: 2026-10-02T06:13:45.994581
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.76929163430944
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.127
- obi_top10 : -0.127
- micro_price : 1.19190118
- spread_pct : 0.01678
- mid_price : 1.192
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.1302
- obi_top5_std : 0.0077
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7043
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
1.1789
- balance_zone_bottom:
1.14
- balance_zone_mid:
1.15945
- balance_zone_start_time:
1790737200
- balance_zone_end_time:
1790877600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.6729
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
40
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7693
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1790874000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
1.1789
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.2236
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
14
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
6
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.02325358 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
40
inside_close_ratio
0.8
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.2236
Signaux confirmants (7)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:13 | 1.18410000 | 0% |
| 2 | 14:26 | 1.18410000 | 0% |
| 3 | 16:14 | 1.19240000 | +0.701% |
| 4 | 16:27 | 1.19240000 | +0.701% |
| 5 | 16:39 | 1.18990000 | +0.49% |
| 6 | 16:50 | 1.18990000 | +0.49% |
| 7 | 17:02 | 1.18990000 | +0.49% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7043ms
Confidence avant OB :
77%
→
77%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.127
avg -0.130
± 0.008
OBI Top 10
-0.127
Microstructure
Mid Price
1.1920
Micro Price
1.1919
Spread
0.0168%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.1841 | 1.1571 | 1.2515 | 2.5 | 0.8982 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.1841
- Stop Loss: 1.1571
- Take Profit: 1.2515
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.1571 - 1.1841 = -0.027
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.1841 - 1.2515 = -0.0674
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0674 / -0.027 = 2.4963
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 351.1649 | 100 | 296.5669 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.027
Taille de position = 8 / -0.027 = -296.3
Taille de position USD = -296.3 x 1.1841 = -350.85
Donc, tu peux acheter -296.3 avec un stoploss a 1.1571
Avec un position size USD de -350.85$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -296.3 x -0.027 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -296.3 x -0.0674 = 19.97
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.97$
Résumé
- Taille de position -296.3
- Taille de position USD -350.85
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.97
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4963
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.69 % | 19.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.28 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 1.07 $ | 0.30 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.9002 % | 83.33 % | 35 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.1841 | 1.1571 | 1.2515 | 2.5 | 0.8982 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.1841
- Stop Loss: 1.1571
- Take Profit: 1.2515
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.1571 - 1.1841 = -0.027
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.1841 - 1.2515 = -0.0674
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0674 / -0.027 = 2.4963
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.280%
(0.0270)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.929% | 0.4R | -1.165% | 0.5R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.929% | 0.4R | -1.731% | 0.8R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.929% | 0.4R | -1.900% | 0.8R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.929% | 0.4R | -1.900% | 0.8R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +3.015% | 1.3R | -1.900% | 0.8R | 1.6× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.015% | 1.3R | -2.779% | 1.2R | 1.1× | 288 |
| 36h | +3.015% | 1.3R | -6.655% | 2.9R | 0.5× | 432 |
| 48h | +3.015% | 1.3R | -6.655% | 2.9R | 0.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +6.925% | 3.0R | -6.655% | 2.9R | 1.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 631 min
MAE in 1471 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.