Short Trade on 2Z (momentum_rotation_score)
With 2024.03 2Z at 0.0564$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.06041 (7.02 %)
01 Oct 2026 at 14:15:05
hyperliquid
2Z
SHORT
momentum_rotation_score
hyperliquid
01 Oct 2026 14:15
→ 17:10
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.05645$
Qty 2024.0252 2Z
Size 114.2623$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0 (+100%)
TP $ 114.26$
SL 0.06041 (-7.02%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR
Status
win
PnL
+1.08%
/ +1.23$
MAE -0.47%
MFE +2.72%
0.4R
expires
01 Oct 17:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 170272)
#76 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 14:00
score du 01/10/2026 14:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1578
Quality Score
0.404
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#76 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.02 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#76 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.02 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.52×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.39×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.88×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
4.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 14:02
01/10 14:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 01/10 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 01/10 13:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 4577
bull
developing
bull_consolidation
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
-2 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
-2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
45.6%
Macro
btc_led_risk_on
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 15.8% |
| 1h | 96.5% |
| 4h | 61.4% |
| 24h | 40.4% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 33.3% | -0.14% |
| 4h | 26.3% | +0.33% |
| 24h | 26.3% | -0.58% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.151
Universe :
57
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
0.75
Snapshot évalué :
01/10 14:01
· env trend_consolidation
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5520
Score SMA
0.6841
Rank
#46
/ 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4000
Rank Norm SMA
0.6512
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6375 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -8.10% · r3d: -12.18% · ema21_slope: 1.4819% · dist_ema21: 4.847% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4319 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -8.08% · rs_3d: -11.20% · beta_24h: 1.111 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6983 | rvol_20: 1.84× · zscore_50: 1.253 · trend: 170.36% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7538 | ADX: 30.5 (trend) · Chop: 19.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.403% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
01/10/2026 14:00
Score brut
0.4039
Score SMA
0.5647
Rank
#76
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1578
Rank Norm SMA
0.5480
Calculé le
01/10/2026 14:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2238 | r1h: 2.524% · r4h: -1.763% · r1d: -9.30% · r3d: -15.48% · ema21_slope: -0.2955% · dist_ema21: -3.292% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2604 | rs_1h: 1.692% · rs_4h: -2.884% · rs_1d: -10.32% · rs_3d: -16.69% · beta_24h: 1.125 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8573 | rvol_20: 2.41× · zscore_50: 2.271 · trend: 157.34% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8073 | ADX: 37.5 (trend) · Chop: 38.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.410% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
01/10/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.3335
Score SMA
0.6299
Rank
#73
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2303
Rank Norm SMA
0.6792
Calculé le
01/10/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2532 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -4.239% · r1d: -11.36% · r3d: -14.31% · ema21_slope: -0.4346% · dist_ema21: -9.132% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1699 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -4.536% · rs_1d: -11.37% · rs_3d: -15.22% · beta_24h: 2.326 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3881 | rvol_20: 1.05× · zscore_50: -0.073 · trend: 28.80% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6671 | ADX: 25.7 (trend) · Chop: 44.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.3733 | ATR%: 4.880% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★
3h)
Initial Risk: -7.015%
(0.0040)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.723% | 0.4R | -0.468% | 0.1R | 5.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.723% | 0.4R | -0.468% | 0.1R | 5.8× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +2.723% | 0.4R | -0.468% | 0.1R | 5.8× | 36 |
| 4h | +3.304% | 0.5R | -0.468% | 0.1R | 7.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.304% | 0.5R | -2.021% | 0.3R | 1.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.304% | 0.5R | -4.299% | 0.6R | 0.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +20.994% | 3.0R | -6.289% | 0.9R | 3.3× | 288 |
| 48h | +21.437% | 3.1R | -6.289% | 0.9R | 3.4× | 576 |
| 72h | +21.437% | 3.1R | -6.289% | 0.9R | 3.4× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1344 min
MAE in 779 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 4.81
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | range_high |
43%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.55 | bull_high | +12.59% | +0.94 | 29/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
50%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | near -0.4ATR | — | 0.35 | bull_high | +2.03% | -0.84 | 01/10 08:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.32 | bull_medium_confirmed | +1.25% | -0.42 | 01/10 13:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.41 | bull_low_confirmed | +1.16% | -0.45 | 01/10 13:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#187747
|
↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | 0.802 | volatile_reversal | range_high |
43%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early 4b 0.4ATR | — | — | 1.84 | 98% | ↑ +0.95 | below_value | -6.90 | — | #101622 | 0.55 | bull_high | +12.59% | +0.94 |
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:26
|
|
4h
#194278
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.423 | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
50%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late 14b -2.4ATR | near -0.4ATR | — | 1.05 | 92% | ↑ +0.36 | value | -1.83 | — | #104433 | 0.35 | bull_high | +2.03% | -0.84 |
01/10 08:00
upd 01/10 12:18
|
|
1h
anchor #195038
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | 0.597 | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid 1b -1.5ATR | — | — | 2.41 | 98% | ↔ +0.06 | below_value | -9.51 | — | #104820 | 0.32 | bull_medium_confirmed | +1.25% | -0.42 |
01/10 13:00
upd 01/10 14:13
|
|
15m
#194960
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.388 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid 5b -0.2ATR | — | — | 3.05 | 99% | ↑ +0.81 | value | -1.84 | — | #104664 | 0.41 | bull_low_confirmed | +1.16% | -0.45 |
01/10 13:45
upd 01/10 14:04
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 3.454×ATR | p35 | +0.443×ATR | p30 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 14b | — | 4.803×ATR | p71 | -2.35×ATR | p92 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 1b | — | 1.995×ATR | p19 | -1.534×ATR | p74 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 5b | — | 3.938×ATR | p74 | -0.176×ATR | p10 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.05645 | 0.06041 | 0.02616 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.05645
- Stop Loss: 0.06041
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.06041 - 0.05645 = 0.00396
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.05645 - = 0.05645
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.05645 / 0.00396 = 14.2551
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 114.2623 | 100 | 2024.0252 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00396
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00396 = 2020.2
Taille de position USD = 2020.2 x 0.05645 = 114.04
Donc, tu peux acheter 2020.2 avec un stoploss a 0.06041
Avec un position size USD de 114.04$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2020.2 x 0.00396 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2020.2 x 0.05645 = 114.04
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 114.04$
Résumé
- Taille de position 2020.2
- Taille de position USD 114.04
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 114.04
- Risk-Reward Ratio 14.2551
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 100 % | 114.26 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.02 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 1.23 $ | 1.08 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4677 % | 6.67 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.05645 | 0.06041 | 0.02616 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.05645
- Stop Loss: 0.06041
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.06041 - 0.05645 = 0.00396
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.05645 - = 0.05645
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.05645 / 0.00396 = 14.2551
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★
3h)
Initial Risk: -7.015%
(0.0040)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.723% | 0.4R | -0.468% | 0.1R | 5.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.723% | 0.4R | -0.468% | 0.1R | 5.8× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +2.723% | 0.4R | -0.468% | 0.1R | 5.8× | 36 |
| 4h | +3.304% | 0.5R | -0.468% | 0.1R | 7.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.304% | 0.5R | -2.021% | 0.3R | 1.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.304% | 0.5R | -4.299% | 0.6R | 0.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +20.994% | 3.0R | -6.289% | 0.9R | 3.3× | 288 |
| 48h | +21.437% | 3.1R | -6.289% | 0.9R | 3.4× | 576 |
| 72h | +21.437% | 3.1R | -6.289% | 0.9R | 3.4× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1344 min
MAE in 779 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.