Long Trade on AAVE

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01 Oct 2026 at 14:15:06 hyperliquid

Long Trade on AAVE (momentum_rotation_score)

With 0.8 AAVE at 169.46$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 159.4885 (5.88 %)

AAVE LONG momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 14:15 → 17:15 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 169.46$

Qty 0.8023 AAVE

Size 135.9552$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 135.96$

SL 159.4885 (-5.88%)

SL $ 8$

Status win PnL +0.15% / +0.21$ MAE -1.81% MFE +1.16% 0.2R expires 01 Oct 17:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 170224)

#3 / 77 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 14:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9054

Quality Score

0.736

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#3 / 77 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

95 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

+8 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.88 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD TRADE

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#3 / 77 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

95 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

+8 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.88 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)

3/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Supply	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-0.05×ATR
4h	near	-0.78×ATR
1d	near	0.48×ATR

Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	mid	OK
4h	↑ up	mid	OK
1d	↑ up	mid	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

+2 OK

seuil : ≥ +3

Breadth Leadership

btc NO

attendu : alts_leading

Breadth State

N/A

attendu : expanding / recovering

Décision V5

N/A

regime + leadership

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

47.5M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 14:00

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 01/10 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 01/10 13:00 Score : +6 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

01/10 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

01/10 13:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4577

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull 0.90	expansion +2
Operational	range 0.25	range 0
Tactical	range 0.25	range 0
Micro	range 0.25	range

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) +2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 45.6%

Macro btc_led_risk_on

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Legacy leadership : btc

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	15.8%
1h	96.5%
4h	61.4%
24h	40.4%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	33.3%	-0.14%
4h	26.3%	+0.33%
24h	26.3%	-0.58%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : 0.151

Universe : 57 · ≥ $2.0M

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 01/10 14:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.7003

Score SMA

0.6541

Rank

#13 / 76

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.8400

Rank Norm SMA

0.5326

Calculé le

30/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.7769	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.44% · r3d: 3.13% · ema21_slope: 1.2265% · dist_ema21: 11.143%
Force Relative	25%	0.6815	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -3.43% · rs_3d: 4.11% · beta_24h: 1.372
Volume	20%	0.8793	rvol_20: 2.72× · zscore_50: 1.867 · trend: 111.68%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.8065	ADX: 36.8 (trend) · Chop: 31.3 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 6.839% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 14:00

Score brut

0.7355

Score SMA

0.5820

Rank

#3 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.9054

Rank Norm SMA

0.6166

Calculé le

01/10/2026 14:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.7929	r1h: 2.949% · r4h: 2.924% · r1d: 7.06% · r3d: 15.32% · ema21_slope: 0.1573% · dist_ema21: 3.568%
Force Relative	25%	0.8188	rs_1h: 2.116% · rs_4h: 1.803% · rs_1d: 6.04% · rs_3d: 14.11% · beta_24h: 2.515
Volume	20%	0.9634	rvol_20: 4.56× · zscore_50: 2.451 · trend: 159.66%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5150	ADX: 17.7 (weak) · Chop: 54.6 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.037% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 12:00

Score brut

0.7836

Score SMA

0.6415

Rank

#3 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.9605

Rank Norm SMA

0.6904

Calculé le

01/10/2026 12:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.8257	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.313% · r1d: 5.05% · r3d: 15.24% · ema21_slope: 0.3204% · dist_ema21: 4.751%
Force Relative	25%	0.8118	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.016% · rs_1d: 5.04% · rs_3d: 14.33% · beta_24h: 2.784
Volume	20%	0.7483	rvol_20: 2.14× · zscore_50: 1.968 · trend: 65.97%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6363	ADX: 31.4 (trend) · Chop: 53.7 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.8786	ATR%: 3.364% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.884% (9.9715)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.224%	0.0R	-1.806%	0.3R	0.1×	12
2h	+1.163%	0.2R	-1.806%	0.3R	0.6×	24
3h ★	+1.163%	0.2R	-1.806%	0.3R	0.6×	36
4h	+1.599%	0.3R	-1.806%	0.3R	0.9×	48
8h	+5.175%	0.9R	-1.806%	0.3R	2.9×	96
12h	+10.781%	1.8R	-1.806%	0.3R	6.0×	144
24h	+10.781%	1.8R	-1.806%	0.3R	6.0×	288
48h	+10.781%	1.8R	-1.806%	0.3R	6.0×	576
72h	+10.781%	1.8R	-1.806%	0.3R	6.0×	864

⏱ MFE in 634 min MAE in 34 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 1.74

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	56%	noisy_chop 40%	mid	—	near 0.5ATR	0.68	bull_high	+12.59%	+0.96	29/09 20:00
4h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	60%	noisy_chop 41%	mid	—	near -0.8ATR	0.55	bull_high	+2.03%	+0.84	01/10 08:00
1h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	55%	noisy_chop 39%	mid	—	near -0.1ATR	0.56	bull_medium_confirmed	+1.25%	+0.54	01/10 13:00
15m	↑ up	range	range	strong	explosive	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	56%	noisy_chop 47%	mid	—	near -0.6ATR	0.53	bull_low_confirmed	+1.16%	+0.33	01/10 13:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #187572	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.562	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	56%	noisy_chop 40%	mid 14b 1.3ATR	—	near 0.5ATR	2.72	96%	↑ +0.72	value	-2.36	—	#101575	0.68	bull_high	+12.59%	+0.96	29/09 20:00 upd 30/09 20:19
4h #194155	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.628	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	60%	noisy_chop 41%	mid 6b 1.3ATR	—	near -0.8ATR	2.14	99%	↑ +0.52	above_value	+0.85	—	#104385	0.55	bull_high	+2.03%	+0.84	01/10 08:00 upd 01/10 12:13
1h anchor #194989	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	0.720	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	55%	noisy_chop 39%	mid 3b 1.6ATR	—	near -0.1ATR	4.56	100%	↑ +0.88	value	+1.51	inside	#104771	0.56	bull_medium_confirmed	+1.25%	+0.54	01/10 13:00 upd 01/10 14:10
15m #194914	↑ up	range	range	strong	explosive	0.687	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	56%	noisy_chop 47%	mid 3b 1.5ATR	—	near -0.6ATR	1.59	95%	↑ +0.32	above_value	+0.12	—	#104616	0.53	bull_low_confirmed	+1.16%	+0.33	01/10 13:45 upd 01/10 14:01
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	mid	14b	—	4.252×ATR	p62	+1.306×ATR	p65
4h	↑ up	mid	6b	—	1.923×ATR	p0	+1.287×ATR	p69
1h	↓ down	mid	3b	—	0×ATR	p0	+1.599×ATR	p78
15m	↑ up	mid	3b	—	3.245×ATR	p59	+1.541×ATR	p73

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - BUY

Indicators:

stop_price: 159.48847911
atr: 3.3238403
expires_at: 2026-10-01T21:15:06+00:00

Details

rank: 5
total: 77
score: 0.7168
confidence: 0.947

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
169.46	159.4885			135.06

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 169.46
Stop Loss: 159.4885
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 159.4885 - 169.46 = -9.9715
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 169.46 - = 169.46
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 169.46 / -9.9715 = -16.9944

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
135.9552	100	0.8023	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss -9.9715

Taille de position = 8 / -9.9715 = -0.8

Taille de position USD = -0.8 x 169.46 = -135.57

Donc, tu peux acheter -0.8 avec un stoploss a 159.4885

Avec un position size USD de -135.57$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -0.8 x -9.9715 = 7.98

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.98$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -0.8 x 169.46 = -135.57

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras -135.57$

Résumé

Taille de position -0.8
Taille de position USD -135.57
Perte potentielle 7.98
Gain potentiel -135.57
Risk-Reward Ratio -16.9944

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
100 %	135.96 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
5.88 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
0.21 $	0.15

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-1.8057 %	30.69 %	4

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
169.46	159.4885			135.06

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 169.46
Stop Loss: 159.4885
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 159.4885 - 169.46 = -9.9715
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 169.46 - = 169.46
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 169.46 / -9.9715 = -16.9944

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.884% (9.9715)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.224%	0.0R	-1.806%	0.3R	0.1×	12
2h	+1.163%	0.2R	-1.806%	0.3R	0.6×	24
3h ★	+1.163%	0.2R	-1.806%	0.3R	0.6×	36
4h	+1.599%	0.3R	-1.806%	0.3R	0.9×	48
8h	+5.175%	0.9R	-1.806%	0.3R	2.9×	96
12h	+10.781%	1.8R	-1.806%	0.3R	6.0×	144
24h	+10.781%	1.8R	-1.806%	0.3R	6.0×	288
48h	+10.781%	1.8R	-1.806%	0.3R	6.0×	576
72h	+10.781%	1.8R	-1.806%	0.3R	6.0×	864

⏱ MFE in 634 min MAE in 34 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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