Long Trade on BCH (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1.08 BCH at 314.23$ per unit. Take profit: 332.8024 (5.91 %) & Stop Loss: 306.801 (2.36 %)
02 Oct 2026 at 01:06:05
hyperliquid
BCH
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
02 Oct 2026 01:06
→ 13:00
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 314.23$
Qty 1.0769 BCH
Size 338.3839$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 332.8024 (+5.91%)
TP $ 20$
SL 306.801 (-2.36%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-1.01%
/ -3.4$
MAE -1.26%
MFE +1.25%
0.5R
expires
02 Oct 13:05
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 171382)
#37 / 75
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 01:00
score du 02/10/2026 01:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6543
Quality Score
0.588
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#37 / 75
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
89 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+5
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.36 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#37 / 75
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
89 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.36 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.72×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 5.16×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.78×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
4.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 01:00
02/10 01:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 01/10 20:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 01/10 23:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #4621
Voir snapshot →
bull
developing
bull_expansion
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
0.55 |
mature
+1 |
| Micro |
bull
0.90 |
mature
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
78.3%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
mixed
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 51.7% |
| 1h | 96.7% |
| 4h | 95.0% |
| 24h | 56.7% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 51.7% | +0.01% |
| 4h | 46.7% | +1.94% |
| 24h | 16.7% | +0.30% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.183
Universe :
60
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
1.00
Snapshot évalué :
02/10 01:01
· env trend_expansion
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5004
Score SMA
0.5628
Rank
#50
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3553
Rank Norm SMA
0.3357
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6815 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 1.02% · r3d: -0.25% · ema21_slope: 2.0220% · dist_ema21: 5.944% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4882 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.45% · rs_3d: -1.91% · beta_24h: 1.233 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2355 | rvol_20: 0.38× · zscore_50: -0.173 · trend: -14.72% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8451 | ADX: 41.4 (trend) · Chop: 28.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.492% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/10/2026 01:00
Score brut
0.5879
Score SMA
—
Rank
—
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6543
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
02/10/2026 01:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6369 | r1h: 1.844% · r4h: 3.538% · r1d: 2.43% · r3d: 3.15% · ema21_slope: 0.0355% · dist_ema21: 2.192% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5328 | rs_1h: 0.503% · rs_4h: 1.322% · rs_1d: -0.58% · rs_3d: -1.01% · beta_24h: 1.394 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3315 | rvol_20: 1.00× · zscore_50: 0.124 · trend: -17.77% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6489 | ADX: 22.9 (weak) · Chop: 43.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.070% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.4795
Score SMA
0.5158
Rank
#41
/ 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5034
Rank Norm SMA
0.3821
Calculé le
02/10/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5200 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.074% · r1d: 0.46% · r3d: 1.71% · ema21_slope: -0.1362% · dist_ema21: -0.278% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3911 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.685% · rs_1d: -1.63% · rs_3d: -1.24% · beta_24h: 1.569 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3469 | rvol_20: 1.44× · zscore_50: -0.265 · trend: -39.47% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3758 | ADX: 16.7 (weak) · Chop: 70.8 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.260% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.364%
(7.4290)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.239% | 0.1R | -0.735% | 0.3R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.395% | 0.2R | -0.735% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.066% | 0.5R | -0.735% | 0.3R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.088% | 0.5R | -0.735% | 0.3R | 1.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.254% | 0.5R | -1.260% | 0.5R | 1.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.254% | 0.5R | -5.639% | 2.4R | 0.2× | 287 |
| 36h | +1.254% | 0.5R | -5.639% | 2.4R | 0.2× | 432 |
| 48h | +2.702% | 1.1R | -5.639% | 2.4R | 0.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +2.702% | 1.1R | -5.639% | 2.4R | 0.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 508 min
MAE in 818 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.24
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
68%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | 0.65 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.97 | 30/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 32% | late | — | — | 0.49 | bull_high | +3.48% | -0.16 | 01/10 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | range_high |
34%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | — | 0.40 | bull_medium | +1.75% | -0.12 | 01/10 23:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_medium |
53%
|
noisy_chop 54% | late | — | — | 0.76 | bull_low_confirmed | +2.45% | -0.02 | 02/10 00:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#197552
|
↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.670 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
68%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early 8b 0.7ATR | — | — | 0.38 | 75% | ↑ +0.69 | above_value | +0.43 | — | #105781 | 0.65 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.97 |
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:19
|
|
4h
#199148
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.642 | compression | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 32% | late 28b -0.1ATR | — | — | 1.44 | 76% | ↑ +0.33 | above_value | +0.50 | — | #106482 | 0.49 | bull_high | +3.48% | -0.16 |
01/10 20:00
upd 02/10 00:13
|
|
1h
anchor #199147
|
↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.582 | expansion_after_compression | range_high |
34%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early 2b 0.5ATR | — | — | 0.09 | 3% | ↔ -0.12 | above_value | +0.50 | — | #106482 | 0.40 | bull_medium | +1.75% | -0.12 |
01/10 23:00
upd 02/10 00:13
|
|
15m
#199522
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.363 | volatile_reversal | bull_medium |
53%
|
noisy_chop 54% | late 5b 3.8ATR | — | — | 0.31 | 59% | ↓ -0.65 | above_value | +0.50 | — | #106482 | 0.76 | bull_low_confirmed | +2.45% | -0.02 |
02/10 00:45
upd 02/10 01:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 2.836×ATR | p6 | +0.689×ATR | p41 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 28b | — | 5.393×ATR | p84 | -0.146×ATR | p8 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 1.899×ATR | p17 | +0.499×ATR | p41 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 5b | — | 4.862×ATR | p91 | +3.791×ATR | p100 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8914
- reason: up_bo width=2.15×ATR dur=40b phase=fresh|ob:bid_pressure(+0.07)
- stop_price: 306.80104159
- tp_price: 332.80239601
- atr:
- score: 0.82139216030589
- expires_at: 2026-10-02T17:05:57.515946
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.82139216030589
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.1909
- obi_top10 : 0.0021
- micro_price : 314.40423077
- spread_pct : 0.003181
- mid_price : 314.405
- bid_wall_price : 310
- bid_wall_size : 2289.2
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 316
- ask_wall_size : 1815.686
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.1758
- obi_top5_std : 0.0358
- pressure_side : bid
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6909
- aggregation_tick : 1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
310.6
- balance_zone_bottom:
303.65
- balance_zone_mid:
307.125
- balance_zone_start_time:
1790776800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1790917200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.1453
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
40
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8214
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1790913600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
310.6
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.95
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.1205
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
6
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
6
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 3.23958405 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
40
inside_close_ratio
0.95
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
1.1205
Signaux confirmants (18)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:06 | 314.23000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 01:18 | 314.23000000 | 0% |
| 3 | 01:30 | 314.23000000 | 0% |
| 4 | 01:42 | 313.88000000 | -0.111% |
| 5 | 01:54 | 313.88000000 | -0.111% |
| 6 | 02:09 | 314.59000000 | +0.115% |
| 7 | 02:22 | 314.59000000 | +0.115% |
| 8 | 02:34 | 314.59000000 | +0.115% |
| 9 | 02:45 | 315.01000000 | +0.248% |
| 10 | 02:57 | 315.01000000 | +0.248% |
| 11 | 03:10 | 314.38000000 | +0.048% |
| 12 | 03:21 | 314.38000000 | +0.048% |
| 13 | 03:33 | 314.38000000 | +0.048% |
| 14 | 03:45 | 314.05000000 | -0.057% |
| 15 | 03:56 | 314.05000000 | -0.057% |
| 16 | 05:07 | 314.52000000 | +0.092% |
| 17 | 05:19 | 314.52000000 | +0.092% |
| 18 | 05:30 | 314.52000000 | +0.092% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↑ bid
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6909ms
Confidence avant OB :
82%
→
89%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.191
avg 0.176
± 0.036
OBI Top 10
0.002
Microstructure
Mid Price
314.4050
Micro Price
314.4042
Spread
0.0032%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
310.0000
Size
2,289.20
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
316.0000
Size
1,815.69
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 314.23 | 306.801 | 332.8024 | 2.5 | 262.66 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 314.23
- Stop Loss: 306.801
- Take Profit: 332.8024
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 306.801 - 314.23 = -7.429
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 314.23 - 332.8024 = -18.5724
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -18.5724 / -7.429 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 338.3839 | 100 | 1.0769 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -7.429
Taille de position = 8 / -7.429 = -1.08
Taille de position USD = -1.08 x 314.23 = -339.37
Donc, tu peux acheter -1.08 avec un stoploss a 306.801
Avec un position size USD de -339.37$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1.08 x -7.429 = 8.02
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.02$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1.08 x -18.5724 = 20.06
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.06$
Résumé
- Taille de position -1.08
- Taille de position USD -339.37
- Perte potentielle 8.02
- Gain potentiel 20.06
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.91 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.36 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -3.4 $ | -1.01 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.2602 % | 53.3 % | 19 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 314.23 | 306.801 | 332.8024 | 2.5 | 262.66 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 314.23
- Stop Loss: 306.801
- Take Profit: 332.8024
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 306.801 - 314.23 = -7.429
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 314.23 - 332.8024 = -18.5724
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -18.5724 / -7.429 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.364%
(7.4290)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.239% | 0.1R | -0.735% | 0.3R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.395% | 0.2R | -0.735% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.066% | 0.5R | -0.735% | 0.3R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.088% | 0.5R | -0.735% | 0.3R | 1.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.254% | 0.5R | -1.260% | 0.5R | 1.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.254% | 0.5R | -5.639% | 2.4R | 0.2× | 287 |
| 36h | +1.254% | 0.5R | -5.639% | 2.4R | 0.2× | 432 |
| 48h | +2.702% | 1.1R | -5.639% | 2.4R | 0.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +2.702% | 1.1R | -5.639% | 2.4R | 0.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 508 min
MAE in 818 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.