Long Trade on ZRO (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 55.23 ZRO at 1.883$ per unit. Take profit: 2.2453 (19.23 %) & Stop Loss: 1.7384 (7.69 %)
02 Oct 2026 at 01:07:33
hyperliquid
ZRO
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
02 Oct 2026 01:07
→ 13:00
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 1.8832$
Qty 55.2349 ZRO
Size 104.0183$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 2.2453 (+19.23%)
TP $ 20$
SL 1.7384 (-7.69%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+3.78%
/ +3.93$
MAE -2.58%
MFE +6.60%
0.9R
expires
02 Oct 13:07
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 171389)
#13 / 75
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 01:00
score du 02/10/2026 01:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9244
Quality Score
0.702
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#13 / 75
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.69 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#13 / 75
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.69 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.04×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.11×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.86×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
22.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 01:00
02/10 01:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 01/10 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 01/10 23:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #4621
Voir snapshot →
bull
developing
bull_expansion
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
0.55 |
mature
+1 |
| Micro |
bull
0.90 |
mature
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
78.3%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
mixed
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 51.7% |
| 1h | 96.7% |
| 4h | 95.0% |
| 24h | 56.7% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 51.7% | +0.01% |
| 4h | 46.7% | +1.94% |
| 24h | 16.7% | +0.30% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.183
Universe :
60
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
1.00
Snapshot évalué :
02/10 01:01
· env trend_expansion
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.8009
Score SMA
0.7718
Rank
#5
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9474
Rank Norm SMA
0.8392
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.9791 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 3.54% · r3d: 15.59% · ema21_slope: 3.2315% · dist_ema21: 27.930% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8920 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 2.07% · rs_3d: 13.94% · beta_24h: 0.135 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7432 | rvol_20: 1.96× · zscore_50: 1.640 · trend: 134.08% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9035 | ADX: 48.4 (trend) · Chop: 27.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.168% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/10/2026 01:00
Score brut
0.7020
Score SMA
—
Rank
—
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9244
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
02/10/2026 01:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8793 | r1h: 3.729% · r4h: 2.080% · r1d: 8.80% · r3d: 23.50% · ema21_slope: 0.4483% · dist_ema21: 5.099% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7940 | rs_1h: 2.389% · rs_4h: -0.136% · rs_1d: 5.79% · rs_3d: 19.34% · beta_24h: 2.100 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2248 | rvol_20: 0.68× · zscore_50: -0.326 · trend: -36.39% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6315 | ADX: 20.6 (weak) · Chop: 43.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.838% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.5665
Score SMA
0.6084
Rank
#12
/ 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8891
Rank Norm SMA
0.6556
Calculé le
02/10/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7790 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.072% · r1d: 5.39% · r3d: 19.33% · ema21_slope: 0.5322% · dist_ema21: 5.996% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7674 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.687% · rs_1d: 3.30% · rs_3d: 16.38% · beta_24h: 0.620 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2697 | rvol_20: 0.52× · zscore_50: -0.445 · trend: 22.23% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5338 | ADX: 23.4 (weak) · Chop: 58.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0693 | ATR%: 5.792% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -7.689%
(0.1448)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.490% | 0.3R | -0.372% | 0.1R | 6.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.122% | 0.4R | -1.444% | 0.2R | 2.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.122% | 0.4R | -2.363% | 0.3R | 1.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.122% | 0.4R | -2.581% | 0.3R | 1.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +6.595% | 0.9R | -2.581% | 0.3R | 2.6× | 144 |
| 24h | +6.595% | 0.9R | -8.135% | 1.1R | 0.8× | 288 |
| 36h | +12.967% | 1.7R | -8.263% | 1.1R | 1.6× | 432 |
| 48h | +14.130% | 1.8R | -8.263% | 1.1R | 1.7× | 576 |
| 72h | +14.130% | 1.8R | -8.263% | 1.1R | 1.7× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 2102 min
MAE in 1592 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.56
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.43 | bull_high | +13.92% | +1.00 | 30/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
69%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.29 | bull_high | +3.48% | +0.87 | 01/10 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | normal | bull_high |
69%
|
noisy_chop 48% | early | — | — | 0.27 | bull_medium | +1.75% | +0.40 | 01/10 23:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | near -1.3ATR | 0.44 | bull_low_confirmed | +2.45% | +0.16 | 02/10 00:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#197583
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.687 | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late 16b 2.0ATR | — | — | 1.96 | 98% | ↑ +0.94 | above_value | +4.24 | — | #105788 | 0.43 | bull_high | +13.92% | +1.00 |
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:20
|
|
4h
#199162
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.599 | expansion | bull_high |
69%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early 4b 0.9ATR | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.52 | 82% | ↑ +0.26 | above_value | +4.56 | — | #106489 | 0.29 | bull_high | +3.48% | +0.87 |
01/10 20:00
upd 02/10 00:14
|
|
1h
anchor #199161
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.693 | normal | bull_high |
69%
|
noisy_chop 48% | early 5b 0.6ATR | — | — | 0.40 | 39% | ↑ +0.38 | above_value | +4.56 | — | #106489 | 0.27 | bull_medium | +1.75% | +0.40 |
01/10 23:00
upd 02/10 00:13
|
|
15m
#199529
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.584 | expansion | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late 3b 1.8ATR | — | near -1.3ATR | 1.13 | 52% | ↔ -0.09 | above_value | +4.56 | — | #106489 | 0.44 | bull_low_confirmed | +2.45% | +0.16 |
02/10 00:45
upd 02/10 01:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 16b | — | 5.366×ATR | p71 | +2.006×ATR | p90 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.778×ATR | p0 | +0.927×ATR | p50 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 1.103×ATR | p0 | +0.558×ATR | p42 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 3b | — | 2.884×ATR | p57 | +1.794×ATR | p84 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8338
- reason: up_bo width=2.93×ATR dur=41b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 1.73836391
- tp_price: 2.24529022
- atr:
- score: 0.83382171847473
- expires_at: 2026-10-02T17:07:25.118042
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.83382171847473
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0111
- obi_top10 : 0.0724
- micro_price : 1.88089681
- spread_pct : 0.069123
- mid_price : 1.88135
- bid_wall_price : 1.87
- bid_wall_size : 87516.2
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 1.89
- ask_wall_size : 71136.2
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.01
- obi_top5_std : 0.0011
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7057
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
1.81795
- balance_zone_bottom:
1.66895
- balance_zone_mid:
1.74345
- balance_zone_start_time:
1790773200
- balance_zone_end_time:
1790917200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.9296
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
41
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8338
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1790913600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
1.81795
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6829
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.2829
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
4
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
10
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.05086087 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
41
inside_close_ratio
0.6829
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
1.2829
Signaux confirmants (11)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:07 | 1.88320000 | 0% |
| 2 | 01:19 | 1.88320000 | 0% |
| 3 | 01:31 | 1.88320000 | 0% |
| 4 | 02:35 | 1.86650000 | -0.887% |
| 5 | 02:46 | 1.86650000 | -0.887% |
| 6 | 02:58 | 1.86650000 | -0.887% |
| 7 | 03:34 | 1.86400000 | -1.02% |
| 8 | 03:46 | 1.86400000 | -1.02% |
| 9 | 03:58 | 1.86400000 | -1.02% |
| 10 | 04:12 | 1.85690000 | -1.397% |
| 11 | 04:24 | 1.85690000 | -1.397% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7057ms
Confidence avant OB :
83%
→
83%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.011
avg 0.010
± 0.001
OBI Top 10
0.072
Microstructure
Mid Price
1.8814
Micro Price
1.8809
Spread
0.0691%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
1.8700
Size
87,516.20
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
1.8900
Size
71,136.20
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.8832 | 1.7384 | 2.2453 | 2.5 | 1.6412 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.8832
- Stop Loss: 1.7384
- Take Profit: 2.2453
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.7384 - 1.8832 = -0.1448
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.8832 - 2.2453 = -0.3621
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.3621 / -0.1448 = 2.5007
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 104.0183 | 100 | 55.2349 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.1448
Taille de position = 8 / -0.1448 = -55.25
Taille de position USD = -55.25 x 1.8832 = -104.05
Donc, tu peux acheter -55.25 avec un stoploss a 1.7384
Avec un position size USD de -104.05$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -55.25 x -0.1448 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -55.25 x -0.3621 = 20.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.01$
Résumé
- Taille de position -55.25
- Taille de position USD -104.05
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.01
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5007
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 19.23 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.69 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 3.93 $ | 3.78 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5807 % | 33.56 % | 13 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.8832 | 1.7384 | 2.2453 | 2.5 | 1.6412 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.8832
- Stop Loss: 1.7384
- Take Profit: 2.2453
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.7384 - 1.8832 = -0.1448
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.8832 - 2.2453 = -0.3621
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.3621 / -0.1448 = 2.5007
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -7.689%
(0.1448)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.490% | 0.3R | -0.372% | 0.1R | 6.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.122% | 0.4R | -1.444% | 0.2R | 2.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.122% | 0.4R | -2.363% | 0.3R | 1.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.122% | 0.4R | -2.581% | 0.3R | 1.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +6.595% | 0.9R | -2.581% | 0.3R | 2.6× | 144 |
| 24h | +6.595% | 0.9R | -8.135% | 1.1R | 0.8× | 288 |
| 36h | +12.967% | 1.7R | -8.263% | 1.1R | 1.6× | 432 |
| 48h | +14.130% | 1.8R | -8.263% | 1.1R | 1.7× | 576 |
| 72h | +14.130% | 1.8R | -8.263% | 1.1R | 1.7× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 2102 min
MAE in 1592 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.