Long Trade on MON (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 3561.82 MON at 0.0342$ per unit. Take profit: 0.03504 (2.52 %) & Stop Loss: 0.03194 (6.55 %)
02 Oct 2026 at 03:15:05
hyperliquid
MON
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
02 Oct 2026 03:15
→ 09:10
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.03418$
Qty 3561.8244 MON
Size 121.7574$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.03504 (+2.52%)
TP $ 3.06$
SL 0.03194 (-6.55%)
SL $ 7.98$
RR 0.38
Status
win
PnL
+0.72%
/ +0.88$
MAE -2.64%
MFE +2.05%
0.3R
expires
02 Oct 09:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 171584)
#15 / 76
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 03:00
score du 02/10/2026 03:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8376
Quality Score
0.610
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#15 / 76
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.55 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#15 / 76
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.55 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.04×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -0.82×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts
OK
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
1.58
OK
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
26.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 03:02
02/10 03:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 01/10 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 02/10 02:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #4629
Voir snapshot →
bull
developing
bull_expansion
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
bull
0.90 |
transition
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
79.8%
Macro
broad_risk_on
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 27.9% |
| 1h | 83.6% |
| 4h | 86.9% |
| 24h | 50.8% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 49.2% | -0.04% |
| 4h | 60.7% | +1.58% |
| 24h | 24.6% | +0.06% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.190
Universe :
61
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
1.00
Snapshot évalué :
02/10 03:01
· env trend_expansion
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.8233
Score SMA
0.6324
Rank
#1
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
1.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.5230
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.9770 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 5.80% · r3d: 18.09% · ema21_slope: 1.0171% · dist_ema21: 25.062% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8772 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 4.33% · rs_3d: 16.44% · beta_24h: 1.163 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 4.15× · zscore_50: 4.208 · trend: 152.87% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7396 | ADX: 28.8 (trend) · Chop: 36.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.112% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/10/2026 03:00
Score brut
0.6103
Score SMA
0.6109
Rank
#15
/ 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8376
Rank Norm SMA
0.6700
Calculé le
02/10/2026 03:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7840 | r1h: 2.824% · r4h: 0.318% · r1d: -0.03% · r3d: 20.21% · ema21_slope: 0.2562% · dist_ema21: 2.427% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7020 | rs_1h: 2.834% · rs_4h: -0.622% · rs_1d: -2.25% · rs_3d: 17.83% · beta_24h: 2.246 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2630 | rvol_20: 0.79× · zscore_50: -0.297 · trend: -22.90% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5072 | ADX: 27.9 (trend) · Chop: 66.1 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.776% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.6248
Score SMA
0.6238
Rank
#7
/ 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9479
Rank Norm SMA
0.6214
Calculé le
02/10/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7587 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.178% · r1d: 2.72% · r3d: 24.22% · ema21_slope: 0.9740% · dist_ema21: 9.976% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7384 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.937% · rs_1d: 0.63% · rs_3d: 21.27% · beta_24h: 2.674 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2888 | rvol_20: 0.48× · zscore_50: -0.304 · trend: 31.81% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7860 | ADX: 34.3 (trend) · Chop: 32.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.3696 | ATR%: 4.891% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -6.554%
(0.0022)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.158% | 0.0R | -1.656% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.158% | 0.0R | -2.232% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.158% | 0.0R | -2.636% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.045% | 0.3R | -2.636% | 0.4R | 0.8× | 72 |
| 8h | +4.839% | 0.7R | -2.636% | 0.4R | 1.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.129% | 0.8R | -10.500% | 1.6R | 0.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +5.129% | 0.8R | -10.500% | 1.6R | 0.5× | 288 |
| 48h | +5.129% | 0.8R | -10.500% | 1.6R | 0.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +5.129% | 0.8R | -10.500% | 1.6R | 0.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 534 min
MAE in 679 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.92
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
71%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.58 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.99 | 30/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
69%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.50 | bull_high | +3.48% | +0.84 | 01/10 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.53 | bull_medium | +2.18% | +0.37 | 02/10 02:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.49 | bull_low | +1.39% | +0.04 | 02/10 02:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#197709
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.715 | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
71%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late 16b 2.3ATR | — | near -0.8ATR | 4.15 | 100% | ↑ +0.82 | above_value | +5.42 | — | #105834 | 0.58 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.99 |
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:26
|
|
4h
#199287
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | 0.528 | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
69%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late 4b 1.8ATR | — | — | 0.48 | 78% | ↑ +0.55 | above_value | +6.39 | inside | #106536 | 0.50 | bull_high | +3.48% | +0.84 |
01/10 20:00
upd 02/10 00:19
|
|
1h
anchor #200405
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.575 | compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early 1b 0.9ATR | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.79 | 77% | ↓ -0.45 | above_value | +6.47 | — | #107077 | 0.53 | bull_medium | +2.18% | +0.37 |
02/10 02:00
upd 02/10 03:11
|
|
15m
#200328
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.584 | normal | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid 6b 1.2ATR | — | — | 0.33 | 17% | ↑ +0.51 | above_value | +5.95 | — | #106923 | 0.49 | bull_low | +1.39% | +0.04 |
02/10 02:45
upd 02/10 03:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 16b | — | 4.706×ATR | p65 | +2.331×ATR | p96 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 4b | — | 1.352×ATR | p0 | +1.849×ATR | p89 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 1b | — | 1.391×ATR | p2 | +0.876×ATR | p46 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 6b | — | 3.422×ATR | p59 | +1.209×ATR | p62 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.03193796
- tp_price: 0.0350386
- atr: 0.00089842
- expires_at: 2026-10-02T13:15:05+00:00
Details
- rank: 6
- total: 76
- score: 0.7715
- delta_2h: 0.0106
- extension_atr: 0.84
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.8274
- confidence: 0.933
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:15 | 0.03418400 | +0.012% |
| 2 | 04:15 | 0.03385100 | -0.963% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.03418 | 0.03194 | 0.03504 | 0.38 | 0.01649 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.03418
- Stop Loss: 0.03194
- Take Profit: 0.03504
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.03194 - 0.03418 = -0.00224
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.03418 - 0.03504 = -0.00086
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00086 / -0.00224 = 0.3839
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 121.7574 | 100 | 3561.8244 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.00224
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00224 = -3571.43
Taille de position USD = -3571.43 x 0.03418 = -122.07
Donc, tu peux acheter -3571.43 avec un stoploss a 0.03194
Avec un position size USD de -122.07$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -3571.43 x -0.00224 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -3571.43 x -0.00086 = 3.07
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.07$
Résumé
- Taille de position -3571.43
- Taille de position USD -122.07
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.07
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3839
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.52 % | 3.06 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.55 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0.88 $ | 0.72 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.636 % | 40.22 % | 11 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.03418 | 0.03194 | 0.03504 | 0.38 | 0.01649 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.03418
- Stop Loss: 0.03194
- Take Profit: 0.03504
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.03194 - 0.03418 = -0.00224
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.03418 - 0.03504 = -0.00086
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00086 / -0.00224 = 0.3839
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -6.554%
(0.0022)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.158% | 0.0R | -1.656% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.158% | 0.0R | -2.232% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.158% | 0.0R | -2.636% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.045% | 0.3R | -2.636% | 0.4R | 0.8× | 72 |
| 8h | +4.839% | 0.7R | -2.636% | 0.4R | 1.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.129% | 0.8R | -10.500% | 1.6R | 0.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +5.129% | 0.8R | -10.500% | 1.6R | 0.5× | 288 |
| 48h | +5.129% | 0.8R | -10.500% | 1.6R | 0.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +5.129% | 0.8R | -10.500% | 1.6R | 0.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 534 min
MAE in 679 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.