02 Oct 2026 at 15:13:00 hyperliquid

Short Trade on INJ (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 36.05 INJ at 7.278$ per unit. Take profit: 6.7236 (7.62 %) & Stop Loss: 7.5003 (3.05 %)

INJ SHORT BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 02 Oct 2026 15:13 → 20:10 · 4 hours

Position

Entry 7.2784$

Qty 36.0479 INJ

Size 262.3713$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 6.7236 (+7.62%)

TP $ 20$

SL 7.5003 (-3.05%)

SL $ 8$

RR 2.5

Status loss PnL -3.05% / -8$ MAE -7.73% MFE +2.03% 0.7R expires 03 Oct 03:12

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 172691)
#22 / 82
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 15:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.5568

Quality Score
0.578
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#22 / 82
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-7
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.05 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#22 / 82
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-7
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.05 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.35×ATR
4h near -0.15×ATR
1d clear 3.61×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
3.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 15:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

30/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

02/10 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

02/10 14:00

Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4677
Voir snapshot →
bull developing bull_expansion
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

-2

Operational bull

0.90

early_expansion

-1

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro bear

0.90

transition

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) -3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 10.1%
Macro alt_capitulation
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 77.8%
1h 1.6%
4h 3.2%
24h 23.8%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 63.5% +0.12%
4h 15.9% -2.94%
24h 28.6% -1.85%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.267
Universe : 63 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 1.00
Snapshot évalué : 02/10 15:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4861
Score SMA
0.5832
Rank
#57 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2632
Rank Norm SMA
0.3867
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6190 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.66% · r3d: -0.61% · ema21_slope: 1.4609% · dist_ema21: 3.655%
Force Relative 25% 0.5229 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -2.13% · rs_3d: -2.26% · beta_24h: 1.608
Volume 20% 0.2235 rvol_20: 0.41× · zscore_50: -0.460 · trend: -9.38%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8330 ADX: 42.6 (trend) · Chop: 40.9 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.541% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 02/10/2026 15:00
Score brut
0.5780
Score SMA
0.4905
Rank
#22 / 82
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5568
Rank Norm SMA
0.3475
Calculé le
02/10/2026 15:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3863 r1h: -3.820% · r4h: -1.938% · r1d: -2.04% · r3d: -5.21% · ema21_slope: 0.0193% · dist_ema21: -2.972%
Force Relative 25% 0.3025 rs_1h: -3.181% · rs_4h: -0.262% · rs_1d: -1.41% · rs_3d: -5.94% · beta_24h: 1.594
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 5.44× · zscore_50: 5.344 · trend: 155.31%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5764 ADX: 15.7 (weak) · Chop: 45.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.845% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 02/10/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.4770
Score SMA
0.4552
Rank
#67 / 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1241
Rank Norm SMA
0.2032
Calculé le
02/10/2026 12:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5037 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.500% · r1d: 0.48% · r3d: -0.52% · ema21_slope: -0.1048% · dist_ema21: 0.262%
Force Relative 25% 0.4362 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.751% · rs_1d: -0.94% · rs_3d: -3.25% · beta_24h: 0.920
Volume 20% 0.3667 rvol_20: 1.63× · zscore_50: -0.295 · trend: -46.04%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.3001 ADX: 10.5 (weak) · Chop: 73.7 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.9847 ATR%: 3.046% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -3.049% (0.2219)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.025% 0.7R -1.022% 0.3R 2.0× 12
2h +2.025% 0.7R -1.318% 0.4R 1.5× 24
4h +2.025% 0.7R -2.363% 0.8R 0.9× 48
8h +2.025% 0.7R -7.021% 2.3R 0.3× 96
12h ★ +2.025% 0.7R -7.730% 2.5R 0.3× 144
24h +2.025% 0.7R -7.730% 2.5R 0.3× 288
36h +2.025% 0.7R -7.730% 2.5R 0.3× 432
48h +2.025% 0.7R -7.730% 2.5R 0.3× 576
72h +2.025% 0.7R -7.730% 2.5R 0.3× 864
⏱ MFE in 2 min MAE in 632 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.61
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind expansion bull_high
66%
noisy_chop 35% early — — 0.57 bull_high +13.92% +0.91 30/09 20:00
4h ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bull_high
55%
noisy_chop 33% early near -0.1ATR — 0.41 bull_high +3.04% -0.25 02/10 08:00
1h ↔ neutral range range strong explosive volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
50%
noisy_chop 38% late near 0.3ATR — 0.37 range_medium -0.29% -0.06 02/10 14:00
15m ↔ neutral range range strong balanced expansion_after_compression bear_high_confirmed
58%
noisy_chop 39% late — — 0.61 bear_low_confirmed -1.32% -0.03 02/10 14:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#197512
↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind 0.602 expansion bull_high
66%
noisy_chop 35% early 15b 0.3ATR — — 0.41 71% ↑ +0.34 below_value -4.11 inside #105773 0.57 bull_high +13.92% +0.91
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:17
4h
#203988
↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.647 compression bull_high
55%
noisy_chop 33% early 18b 0.1ATR near -0.1ATR — 1.63 65% ↓ -0.41 value -2.52 — #108570 0.41 bull_high +3.04% -0.25
02/10 08:00
upd 02/10 12:13
1h anchor
#205223
↔ neutral range range strong explosive 0.755 volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
50%
noisy_chop 38% late 2b -1.7ATR near 0.3ATR — 5.44 93% ↑ +0.79 below_value -4.14 — #109123 0.37 range_medium -0.29% -0.06
02/10 14:00
upd 02/10 15:09
15m
#205150
↔ neutral range range strong balanced 0.612 expansion_after_compression bear_high_confirmed
58%
noisy_chop 39% late 10b -2.4ATR — — 2.81 100% ↑ +0.59 value -2.31 — #108965 0.61 bear_low_confirmed -1.32% -0.03
02/10 14:45
upd 02/10 15:00
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 15b — 3.543×ATR p16 +0.329×ATR p19
4h ↓ down early 18b — 1.252×ATR p0 +0.094×ATR p7
1h ↓ down late 2b — 3.144×ATR p70 -1.721×ATR p96
15m ↓ down late 10b — 5.009×ATR p97 -2.379×ATR p94

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.8179
  3. reason: down_bo width=2.16×ATR dur=34b phase=fresh
  4. stop_price: 7.50032672
  5. tp_price: 6.7235832
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.81793002349471
  8. expires_at: 2026-10-03T07:12:52.959300
  9. max_bars: 12
  10. max_bars_tf: 1h
  11. confidence_pre_ob: 0.81793002349471
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : -0.004
  14. obi_top10 : 0.0589
  15. micro_price : 7.2177251
  16. spread_pct : 0.04158
  17. mid_price : 7.2165
  18. bid_wall_price : 7.2
  19. bid_wall_size : 29074.74
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price : 7.24
  22. ask_wall_size : 35369.06
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : -0.0697
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.038
  27. pressure_side : neutral
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 6995
  30. aggregation_tick : 0.01
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    7.6248
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    7.3505
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    7.48765
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1790848800
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1790967600
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    2.1638
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    34
  43. balance_zone_quality: tight
  44. balance_zone_maturity: established
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.8179
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1790964000
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    7.3505
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.8824
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    1
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    0.5688
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    
                                                                                                                                
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    0
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    6
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    10
  59. regime : bear_high
  60. atr_entry : 0.12676719
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
34
inside_close_ratio
0.8824
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.5688

Signaux confirmants (6)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 15:13 7.27840000 0%
2 15:23 7.27840000 0%
3 15:34 7.27840000 0%
4 15:44 7.27580000 -0.036%
5 15:55 7.27580000 -0.036%
6 16:09 7.34400000 +0.901%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 6995ms Confidence avant OB : 82% → 82%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 -0.004
avg -0.070 ± 0.038
OBI Top 10 0.059

Microstructure

Mid Price
7.2165
Micro Price
7.2177
Spread
0.0416%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
7.2000
Size
29,074.74

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
7.2400
Size
35,369.06

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
7.2784 7.5003 6.7236 2.5 7.3757
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 7.2784
  • Stop Loss: 7.5003
  • Take Profit: 6.7236

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 7.5003 - 7.2784 = 0.2219

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 7.2784 - 6.7236 = 0.5548

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.5548 / 0.2219 = 2.5002

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
262.3713 100 36.0479 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.2219

Taille de position = 8 / 0.2219 = 36.05

Taille de position USD = 36.05 x 7.2784 = 262.39

Donc, tu peux acheter 36.05 avec un stoploss a 7.5003

Avec un position size USD de 262.39$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 36.05 x 0.2219 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 36.05 x 0.5548 = 20

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 36.05
  • Taille de position USD 262.39
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 20
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5002

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
7.62 % 20 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.05 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -3.05
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.5667 % 116.99 % 4
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
7.2784 7.5003 6.7236 2.5 7.3757
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 7.2784
  • Stop Loss: 7.5003
  • Take Profit: 6.7236

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 7.5003 - 7.2784 = 0.2219

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 7.2784 - 6.7236 = 0.5548

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.5548 / 0.2219 = 2.5002

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 6.7236
            [entry_price] => 7.2784
            [stop_loss] => 7.52249
            [rr_ratio] => 2.27
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-03 00:10:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 6.7236
            [entry_price] => 7.2784
            [stop_loss] => 7.54468
            [rr_ratio] => 2.08
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-03 00:20:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 6.7236
            [entry_price] => 7.2784
            [stop_loss] => 7.56687
            [rr_ratio] => 1.92
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-03 00:35:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 6.7236
            [entry_price] => 7.2784
            [stop_loss] => 7.61125
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-03 00:45:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -3.049% (0.2219)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.025% 0.7R -1.022% 0.3R 2.0× 12
2h +2.025% 0.7R -1.318% 0.4R 1.5× 24
4h +2.025% 0.7R -2.363% 0.8R 0.9× 48
8h +2.025% 0.7R -7.021% 2.3R 0.3× 96
12h ★ +2.025% 0.7R -7.730% 2.5R 0.3× 144
24h +2.025% 0.7R -7.730% 2.5R 0.3× 288
36h +2.025% 0.7R -7.730% 2.5R 0.3× 432
48h +2.025% 0.7R -7.730% 2.5R 0.3× 576
72h +2.025% 0.7R -7.730% 2.5R 0.3× 864
⏱ MFE in 2 min MAE in 632 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.