Short Trade on SEI

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02 Oct 2026 at 15:15:07 hyperliquid

Short Trade on SEI (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 3012.46 SEI at 0.068$ per unit. Take profit: 0.06633 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07069 (3.91 %)

SEI SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 02 Oct 2026 15:15 → 21:15 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.06803$

Qty 3012.4565 SEI

Size 204.9525$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.06633 (+2.5%)

TP $ 5.12$

SL 0.07069 (-3.91%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR 0.64

Status loss PnL -3.91% / -8.01$ MAE -3.93% MFE +0.66% 0.2R expires 02 Oct 21:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 172705)

#49 / 82

OUT

seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 15:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1306

Quality Score

0.522

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#49 / 82

OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

93 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-3

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-7

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.91 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#49 / 82

OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

93 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-7

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.91 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-1.47×ATR
4h	clear	4.63×ATR
1d	clear	4.62×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
4h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
1d	↓ down	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-3

seuil : ≥ +3

Breadth Leadership

btc

attendu : btc_leading

Breadth State

N/A

attendu : contracting / deteriorating

Décision V5

N/A

regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-3

LOW

seuil : ≥ +3

Local 4h

N/A

attendu : bearish

Median return 4h

-2.94

attendu : < -1.5

Décision V6

N/A

regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

1.6M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 15:00

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 02/10 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 02/10 14:00 Score : -4 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3)

30/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

02/10 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

02/10 14:00

Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4677

Voir snapshot →

bull developing bull_expansion

Strategic	bull 0.90	expansion -2
Operational	bull 0.90	early_expansion -1
Tactical	range 0.25	range 0
Micro	bear 0.90	transition

MTF alignment : 0.85

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -3

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 10.1%

Macro alt_capitulation

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Legacy leadership : btc

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	77.8%
1h	1.6%
4h	3.2%
24h	23.8%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	63.5%	+0.12%
4h	15.9%	-2.94%
24h	28.6%	-1.85%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : 0.267

Universe : 63 · ≥ $2.0M

Regime confidence : 1.00

Snapshot évalué : 02/10 15:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 01/10/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.5576

Score SMA

0.7248

Rank

#35 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.5526

Rank Norm SMA

0.8080

Calculé le

01/10/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.7088	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -4.26% · r3d: -8.85% · ema21_slope: 3.0607% · dist_ema21: 13.206%
Force Relative	25%	0.5426	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -5.74% · rs_3d: -10.50% · beta_24h: 1.369
Volume	20%	0.3779	rvol_20: 0.62× · zscore_50: 0.056 · trend: 66.16%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.8917	ADX: 47.0 (trend) · Chop: 12.2 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 7.514% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 02/10/2026 15:00

Score brut

0.5215

Score SMA

0.5566

Rank

#49 / 82

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.1306

Rank Norm SMA

0.5080

Calculé le

02/10/2026 15:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2706	r1h: -3.584% · r4h: -4.536% · r1d: -5.34% · r3d: -8.04% · ema21_slope: -0.0621% · dist_ema21: -4.584%
Force Relative	25%	0.1858	rs_1h: -2.944% · rs_4h: -2.860% · rs_1d: -4.71% · rs_3d: -8.77% · beta_24h: 1.543
Volume	20%	0.9585	rvol_20: 4.45× · zscore_50: 4.410 · trend: 68.90%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6810	ADX: 21.7 (weak) · Chop: 31.1 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.677% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 02/10/2026 12:00

Score brut

0.4869

Score SMA

0.6345

Rank

#63 / 78

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.2553

Rank Norm SMA

0.7015

Calculé le

02/10/2026 12:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.5458	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.637% · r1d: -1.14% · r3d: -2.11% · ema21_slope: -0.1610% · dist_ema21: -1.982%
Force Relative	25%	0.4670	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.614% · rs_1d: -2.56% · rs_3d: -4.84% · beta_24h: 1.392
Volume	20%	0.2499	rvol_20: 0.94× · zscore_50: -0.419 · trend: -44.41%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.4140	ADX: 21.2 (weak) · Chop: 70.7 (range)
Volatilité	10%	0.9436	ATR%: 3.169% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.910% (0.0027)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.656%	0.2R	-0.975%	0.3R	0.7×	12
2h	+0.656%	0.2R	-1.004%	0.3R	0.7×	24
4h	+0.656%	0.2R	-1.554%	0.4R	0.4×	48
6h ★	+0.656%	0.2R	-3.934%	1.0R	0.2×	72
8h	+0.656%	0.2R	-5.092%	1.3R	0.1×	96
12h	+0.656%	0.2R	-5.348%	1.4R	0.1×	144
24h	+0.656%	0.2R	-5.599%	1.4R	0.1×	288
48h	+0.656%	0.2R	-11.573%	3.0R	0.1×	576
72h	+0.656%	0.2R	-11.573%	3.0R	0.1×	864

⏱ MFE in 4 min MAE in 1154 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0.64

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	range	range	strong	balanced	expansion_after_compression	bull_high_confirmed	71%	noisy_chop 47%	early	—	—	0.64	bull_high	+13.92%	+1.00	30/09 20:00
4h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	compression	bull_high	56%	noisy_chop 39%	late	—	—	0.52	bull_high	+3.04%	-0.63	02/10 08:00
1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	expansion_after_compression	bear_high_confirmed	57%	noisy_chop 42%	late	near -1.5ATR	—	0.35	range_medium	-0.29%	-0.33	02/10 14:00
15m	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	volatile_reversal	bear_high_confirmed	48%	noisy_chop 46%	late	—	—	0.66	bear_low_confirmed	-1.32%	-0.30	02/10 14:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #197579	↑ up	range	range	strong	balanced	0.672	expansion_after_compression	bull_high_confirmed	71%	noisy_chop 47%	early 3b 1.2ATR	—	—	0.62	81%	↑ +0.84	below_value	-3.56	—	#105787	0.64	bull_high	+13.92%	+1.00	30/09 20:00 upd 01/10 20:20
4h #204016	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.722	compression	bull_high	56%	noisy_chop 39%	late 27b -0.8ATR	—	—	0.94	75%	↔ -0.10	value	-3.02	—	#108584	0.52	bull_high	+3.04%	-0.63	02/10 08:00 upd 02/10 12:14
1h anchor #205237	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	0.616	expansion_after_compression	bear_high_confirmed	57%	noisy_chop 42%	late 5b -3.1ATR	near -1.5ATR	—	4.45	91%	↑ +0.43	below_value	-5.43	—	#109137	0.35	range_medium	-0.29%	-0.33	02/10 14:00 upd 02/10 15:10
15m #205164	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	0.743	volatile_reversal	bear_high_confirmed	48%	noisy_chop 46%	late 11b -3.6ATR	—	—	2.51	97%	↔ +0.12	below_value	-3.90	—	#108979	0.66	bear_low_confirmed	-1.32%	-0.30	02/10 14:45 upd 02/10 15:01
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	early	3b	—	3.051×ATR	p6	+1.198×ATR	p54
4h	↓ down	late	27b	—	6.907×ATR	p90	-0.772×ATR	p37
1h	↓ down	late	5b	—	4.205×ATR	p81	-3.058×ATR	p98
15m	↓ down	late	11b	—	5.482×ATR	p100	-3.611×ATR	p100

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.07069064
tp_price: 0.06633412
atr: 0.00106226
expires_at: 2026-10-03T01:15:07+00:00

Details

rank: 76
total: 82
score: 0.2706
delta_2h: -0.1393
extension_atr: -2.58
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1492
confidence: 0.926

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.06803	0.07069	0.06633	0.64	0.03891

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.06803
Stop Loss: 0.07069
Take Profit: 0.06633

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.07069 - 0.06803 = 0.00266
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.06803 - 0.06633 = 0.0017
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0017 / 0.00266 = 0.6391

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
204.9525	100	3012.4565	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.00266

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00266 = 3007.52

Taille de position USD = 3007.52 x 0.06803 = 204.6

Donc, tu peux acheter 3007.52 avec un stoploss a 0.07069

Avec un position size USD de 204.6$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 3007.52 x 0.00266 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 3007.52 x 0.0017 = 5.11

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.11$

Résumé

Taille de position 3007.52
Taille de position USD 204.6
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 5.11
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6391

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	5.12 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
3.91 %	8.01 $

PNL	PNL %
-8.01 $	-3.91

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-3.9336 %	100.6 %	1

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.06803	0.07069	0.06633	0.64	0.03891

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.06803
Stop Loss: 0.07069
Take Profit: 0.06633

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.07069 - 0.06803 = 0.00266
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.06803 - 0.06633 = 0.0017
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0017 / 0.00266 = 0.6391

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.910% (0.0027)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.656%	0.2R	-0.975%	0.3R	0.7×	12
2h	+0.656%	0.2R	-1.004%	0.3R	0.7×	24
4h	+0.656%	0.2R	-1.554%	0.4R	0.4×	48
6h ★	+0.656%	0.2R	-3.934%	1.0R	0.2×	72
8h	+0.656%	0.2R	-5.092%	1.3R	0.1×	96
12h	+0.656%	0.2R	-5.348%	1.4R	0.1×	144
24h	+0.656%	0.2R	-5.599%	1.4R	0.1×	288
48h	+0.656%	0.2R	-11.573%	3.0R	0.1×	576
72h	+0.656%	0.2R	-11.573%	3.0R	0.1×	864

⏱ MFE in 4 min MAE in 1154 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Commentaires

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