Short Trade on MET

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02 Oct 2026 at 16:15:09 hyperliquid

Short Trade on MET (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 464.83 MET at 0.288$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2811 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3055 (5.97 %)

MET SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 02 Oct 2026 16:15 → 22:10 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.2883$

Qty 464.8287 MET

Size 134.0241$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.2811 (+2.5%)

TP $ 3.35$

SL 0.3055 (-5.97%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.42

Status loss PnL -0.83% / -1.11$ MAE -2.56% MFE +1.03% 0.2R expires 02 Oct 22:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 172838)

#76 / 84

seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 16:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.4863

Quality Score

0.416

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#76 / 84

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

93 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-3

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-7

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.97 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#76 / 84

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

93 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-7

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.97 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-0.81×ATR
4h	clear	1.86×ATR
1d	clear	2.14×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
4h	↑ up	early	OK
1d	↓ down	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-3

seuil : ≥ +3

Breadth Leadership

btc

attendu : btc_leading

Breadth State

N/A

attendu : contracting / deteriorating

Décision V5

N/A

regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-3

LOW

seuil : ≥ +3

Local 4h

N/A

attendu : bearish

Median return 4h

-4.97

attendu : < -1.5

Décision V6

N/A

regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

2.2M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 16:02

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 02/10 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 02/10 14:00 Score : -4 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

30/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

02/10 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

02/10 14:00

Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4681

Voir snapshot →

bull developing bull_expansion

Strategic	bull 0.90	expansion -2
Operational	bull 0.55	early_expansion -1
Tactical	range 0.25	range 0
Micro	bear 0.90	transition

MTF alignment : 0.85

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -3

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 6.1%

Macro alt_capitulation

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Legacy leadership : btc

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	57.6%
1h	48.5%
4h	3.0%
24h	18.2%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	45.5%	+0.04%
4h	9.1%	-4.97%
24h	22.7%	-3.36%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : 0.260

Universe : 66 · ≥ $2.0M

Regime confidence : 1.00

Snapshot évalué : 02/10 16:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 01/10/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.4942

Score SMA

0.6138

Rank

#54 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.3026

Rank Norm SMA

0.4871

Calculé le

01/10/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6308	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -4.89% · r3d: -8.77% · ema21_slope: 2.9310% · dist_ema21: 3.016%
Force Relative	25%	0.4031	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -6.36% · rs_3d: -10.43% · beta_24h: 1.754
Volume	20%	0.2965	rvol_20: 0.77× · zscore_50: -0.075 · trend: -5.98%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.9661	ADX: 55.9 (trend) · Chop: 32.1 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 11.494% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 02/10/2026 16:00

Score brut

0.4158

Score SMA

0.5071

Rank

#76 / 84

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.4863

Rank Norm SMA

0.3776

Calculé le

02/10/2026 16:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3026	r1h: 0.725% · r4h: -7.530% · r1d: -3.73% · r3d: -10.08% · ema21_slope: -0.0867% · dist_ema21: -6.655%
Force Relative	25%	0.2701	rs_1h: 0.667% · rs_4h: -6.316% · rs_1d: -3.32% · rs_3d: -10.93% · beta_24h: 2.564
Volume	20%	1.0000	rvol_20: 4.37× · zscore_50: 3.393 · trend: 214.42%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7356	ADX: 28.3 (trend) · Chop: 20.8 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.555% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 02/10/2026 16:00

Score brut

0.3510

Score SMA

0.4720

Rank

#75 / 84

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.1233

Rank Norm SMA

0.2790

Calculé le

02/10/2026 16:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2179	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -7.530% · r1d: -3.73% · r3d: -10.08% · ema21_slope: -0.3786% · dist_ema21: -8.526%
Force Relative	25%	0.1173	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -6.316% · rs_1d: -3.32% · rs_3d: -10.93% · beta_24h: 2.697
Volume	20%	0.9308	rvol_20: 4.03× · zscore_50: 3.824 · trend: 48.12%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5233	ADX: 15.6 (weak) · Chop: 51.4 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.3184	ATR%: 5.045% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.966% (0.0172)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.027%	0.2R	-2.133%	0.4R	0.5×	12
2h	+1.027%	0.2R	-2.133%	0.4R	0.5×	24
4h	+1.027%	0.2R	-2.563%	0.4R	0.4×	48
6h ★	+1.027%	0.2R	-2.563%	0.4R	0.4×	71
8h	+1.027%	0.2R	-2.563%	0.4R	0.4×	96
12h	+1.027%	0.2R	-2.563%	0.4R	0.4×	144
24h	+1.027%	0.2R	-4.530%	0.8R	0.2×	288
48h	+1.027%	0.2R	-11.110%	1.9R	0.1×	576
72h	+1.027%	0.2R	-11.110%	1.9R	0.1×	864

⏱ MFE in 4 min MAE in 1179 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0.61

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	expansion	bull_high	72%	noisy_chop 42%	early	—	—	0.48	bull_high	+13.92%	+0.94	30/09 20:00
4h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	compression	bull_high	56%	noisy_chop 39%	early	—	near 0.0ATR	0.35	bull_high	+3.04%	-0.40	02/10 08:00
1h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	volatile_reversal	bear_high_confirmed	47%	noisy_chop 46%	late	near -0.8ATR	—	0.50	range_medium	-0.29%	-0.42	02/10 14:00
15m	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	volatile_reversal	bear_high_confirmed	51%	choppy 50%	late	near 0.1ATR	—	0.59	bear_low	-1.15%	-0.59	02/10 15:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #197711	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	0.825	expansion	bull_high	72%	noisy_chop 42%	early 8b 0.2ATR	—	—	0.77	83%	↑ +0.25	below_value	-4.37	—	#105835	0.48	bull_high	+13.92%	+0.94	30/09 20:00 upd 01/10 20:27
4h #204148	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.488	compression	bull_high	56%	noisy_chop 39%	early 6b -0.6ATR	—	near 0.0ATR	1.39	71%	↔ +0.13	value	-1.94	—	#108632	0.35	bull_high	+3.04%	-0.40	02/10 08:00 upd 02/10 12:20
1h anchor #205285	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.603	volatile_reversal	bear_high_confirmed	47%	noisy_chop 46%	late 14b -3.9ATR	near -0.8ATR	—	6.41	100%	↑ +0.65	below_value	-5.08	—	#109185	0.50	range_medium	-0.29%	-0.42	02/10 14:00 upd 02/10 15:12
15m #205620	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.365	volatile_reversal	bear_high_confirmed	51%	choppy 50%	late 1b -2.4ATR	near 0.1ATR	—	0.11	57%	↑ +0.88	below_value	-5.08	—	#109185	0.59	bear_low	-1.15%	-0.59	02/10 15:45 upd 02/10 16:04
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	early	8b	—	3.168×ATR	p18	+0.215×ATR	p18
4h	↑ up	early	6b	—	1.328×ATR	p0	-0.552×ATR	p29
1h	↓ down	late	14b	—	6.498×ATR	p94	-3.862×ATR	p99
15m	↓ down	late	1b	—	2.703×ATR	p53	-2.429×ATR	p82

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.30554064
tp_price: 0.28112175
atr: 0.00688426
expires_at: 2026-10-03T02:15:08+00:00

Details

rank: 78
total: 84
score: 0.2622
delta_2h: -0.1305
extension_atr: -2.57
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3959
confidence: 0.928

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.2883	0.3055	0.2811	0.42	0.2698

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.2883
Stop Loss: 0.3055
Take Profit: 0.2811

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.3055 - 0.2883 = 0.0172
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.2883 - 0.2811 = 0.0072
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0072 / 0.0172 = 0.4186

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
134.0241	100	464.8287	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.0172

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0172 = 465.12

Taille de position USD = 465.12 x 0.2883 = 134.09

Donc, tu peux acheter 465.12 avec un stoploss a 0.3055

Avec un position size USD de 134.09$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 465.12 x 0.0172 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 465.12 x 0.0072 = 3.35

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.35$

Résumé

Taille de position 465.12
Taille de position USD 134.09
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 3.35
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4186

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	3.35 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
5.97 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
-1.11 $	-0.83

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-2.5633 %	42.97 %	1

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.2883	0.3055	0.2811	0.42	0.2698

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.2883
Stop Loss: 0.3055
Take Profit: 0.2811

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.3055 - 0.2883 = 0.0172
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.2883 - 0.2811 = 0.0072
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0072 / 0.0172 = 0.4186

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.966% (0.0172)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.027%	0.2R	-2.133%	0.4R	0.5×	12
2h	+1.027%	0.2R	-2.133%	0.4R	0.5×	24
4h	+1.027%	0.2R	-2.563%	0.4R	0.4×	48
6h ★	+1.027%	0.2R	-2.563%	0.4R	0.4×	71
8h	+1.027%	0.2R	-2.563%	0.4R	0.4×	96
12h	+1.027%	0.2R	-2.563%	0.4R	0.4×	144
24h	+1.027%	0.2R	-4.530%	0.8R	0.2×	288
48h	+1.027%	0.2R	-11.110%	1.9R	0.1×	576
72h	+1.027%	0.2R	-11.110%	1.9R	0.1×	864

⏱ MFE in 4 min MAE in 1179 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Commentaires

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