Short Trade on DASH (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 2.97 DASH at 56.66$ per unit. Take profit: 49.9359 (11.87 %) & Stop Loss: 59.3496 (4.75 %)
02 Oct 2026 at 16:19:43
hyperliquid
DASH
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
02 Oct 2026 16:19
→ 20:10
· 3 hours
Position
Entry 56.66$
Qty 2.9744 DASH
Size 168.5283$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 49.9359 (+11.87%)
TP $ 20$
SL 59.3496 (-4.75%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-4.75%
/ -8$
MAE -5.71%
MFE +0.33%
0.1R
expires
03 Oct 04:19
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 172845)
#58 / 84
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 16:00
score du 02/10/2026 16:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1996
Quality Score
0.447
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#58 / 84
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
76 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+1
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.75 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#58 / 84
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
76 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.75 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.40×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | — | — | OK |
| 1d | — | — | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 16:17
02/10 16:17
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 02/10 14:00 Score : +1 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #4682
Voir snapshot →
bull
developing
bull_expansion
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
-2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.55 |
early_expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
bear
0.90 |
transition
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
-3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
5.6%
Macro
alt_capitulation
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 60.0% |
| 1h | 78.5% |
| 4h | 3.1% |
| 24h | 16.9% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 55.4% | +0.05% |
| 4h | 7.7% | -4.24% |
| 24h | 18.5% | -3.22% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.273
Universe :
65
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
1.00
Snapshot évalué :
02/10 16:16
· env trend_expansion
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5025
Score SMA
0.6026
Rank
#65
/ 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1467
Rank Norm SMA
0.3821
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7169 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.37% · r3d: -11.72% · ema21_slope: 1.0448% · dist_ema21: 0.634% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5640 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.35% · rs_3d: -10.73% · beta_24h: 1.415 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2123 | rvol_20: 0.38× · zscore_50: -0.514 · trend: -15.05% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6932 | ADX: 41.1 (trend) · Chop: 56.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 10.463% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.4468
Score SMA
0.5285
Rank
#58
/ 84
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1996
Rank Norm SMA
0.4111
Calculé le
02/10/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2929 | r1h: -0.214% · r4h: -6.047% · r1d: -3.74% · r3d: -7.04% · ema21_slope: -0.0278% · dist_ema21: -4.291% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2805 | rs_1h: -0.272% · rs_4h: -4.833% · rs_1d: -3.34% · rs_3d: -7.90% · beta_24h: 1.439 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4483 | rvol_20: 0.79× · zscore_50: 0.039 · trend: 121.31% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6915 | ADX: 23.0 (weak) · Chop: 27.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.704% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.3942
Score SMA
0.5213
Rank
#66
/ 84
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1298
Rank Norm SMA
0.3502
Calculé le
02/10/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2027 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -6.047% · r1d: -3.74% · r3d: -7.04% · ema21_slope: -0.3288% · dist_ema21: -6.137% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2234 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -4.833% · rs_1d: -3.34% · rs_3d: -7.90% · beta_24h: 2.515 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5866 | rvol_20: 2.70× · zscore_50: 0.000 · trend: -24.01% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5795 | ADX: 20.6 (weak) · Chop: 49.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8076 | ATR%: 3.577% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.747%
(2.6896)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.327% | 0.1R | -0.777% | 0.2R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.327% | 0.1R | -1.064% | 0.2R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.327% | 0.1R | -5.115% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.327% | 0.1R | -5.710% | 1.2R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.327% | 0.1R | -5.710% | 1.2R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.327% | 0.1R | -5.710% | 1.2R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 36h | +0.327% | 0.1R | -5.710% | 1.2R | 0.1× | 432 |
| 48h | +0.327% | 0.1R | -5.710% | 1.2R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.327% | 0.1R | -7.573% | 1.6R | 0.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 0 min
MAE in 295 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 3 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.3
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | — | ||||||||||||||||
| 4h | — | ||||||||||||||||
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
46%
|
noisy_chop 35% | late | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.50 | range_medium | -0.29% | -0.24 | 02/10 14:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | 0.72 | bear_low | -1.15% | -0.37 | 02/10 15:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4h | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
1h
anchor #205459
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.477 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
46%
|
noisy_chop 35% | late 2b -2.8ATR | near 0.4ATR | — | 6.69 | 95% | ↑ +0.85 | — | — | — | — | 0.50 | range_medium | -0.29% | -0.24 |
02/10 14:00
upd 02/10 15:38
|
|
15m
#205626
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.539 | expansion | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late 4b -2.6ATR | — | — | 0.15 | 54% | ↑ +0.38 | — | — | — | — | 0.72 | bear_low | -1.15% | -0.37 |
02/10 15:45
upd 02/10 16:05
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 3.917×ATR | p85 | -2.843×ATR | p97 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 4b | — | 1.773×ATR | p15 | -2.611×ATR | p96 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.7587
- reason: down_bo width=2.85×ATR dur=41b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 59.34963712
- tp_price: 49.93590721
- atr:
- score: 0.75869053190078
- expires_at: 2026-10-03T08:19:35.564580
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.75869053190078
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0102
- obi_top10 : -0.0553
- micro_price : 56.60691057
- spread_pct : 0.053013
- mid_price : 56.605
- bid_wall_price : 56.2
- bid_wall_size : 2320.9
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.004
- obi_top5_std : 0.0099
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7003
- aggregation_tick : 0.1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
60.568
- balance_zone_bottom:
57.9475
- balance_zone_mid:
59.25775
- balance_zone_start_time:
1790827200
- balance_zone_end_time:
1790971200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.8519
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
41
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7587
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1790964000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
57.9475
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.9024
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
2
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.4012
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
8
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
4
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.91887118 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
41
inside_close_ratio
0.9024
bars_since_breakout
2
distance_to_edge_atr
1.4012
Signaux confirmants (14)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:19 | 56.66000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 16:29 | 56.66000000 | 0% |
| 3 | 16:40 | 57.09100000 | +0.761% |
| 4 | 16:50 | 57.09100000 | +0.761% |
| 5 | 17:00 | 57.09100000 | +0.761% |
| 6 | 17:12 | 56.86200000 | +0.357% |
| 7 | 17:22 | 56.86200000 | +0.357% |
| 8 | 17:32 | 56.86200000 | +0.357% |
| 9 | 17:42 | 56.92800000 | +0.473% |
| 10 | 17:52 | 56.92800000 | +0.473% |
| 11 | 18:03 | 56.92800000 | +0.473% |
| 12 | 18:16 | 57.24500000 | +1.032% |
| 13 | 18:26 | 57.24500000 | +1.032% |
| 14 | 18:36 | 57.24500000 | +1.032% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7003ms
Confidence avant OB :
76%
→
76%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.010
avg 0.004
± 0.010
OBI Top 10
-0.055
Microstructure
Mid Price
56.6050
Micro Price
56.6069
Spread
0.0530%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
56.2000
Size
2,320.90
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56.66 | 59.3496 | 49.9359 | 2.5 | 37.391 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 56.66
- Stop Loss: 59.3496
- Take Profit: 49.9359
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 59.3496 - 56.66 = 2.6896
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 56.66 - 49.9359 = 6.7241
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 6.7241 / 2.6896 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 168.5283 | 100 | 2.9744 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 2.6896
Taille de position = 8 / 2.6896 = 2.97
Taille de position USD = 2.97 x 56.66 = 168.28
Donc, tu peux acheter 2.97 avec un stoploss a 59.3496
Avec un position size USD de 168.28$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2.97 x 2.6896 = 7.99
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2.97 x 6.7241 = 19.97
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.97$
Résumé
- Taille de position 2.97
- Taille de position USD 168.28
- Perte potentielle 7.99
- Gain potentiel 19.97
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 11.87 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.75 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -4.75 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -5.0194 % | 105.74 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56.66 | 59.3496 | 49.9359 | 2.5 | 37.391 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 56.66
- Stop Loss: 59.3496
- Take Profit: 49.9359
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 59.3496 - 56.66 = 2.6896
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 56.66 - 49.9359 = 6.7241
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 6.7241 / 2.6896 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 49.9359
[entry_price] => 56.66
[stop_loss] => 59.61856
[rr_ratio] => 2.27
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-10-03 00:35:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 49.9359
[entry_price] => 56.66
[stop_loss] => 59.88752
[rr_ratio] => 2.08
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-10-03 01:15:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.747%
(2.6896)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.327% | 0.1R | -0.777% | 0.2R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.327% | 0.1R | -1.064% | 0.2R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.327% | 0.1R | -5.115% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.327% | 0.1R | -5.710% | 1.2R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.327% | 0.1R | -5.710% | 1.2R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.327% | 0.1R | -5.710% | 1.2R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 36h | +0.327% | 0.1R | -5.710% | 1.2R | 0.1× | 432 |
| 48h | +0.327% | 0.1R | -5.710% | 1.2R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.327% | 0.1R | -7.573% | 1.6R | 0.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 0 min
MAE in 295 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 3 weeks ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.