Short Trade on DOT (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 274.89 DOT at 0.971$ per unit. Take profit: 0.8979 (7.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.9997 (3 %)
Short Trade on DOT (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 274.89 DOT at 0.971$ per unit. Take profit: 0.8979 (7.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.9997 (3 %)
Position
Entry 0.9706$
Qty 274.889 DOT
Size 266.8127$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.8979 (+7.49%)
TP $ 19.98$
SL 0.9997 (-3%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3115
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 1.12×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.64×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 27/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 28/10 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 28/10 21:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
bear
0.90 |
expansion
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 29.2% |
| 1h | 10.4% |
| 4h | 4.2% |
| 24h | 12.5% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 20.8% | -0.25% |
| 4h | 12.5% | -3.76% |
| 24h | 16.7% | -3.46% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2943 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 1.02% · r3d: -1.67% · ema21_slope: -0.5392% · dist_ema21: -7.964% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3783 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.49% · rs_3d: -3.19% · beta_24h: 1.433 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2124 | rvol_20: 0.64× · zscore_50: -0.627 · trend: -26.35% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4504 | ADX: 16.8 (weak) · Chop: 61.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.456% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3080 | r1h: -3.108% · r4h: -4.465% · r1d: -3.09% · r3d: -4.08% · ema21_slope: 0.0143% · dist_ema21: -3.035% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3084 | rs_1h: -1.749% · rs_4h: -2.785% · rs_1d: -1.92% · rs_3d: -4.41% · beta_24h: 2.036 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8066 | rvol_20: 2.52× · zscore_50: 2.376 · trend: 43.67% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6788 | ADX: 21.5 (weak) · Chop: 34.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.442% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3240 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.721% · r1d: 1.02% · r3d: -1.67% · ema21_slope: -0.2222% · dist_ema21: -0.800% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3987 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.402% · rs_1d: 0.49% · rs_3d: -3.19% · beta_24h: 1.827 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3470 | rvol_20: 1.20× · zscore_50: -0.178 · trend: -15.23% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5291 | ADX: 26.5 (trend) · Chop: 61.9 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.416% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.725% | 0.2R | -0.718% | 0.2R | 1.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.852% | 0.3R | -0.718% | 0.2R | 1.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.852% | 0.3R | -2.040% | 0.7R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.852% | 0.3R | -2.040% | 0.7R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.852% | 0.3R | -3.060% | 1.0R | 0.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +10.286% | 3.4R | -5.409% | 1.8R | 1.9× | 288 |
| 36h | +10.286% | 3.4R | -5.409% | 1.8R | 1.9× | 432 |
| 48h | +10.286% | 3.4R | -5.409% | 1.8R | 1.9× | 576 |
| 72h | +10.286% | 3.4R | -5.409% | 1.8R | 1.9× | 864 |
computed 2 weeks ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.61 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.61 | 27/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | 0.54 | range_high | -0.37% | -0.35 | 28/10 16:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
47%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.56 | bear_medium | -0.95% | -0.13 | 28/10 21:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | fading | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
56%
|
choppy 51% | late | — | — | 0.71 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.24% | -0.31 | 28/10 22:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#444660
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | grind | 0.606 | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid 18b -1.2ATR | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.64 | 73% | ↓ -0.37 | value | +0.39 | — | #211854 | 0.61 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.61 |
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:21
|
|
4h
#444548
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.400 | normal | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early 8b -0.4ATR | — | — | 1.20 | 48% | ↑ +0.38 | value | +0.39 | — | #211854 | 0.54 | range_high | -0.37% | -0.35 |
28/10 16:00
upd 28/10 20:14
|
|
1h
anchor #445349
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.536 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
47%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late 5b -1.9ATR | — | — | 2.52 | 92% | ↑ +0.15 | above_value | -2.09 | inside | #212187 | 0.56 | bear_medium | -0.95% | -0.13 |
28/10 21:00
upd 28/10 22:11
|
|
15m
#445417
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | fading | 0.305 | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
56%
|
choppy 51% | late 19b -4.6ATR | — | — | 3.35 | 97% | ↑ +0.57 | above_value | -2.09 | — | #212187 | 0.71 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.24% | -0.31 |
28/10 22:00
upd 28/10 22:17
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 18b | — | 3.786×ATR | p40 | -1.196×ATR | p62 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 1.394×ATR | p0 | -0.373×ATR | p19 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 5b | — | 4.741×ATR | p86 | -1.917×ATR | p84 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 19b | — | 7.337×ATR | p100 | -4.623×ATR | p100 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
1.0112
0.98542
0.99831
1793084400
1793239200
1.8249
44
0.6456
1793235600
0.98542
0.7045
1
1.0477
0
8
8
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (27)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22:17 | 0.97062000 | +0.002% |
| 2 | 22:27 | 0.97062000 | +0.002% |
| 3 | 22:38 | 0.96740000 | -0.33% |
| 4 | 22:47 | 0.96740000 | -0.33% |
| 5 | 22:56 | 0.96740000 | -0.33% |
| 6 | 23:07 | 0.97307000 | +0.254% |
| 7 | 23:17 | 0.97307000 | +0.254% |
| 8 | 23:26 | 0.97307000 | +0.254% |
| 9 | 23:36 | 0.96432000 | -0.647% |
| 10 | 23:45 | 0.96432000 | -0.647% |
| 11 | 23:54 | 0.96432000 | -0.647% |
| 12 | 00:06 | 0.96432000 | -0.647% |
| 13 | 00:18 | 0.96780000 | -0.288% |
| 14 | 00:27 | 0.96780000 | -0.288% |
| 15 | 00:37 | 0.97179000 | +0.123% |
| 16 | 00:46 | 0.97179000 | +0.123% |
| 17 | 00:54 | 0.97179000 | +0.123% |
| 18 | 01:06 | 0.98234000 | +1.21% |
| 19 | 01:15 | 0.98234000 | +1.21% |
| 20 | 01:24 | 0.98234000 | +1.21% |
| 21 | 03:07 | 0.97432000 | +0.383% |
| 22 | 03:17 | 0.97432000 | +0.383% |
| 23 | 03:27 | 0.97432000 | +0.383% |
| 24 | 03:38 | 0.97329000 | +0.277% |
| 25 | 03:47 | 0.97329000 | +0.277% |
| 26 | 03:56 | 0.97329000 | +0.277% |
| 27 | 04:09 | 0.97241000 | +0.186% |
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.9706 | 0.9997 | 0.8979 | 2.5 | 0.712 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.9997 - 0.9706 = 0.0291
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.9706 - 0.8979 = 0.0727
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0727 / 0.0291 = 2.4983
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 266.8127 | 100 | 274.889 | 3.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0291 = 274.91
Taille de position USD = 274.91 x 0.9706 = 266.83
Donc, tu peux acheter 274.91 avec un stoploss a 0.9997
Avec un position size USD de 266.83$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 274.91 x 0.0291 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 274.91 x 0.0727 = 19.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.49 % | 19.98 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -3.00 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.06 % | 102.06 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.9706 | 0.9997 | 0.8979 | 2.5 | 0.712 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.9997 - 0.9706 = 0.0291
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.9706 - 0.8979 = 0.0727
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0727 / 0.0291 = 2.4983
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.725% | 0.2R | -0.718% | 0.2R | 1.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.852% | 0.3R | -0.718% | 0.2R | 1.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.852% | 0.3R | -2.040% | 0.7R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.852% | 0.3R | -2.040% | 0.7R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.852% | 0.3R | -3.060% | 1.0R | 0.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +10.286% | 3.4R | -5.409% | 1.8R | 1.9× | 288 |
| 36h | +10.286% | 3.4R | -5.409% | 1.8R | 1.9× | 432 |
| 48h | +10.286% | 3.4R | -5.409% | 1.8R | 1.9× | 576 |
| 72h | +10.286% | 3.4R | -5.409% | 1.8R | 1.9× | 864 |
computed 2 weeks ago
Aucun commentaire.