28 Oct 2026 at 22:17:15 hyperliquid

Short Trade on DOT (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 274.89 DOT at 0.971$ per unit. Take profit: 0.8979 (7.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.9997 (3 %)

DOT SHORT BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 28 Oct 2026 22:17 → 09:55 · 11 hours

Position

Entry 0.9706$

Qty 274.889 DOT

Size 266.8127$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 0.8979 (+7.49%)

TP $ 19.98$

SL 0.9997 (-3%)

SL $ 8$

RR 2.5

Status loss PnL -3.00% / -8$ MAE -3.06% MFE +0.85% 0.3R expires 29 Oct 10:17

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 231554)
#46 / 66
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 28/10/2026 22:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3115

Quality Score
0.477
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#46 / 66
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.00 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#46 / 66
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.00 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h clear 1.12×ATR
1d near -0.64×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↑ up early OK
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
2.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
28/10 22:15
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

27/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

28/10 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

28/10 21:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7201
Voir snapshot →
range compression range_bound
Strategic range

0.25

compression

0

Operational range

0.25

compression

0

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro bear

0.90

expansion

MTF alignment : 0.65
Stability : 0.73
Transition risk : 0.27
Score contribution (this trade) 0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 7.6%
Macro alt_capitulation
Local 4h bearish Leadership btc_leading
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state deteriorating
Δ 15m
→-0.039
Δ 1h
▼-0.097
Δ 4h
▼-0.694
Δ 12h
▼-0.065
Δ 24h
▼-0.761

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 29.2%
1h 10.4%
4h 4.2%
24h 12.5%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 20.8% -0.25%
4h 12.5% -3.76%
24h 16.7% -3.46%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
75.0%
Expansion
75.0%
Tail ↑
+1.00
Tail ↓
+0.35
Dispersion : 0.239
Universe : 48 (-1 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -1 removed
Regime confidence : 0.84
Snapshot évalué : 28/10 22:16 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.2929
Score SMA
0.3009
Rank
#54 / 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1846
Rank Norm SMA
0.2932
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2943 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 1.02% · r3d: -1.67% · ema21_slope: -0.5392% · dist_ema21: -7.964%
Force Relative 25% 0.3783 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.49% · rs_3d: -3.19% · beta_24h: 1.433
Volume 20% 0.2124 rvol_20: 0.64× · zscore_50: -0.627 · trend: -26.35%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4504 ADX: 16.8 (weak) · Chop: 61.6 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 7.456% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 28/10/2026 22:00
Score brut
0.4772
Score SMA
0.4960
Rank
#46 / 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3115
Rank Norm SMA
0.3635
Calculé le
28/10/2026 22:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3080 r1h: -3.108% · r4h: -4.465% · r1d: -3.09% · r3d: -4.08% · ema21_slope: 0.0143% · dist_ema21: -3.035%
Force Relative 25% 0.3084 rs_1h: -1.749% · rs_4h: -2.785% · rs_1d: -1.92% · rs_3d: -4.41% · beta_24h: 2.036
Volume 20% 0.8066 rvol_20: 2.52× · zscore_50: 2.376 · trend: 43.67%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6788 ADX: 21.5 (weak) · Chop: 34.6 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.442% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4456
Score SMA
0.4421
Rank
#56 / 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1538
Rank Norm SMA
0.3194
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3240 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.721% · r1d: 1.02% · r3d: -1.67% · ema21_slope: -0.2222% · dist_ema21: -0.800%
Force Relative 25% 0.3987 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.402% · rs_1d: 0.49% · rs_3d: -3.19% · beta_24h: 1.827
Volume 20% 0.3470 rvol_20: 1.20× · zscore_50: -0.178 · trend: -15.23%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5291 ADX: 26.5 (trend) · Chop: 61.9 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.416% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.998% (0.0291)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.725% 0.2R -0.718% 0.2R 1.0× 12
2h +0.852% 0.3R -0.718% 0.2R 1.2× 24
4h +0.852% 0.3R -2.040% 0.7R 0.4× 48
8h +0.852% 0.3R -2.040% 0.7R 0.4× 96
12h ★ +0.852% 0.3R -3.060% 1.0R 0.3× 144
24h +10.286% 3.4R -5.409% 1.8R 1.9× 288
36h +10.286% 3.4R -5.409% 1.8R 1.9× 432
48h +10.286% 3.4R -5.409% 1.8R 1.9× 576
72h +10.286% 3.4R -5.409% 1.8R 1.9× 864
⏱ MFE in 1322 min MAE in 827 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 2 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.23
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range strong grind compression bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 43% mid near -0.6ATR — 0.61 bull_high +4.55% -0.61 27/10 20:00
4h ↓ down range range moderate grind normal bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 36% early — — 0.54 range_high -0.37% -0.35 28/10 16:00
1h ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate balanced volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
47%
noisy_chop 44% late — — 0.56 bear_medium -0.95% -0.13 28/10 21:00
15m ↔ neutral range range strong fading expansion bear_high_confirmed
56%
choppy 51% late — — 0.71 bear_low_confirmed -1.24% -0.31 28/10 22:00
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#444660
↔ neutral range range strong grind 0.606 compression bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 43% mid 18b -1.2ATR near -0.6ATR — 0.64 73% ↓ -0.37 value +0.39 — #211854 0.61 bull_high +4.55% -0.61
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:21
4h
#444548
↓ down range range moderate grind 0.400 normal bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 36% early 8b -0.4ATR — — 1.20 48% ↑ +0.38 value +0.39 — #211854 0.54 range_high -0.37% -0.35
28/10 16:00
upd 28/10 20:14
1h anchor
#445349
↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate balanced 0.536 volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
47%
noisy_chop 44% late 5b -1.9ATR — — 2.52 92% ↑ +0.15 above_value -2.09 inside #212187 0.56 bear_medium -0.95% -0.13
28/10 21:00
upd 28/10 22:11
15m
#445417
↔ neutral range range strong fading 0.305 expansion bear_high_confirmed
56%
choppy 51% late 19b -4.6ATR — — 3.35 97% ↑ +0.57 above_value -2.09 — #212187 0.71 bear_low_confirmed -1.24% -0.31
28/10 22:00
upd 28/10 22:17
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 18b — 3.786×ATR p40 -1.196×ATR p62
4h ↑ up early 8b — 1.394×ATR p0 -0.373×ATR p19
1h ↓ down late 5b — 4.741×ATR p86 -1.917×ATR p84
15m ↓ down late 19b — 7.337×ATR p100 -4.623×ATR p100

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.7656
  3. reason: down_bo width=1.82×ATR dur=44b phase=fresh|ob:ask_pressure(+0.07)|ob:obi_moderate(+0.05)
  4. stop_price: 0.99972266
  5. tp_price: 0.89786336
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.64559781653818
  8. exit_rules:
  9. expires_at: 2026-10-29T14:17:07.793302
  10. max_bars: 12
  11. max_bars_tf: 1h
  12. confidence_pre_ob: 0.64559781653818
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : -0.321
  14. obi_top10 : -0.0229
  15. micro_price : 0.9710914
  16. spread_pct : 0.102987
  17. mid_price : 0.9715
  18. bid_wall_price : 0.966
  19. bid_wall_size : 307878
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price : 0.976
  22. ask_wall_size : 249058
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : -0.3003
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.0169
  27. pressure_side : ask
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 6993
  30. aggregation_tick : 0.001
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    1.0112
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    0.98542
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    0.99831
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1793084400
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1793239200
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    1.8249
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    44
  43. balance_zone_quality: loose
  44. balance_zone_maturity: established
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.6456
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1793235600
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    0.98542
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.7045
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    1
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    1.0477
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    
                                                                                                                                
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    0
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    8
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    8
  59. regime : bear_high
  60. atr_entry : 0.01412655
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
44
inside_close_ratio
0.7045
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
1.0477

Signaux confirmants (27)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 22:17 0.97062000 +0.002%
2 22:27 0.97062000 +0.002%
3 22:38 0.96740000 -0.33%
4 22:47 0.96740000 -0.33%
5 22:56 0.96740000 -0.33%
6 23:07 0.97307000 +0.254%
7 23:17 0.97307000 +0.254%
8 23:26 0.97307000 +0.254%
9 23:36 0.96432000 -0.647%
10 23:45 0.96432000 -0.647%
11 23:54 0.96432000 -0.647%
12 00:06 0.96432000 -0.647%
13 00:18 0.96780000 -0.288%
14 00:27 0.96780000 -0.288%
15 00:37 0.97179000 +0.123%
16 00:46 0.97179000 +0.123%
17 00:54 0.97179000 +0.123%
18 01:06 0.98234000 +1.21%
19 01:15 0.98234000 +1.21%
20 01:24 0.98234000 +1.21%
21 03:07 0.97432000 +0.383%
22 03:17 0.97432000 +0.383%
23 03:27 0.97432000 +0.383%
24 03:38 0.97329000 +0.277%
25 03:47 0.97329000 +0.277%
26 03:56 0.97329000 +0.277%
27 04:09 0.97241000 +0.186%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

↓ ask ws_rolling 5 snapshots 6993ms Confidence avant OB : 65% → 77%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 -0.321
avg -0.300 ± 0.017
OBI Top 10 -0.023

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.9715
Micro Price
0.9711
Spread
0.1030%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
0.9660
Size
307,878.00

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
0.9760
Size
249,058.00

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.9706 0.9997 0.8979 2.5 0.712
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.9706
  • Stop Loss: 0.9997
  • Take Profit: 0.8979

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.9997 - 0.9706 = 0.0291

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.9706 - 0.8979 = 0.0727

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0727 / 0.0291 = 2.4983

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
266.8127 100 274.889 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0291

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0291 = 274.91

Taille de position USD = 274.91 x 0.9706 = 266.83

Donc, tu peux acheter 274.91 avec un stoploss a 0.9997

Avec un position size USD de 266.83$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 274.91 x 0.0291 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 274.91 x 0.0727 = 19.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.99$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 274.91
  • Taille de position USD 266.83
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 19.99
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4983

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
7.49 % 19.98 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -3.00
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.06 % 102.06 % 5
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.9706 0.9997 0.8979 2.5 0.712
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.9706
  • Stop Loss: 0.9997
  • Take Profit: 0.8979

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.9997 - 0.9706 = 0.0291

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.9706 - 0.8979 = 0.0727

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0727 / 0.0291 = 2.4983

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.998% (0.0291)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.725% 0.2R -0.718% 0.2R 1.0× 12
2h +0.852% 0.3R -0.718% 0.2R 1.2× 24
4h +0.852% 0.3R -2.040% 0.7R 0.4× 48
8h +0.852% 0.3R -2.040% 0.7R 0.4× 96
12h ★ +0.852% 0.3R -3.060% 1.0R 0.3× 144
24h +10.286% 3.4R -5.409% 1.8R 1.9× 288
36h +10.286% 3.4R -5.409% 1.8R 1.9× 432
48h +10.286% 3.4R -5.409% 1.8R 1.9× 576
72h +10.286% 3.4R -5.409% 1.8R 1.9× 864
⏱ MFE in 1322 min MAE in 827 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 2 weeks ago

Commentaires

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