Short Trade on STRK (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 5434.63 STRK at 0.0454$ per unit. Take profit: 0.0417 (8.11 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04685 (3.24 %)
28 Oct 2026 at 22:18:55
hyperliquid
STRK
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
28 Oct 2026 22:18
→ 01:10
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.04538$
Qty 5434.6349 STRK
Size 246.6237$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.0417 (+8.11%)
TP $ 20$
SL 0.04685 (-3.24%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-3.24%
/ -7.99$
MAE -4.72%
MFE +0.90%
0.3R
expires
29 Oct 10:18
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 231564)
#53 / 66
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 28/10/2026 22:00
score du 28/10/2026 22:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3975
Quality Score
0.468
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#53 / 66
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
76 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.24 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#53 / 66
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
76 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.24 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.36×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.56×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.37×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
4.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
28/10 22:16
28/10 22:16
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 27/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 28/10 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 28/10 21:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7201
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
bear
0.90 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.73
Transition risk :
0.27
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
7.6%
Macro
alt_capitulation
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
deteriorating
Δ 15m
→-0.039
Δ 1h
▼-0.097
Δ 4h
▼-0.694
Δ 12h
▼-0.065
Δ 24h
▼-0.761
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 29.2% |
| 1h | 10.4% |
| 4h | 4.2% |
| 24h | 12.5% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 20.8% | -0.25% |
| 4h | 12.5% | -3.76% |
| 24h | 16.7% | -3.46% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
75.0%
Expansion
75.0%
Tail ↑
+1.00
Tail ↓
+0.35
Dispersion :
0.239
Universe :
48
(-1 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-1 removed
Regime confidence :
0.84
Snapshot évalué :
28/10 22:16
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4033
Score SMA
0.3604
Rank
#18
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7385
Rank Norm SMA
0.5788
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4407 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 1.71% · r3d: 2.89% · ema21_slope: -1.5623% · dist_ema21: -16.365% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4960 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 1.18% · rs_3d: 1.37% · beta_24h: 5.066 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1695 | rvol_20: 0.11× · zscore_50: -0.458 · trend: -68.43% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7543 | ADX: 33.1 (trend) · Chop: 40.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 18.197% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
28/10/2026 22:00
Score brut
0.4675
Score SMA
0.4456
Rank
#53
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3975
Rank Norm SMA
0.2025
Calculé le
28/10/2026 22:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3425 | r1h: -2.097% · r4h: -4.328% · r1d: -2.91% · r3d: 0.53% · ema21_slope: 0.0199% · dist_ema21: -2.095% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3941 | rs_1h: -0.738% · rs_4h: -2.647% · rs_1d: -1.74% · rs_3d: 0.20% · beta_24h: 1.616 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2431 | rvol_20: 0.61× · zscore_50: -0.322 · trend: -14.67% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5474 | ADX: 19.0 (weak) · Chop: 51.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.862% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4054
Score SMA
0.3034
Rank
#61
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0462
Rank Norm SMA
0.0237
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3496 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.051% · r1d: 1.71% · r3d: 2.89% · ema21_slope: -0.1199% · dist_ema21: -0.060% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4182 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.733% · rs_1d: 1.18% · rs_3d: 1.37% · beta_24h: 1.225 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3035 | rvol_20: 1.30× · zscore_50: -0.356 · trend: -51.33% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3449 | ADX: 20.0 (weak) · Chop: 78.0 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8352 | ATR%: 3.495% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.239%
(0.0015)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.793% | 0.2R | -0.859% | 0.3R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.904% | 0.3R | -0.859% | 0.3R | 1.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.904% | 0.3R | -3.548% | 1.1R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.904% | 0.3R | -3.548% | 1.1R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.904% | 0.3R | -4.716% | 1.5R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +11.988% | 3.7R | -5.751% | 1.8R | 2.1× | 288 |
| 36h | +11.988% | 3.7R | -5.751% | 1.8R | 2.1× | 432 |
| 48h | +11.988% | 3.7R | -5.751% | 1.8R | 2.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +11.988% | 3.7R | -5.751% | 1.8R | 2.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1321 min
MAE in 771 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.05
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | normal | bull_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.48 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.93 | 27/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | normal | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 31% | early | — | — | 0.31 | range_high | -0.37% | +0.19 | 28/10 16:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.35 | bear_medium | -0.95% | -0.02 | 28/10 21:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
choppy 52% | late | — | — | 0.50 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.24% | -0.29 | 28/10 22:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#444706
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.797 | normal | bull_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late 17b -1.2ATR | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.11 | 85% | ↓ -0.96 | above_value | +0.61 | — | #211865 | 0.48 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.93 |
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:24
|
|
4h
#444578
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.601 | normal | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 31% | early 16b 0.0ATR | — | — | 1.30 | 41% | ↔ -0.12 | above_value | +0.61 | — | #211865 | 0.31 | range_high | -0.37% | +0.19 |
28/10 16:00
upd 28/10 20:16
|
|
1h
anchor #445359
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.399 | expansion | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid 4b -1.0ATR | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.61 | 24% | ↑ +0.24 | above_value | -0.34 | — | #212197 | 0.35 | bear_medium | -0.95% | -0.02 |
28/10 21:00
upd 28/10 22:12
|
|
15m
#445427
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | 0.322 | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
choppy 52% | late 19b -3.9ATR | — | — | 0.97 | 66% | ↔ +0.04 | above_value | -0.34 | — | #212197 | 0.50 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.24% | -0.29 |
28/10 22:00
upd 28/10 22:17
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 17b | — | 9.342×ATR | p95 | -1.168×ATR | p55 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 16b | — | 1.757×ATR | p0 | -0.019×ATR | p2 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 3.11×ATR | p73 | -1.024×ATR | p52 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 19b | — | 7.946×ATR | p100 | -3.897×ATR | p100 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.7646
- reason: down_bo width=1.90×ATR dur=37b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.04685204
- tp_price: 0.04169989
- atr:
- score: 0.76461367395562
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-10-29T14:18:47.736725
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.76461367395562
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.1612
- obi_top10 : 0.0501
- micro_price : 0.04555168
- spread_pct : 0.035128
- mid_price : 0.045556
- bid_wall_price : 0.0453
- bid_wall_size : 1463634.38
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.0457
- ask_wall_size : 986917.2
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.1272
- obi_top5_std : 0.0233
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6846
- aggregation_tick : 0.0001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.04757
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.045965
- balance_zone_mid:
0.0467675
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793109600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793239200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.8984
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
37
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7646
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793235600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.045965
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7838
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.692
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
6
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
12
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00084543 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
37
inside_close_ratio
0.7838
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.692
Signaux confirmants (17)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22:18 | 0.04538000 | 0% |
| 2 | 22:28 | 0.04538000 | 0% |
| 3 | 22:39 | 0.04529000 | -0.198% |
| 4 | 22:48 | 0.04529000 | -0.198% |
| 5 | 22:57 | 0.04529000 | -0.198% |
| 6 | 23:09 | 0.04542000 | +0.088% |
| 7 | 23:19 | 0.04542000 | +0.088% |
| 8 | 23:28 | 0.04542000 | +0.088% |
| 9 | 23:38 | 0.04516000 | -0.485% |
| 10 | 23:47 | 0.04516000 | -0.485% |
| 11 | 23:56 | 0.04516000 | -0.485% |
| 12 | 00:08 | 0.04516000 | -0.485% |
| 13 | 00:19 | 0.04539000 | +0.022% |
| 14 | 00:28 | 0.04539000 | +0.022% |
| 15 | 00:38 | 0.04580000 | +0.926% |
| 16 | 00:47 | 0.04580000 | +0.926% |
| 17 | 00:56 | 0.04580000 | +0.926% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6846ms
Confidence avant OB :
76%
→
76%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.161
avg 0.127
± 0.023
OBI Top 10
0.050
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0456
Micro Price
0.0456
Spread
0.0351%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.0453
Size
1,463,634.38
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.0457
Size
986,917.20
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04538 | 0.04685 | 0.0417 | 2.5 | 0.0351 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.04538
- Stop Loss: 0.04685
- Take Profit: 0.0417
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04685 - 0.04538 = 0.00147
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04538 - 0.0417 = 0.00368
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00368 / 0.00147 = 2.5034
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 246.6237 | 100 | 5434.6349 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00147
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00147 = 5442.18
Taille de position USD = 5442.18 x 0.04538 = 246.97
Donc, tu peux acheter 5442.18 avec un stoploss a 0.04685
Avec un position size USD de 246.97$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 5442.18 x 0.00147 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 5442.18 x 0.00368 = 20.03
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.03$
Résumé
- Taille de position 5442.18
- Taille de position USD 246.97
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.03
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5034
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 8.11 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.24 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.99 $ | -3.24 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.3054 % | 102.04 % | 9 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04538 | 0.04685 | 0.0417 | 2.5 | 0.0351 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.04538
- Stop Loss: 0.04685
- Take Profit: 0.0417
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04685 - 0.04538 = 0.00147
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04538 - 0.0417 = 0.00368
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00368 / 0.00147 = 2.5034
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.239%
(0.0015)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.793% | 0.2R | -0.859% | 0.3R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.904% | 0.3R | -0.859% | 0.3R | 1.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.904% | 0.3R | -3.548% | 1.1R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.904% | 0.3R | -3.548% | 1.1R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.904% | 0.3R | -4.716% | 1.5R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +11.988% | 3.7R | -5.751% | 1.8R | 2.1× | 288 |
| 36h | +11.988% | 3.7R | -5.751% | 1.8R | 2.1× | 432 |
| 48h | +11.988% | 3.7R | -5.751% | 1.8R | 2.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +11.988% | 3.7R | -5.751% | 1.8R | 2.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1321 min
MAE in 771 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
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