Short Trade on ENA (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 840.2 ENA at 0.2$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1758 (11.92 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2091 (4.76 %)
29 Oct 2026 at 01:07:58
hyperliquid
ENA
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
29 Oct 2026 01:07
→ 10:30
· 9 hours
Position
Entry 0.1996$
Qty 840.1985 ENA
Size 167.6784$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1758 (+11.92%)
TP $ 20$
SL 0.2091 (-4.76%)
SL $ 7.98$
RR 2.51
Status
loss
PnL
-4.76%
/ -7.98$
MAE -9.20%
MFE +2.36%
0.5R
expires
29 Oct 13:07
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 231845)
#60 / 70
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 01:00
score du 29/10/2026 01:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2664
Quality Score
0.428
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#60 / 70
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.76 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#60 / 70
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.76 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.26×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.48×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.91×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
46.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 01:01
29/10 01:01
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 27/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 28/10 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 28/10 23:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7212
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
early_expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.90 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.73
Transition risk :
0.27
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
9.3%
Macro
alt_capitulation
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
→+0.020
Δ 4h
▼-0.289
Δ 12h
▼-0.200
Δ 24h
▼-0.605
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 78.0% |
| 1h | 74.0% |
| 4h | 6.0% |
| 24h | 10.0% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 76.0% | +0.07% |
| 4h | 14.0% | -3.22% |
| 24h | 16.0% | -3.28% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.0%
Down ≥1σ
64.0%
Expansion
66.0%
Tail ↑
+0.76
Tail ↓
+0.46
Dispersion :
0.173
Universe :
50
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.84
Snapshot évalué :
29/10 01:01
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3918
Score SMA
0.4134
Rank
#19
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7231
Rank Norm SMA
0.7277
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5115 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.45% · r3d: 1.27% · ema21_slope: -0.2260% · dist_ema21: 1.422% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4395 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.08% · rs_3d: -0.25% · beta_24h: 3.204 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3358 | rvol_20: 1.04× · zscore_50: -0.261 · trend: 0.06% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4091 | ADX: 17.4 (weak) · Chop: 67.4 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.932% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 01:00
Score brut
0.4282
Score SMA
0.5394
Rank
#60
/ 70
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2664
Rank Norm SMA
0.5667
Calculé le
29/10/2026 01:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3894 | r1h: 1.667% · r4h: -3.974% · r1d: -3.21% · r3d: -4.23% · ema21_slope: -0.0027% · dist_ema21: -2.078% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4226 | rs_1h: 1.177% · rs_4h: -2.930% · rs_1d: -2.30% · rs_3d: -4.39% · beta_24h: 2.964 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2892 | rvol_20: 0.71× · zscore_50: -0.217 · trend: 2.49% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6593 | ADX: 19.3 (weak) · Chop: 38.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.277% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.3661
Score SMA
0.5201
Rank
#64
/ 70
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2819
Rank Norm SMA
0.6627
Calculé le
29/10/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3250 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -6.671% · r1d: -5.52% · r3d: -3.63% · ema21_slope: 0.0553% · dist_ema21: -4.303% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3081 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -4.850% · rs_1d: -3.95% · rs_3d: -3.97% · beta_24h: 3.452 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3927 | rvol_20: 1.03× · zscore_50: 0.292 · trend: 15.75% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4347 | ADX: 12.4 (weak) · Chop: 59.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.4783 | ATR%: 4.565% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.760%
(0.0095)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.052% | 0.2R | -1.162% | 0.2R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.969% | 0.4R | -1.162% | 0.2R | 1.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.365% | 0.5R | -1.162% | 0.2R | 2.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.365% | 0.5R | -4.604% | 1.0R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.365% | 0.5R | -9.203% | 1.9R | 0.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +17.335% | 3.6R | -9.203% | 1.9R | 1.9× | 288 |
| 36h | +17.335% | 3.6R | -9.203% | 1.9R | 1.9× | 432 |
| 48h | +17.335% | 3.6R | -9.203% | 1.9R | 1.9× | 576 |
| 72h | +17.335% | 3.6R | -9.203% | 1.9R | 1.9× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1152 min
MAE in 657 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.76
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | — | — | 0.56 | bull_high | +4.55% | +0.19 | 27/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near 0.5ATR | — | 0.57 | bear_high | -2.15% | -0.46 | 28/10 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
48%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | near 0.3ATR | — | 0.69 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.08% | -0.38 | 28/10 23:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | normal | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 55% | mid | — | — | 0.66 | range_low | -0.60% | -0.37 | 29/10 00:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#444712
|
↑ up | range | range | strong | grind | 0.744 | compression | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid 31b 0.2ATR | — | — | 1.04 | 83% | ↔ +0.14 | above_value | +0.44 | — | #211867 | 0.56 | bull_high | +4.55% | +0.19 |
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:24
|
|
4h
#446121
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.412 | expansion | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early 1b -1.0ATR | near 0.5ATR | — | 1.03 | 64% | ↓ -0.19 | below_value | -2.66 | — | #212482 | 0.57 | bear_high | -2.15% | -0.46 |
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 00:15
|
|
1h
anchor #446120
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | 0.622 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
48%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late 7b -1.6ATR | near 0.3ATR | — | 0.95 | 68% | ↔ -0.01 | below_value | -2.66 | — | #212482 | 0.69 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.08% | -0.38 |
28/10 23:00
upd 29/10 00:15
|
|
15m
#446445
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | 0.579 | normal | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 55% | mid 5b -0.3ATR | — | — | 2.42 | 94% | ↑ +0.55 | below_value | -2.66 | — | #212482 | 0.66 | range_low | -0.60% | -0.37 |
29/10 00:45
upd 29/10 01:02
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 31b | — | 4.098×ATR | p59 | +0.152×ATR | p9 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 2.144×ATR | p3 | -0.995×ATR | p57 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 7b | — | 4.219×ATR | p82 | -1.617×ATR | p77 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 5b | — | 2.664×ATR | p50 | -0.324×ATR | p21 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.822
- reason: down_bo width=1.80×ATR dur=63b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.20909156
- tp_price: 0.17576611
- atr:
- score: 0.82204566188646
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-10-29T17:07:50.302605
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.82204566188646
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.0625
- obi_top10 : -0.0282
- micro_price : 0.19989358
- spread_pct : 0.005003
- mid_price : 0.199895
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0747
- obi_top5_std : 0.0207
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7006
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.212525
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.2048
- balance_zone_mid:
0.2086625
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793026800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793250000
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.8005
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
63
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: stretched
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.822
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793235600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.2048
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6984
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
4
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.219
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
10
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
14
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00429056 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
63
inside_close_ratio
0.6984
bars_since_breakout
4
distance_to_edge_atr
1.219
Signaux confirmants (12)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:07 | 0.19957000 | -0.015% |
| 2 | 01:17 | 0.19957000 | -0.015% |
| 3 | 01:26 | 0.19957000 | -0.015% |
| 4 | 01:37 | 0.20024000 | +0.321% |
| 5 | 01:46 | 0.20024000 | +0.321% |
| 6 | 01:55 | 0.20024000 | +0.321% |
| 7 | 02:08 | 0.19770000 | -0.952% |
| 8 | 02:19 | 0.19770000 | -0.952% |
| 9 | 02:29 | 0.19770000 | -0.952% |
| 10 | 02:40 | 0.19725000 | -1.177% |
| 11 | 02:49 | 0.19725000 | -1.177% |
| 12 | 02:58 | 0.19725000 | -1.177% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7006ms
Confidence avant OB :
82%
→
82%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.063
avg -0.075
± 0.021
OBI Top 10
-0.028
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.1999
Micro Price
0.1999
Spread
0.0050%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1996 | 0.2091 | 0.1758 | 2.51 | 0.1194 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1996
- Stop Loss: 0.2091
- Take Profit: 0.1758
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2091 - 0.1996 = 0.0095
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1996 - 0.1758 = 0.0238
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0238 / 0.0095 = 2.5053
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 167.6784 | 100 | 840.1985 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0095
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0095 = 842.11
Taille de position USD = 842.11 x 0.1996 = 168.09
Donc, tu peux acheter 842.11 avec un stoploss a 0.2091
Avec un position size USD de 168.09$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 842.11 x 0.0095 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 842.11 x 0.0238 = 20.04
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.04$
Résumé
- Taille de position 842.11
- Taille de position USD 168.09
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.04
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5053
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 11.92 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.76 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.98 $ | -4.76 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -5.3557 % | 112.53 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1996 | 0.2091 | 0.1758 | 2.51 | 0.1194 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1996
- Stop Loss: 0.2091
- Take Profit: 0.1758
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2091 - 0.1996 = 0.0095
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1996 - 0.1758 = 0.0238
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0238 / 0.0095 = 2.5053
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.760%
(0.0095)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.052% | 0.2R | -1.162% | 0.2R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.969% | 0.4R | -1.162% | 0.2R | 1.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.365% | 0.5R | -1.162% | 0.2R | 2.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.365% | 0.5R | -4.604% | 1.0R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.365% | 0.5R | -9.203% | 1.9R | 0.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +17.335% | 3.6R | -9.203% | 1.9R | 1.9× | 288 |
| 36h | +17.335% | 3.6R | -9.203% | 1.9R | 1.9× | 432 |
| 48h | +17.335% | 3.6R | -9.203% | 1.9R | 1.9× | 576 |
| 72h | +17.335% | 3.6R | -9.203% | 1.9R | 1.9× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1152 min
MAE in 657 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.