Short Trade on ADA (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1730.86 ADA at 0.2$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1889 (5.74 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2051 (2.35 %)
29 Oct 2026 at 01:35:45
hyperliquid
ADA
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
29 Oct 2026 01:35
→ 10:35
· 8 hours
Position
Entry 0.2004$
Qty 1730.8562 ADA
Size 346.9155$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1889 (+5.74%)
TP $ 19.9$
SL 0.2051 (-2.35%)
SL $ 8.14$
RR 2.45
Status
loss
PnL
-2.35%
/ -8.14$
MAE -4.11%
MFE +1.75%
0.7R
expires
29 Oct 13:35
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 231834)
#37 / 70
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 01:00
score du 29/10/2026 01:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4830
Quality Score
0.481
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#37 / 70
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.35 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#37 / 70
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.35 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.28×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.22×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
5.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 01:30
29/10 01:30
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 27/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 28/10 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 29/10 00:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7214
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
early_expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.73
Transition risk :
0.27
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
41.3%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
balanced
Legacy leadership :
mixed
Breadth state
recovering
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.340
Δ 4h
▲+0.240
Δ 12h
▲+0.056
Δ 24h
▼-0.087
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 34.0% |
| 1h | 96.0% |
| 4h | 66.0% |
| 24h | 18.0% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 36.0% | -0.03% |
| 4h | 46.0% | +0.32% |
| 24h | 24.0% | -2.27% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
4.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
4.0%
Tail ↑
+0.32
Tail ↓
+0.40
Dispersion :
0.100
Universe :
50
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.84
Snapshot évalué :
29/10 01:31
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.2790
Score SMA
0.2835
Rank
#61
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0769
Rank Norm SMA
0.1986
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2379 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.01% · r3d: 0.94% · ema21_slope: -0.6706% · dist_ema21: -6.558% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3966 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.55% · rs_3d: -0.57% · beta_24h: 1.989 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2009 | rvol_20: 0.83× · zscore_50: -0.807 · trend: -48.42% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4552 | ADX: 25.1 (trend) · Chop: 69.6 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.157% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 01:00
Score brut
0.4807
Score SMA
0.5117
Rank
#37
/ 70
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4830
Rank Norm SMA
0.5012
Calculé le
29/10/2026 01:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3589 | r1h: 0.847% · r4h: -2.961% · r1d: -3.67% · r3d: -2.55% · ema21_slope: -0.0756% · dist_ema21: -1.952% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4179 | rs_1h: 0.357% · rs_4h: -1.916% · rs_1d: -2.77% · rs_3d: -2.70% · beta_24h: 2.088 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3028 | rvol_20: 0.56× · zscore_50: -0.212 · trend: 30.12% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7200 | ADX: 26.4 (trend) · Chop: 27.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.245% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.4863
Score SMA
0.4713
Rank
#30
/ 70
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4745
Rank Norm SMA
0.4853
Calculé le
29/10/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2413 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -4.168% · r1d: -4.73% · r3d: -2.06% · ema21_slope: -0.0755% · dist_ema21: -3.928% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3490 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.347% · rs_1d: -3.16% · rs_3d: -2.40% · beta_24h: 1.867 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6239 | rvol_20: 2.08× · zscore_50: 0.916 · trend: 32.49% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6789 | ADX: 33.3 (trend) · Chop: 50.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.225% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.345%
(0.0047)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.183% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.747% | 0.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +1.747% | 0.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +1.747% | 0.7R | -0.888% | 0.4R | 2.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.747% | 0.7R | -4.107% | 1.8R | 0.4× | 143 |
| 24h | +9.112% | 3.9R | -4.107% | 1.8R | 2.2× | 288 |
| 36h | +9.112% | 3.9R | -4.107% | 1.8R | 2.2× | 432 |
| 48h | +9.112% | 3.9R | -4.107% | 1.8R | 2.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +9.112% | 3.9R | -4.107% | 1.8R | 2.2× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1124 min
MAE in 629 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.08
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | near -0.2ATR | — | 0.80 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.82 | 27/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
55%
|
noisy_chop 36% | late | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.75 | bear_high | -2.15% | -0.32 | 28/10 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
48%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.85 | range_medium | -0.58% | -0.24 | 29/10 00:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_medium |
63%
|
noisy_chop 52% | late | — | — | 0.84 | range_low | -0.43% | -0.19 | 29/10 01:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#444673
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.619 | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late 22b -1.3ATR | near -0.2ATR | — | 0.83 | 31% | ↓ -0.28 | above_value | +0.50 | — | #211857 | 0.80 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.82 |
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:22
|
|
4h
#446097
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | 0.390 | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
55%
|
noisy_chop 36% | late 1b -2.0ATR | near -0.3ATR | — | 2.08 | 72% | ↑ +0.22 | below_value | -3.07 | inside | #212471 | 0.75 | bear_high | -2.15% | -0.32 |
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 00:14
|
|
1h
anchor #446506
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.597 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
48%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late 8b -1.4ATR | — | — | 0.56 | 53% | ↑ +0.34 | below_value | -2.35 | inside | #212684 | 0.85 | range_medium | -0.58% | -0.24 |
29/10 00:00
upd 29/10 01:10
|
|
15m
#446652
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.360 | expansion | bear_medium |
63%
|
noisy_chop 52% | late 11b 0.4ATR | — | — | 0.35 | 65% | ↓ -0.27 | below_value | -2.35 | — | #212684 | 0.84 | range_low | -0.43% | -0.19 |
29/10 01:15
upd 29/10 01:31
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 22b | — | 6.077×ATR | p92 | -1.332×ATR | p69 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 1b | — | 2.865×ATR | p44 | -2.015×ATR | p90 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 8b | — | 4.406×ATR | p85 | -1.395×ATR | p76 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 11b | — | 3.989×ATR | p83 | +0.42×ATR | p26 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.793
- reason: down_bo width=2.98×ATR dur=54b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.20505199
- tp_price: 0.18887503
- atr:
- score: 0.79295750628621
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-10-29T17:35:37.471978
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.79295750628621
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.0049
- obi_top10 : -0.0226
- micro_price : 0.20049112
- spread_pct : 0.0499
- mid_price : 0.20045
- bid_wall_price : 0.2
- bid_wall_size : 8715792.4
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.203
- ask_wall_size : 8543972
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0062
- obi_top5_std : 0.0081
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7071
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.20848
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.20113
- balance_zone_mid:
0.204805
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793059200
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793250000
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.9759
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
54
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.793
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793235600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.20113
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.9074
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
4
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.2834
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
3
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
5
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00246987 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
54
inside_close_ratio
0.9074
bars_since_breakout
4
distance_to_edge_atr
0.2834
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:35 | 0.20043000 | +0.015% |
| 2 | 01:44 | 0.20043000 | +0.015% |
| 3 | 01:54 | 0.20043000 | +0.015% |
| 4 | 02:06 | 0.20043000 | +0.015% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7071ms
Confidence avant OB :
79%
→
79%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.005
avg 0.006
± 0.008
OBI Top 10
-0.023
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.2005
Micro Price
0.2005
Spread
0.0499%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.2000
Size
8,715,792.40
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.2030
Size
8,543,972.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2004 | 0.2051 | 0.1889 | 2.45 | 0.1512 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2004
- Stop Loss: 0.2051
- Take Profit: 0.1889
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2051 - 0.2004 = 0.0047
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2004 - 0.1889 = 0.0115
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0115 / 0.0047 = 2.4468
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 346.9155 | 100 | 1730.8562 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0047
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0047 = 1702.13
Taille de position USD = 1702.13 x 0.2004 = 341.11
Donc, tu peux acheter 1702.13 avec un stoploss a 0.2051
Avec un position size USD de 341.11$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1702.13 x 0.0047 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1702.13 x 0.0115 = 19.57
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.57$
Résumé
- Taille de position 1702.13
- Taille de position USD 341.11
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.57
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4468
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.74 % | 19.9 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.35 % | 8.14 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.14 $ | -2.35 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.6647 % | 113.62 % | 11 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2004 | 0.2051 | 0.1889 | 2.45 | 0.1512 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2004
- Stop Loss: 0.2051
- Take Profit: 0.1889
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2051 - 0.2004 = 0.0047
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2004 - 0.1889 = 0.0115
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0115 / 0.0047 = 2.4468
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.345%
(0.0047)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.183% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.747% | 0.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +1.747% | 0.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +1.747% | 0.7R | -0.888% | 0.4R | 2.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.747% | 0.7R | -4.107% | 1.8R | 0.4× | 143 |
| 24h | +9.112% | 3.9R | -4.107% | 1.8R | 2.2× | 288 |
| 36h | +9.112% | 3.9R | -4.107% | 1.8R | 2.2× | 432 |
| 48h | +9.112% | 3.9R | -4.107% | 1.8R | 2.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +9.112% | 3.9R | -4.107% | 1.8R | 2.2× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1124 min
MAE in 629 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.