Short Trade on STRK

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29 Oct 2026 at 03:09:41 hyperliquid

Short Trade on STRK (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 8458.9 STRK at 0.0459$ per unit. Take profit: 0.04354 (5.14 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04685 (2.07 %)

STRK SHORT BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 29 Oct 2026 03:09 → 06:50 · 3 hours

Position

Entry 0.0459$

Qty 8458.8951 STRK

Size 388.2633$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)

Risk Setup

TP 0.04354 (+5.14%)

TP $ 19.96$

SL 0.04685 (-2.07%)

SL $ 8.04$

RR 2.48

Status loss PnL -2.07% / -8.04$ MAE -4.55% MFE +1.44% 0.7R expires 29 Oct 15:09

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 231982)

#16 / 70

OUT

seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 03:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.4446

Quality Score

0.503

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#16 / 70

OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

76 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

2.07 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#16 / 70

OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

76 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

2.07 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	1.52×ATR
4h	clear	2.27×ATR
1d	near	0.37×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	early	OK
4h	↓ down	early	OK
1d	↓ down	late	BLOCKED

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

4.9M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 03:01

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 27/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 28/10 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 29/10 01:00 Score : 0 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

27/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

28/10 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

29/10 01:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7220

Voir snapshot →

range compression range_bound

Strategic	range 0.25	compression 0
Operational	range 0.25	range 0
Tactical	range 0.25	range 0
Micro	bear 0.55	expansion

MTF alignment : 0.65

Stability : 0.73

Transition risk : 0.27

Score contribution (this trade) 0

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 43.3%

Macro mixed_dispersion

Local 4h bullish Leadership balanced

Legacy leadership : alts

Breadth state deteriorating

Δ 15m

→+0.000

Δ 1h

▼-0.100

Δ 4h

▲+0.367

Δ 12h

→-0.006

Δ 24h

▼-0.063

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	54.0%
1h	14.0%
4h	62.0%
24h	10.0%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	48.0%	+0.02%
4h	56.0%	+0.24%
24h	20.0%	-2.59%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

0.0%

Down ≥1σ

0.0%

Expansion

0.0%

Tail ↑

+0.23

Tail ↓

+0.28

Dispersion : 0.090

Universe : 50 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M

+0 added · -0 removed

Regime confidence : 0.84

Snapshot évalué : 29/10 03:01 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 28/10/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.4033

Score SMA

0.3604

Rank

#18 / 66

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.7385

Rank Norm SMA

0.5788

Calculé le

28/10/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.4407	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 1.71% · r3d: 2.89% · ema21_slope: -1.5623% · dist_ema21: -16.365%
Force Relative	25%	0.4960	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 1.18% · rs_3d: 1.37% · beta_24h: 5.066
Volume	20%	0.1695	rvol_20: 0.11× · zscore_50: -0.458 · trend: -68.43%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7543	ADX: 33.1 (trend) · Chop: 40.9 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 18.197% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 29/10/2026 03:00

Score brut

0.5028

Score SMA

0.4477

Rank

#16 / 70

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.4446

Rank Norm SMA

0.2162

Calculé le

29/10/2026 03:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.4000	r1h: -1.819% · r4h: 1.057% · r1d: -1.99% · r3d: 2.64% · ema21_slope: -0.0109% · dist_ema21: -1.231%
Force Relative	25%	0.4723	rs_1h: -1.489% · rs_4h: 1.047% · rs_1d: -0.88% · rs_3d: 2.82% · beta_24h: 1.772
Volume	20%	0.9573	rvol_20: 3.44× · zscore_50: 4.239 · trend: 68.01%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5598	ADX: 15.8 (weak) · Chop: 47.1 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.870% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 29/10/2026 00:00

Score brut

0.3340

Score SMA

0.3058

Rank

#66 / 70

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0674

Rank Norm SMA

0.0251

Calculé le

29/10/2026 00:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2261	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -3.017% · r1d: -2.56% · r3d: 1.67% · ema21_slope: -0.1175% · dist_ema21: -2.803%
Force Relative	25%	0.3834	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.196% · rs_1d: -1.00% · rs_3d: 1.33% · beta_24h: 1.386
Volume	20%	0.1868	rvol_20: 0.70× · zscore_50: -0.666 · trend: -56.70%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.3749	ADX: 19.1 (weak) · Chop: 73.3 (range)
Volatilité	10%	0.7673	ATR%: 3.698% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.070% (0.0010)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.438%	0.7R	-0.109%	0.1R	13.2×	12
2h	+1.438%	0.7R	-0.523%	0.3R	2.8×	24
4h	+1.438%	0.7R	-2.070%	1.0R	0.7×	48
8h	+1.438%	0.7R	-4.248%	2.1R	0.3×	96
12h ★	+1.438%	0.7R	-4.553%	2.2R	0.3×	144
24h	+12.985%	6.3R	-4.553%	2.2R	2.9×	288
36h	+12.985%	6.3R	-4.553%	2.2R	2.9×	432
48h	+12.985%	6.3R	-4.553%	2.2R	2.9×	576
72h	+12.985%	6.3R	-4.553%	2.2R	2.9×	864

⏱ MFE in 1030 min MAE in 480 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 2.61

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	normal	bull_high	53%	noisy_chop 42%	late	near 0.4ATR	—	0.48	bull_high	+4.55%	-0.93	27/10 20:00
4h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	normal	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 31%	early	—	—	0.32	bear_high	-2.15%	+0.11	28/10 20:00
1h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	expansion	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 44%	early	—	near 0.4ATR	0.35	range_medium	-0.60%	+0.06	29/10 01:00
15m	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	expansion	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 40%	mid	—	—	0.51	bear_low	-0.85%	+0.03	29/10 02:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #444706	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	0.797	normal	bull_high	53%	noisy_chop 42%	late 17b -1.2ATR	near 0.4ATR	—	0.11	85%	↓ -0.96	above_value	+0.61	—	#211865	0.48	bull_high	+4.55%	-0.93	27/10 20:00 upd 28/10 20:24
4h #446113	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	0.762	normal	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 31%	early 1b -0.9ATR	—	—	0.70	26%	↔ -0.11	above_value	-1.18	—	#212479	0.32	bear_high	-2.15%	+0.11	28/10 20:00 upd 29/10 00:15
1h anchor #446880	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.610	expansion	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 44%	early 2b 0.2ATR	—	near 0.4ATR	0.70	30%	↓ -0.46	above_value	+0.12	—	#212834	0.35	range_medium	-0.60%	+0.06	29/10 01:00 upd 29/10 02:11
15m #447177	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.599	expansion	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 40%	mid 4b -0.9ATR	—	—	12.74	100%	↔ +0.15	above_value	+0.12	—	#212834	0.51	bear_low	-0.85%	+0.03	29/10 02:45 upd 29/10 03:02
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	late	17b	—	9.342×ATR	p95	-1.168×ATR	p55
4h	↓ down	early	1b	—	1.641×ATR	p0	-0.874×ATR	p44
1h	↑ up	early	2b	—	2.091×ATR	p37	+0.248×ATR	p14
15m	↓ down	mid	4b	—	2.796×ATR	p50	-0.868×ATR	p51

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL

Indicators:

long_trend: -1
confidence: 0.7645
reason: down_bo width=1.99×ATR dur=37b phase=fresh
stop_price: 0.04684575
tp_price: 0.04353563
atr:
score: 0.76449509130837
exit_rules:
expires_at: 2026-10-29T19:09:33.518830
max_bars: 12
max_bars_tf: 1h
confidence_pre_ob: 0.76449509130837

Details

1H:
15m:
5m:
btc_indicators
market_structures
market_structure_v2
trend_analyzer_1h
orderbook_context
obi_top5 : 0.1825
obi_top10 : 0.072
micro_price : 0.0459352
spread_pct : 0.019593
mid_price : 0.0459385
bid_wall_price : 0.0457
bid_wall_size : 1509545.58
bid_wall_dist_atr :
ask_wall_price : 0.046
ask_wall_size : 1027861.7
ask_wall_dist_atr :
snapshots_count : 5
obi_top5_mean : 0.1177
obi_top5_std : 0.0617
pressure_side : neutral
collection_mode : ws_rolling
collection_ms : 6867
aggregation_tick : 0.0001
error :
strategy_details
strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
strategy_details
balance_zone_top:
```
0.04757
```
balance_zone_bottom:
```
0.04596
```
balance_zone_mid:
```
0.046765
```
balance_zone_start_time:
```
1793127600
```
balance_zone_end_time:
```
1793257200
```
balance_zone_width_atr:
```
1.9939
```
balance_zone_duration_bars:
```
37
```
balance_zone_quality: loose
balance_zone_maturity: established
balance_zone_confidence:
```
0.7645
```
balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
balance_zone_breakout_time:
```
1793253600
```
balance_zone_breakout_price:
```
0.04596
```
strategy_details
balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
```
0.7027
```
balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
```
1
```
balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
```
0.0743
```
balance_metrics_has_retested:
```
1
```
balance_metrics_retest_count:
```
1
```
balance_metrics_touch_upper:
```
6
```
balance_metrics_touch_lower:
```
11
```
regime : bear_high
atr_entry : 0.00080747

Signal Details

duration_bars

inside_close_ratio

0.7027

bars_since_breakout

distance_to_edge_atr

0.0743

Signaux confirmants (18)

#	Heure	Entry	Δ
1	03:09	0.04590000	0%
2	03:19	0.04590000	0%
3	03:28	0.04590000	0%
4	03:39	0.04552000	-0.828%
5	03:48	0.04552000	-0.828%
6	03:57	0.04552000	-0.828%
7	04:11	0.04532000	-1.264%
8	04:21	0.04532000	-1.264%
9	04:31	0.04532000	-1.264%
10	04:41	0.04568000	-0.479%
11	04:51	0.04568000	-0.479%
12	05:00	0.04568000	-0.479%
13	05:11	0.04574000	-0.349%
14	05:20	0.04574000	-0.349%
15	05:29	0.04574000	-0.349%
16	05:39	0.04575000	-0.327%
17	05:48	0.04575000	-0.327%
18	05:57	0.04575000	-0.327%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 6867ms Confidence avant OB : 76% → 76%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.183

avg 0.118 ± 0.062

OBI Top 10 0.072

Microstructure

Mid Price

0.0459

Micro Price

0.0459

Spread

0.0196%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price

0.0457

Size

1,509,545.58

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price

0.0460

Size

1,027,861.70

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.0459	0.04685	0.04354	2.48	0.03354

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.0459
Stop Loss: 0.04685
Take Profit: 0.04354

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.04685 - 0.0459 = 0.00095
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.0459 - 0.04354 = 0.00236
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00236 / 0.00095 = 2.4842

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
388.2633	100	8458.8951	4.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.00095

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00095 = 8421.05

Taille de position USD = 8421.05 x 0.0459 = 386.53

Donc, tu peux acheter 8421.05 avec un stoploss a 0.04685

Avec un position size USD de 386.53$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 8421.05 x 0.00095 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 8421.05 x 0.00236 = 19.87

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.87$

Résumé

Taille de position 8421.05
Taille de position USD 386.53
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 19.87
Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4842

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
5.14 %	19.96 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
2.07 %	8.04 $

PNL	PNL %
-8.04 $	-2.07

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-2.0697 %	100 %	7

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.0459	0.04685	0.04354	2.48	0.03354

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.0459
Stop Loss: 0.04685
Take Profit: 0.04354

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.04685 - 0.0459 = 0.00095
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.0459 - 0.04354 = 0.00236
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00236 / 0.00095 = 2.4842

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.04354
            [entry_price] => 0.0459
            [stop_loss] => 0.046945
            [rr_ratio] => 2.26
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 12:45:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.04354
            [entry_price] => 0.0459
            [stop_loss] => 0.04704
            [rr_ratio] => 2.07
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 12:50:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.04354
            [entry_price] => 0.0459
            [stop_loss] => 0.047135
            [rr_ratio] => 1.91
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 12:50:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.04354
            [entry_price] => 0.0459
            [stop_loss] => 0.047325
            [rr_ratio] => 1.66
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 13:00:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.070% (0.0010)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.438%	0.7R	-0.109%	0.1R	13.2×	12
2h	+1.438%	0.7R	-0.523%	0.3R	2.8×	24
4h	+1.438%	0.7R	-2.070%	1.0R	0.7×	48
8h	+1.438%	0.7R	-4.248%	2.1R	0.3×	96
12h ★	+1.438%	0.7R	-4.553%	2.2R	0.3×	144
24h	+12.985%	6.3R	-4.553%	2.2R	2.9×	288
36h	+12.985%	6.3R	-4.553%	2.2R	2.9×	432
48h	+12.985%	6.3R	-4.553%	2.2R	2.9×	576
72h	+12.985%	6.3R	-4.553%	2.2R	2.9×	864

⏱ MFE in 1030 min MAE in 480 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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