Short Trade on DOGE (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 3152.26 DOGE at 0.0767$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07036 (8.28 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07924 (3.3 %)
29 Oct 2026 at 17:39:14
hyperliquid
DOGE
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
29 Oct 2026 17:39
→ 05:35
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.07671$
Qty 3152.2621 DOGE
Size 241.7974$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.07036 (+8.28%)
TP $ 20.02$
SL 0.07924 (-3.3%)
SL $ 7.98$
RR 2.51
Status
win
PnL
+1.68%
/ +4.05$
MAE -0.10%
MFE +5.91%
1.8R
expires
30 Oct 05:39
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 233221)
#14 / 73
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 17:00
score du 29/10/2026 17:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7044
Quality Score
0.569
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#14 / 73
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
84 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.30 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#14 / 73
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
84 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.30 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.32×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.14×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.29×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
12.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 17:30
29/10 17:30
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 27/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 29/10 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 29/10 16:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7278
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
bear
0.90 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.73
Transition risk :
0.27
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
7.2%
Macro
alt_capitulation
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→-0.001
Δ 1h
→-0.021
Δ 4h
▼-0.783
Δ 12h
▼-0.200
Δ 24h
▼-0.841
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 91.7% |
| 1h | 61.7% |
| 4h | 5.0% |
| 24h | 8.3% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 90.0% | +0.38% |
| 4h | 8.3% | -6.55% |
| 24h | 13.3% | -8.33% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
1.7%
Down ≥1σ
88.3%
Expansion
90.0%
Tail ↑
+1.15
Tail ↓
+0.76
Dispersion :
0.261
Universe :
60
(+1 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+1 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.59
Snapshot évalué :
29/10 17:31
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3614
Score SMA
0.3246
Rank
#27
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6000
Rank Norm SMA
0.4451
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3049 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.88% · r3d: 3.72% · ema21_slope: -0.4843% · dist_ema21: -2.255% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4743 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.34% · rs_3d: 2.21% · beta_24h: 1.608 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1837 | rvol_20: 0.69× · zscore_50: -0.690 · trend: -57.52% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4529 | ADX: 26.3 (trend) · Chop: 71.1 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.4671 | ATR%: 4.599% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 17:00
Score brut
0.5691
Score SMA
0.5398
Rank
#14
/ 73
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7044
Rank Norm SMA
0.6565
Calculé le
29/10/2026 17:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3085 | r1h: -4.990% · r4h: -5.946% · r1d: -6.17% · r3d: -2.31% · ema21_slope: 0.0074% · dist_ema21: -4.461% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2851 | rs_1h: -2.531% · rs_4h: -2.969% · rs_1d: -3.11% · rs_3d: -1.04% · beta_24h: 1.669 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 7.78× · zscore_50: 5.970 · trend: 261.16% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7015 | ADX: 24.2 (weak) · Chop: 12.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.372% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.6100
Score SMA
0.5080
Rank
#11
/ 74
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6850
Rank Norm SMA
0.6749
Calculé le
29/10/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4889 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.671% · r1d: -1.17% · r3d: 2.62% · ema21_slope: 0.1150% · dist_ema21: 0.587% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5090 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.539% · rs_1d: -0.24% · rs_3d: 1.58% · beta_24h: 1.277 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7551 | rvol_20: 2.68× · zscore_50: 1.333 · trend: 37.84% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5669 | ADX: 19.5 (weak) · Chop: 50.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.759% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.298%
(0.0025)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.592% | 0.5R | -0.098% | 0.0R | 16.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.592% | 0.5R | -0.098% | 0.0R | 16.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +5.911% | 1.8R | -0.098% | 0.0R | 60.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +5.911% | 1.8R | -0.098% | 0.0R | 60.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +5.911% | 1.8R | -0.098% | 0.0R | 60.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +5.911% | 1.8R | -0.098% | 0.0R | 60.4× | 288 |
| 36h | +5.911% | 1.8R | -0.098% | 0.0R | 60.4× | 432 |
| 48h | +5.911% | 1.8R | -0.098% | 0.0R | 60.4× | 576 |
| 72h | +5.911% | 1.8R | -0.098% | 0.0R | 60.4× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 160 min
MAE in 0 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.72
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.81 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.44 | 27/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near -0.4ATR | 0.80 | bear_high | -0.86% | +0.20 | 29/10 12:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
47%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.87 | bear_medium_confirmed | -2.22% | -0.26 | 29/10 16:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
48%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | — | — | 0.89 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.49% | -0.21 | 29/10 17:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#444604
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | grind | 0.678 | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late 36b -0.6ATR | — | — | 0.69 | 21% | ↓ -0.26 | above_value | +4.44 | — | #211840 | 0.81 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.44 |
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:18
|
|
4h
#452168
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.825 | expansion | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early 4b 0.3ATR | — | near -0.4ATR | 2.68 | 77% | ↑ +0.42 | value | +2.83 | — | #214991 | 0.80 | bear_high | -0.86% | +0.20 |
29/10 12:00
upd 29/10 16:14
|
|
1h
anchor #452613
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.625 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
47%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late 4b -3.4ATR | near -0.3ATR | — | 7.78 | 100% | ↑ +0.63 | below_value | -1.80 | inside | #215213 | 0.87 | bear_medium_confirmed | -2.22% | -0.26 |
29/10 16:00
upd 29/10 17:09
|
|
15m
#452763
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.600 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
48%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid 4b -2.0ATR | — | — | 0.95 | 96% | ↑ +0.72 | below_value | -1.80 | — | #215213 | 0.89 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.49% | -0.21 |
29/10 17:15
upd 29/10 17:30
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 36b | — | 7.141×ATR | p83 | -0.574×ATR | p33 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.337×ATR | p0 | +0.326×ATR | p22 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 4b | — | 5.957×ATR | p96 | -3.419×ATR | p99 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 2.637×ATR | p46 | -2.02×ATR | p75 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.8354
- reason: down_bo width=2.94×ATR dur=43b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.07924386
- tp_price: 0.07036136
- atr:
- score: 0.8354339099215
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-10-30T09:39:07.157931
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.8354339099215
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0403
- obi_top10 : 0.0168
- micro_price : 0.07679472
- spread_pct : 0.013023
- mid_price : 0.076795
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0511
- obi_top5_std : 0.0086
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6863
- aggregation_tick : 0.0001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.080755
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.0775125
- balance_zone_mid:
0.07913375
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793156400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793307600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.9449
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
43
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8354
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793304000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.0775125
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.9535
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.7325
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
4
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
5
- regime : bear_high_confirmed
- atr_entry : 0.00110105 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
43
inside_close_ratio
0.9535
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.7325
Signaux confirmants (7)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:39 | 0.07670600 | -0.005% |
| 2 | 17:49 | 0.07670600 | -0.005% |
| 3 | 18:00 | 0.07670600 | -0.005% |
| 4 | 18:43 | 0.07622000 | -0.639% |
| 5 | 18:52 | 0.07622000 | -0.639% |
| 6 | 19:03 | 0.07622000 | -0.639% |
| 7 | 23:38 | 0.07566000 | -1.369% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6863ms
Confidence avant OB :
84%
→
84%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.040
avg 0.051
± 0.009
OBI Top 10
0.017
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0768
Micro Price
0.0768
Spread
0.0130%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07671 | 0.07924 | 0.07036 | 2.51 | 0.06793 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.07671
- Stop Loss: 0.07924
- Take Profit: 0.07036
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07924 - 0.07671 = 0.00253
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07671 - 0.07036 = 0.00635
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00635 / 0.00253 = 2.5099
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 241.7974 | 100 | 3152.2621 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00253
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00253 = 3162.06
Taille de position USD = 3162.06 x 0.07671 = 242.56
Donc, tu peux acheter 3162.06 avec un stoploss a 0.07924
Avec un position size USD de 242.56$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 3162.06 x 0.00253 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 3162.06 x 0.00635 = 20.08
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.08$
Résumé
- Taille de position 3162.06
- Taille de position USD 242.56
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.08
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5099
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 8.28 % | 20.02 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.3 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 4.05 $ | 1.68 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0978 % | 2.97 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07671 | 0.07924 | 0.07036 | 2.51 | 0.06793 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.07671
- Stop Loss: 0.07924
- Take Profit: 0.07036
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07924 - 0.07671 = 0.00253
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07671 - 0.07036 = 0.00635
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00635 / 0.00253 = 2.5099
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.298%
(0.0025)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.592% | 0.5R | -0.098% | 0.0R | 16.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.592% | 0.5R | -0.098% | 0.0R | 16.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +5.911% | 1.8R | -0.098% | 0.0R | 60.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +5.911% | 1.8R | -0.098% | 0.0R | 60.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +5.911% | 1.8R | -0.098% | 0.0R | 60.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +5.911% | 1.8R | -0.098% | 0.0R | 60.4× | 288 |
| 36h | +5.911% | 1.8R | -0.098% | 0.0R | 60.4× | 432 |
| 48h | +5.911% | 1.8R | -0.098% | 0.0R | 60.4× | 576 |
| 72h | +5.911% | 1.8R | -0.098% | 0.0R | 60.4× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 160 min
MAE in 0 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.