Short Trade on INJ (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 23.8 INJ at 7.625$ per unit. Take profit: 6.7848 (11.02 %) & Stop Loss: 7.9612 (4.41 %)
29 Oct 2026 at 17:39:30
hyperliquid
INJ
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
29 Oct 2026 17:39
→ 05:35
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 7.6251$
Qty 23.8015 INJ
Size 181.4888$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 6.7848 (+11.02%)
TP $ 20$
SL 7.9612 (-4.41%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+6.18%
/ +11.22$
MAE -0.01%
MFE +8.96%
2.0R
expires
30 Oct 05:39
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 233222)
#25 / 73
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 17:00
score du 29/10/2026 17:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6420
Quality Score
0.539
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#25 / 73
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
90 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-2
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.41 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#25 / 73
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
90 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.41 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.05×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.34×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.97×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
7.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 17:30
29/10 17:30
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 27/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 29/10 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 29/10 16:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7278
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
bear
0.90 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.73
Transition risk :
0.27
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
7.2%
Macro
alt_capitulation
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→-0.001
Δ 1h
→-0.021
Δ 4h
▼-0.783
Δ 12h
▼-0.200
Δ 24h
▼-0.841
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 91.7% |
| 1h | 61.7% |
| 4h | 5.0% |
| 24h | 8.3% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 90.0% | +0.38% |
| 4h | 8.3% | -6.55% |
| 24h | 13.3% | -8.33% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
1.7%
Down ≥1σ
88.3%
Expansion
90.0%
Tail ↑
+1.15
Tail ↓
+0.76
Dispersion :
0.261
Universe :
60
(+1 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+1 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.59
Snapshot évalué :
29/10 17:31
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4319
Score SMA
0.4078
Rank
#13
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8154
Rank Norm SMA
0.7218
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6087 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 2.30% · r3d: 3.57% · ema21_slope: 0.2212% · dist_ema21: 1.921% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5770 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 1.77% · rs_3d: 2.05% · beta_24h: 3.065 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1578 | rvol_20: 0.26× · zscore_50: -0.855 · trend: -38.89% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4900 | ADX: 17.6 (weak) · Chop: 57.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.718% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 17:00
Score brut
0.5394
Score SMA
0.5159
Rank
#25
/ 73
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6420
Rank Norm SMA
0.4761
Calculé le
29/10/2026 17:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2988 | r1h: -5.723% · r4h: -8.102% · r1d: -6.88% · r3d: -6.00% · ema21_slope: 0.0930% · dist_ema21: -5.011% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1809 | rs_1h: -3.264% · rs_4h: -5.125% · rs_1d: -3.82% · rs_3d: -4.74% · beta_24h: 2.105 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 6.88× · zscore_50: 6.453 · trend: 221.22% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6967 | ADX: 23.6 (weak) · Chop: 29.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.393% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.4516
Score SMA
0.4419
Rank
#47
/ 74
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4455
Rank Norm SMA
0.3586
Calculé le
29/10/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4395 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.387% · r1d: -1.32% · r3d: -0.72% · ema21_slope: 0.0051% · dist_ema21: 0.483% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4536 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.256% · rs_1d: -0.39% · rs_3d: -1.76% · beta_24h: 2.716 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2949 | rvol_20: 0.92× · zscore_50: -0.271 · trend: -15.42% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4373 | ADX: 12.7 (weak) · Chop: 59.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8177 | ATR%: 3.547% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.408%
(0.3361)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +3.608% | 0.8R | -0.013% | 0.0R | 275.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +4.244% | 1.0R | -0.013% | 0.0R | 324.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +8.964% | 2.0R | -0.013% | 0.0R | 684.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +8.964% | 2.0R | -0.013% | 0.0R | 684.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +8.964% | 2.0R | -0.013% | 0.0R | 684.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +10.060% | 2.3R | -0.013% | 0.0R | 768.0× | 288 |
| 36h | +10.060% | 2.3R | -0.013% | 0.0R | 768.0× | 432 |
| 48h | +10.060% | 2.3R | -0.013% | 0.0R | 768.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +10.060% | 2.3R | -0.013% | 0.0R | 768.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1270 min
MAE in 0 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 40
ML Pullback Score: 6.81
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | normal | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 32% | early | — | — | 0.57 | bull_high | +4.55% | +0.96 | 27/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | expansion | range_high |
38%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near 0.3ATR | — | 0.51 | bear_high | -0.86% | +0.17 | 29/10 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
45%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.60 | bear_medium_confirmed | -2.22% | -0.37 | 29/10 16:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
50%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | — | — | 0.72 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.49% | -0.33 | 29/10 17:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#444608
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.475 | normal | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 32% | early 7b 0.2ATR | — | — | 0.26 | 52% | ↓ -0.37 | above_value | +1.40 | — | #211841 | 0.57 | bull_high | +4.55% | +0.96 |
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:18
|
|
4h
#452170
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | 0.631 | expansion | range_high |
38%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early 5b 0.1ATR | near 0.3ATR | — | 0.92 | 40% | ↔ -0.13 | above_value | -0.05 | — | #214992 | 0.51 | bear_high | -0.86% | +0.17 |
29/10 12:00
upd 29/10 16:14
|
|
1h
anchor #452614
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.385 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
45%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late 3b -2.1ATR | near -0.1ATR | — | 6.88 | 100% | ↑ +0.33 | below_value | -2.56 | inside | #215214 | 0.60 | bear_medium_confirmed | -2.22% | -0.37 |
29/10 16:00
upd 29/10 17:09
|
|
15m
#452764
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | grind | 0.354 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
50%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late 2b -2.3ATR | — | — | 1.94 | 98% | ↑ +0.82 | below_value | -2.56 | — | #215214 | 0.72 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.49% | -0.33 |
29/10 17:15
upd 29/10 17:30
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 1.799×ATR | p0 | +0.205×ATR | p13 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 0.874×ATR | p0 | +0.133×ATR | p10 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 3b | — | 3.877×ATR | p72 | -2.116×ATR | p92 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 2b | — | 2.537×ATR | p37 | -2.3×ATR | p90 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.9049
- reason: down_bo width=2.73×ATR dur=70b phase=fresh|ob:ask_pressure(+0.07)
- stop_price: 7.96121332
- tp_price: 6.78481671
- atr:
- score: 0.83491
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-10-30T09:39:23.146792
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.83491
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.1002
- obi_top10 : -0.0115
- micro_price : 7.60946774
- spread_pct : 0.039437
- mid_price : 7.6085
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 7.65
- ask_wall_size : 25377.18
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.1536
- obi_top5_std : 0.0852
- pressure_side : ask
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6817
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
8.1927
- balance_zone_bottom:
7.6931
- balance_zone_mid:
7.9429
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793059200
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793307600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.7281
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
70
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: stretched
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8349
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793304000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
7.6931
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8714
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.3713
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
11
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
9
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.18313316 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
70
inside_close_ratio
0.8714
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.3713
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:39 | 7.62510000 | 0% |
| 2 | 17:49 | 7.62510000 | 0% |
| 3 | 18:00 | 7.62510000 | 0% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↓ ask
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6817ms
Confidence avant OB :
83%
→
90%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.100
avg -0.154
± 0.085
OBI Top 10
-0.012
Microstructure
Mid Price
7.6085
Micro Price
7.6095
Spread
0.0394%
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
7.6500
Size
25,377.18
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.6251 | 7.9612 | 6.7848 | 2.5 | 8.2209 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 7.6251
- Stop Loss: 7.9612
- Take Profit: 6.7848
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 7.9612 - 7.6251 = 0.3361
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 7.6251 - 6.7848 = 0.8403
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.8403 / 0.3361 = 2.5001
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 181.4888 | 100 | 23.8015 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.3361
Taille de position = 8 / 0.3361 = 23.8
Taille de position USD = 23.8 x 7.6251 = 181.48
Donc, tu peux acheter 23.8 avec un stoploss a 7.9612
Avec un position size USD de 181.48$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 23.8 x 0.3361 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 23.8 x 0.8403 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position 23.8
- Taille de position USD 181.48
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5001
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 11.02 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.41 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 11.22 $ | 6.18 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0131 % | 0.3 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.6251 | 7.9612 | 6.7848 | 2.5 | 8.2209 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 7.6251
- Stop Loss: 7.9612
- Take Profit: 6.7848
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 7.9612 - 7.6251 = 0.3361
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 7.6251 - 6.7848 = 0.8403
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.8403 / 0.3361 = 2.5001
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 6.9529
[stop_loss] => 7.9612
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-10-30 00:20:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.408%
(0.3361)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +3.608% | 0.8R | -0.013% | 0.0R | 275.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +4.244% | 1.0R | -0.013% | 0.0R | 324.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +8.964% | 2.0R | -0.013% | 0.0R | 684.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +8.964% | 2.0R | -0.013% | 0.0R | 684.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +8.964% | 2.0R | -0.013% | 0.0R | 684.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +10.060% | 2.3R | -0.013% | 0.0R | 768.0× | 288 |
| 36h | +10.060% | 2.3R | -0.013% | 0.0R | 768.0× | 432 |
| 48h | +10.060% | 2.3R | -0.013% | 0.0R | 768.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +10.060% | 2.3R | -0.013% | 0.0R | 768.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1270 min
MAE in 0 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.