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Short Trade on SUI

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29 Oct 2026 at 17:39:46 hyperliquid

Short Trade on SUI (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 283.31 SUI at 0.896$ per unit. Take profit: 0.8258 (7.87 %) & Stop Loss: 0.9246 (3.16 %)

SUI SHORT BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 29 Oct 2026 17:39 → 05:35 · 11 hours

Position

Entry 0.8963$

Qty 283.3089 SUI

Size 253.9439$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 0.8258 (+7.87%)

TP $ 19.97$

SL 0.9246 (-3.16%)

SL $ 8.02$

RR 2.49

Status win PnL +1.64% / +4.16$ MAE -0.89% MFE +7.67% 2.4R expires 30 Oct 05:39 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 233223)
#27 / 73
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 17:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.6955

Quality Score
0.534
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#27 / 73
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
84 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.16 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#27 / 73
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
84 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.16 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h near -0.31×ATR
1d clear 2.84×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↑ up early OK
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
21.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 17:30
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

27/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

29/10 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

29/10 16:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7278
Voir snapshot →
range compression range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

compression

0

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

transition

0

Micro bear

0.90

expansion

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.73
Transition risk : 0.27
Score contribution (this trade) +1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 7.2%
Macro alt_capitulation
Local 4h bearish Leadership btc_leading
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state stable
Δ 15m
→-0.001
Δ 1h
→-0.021
Δ 4h
▼-0.783
Δ 12h
▼-0.200
Δ 24h
▼-0.841

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 91.7%
1h 61.7%
4h 5.0%
24h 8.3%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 90.0% +0.38%
4h 8.3% -6.55%
24h 13.3% -8.33%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
1.7%
Down ≥1σ
88.3%
Expansion
90.0%
Tail ↑
+1.15
Tail ↓
+0.76
Dispersion : 0.261
Universe : 60 (+1 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+1 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.59
Snapshot évalué : 29/10 17:31 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.2992
Score SMA
0.3073
Rank
#51 / 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2308
Rank Norm SMA
0.3472
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3278 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 1.08% · r3d: 2.52% · ema21_slope: -0.5575% · dist_ema21: -4.959%
Force Relative 25% 0.4141 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.55% · rs_3d: 1.01% · beta_24h: 2.157
Volume 20% 0.1626 rvol_20: 0.54× · zscore_50: -0.895 · trend: -38.30%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4318 ADX: 22.7 (weak) · Chop: 70.0 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 6.647% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 17:00
Score brut
0.5335
Score SMA
0.5200
Rank
#27 / 73
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6955
Rank Norm SMA
0.5265
Calculé le
29/10/2026 17:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2762 r1h: -5.953% · r4h: -7.714% · r1d: -7.85% · r3d: -3.73% · ema21_slope: 0.0222% · dist_ema21: -5.485%
Force Relative 25% 0.1958 rs_1h: -3.495% · rs_4h: -4.737% · rs_1d: -4.79% · rs_3d: -2.47% · beta_24h: 2.125
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 6.37× · zscore_50: 5.891 · trend: 205.67%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6779 ADX: 21.3 (weak) · Chop: 17.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.879% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.5087
Score SMA
0.4712
Rank
#31 / 74
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5058
Rank Norm SMA
0.4689
Calculé le
29/10/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3987 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.562% · r1d: -2.25% · r3d: 2.17% · ema21_slope: 0.0234% · dist_ema21: -0.076%
Force Relative 25% 0.4392 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.430% · rs_1d: -1.32% · rs_3d: 1.13% · beta_24h: 2.002
Volume 20% 0.4908 rvol_20: 1.60× · zscore_50: 0.643 · trend: 4.53%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5406 ADX: 19.8 (weak) · Chop: 53.6 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.510% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -3.157% (0.0283)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.655% 0.8R -0.078% 0.0R 34.0× 12
2h +2.824% 0.9R -0.078% 0.0R 36.2× 24
4h +7.666% 2.4R -0.078% 0.0R 98.2× 48
8h +7.666% 2.4R -0.891% 0.3R 8.6× 96
12h ★ +7.666% 2.4R -0.891% 0.3R 8.6× 144
24h +7.666% 2.4R -1.367% 0.4R 5.6× 288
36h +7.666% 2.4R -1.951% 0.6R 3.9× 432
48h +7.666% 2.4R -1.951% 0.6R 3.9× 576
72h +7.666% 2.4R -1.951% 0.6R 3.9× 864
⏱ MFE in 160 min MAE in 1630 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 40
ML Pullback Score: 6.97
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression bull_high
52%
noisy_chop 40% mid — — 0.77 bull_high +4.55% -0.73 27/10 20:00
4h ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition strong balanced expansion bear_high
62%
noisy_chop 36% early near -0.3ATR — 0.65 bear_high -0.86% +0.06 29/10 12:00
1h ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate balanced volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
46%
noisy_chop 46% late — — 0.86 bear_medium_confirmed -2.22% -0.41 29/10 16:00
15m ↓ down range range strong grind volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
48%
noisy_chop 45% mid — — 0.88 bear_medium_confirmed -1.49% -0.33 29/10 17:15
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#444612
 ↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.669 compression bull_high
52%
noisy_chop 40% mid 31b -0.9ATR — — 0.54 35% ↓ -0.29 value +2.50 — #211842 0.77 bull_high +4.55% -0.73
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:18
4h
#452172
 ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition strong balanced 0.504 expansion bear_high
62%
noisy_chop 36% early 4b 0.0ATR near -0.3ATR — 1.60 61% ↓ -0.17 above_value +0.92 — #214993 0.65 bear_high -0.86% +0.06
29/10 12:00
upd 29/10 16:14
1h anchor
#452615
 ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate balanced 0.604 volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
46%
noisy_chop 46% late 4b -3.1ATR — — 6.37 100% ↑ +0.62 below_value -2.67 inside #215215 0.86 bear_medium_confirmed -2.22% -0.41
29/10 16:00
upd 29/10 17:09
15m
#452765
 ↓ down range range strong grind 0.347 volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
48%
noisy_chop 45% mid 2b -1.9ATR — — 2.94 99% ↑ +0.72 below_value -2.67 — #215215 0.88 bear_medium_confirmed -1.49% -0.33
29/10 17:15
upd 29/10 17:30
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 31b — 5.599×ATR p67 -0.902×ATR p51
4h ↑ up early 4b — 1.365×ATR p0 -0.03×ATR p1
1h ↓ down late 4b — 5.318×ATR p95 -3.099×ATR p99
15m ↑ up mid 2b — 2.91×ATR p56 -1.9×ATR p77

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.8409
  3. reason: down_bo width=2.70×ATR dur=43b phase=fresh
  4. stop_price: 0.92458773
  5. tp_price: 0.82575569
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.84091
  8. exit_rules:
  9. expires_at: 2026-10-30T09:39:39.003124
  10. max_bars: 12
  11. max_bars_tf: 1h
  12. confidence_pre_ob: 0.84091
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
    5. ¸
  5. market_structures
    6. ¸
  6. market_structure_v2
    7. ¸
  7. trend_analyzer_1h
    8. ¸
  8. orderbook_context
  9. obi_top5 : 0.041
  10. obi_top10 : 0.0337
  11. micro_price : 0.89764939
  12. spread_pct : 0.011141
  13. mid_price : 0.89765
  14. bid_wall_price : 0.884
  15. bid_wall_size : 483812.7
  16. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  17. ask_wall_price : 0.906
  18. ask_wall_size : 600811.7
  19. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  20. snapshots_count : 5
  21. obi_top5_mean : 0.0845
  22. obi_top5_std : 0.0482
  23. pressure_side : neutral
  24. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  25. collection_ms : 6839
  26. aggregation_tick : 0.001
  27. error :
    28. ¸
  28. strategy_details
  29. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  30. strategy_details
  31. balance_zone_top: 
    0.946235
  32. balance_zone_bottom: 
    0.89947
  33. balance_zone_mid: 
    0.9228525
  34. balance_zone_start_time: 
    1793156400
  35. balance_zone_end_time: 
    1793307600
  36. balance_zone_width_atr: 
    2.695
  37. balance_zone_duration_bars: 
    43
  38. balance_zone_quality: tight
  39. balance_zone_maturity: established
  40. balance_zone_confidence: 
    0.8409
  41. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  42. balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
  43. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  44. balance_zone_breakout_time: 
    1793304000
  45. balance_zone_breakout_price: 
    0.89947
  46. strategy_details
  47. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio: 
    0.8372
  48. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout: 
    1
  49. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr: 
    0.1798
  50. balance_metrics_has_retested: 
    1
  51. balance_metrics_retest_count: 
    1
  52. balance_metrics_touch_upper: 
    12
  53. balance_metrics_touch_lower: 
    4
  54. regime : bear_high_confirmed
  55. atr_entry : 0.01735225
    56. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
43
inside_close_ratio
0.8372
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.1798

Signaux confirmants (3)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 17:39 0.89635000 +0.006%
2 17:50 0.89635000 +0.006%
3 18:00 0.89635000 +0.006%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 6839ms Confidence avant OB : 84% → 84%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.041
avg 0.085 ± 0.048
OBI Top 10 0.034

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.8977
Micro Price
0.8976
Spread
0.0111%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
0.8840
Size
483,812.70

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
0.9060
Size
600,811.70

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.8963 0.9246 0.8258 2.49 0.8228
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.8963
  • Stop Loss: 0.9246
  • Take Profit: 0.8258

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.9246 - 0.8963 = 0.0283

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.8963 - 0.8258 = 0.0705

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0705 / 0.0283 = 2.4912

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
253.9439 100 283.3089 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0283

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0283 = 282.69

Taille de position USD = 282.69 x 0.8963 = 253.38

Donc, tu peux acheter 282.69 avec un stoploss a 0.9246

Avec un position size USD de 253.38$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 282.69 x 0.0283 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 282.69 x 0.0705 = 19.93

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.93$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 282.69
  • Taille de position USD 253.38
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 19.93
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4912

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
7.87 % 19.97 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.16 % 8.02 $
PNL PNL %
4.16 $ 1.64
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.8914 % 28.23 % 10
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.8963 0.9246 0.8258 2.49 0.8228
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.8963
  • Stop Loss: 0.9246
  • Take Profit: 0.8258

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.9246 - 0.8963 = 0.0283

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.8963 - 0.8258 = 0.0705

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0705 / 0.0283 = 2.4912

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.8397
            [stop_loss] => 0.9246
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-30 00:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -3.157% (0.0283)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.655% 0.8R -0.078% 0.0R 34.0× 12
2h +2.824% 0.9R -0.078% 0.0R 36.2× 24
4h +7.666% 2.4R -0.078% 0.0R 98.2× 48
8h +7.666% 2.4R -0.891% 0.3R 8.6× 96
12h ★ +7.666% 2.4R -0.891% 0.3R 8.6× 144
24h +7.666% 2.4R -1.367% 0.4R 5.6× 288
36h +7.666% 2.4R -1.951% 0.6R 3.9× 432
48h +7.666% 2.4R -1.951% 0.6R 3.9× 576
72h +7.666% 2.4R -1.951% 0.6R 3.9× 864
⏱ MFE in 160 min MAE in 1630 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.