Short Trade on CRV (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 477.22 CRV at 0.314$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2725 (13.33 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3312 (5.34 %)
29 Oct 2026 at 17:40:10
hyperliquid
CRV
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
29 Oct 2026 17:40
→ 22:00
· 4 hours
Position
Entry 0.3144$
Qty 477.2196 CRV
Size 150.0522$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2725 (+13.33%)
TP $ 20$
SL 0.3312 (-5.34%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 2.49
Status
win
PnL
+13.33%
/ +20$
MAE -0.00%
MFE +16.72%
3.1R
expires
30 Oct 05:40
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 233225)
#49 / 73
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 17:00
score du 29/10/2026 17:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1523
Quality Score
0.496
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#49 / 73
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.34 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#49 / 73
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.34 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | 0.34×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.01×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
9.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 17:30
29/10 17:30
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 27/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 29/10 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 29/10 16:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7278
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
bear
0.90 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.73
Transition risk :
0.27
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
7.2%
Macro
alt_capitulation
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→-0.001
Δ 1h
→-0.021
Δ 4h
▼-0.783
Δ 12h
▼-0.200
Δ 24h
▼-0.841
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 91.7% |
| 1h | 61.7% |
| 4h | 5.0% |
| 24h | 8.3% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 90.0% | +0.38% |
| 4h | 8.3% | -6.55% |
| 24h | 13.3% | -8.33% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
1.7%
Down ≥1σ
88.3%
Expansion
90.0%
Tail ↑
+1.15
Tail ↓
+0.76
Dispersion :
0.261
Universe :
60
(+1 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+1 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.59
Snapshot évalué :
29/10 17:31
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.2987
Score SMA
0.3738
Rank
#52
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2154
Rank Norm SMA
0.6035
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3848 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.78% · r3d: -1.94% · ema21_slope: 0.0052% · dist_ema21: -4.961% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3377 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.31% · rs_3d: -3.45% · beta_24h: 2.106 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1414 | rvol_20: 0.53× · zscore_50: -1.089 · trend: -43.15% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4706 | ADX: 11.7 (weak) · Chop: 53.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.738% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 17:00
Score brut
0.4955
Score SMA
0.4822
Rank
#49
/ 73
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1523
Rank Norm SMA
0.3172
Calculé le
29/10/2026 17:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1819 | r1h: -4.806% · r4h: -7.648% · r1d: -9.52% · r3d: -9.14% · ema21_slope: -0.0987% · dist_ema21: -5.652% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1585 | rs_1h: -2.348% · rs_4h: -4.671% · rs_1d: -6.46% · rs_3d: -7.88% · beta_24h: 1.755 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 9.09× · zscore_50: 6.620 · trend: 302.51% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6753 | ADX: 21.0 (weak) · Chop: 18.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.058% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.4014
Score SMA
0.4505
Rank
#63
/ 74
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0965
Rank Norm SMA
0.3827
Calculé le
29/10/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2722 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -3.392% · r1d: -5.05% · r3d: -5.09% · ema21_slope: -0.2036% · dist_ema21: -3.435% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2839 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.260% · rs_1d: -4.12% · rs_3d: -6.13% · beta_24h: 1.890 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3350 | rvol_20: 1.18× · zscore_50: -0.196 · trend: -20.13% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5452 | ADX: 25.3 (trend) · Chop: 58.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.816% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -5.344%
(0.0168)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +3.162% | 0.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +3.162% | 0.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +7.758% | 1.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +16.718% | 3.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +16.718% | 3.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 143 |
| 24h | +16.718% | 3.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 288 |
| 36h | +16.718% | 3.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 432 |
| 48h | +16.718% | 3.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 576 |
| 72h | +16.718% | 3.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 264 min
MAE in min
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 60
ML Pullback Score: 1.25
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | near 0.0ATR | near 0.4ATR | 0.64 | bull_high | +4.55% | +0.10 | 27/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | near 0.3ATR | — | 0.51 | bear_high | -0.86% | -0.71 | 29/10 12:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
45%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.56 | bear_medium_confirmed | -2.22% | -0.47 | 29/10 16:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
51%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late | — | — | 0.81 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.49% | -0.42 | 29/10 17:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#444620
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.540 | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early 6b -0.7ATR | near 0.0ATR | near 0.4ATR | 0.53 | 52% | ↓ -0.27 | above_value | -0.99 | — | #211844 | 0.64 | bull_high | +4.55% | +0.10 |
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:19
|
|
4h
#452176
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.628 | expansion | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late 46b -1.4ATR | near 0.3ATR | — | 1.18 | 37% | ↔ +0.02 | below_value | -3.11 | — | #214995 | 0.51 | bear_high | -0.86% | -0.71 |
29/10 12:00
upd 29/10 16:14
|
|
1h
anchor #452617
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.456 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
45%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late 4b -2.9ATR | — | — | 9.09 | 100% | ↑ +0.17 | below_value | -4.84 | inside | #215217 | 0.56 | bear_medium_confirmed | -2.22% | -0.47 |
29/10 16:00
upd 29/10 17:09
|
|
15m
#452767
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.268 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
51%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late 2b -2.0ATR | — | — | 0.92 | 96% | ↑ +0.90 | below_value | -4.84 | — | #215217 | 0.81 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.49% | -0.42 |
29/10 17:15
upd 29/10 17:30
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 2.777×ATR | p15 | -0.679×ATR | p48 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 46b | — | 9.289×ATR | p100 | -1.388×ATR | p79 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 4b | — | 4.494×ATR | p87 | -2.864×ATR | p99 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 2b | — | 2.924×ATR | p58 | -1.987×ATR | p84 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.7665
- reason: down_bo width=2.50×ATR dur=63b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.33119377
- tp_price: 0.27252058
- atr:
- score: 0.76647202081182
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-10-30T09:40:02.804355
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.76647202081182
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0834
- obi_top10 : 0.0769
- micro_price : 0.31252578
- spread_pct : 0.064
- mid_price : 0.3126
- bid_wall_price : 0.311
- bid_wall_size : 621971.6
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.316
- ask_wall_size : 607631
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.1005
- obi_top5_std : 0.0239
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7063
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.33864
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.322455
- balance_zone_mid:
0.3305475
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793084400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793307600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.5044
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
63
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: stretched
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7665
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793304000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.322455
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7937
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.2417
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
25
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
5
- regime : bear_high_confirmed
- atr_entry : 0.00646269 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
63
inside_close_ratio
0.7937
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
1.2417
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:40 | 0.31443000 | +0.01% |
| 2 | 17:50 | 0.31443000 | +0.01% |
| 3 | 18:01 | 0.31443000 | +0.01% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7063ms
Confidence avant OB :
77%
→
77%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.083
avg 0.101
± 0.024
OBI Top 10
0.077
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.3126
Micro Price
0.3125
Spread
0.0640%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.3110
Size
621,971.60
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.3160
Size
607,631.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3144 | 0.3312 | 0.2725 | 2.49 | 0.2493 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.3144
- Stop Loss: 0.3312
- Take Profit: 0.2725
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3312 - 0.3144 = 0.0168
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3144 - 0.2725 = 0.0419
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0419 / 0.0168 = 2.494
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 150.0522 | 100 | 477.2196 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0168
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0168 = 476.19
Taille de position USD = 476.19 x 0.3144 = 149.71
Donc, tu peux acheter 476.19 avec un stoploss a 0.3312
Avec un position size USD de 149.71$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 476.19 x 0.0168 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 476.19 x 0.0419 = 19.95
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.95$
Résumé
- Taille de position 476.19
- Taille de position USD 149.71
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.95
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.494
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 13.33 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.34 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 20 $ | 13.33 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3144 | 0.3312 | 0.2725 | 2.49 | 0.2493 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.3144
- Stop Loss: 0.3312
- Take Profit: 0.2725
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3312 - 0.3144 = 0.0168
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3144 - 0.2725 = 0.0419
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0419 / 0.0168 = 2.494
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.2808
[stop_loss] => 0.3312
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-10-30 02:00:00+00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.2724
[stop_loss] => 0.3312
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-30 02:00:00+00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.264
[stop_loss] => 0.3312
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-10-30 02:05:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -5.344%
(0.0168)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +3.162% | 0.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +3.162% | 0.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +7.758% | 1.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +16.718% | 3.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +16.718% | 3.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 143 |
| 24h | +16.718% | 3.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 288 |
| 36h | +16.718% | 3.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 432 |
| 48h | +16.718% | 3.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 576 |
| 72h | +16.718% | 3.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 264 min
MAE in min
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.