29 Oct 2026 at 18:25:47 hyperliquid

Long Trade on TRX (PavLongMomentum4h)

With 418.26 TRX at 0.352$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3354 (4.82 %)

TRX LONG PavLongMomentum4h hyperliquid 29 Oct 2026 18:25 → 02:05 · 7 hours

Position

Entry 0.3524$

Qty 418.2641 TRX

Size 147.4005$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 147.4$

SL 0.3354 (-4.82%)

SL $ 7.11$

RR

Status loss PnL -4.82% / -7.11$ MAE -3.69% MFE +2.40% 0.5R

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 233307)
#2 / 85
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 18:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3554

Quality Score
0.796
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#2 / 85
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-2
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-4
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#2 / 85
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-4
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h near -0.85×ATR
1d clear 2.62×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↑ up early OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie PavLongMomentum4h. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie PavLongMomentum4h. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
24.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 18:15
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

27/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : range_low (0)

29/10 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

29/10 17:00

Score : -2 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7281
Voir snapshot →
range compression range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

compression

0

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

-1

Tactical bear

0.55

transition

-1

Micro bear

0.90

expansion

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.73
Transition risk : 0.27
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 6.2%
Macro alt_capitulation
Local 4h bearish Leadership btc_leading
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state stable
Δ 15m
→-0.022
Δ 1h
→-0.012
Δ 4h
▼-0.426
Δ 12h
▼-0.524
Δ 24h
▼-0.709

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 21.5%
1h 9.2%
4h 4.6%
24h 6.2%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 43.1% -0.16%
4h 7.7% -6.38%
24h 12.3% -7.87%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
3.1%
Down ≥1σ
90.8%
Expansion
93.9%
Tail ↑
+0.83
Tail ↓
+0.68
Dispersion : 0.330
Universe : 65 (+1 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+1 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.59
Snapshot évalué : 29/10 18:16 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5640
Score SMA
0.4917
Rank
#4 / 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9538
Rank Norm SMA
0.8256
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4556 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.53% · r3d: -0.20% · ema21_slope: -0.0609% · dist_ema21: -0.537%
Force Relative 25% 0.4940 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.06% · rs_3d: -1.71% · beta_24h: -0.043
Volume 20% 0.7406 rvol_20: 2.32× · zscore_50: 2.522 · trend: 11.38%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.3711 ADX: 8.1 (weak) · Chop: 62.5 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.088% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 18:00
Score brut
0.7961
Score SMA
0.4951
Rank
#2 / 85
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3554
Rank Norm SMA
0.3501
Calculé le
29/10/2026 18:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7352 r1h: 9.200% · r4h: 8.640% · r1d: 9.24% · r3d: 9.22% · ema21_slope: 0.0746% · dist_ema21: 7.872%
Force Relative 25% 0.9627 rs_1h: 8.959% · rs_4h: 10.918% · rs_1d: 12.09% · rs_3d: 10.53% · beta_24h: 0.423
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 15.58× · zscore_50: 6.724 · trend: 620.89%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7530 ADX: 30.4 (trend) · Chop: -42.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.014% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.5435
Score SMA
0.5252
Rank
#17 / 74
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5453
Rank Norm SMA
0.6416
Calculé le
29/10/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5133 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.018% · r1d: 0.63% · r3d: 0.48% · ema21_slope: 0.0298% · dist_ema21: 0.324%
Force Relative 25% 0.5509 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.150% · rs_1d: 1.57% · rs_3d: -0.56% · beta_24h: -0.018
Volume 20% 0.3036 rvol_20: 0.68× · zscore_50: -0.050 · trend: 8.85%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6068 ADX: 18.7 (weak) · Chop: 44.2 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 0.353% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: PavLongMomentum4h (★ 4h) Initial Risk: -4.824% (0.0170)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.124% 0.2R -3.692% 0.8R 0.3× 12
2h +2.157% 0.5R -3.692% 0.8R 0.6× 24
4h ★ +2.398% 0.5R -3.692% 0.8R 0.7× 48
8h +2.398% 0.5R -5.040% 1.0R 0.5× 96
12h +2.398% 0.5R -5.820% 1.2R 0.4× 144
24h +2.398% 0.5R -6.368% 1.3R 0.4× 288
48h +2.398% 0.5R -14.665% 3.0R 0.2× 576
72h +2.398% 0.5R -14.694% 3.1R 0.2× 864
⏱ MFE in 169 min MAE in 1429 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -60
ML Pullback Score: 0.86
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down range range strong grind compression bear_high
59%
noisy_chop 37% early near 0.3ATR — 0.41 bull_high +4.55% -0.04 27/10 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind normal range_low
41%
noisy_chop 43% early — near -0.8ATR 0.24 bear_high -0.86% -0.02 29/10 12:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong fading volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
56%
choppy 55% late — — 0.13 bear_medium_confirmed -1.95% +0.76 29/10 17:00
15m ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition strong explosive expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
70%
noisy_chop 48% late — — 0.13 bear_medium_confirmed -2.02% +0.73 29/10 18:00
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#444648
↓ down range range strong grind 0.466 compression bear_high
59%
noisy_chop 37% early 11b -0.6ATR near 0.3ATR — 2.32 93% ↔ -0.01 above_value -0.45 — #211851 0.41 bull_high +4.55% -0.04
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:20
4h
#452190
↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.612 normal range_low
41%
noisy_chop 43% early 4b 0.8ATR — near -0.8ATR 0.68 62% ↑ +0.44 above_value +0.28 — #215002 0.24 bear_high -0.86% -0.02
29/10 12:00
upd 29/10 16:15
1h anchor
#453050
↑ up transition bullish_transition strong fading 0.372 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
56%
choppy 55% late 7b 7.3ATR — — 15.58 100% ↑ +0.93 above_value +7.79 inside #215383 0.13 bear_medium_confirmed -1.95% +0.76
29/10 17:00
upd 29/10 18:12
15m
#453134
↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition strong explosive 0.851 expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
70%
noisy_chop 48% late 3b 2.5ATR — — 4.40 100% ↑ +1.00 above_value +7.79 — #215383 0.13 bear_medium_confirmed -2.02% +0.73
29/10 18:00
upd 29/10 18:17
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 11b — 2.173×ATR p0 -0.554×ATR p32
4h ↑ up early 4b — 2.193×ATR p0 +0.835×ATR p52
1h ↑ up late 7b — 7.972×ATR p98 +7.287×ATR p100
15m ↓ down late 3b — 0×ATR p0 +2.525×ATR p93

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

PavLongMomentum4h - BUY

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. confidence: 1
  3. reason: breakout|ob:bid_pressure(+0.07)|ob:obi_moderate(+0.05)
  4. stop_price: 0.33328333
  5. tp_price:
  6. atr:
  7. score: 1
  8. exit_rules: [{"type":"trailing_ma","params":{"period":9,"timeframe":"4h","on":"Close"}},{"type":"time_expiry","params":{"max_bars":20,"timeframe":"4h"}}]
  9. confidence_pre_ob: 1
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : 0.4364
  14. obi_top10 : 0.2615
  15. micro_price : 0.35007719
  16. spread_pct : 0.002857
  17. mid_price : 0.350075
  18. bid_wall_price : 0.348
  19. bid_wall_size : 416467.4
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price : 0.354
  22. ask_wall_size : 310849
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : 0.3929
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.0572
  27. pressure_side : bid
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 7090
  30. aggregation_tick : 0.001
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : pav_long_momentum
  35. timeframe : 4h
  36. breakout_period : 42
  37. ma_exit_period : 9
  38. breakout_high : 0.33266
  39. breakout_high_time : 2026-10-28T08:00:00
  40. ma_exit_at_entry : 0.33328333
  41. entry_price : 0.35241
  42. ¸

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

↑ bid ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7090ms Confidence avant OB : 100% → 100%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.436
avg 0.393 ± 0.057
OBI Top 10 0.262

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.3501
Micro Price
0.3501
Spread
0.0029%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
0.3480
Size
416,467.40

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
0.3540
Size
310,849.00

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3524 0.3354 0.3192
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3524
  • Stop Loss: 0.3354
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3354 - 0.3524 = -0.017

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3524 - = 0.3524

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3524 / -0.017 = -20.7294

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
147.4005 100 418.2641 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.017

Taille de position = 8 / -0.017 = -470.59

Taille de position USD = -470.59 x 0.3524 = -165.84

Donc, tu peux acheter -470.59 avec un stoploss a 0.3354

Avec un position size USD de -165.84$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -470.59 x -0.017 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -470.59 x 0.3524 = -165.84

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras -165.84$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -470.59
  • Taille de position USD -165.84
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel -165.84
  • Risk-Reward Ratio -20.7294

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 147.4 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.82 % 7.11 $
PNL PNL %
-7.11 $ -4.82
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-4.9376 % 102.35 % 26
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3524 0.3354 0.3192
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3524
  • Stop Loss: 0.3354
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3354 - 0.3524 = -0.017

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3524 - = 0.3524

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3524 / -0.017 = -20.7294

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.3524
            [stop_loss] => 0.3337
            [rr_ratio] => 18.84
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 22:30:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.3524
            [stop_loss] => 0.332
            [rr_ratio] => 17.27
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 22:30:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.3524
            [stop_loss] => 0.3303
            [rr_ratio] => 15.95
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 22:30:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.3524
            [stop_loss] => 0.3269
            [rr_ratio] => 13.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 22:30:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: PavLongMomentum4h (★ 4h) Initial Risk: -4.824% (0.0170)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.124% 0.2R -3.692% 0.8R 0.3× 12
2h +2.157% 0.5R -3.692% 0.8R 0.6× 24
4h ★ +2.398% 0.5R -3.692% 0.8R 0.7× 48
8h +2.398% 0.5R -5.040% 1.0R 0.5× 96
12h +2.398% 0.5R -5.820% 1.2R 0.4× 144
24h +2.398% 0.5R -6.368% 1.3R 0.4× 288
48h +2.398% 0.5R -14.665% 3.0R 0.2× 576
72h +2.398% 0.5R -14.694% 3.1R 0.2× 864
⏱ MFE in 169 min MAE in 1429 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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