Short Trade on DOGE (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 2184.39 DOGE at 0.0757$ per unit. Take profit: 0.0665 (12.11 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07932 (4.84 %)
29 Oct 2026 at 23:48:02
hyperliquid
DOGE
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
29 Oct 2026 23:48
→ 11:45
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.07566$
Qty 2184.3898 DOGE
Size 165.2709$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.0665 (+12.11%)
TP $ 20.01$
SL 0.07932 (-4.84%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-0.05%
/ -0.083$
MAE -1.47%
MFE +1.06%
0.2R
expires
30 Oct 11:47
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 233913)
#11 / 93
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 23:00
score du 29/10/2026 23:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7721
Quality Score
0.573
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#11 / 93
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.84 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#11 / 93
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.84 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.75×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.26×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.98×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
18.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 23:45
29/10 23:45
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 28/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 29/10 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 29/10 22:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7303
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.90 |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.90 |
transition
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
42.9%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
mixed
Leadership
balanced
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
recovering
Δ 15m
▲+0.091
Δ 1h
▲+0.134
Δ 4h
▲+0.371
Δ 12h
▼-0.485
Δ 24h
▲+0.357
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 77.9% |
| 1h | 94.8% |
| 4h | 55.8% |
| 24h | 14.3% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 79.2% | +0.21% |
| 4h | 59.7% | +0.48% |
| 24h | 23.4% | -4.88% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.6%
Down ≥1σ
5.2%
Expansion
7.8%
Tail ↑
+0.48
Tail ↓
+0.69
Dispersion :
0.323
Universe :
77
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.80
Snapshot évalué :
29/10 23:46
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3162
Score SMA
0.3257
Rank
#35
/ 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6000
Rank Norm SMA
0.4737
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1535 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -5.71% · r3d: -3.24% · ema21_slope: -0.4911% · dist_ema21: -7.172% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4197 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.56% · rs_3d: -0.54% · beta_24h: 1.531 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3383 | rvol_20: 1.39× · zscore_50: -0.228 · trend: -41.24% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4736 | ADX: 26.7 (trend) · Chop: 69.0 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.2653 | ATR%: 5.204% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.5731
Score SMA
0.5416
Rank
#11
/ 93
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7721
Rank Norm SMA
0.6585
Calculé le
29/10/2026 23:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3691 | r1h: 1.307% · r4h: -1.554% · r1d: -3.76% · r3d: -3.32% · ema21_slope: -0.1787% · dist_ema21: -2.863% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5215 | rs_1h: 0.515% · rs_4h: 0.481% · rs_1d: -0.58% · rs_3d: -0.32% · beta_24h: 1.590 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5792 | rvol_20: 1.30× · zscore_50: 0.771 · trend: 105.34% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7741 | ADX: 32.9 (trend) · Chop: 13.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.721% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6004
Score SMA
0.5101
Rank
#15
/ 90
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8529
Rank Norm SMA
0.6752
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3003 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -5.106% · r1d: -5.71% · r3d: -3.24% · ema21_slope: 0.0668% · dist_ema21: -4.152% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4420 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.554% · rs_1d: -1.56% · rs_3d: -0.54% · beta_24h: 1.373 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 5.25× · zscore_50: 3.804 · trend: 132.49% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6652 | ADX: 19.8 (weak) · Chop: 32.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.189% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.837%
(0.0037)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.139% | 0.0R | -0.911% | 0.2R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.139% | 0.0R | -1.215% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.201% | 0.0R | -1.474% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.616% | 0.1R | -1.474% | 0.3R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.060% | 0.2R | -1.474% | 0.3R | 0.7× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.573% | 0.3R | -1.474% | 0.3R | 1.1× | 288 |
| 36h | +1.573% | 0.3R | -1.474% | 0.3R | 1.1× | 432 |
| 48h | +1.573% | 0.3R | -1.474% | 0.3R | 1.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +1.573% | 0.3R | -1.474% | 0.3R | 1.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 901 min
MAE in 161 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 6 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.34
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.82 | range_high | +0.21% | -0.60 | 28/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
49%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.81 | bear_high_confirmed | -4.29% | -0.02 | 29/10 16:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
52%
|
noisy_chop 47% | mid | — | — | 0.87 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.63% | -0.07 | 29/10 22:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.89 | bear_medium | -1.72% | +0.06 | 29/10 23:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#453964
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | grind | 0.673 | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late 37b -1.7ATR | — | — | 1.39 | 57% | ↓ -0.26 | below_value | -1.76 | — | #215715 | 0.82 | range_high | +0.21% | -0.60 |
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 20:18
|
|
4h
#453928
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.473 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
49%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late 1b -1.9ATR | near -0.3ATR | — | 5.25 | 92% | ↑ +0.71 | below_value | -1.76 | inside | #215715 | 0.81 | bear_high_confirmed | -4.29% | -0.02 |
29/10 16:00
upd 29/10 20:16
|
|
1h
anchor #455472
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.530 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
52%
|
noisy_chop 47% | mid 2b -1.4ATR | — | — | 1.30 | 96% | ↑ +0.84 | below_value | -1.71 | — | #216348 | 0.87 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.63% | -0.07 |
29/10 22:00
upd 29/10 23:11
|
|
15m
#455758
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.354 | compression | bear_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid 13b 0.8ATR | — | near -0.1ATR | 1.95 | 97% | ↔ +0.11 | below_value | -1.71 | — | #216348 | 0.89 | bear_medium | -1.72% | +0.06 |
29/10 23:30
upd 29/10 23:45
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 37b | — | 7.856×ATR | p89 | -1.707×ATR | p83 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 1b | — | 3.795×ATR | p53 | -1.939×ATR | p88 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 2b | — | 2.16×ATR | p27 | -1.408×ATR | p70 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 13b | — | 5.493×ATR | p79 | +0.796×ATR | p36 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.8045
- reason: down_bo width=2.69×ATR dur=43b phase=extending
- stop_price: 0.07932235
- tp_price: 0.06650412
- atr:
- score: 0.80446635807258
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-10-30T15:47:54.390831
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.80446635807258
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.1298
- obi_top10 : -0.0635
- micro_price : 0.07595994
- spread_pct : 0.013167
- mid_price : 0.075955
- bid_wall_price : 0.0757
- bid_wall_size : 20824884.8
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.0761
- ask_wall_size : 22248892.4
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.1156
- obi_top5_std : 0.0304
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6886
- aggregation_tick : 0.0001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.080882
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.0775125
- balance_zone_mid:
0.07919725
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793178000
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793329200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.6934
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
43
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8045
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: extending
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793304000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.0775125
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.814
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
7
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.4808
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
3
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
5
- regime : bear_high_confirmed
- atr_entry : 0.001251 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
43
inside_close_ratio
0.814
bars_since_breakout
7
distance_to_edge_atr
1.4808
Signaux confirmants (14)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23:48 | 0.07566000 | 0% |
| 2 | 23:56 | 0.07566000 | 0% |
| 3 | 00:42 | 0.07622600 | +0.748% |
| 4 | 00:51 | 0.07622600 | +0.748% |
| 5 | 01:00 | 0.07622600 | +0.748% |
| 6 | 01:11 | 0.07623700 | +0.763% |
| 7 | 01:21 | 0.07623700 | +0.763% |
| 8 | 01:30 | 0.07623700 | +0.763% |
| 9 | 01:40 | 0.07653100 | +1.151% |
| 10 | 01:50 | 0.07653100 | +1.151% |
| 11 | 01:59 | 0.07653100 | +1.151% |
| 12 | 02:37 | 0.07648800 | +1.094% |
| 13 | 02:46 | 0.07648800 | +1.094% |
| 14 | 02:55 | 0.07648800 | +1.094% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6886ms
Confidence avant OB :
80%
→
80%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.130
avg -0.116
± 0.030
OBI Top 10
-0.064
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0760
Micro Price
0.0760
Spread
0.0132%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.0757
Size
20,824,884.80
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.0761
Size
22,248,892.40
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07566 | 0.07932 | 0.0665 | 2.5 | 0.07086 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.07566
- Stop Loss: 0.07932
- Take Profit: 0.0665
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07932 - 0.07566 = 0.00366
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07566 - 0.0665 = 0.00916
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00916 / 0.00366 = 2.5027
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 165.2709 | 100 | 2184.3898 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00366
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00366 = 2185.79
Taille de position USD = 2185.79 x 0.07566 = 165.38
Donc, tu peux acheter 2185.79 avec un stoploss a 0.07932
Avec un position size USD de 165.38$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2185.79 x 0.00366 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2185.79 x 0.00916 = 20.02
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.02$
Résumé
- Taille de position 2185.79
- Taille de position USD 165.38
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.02
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5027
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 12.11 % | 20.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.84 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -0.083 $ | -0.05 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.4737 % | 30.46 % | 25 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07566 | 0.07932 | 0.0665 | 2.5 | 0.07086 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.07566
- Stop Loss: 0.07932
- Take Profit: 0.0665
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07932 - 0.07566 = 0.00366
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07566 - 0.0665 = 0.00916
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00916 / 0.00366 = 2.5027
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.837%
(0.0037)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.139% | 0.0R | -0.911% | 0.2R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.139% | 0.0R | -1.215% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.201% | 0.0R | -1.474% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.616% | 0.1R | -1.474% | 0.3R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.060% | 0.2R | -1.474% | 0.3R | 0.7× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.573% | 0.3R | -1.474% | 0.3R | 1.1× | 288 |
| 36h | +1.573% | 0.3R | -1.474% | 0.3R | 1.1× | 432 |
| 48h | +1.573% | 0.3R | -1.474% | 0.3R | 1.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +1.573% | 0.3R | -1.474% | 0.3R | 1.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 901 min
MAE in 161 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 6 days ago
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