Short Trade on UNI (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 18.94 UNI at 6.699$ per unit. Take profit: 5.6437 (15.76 %) & Stop Loss: 7.1217 (6.3 %)
29 Oct 2026 at 23:49:54
hyperliquid
UNI
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
29 Oct 2026 23:49
→ 11:10
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 6.6994$
Qty 18.9442 UNI
Size 126.915$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 5.6437 (+15.76%)
TP $ 20$
SL 7.1217 (-6.3%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-6.30%
/ -8$
MAE -6.69%
MFE +0.55%
0.1R
expires
30 Oct 11:49
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 233927)
#16 / 93
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 23:00
score du 29/10/2026 23:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6466
Quality Score
0.556
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#16 / 93
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
72 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.30 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#16 / 93
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
72 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.30 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | 0.01×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.85×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
106.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 23:45
29/10 23:45
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 28/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 29/10 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 29/10 22:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7303
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.90 |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.90 |
transition
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
42.9%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
mixed
Leadership
balanced
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
recovering
Δ 15m
▲+0.091
Δ 1h
▲+0.134
Δ 4h
▲+0.371
Δ 12h
▼-0.485
Δ 24h
▲+0.357
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 77.9% |
| 1h | 94.8% |
| 4h | 55.8% |
| 24h | 14.3% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 79.2% | +0.21% |
| 4h | 59.7% | +0.48% |
| 24h | 23.4% | -4.88% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.6%
Down ≥1σ
5.2%
Expansion
7.8%
Tail ↑
+0.48
Tail ↓
+0.69
Dispersion :
0.323
Universe :
77
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.80
Snapshot évalué :
29/10 23:46
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3477
Score SMA
0.3039
Rank
#27
/ 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6941
Rank Norm SMA
0.3552
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1269 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -10.77% · r3d: -9.58% · ema21_slope: -0.5421% · dist_ema21: -11.137% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2532 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -6.63% · rs_3d: -6.88% · beta_24h: 2.806 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8325 | rvol_20: 4.99× · zscore_50: 1.712 · trend: 38.79% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5321 | ADX: 29.5 (trend) · Chop: 64.6 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.130% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.5559
Score SMA
0.5352
Rank
#16
/ 93
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6466
Rank Norm SMA
0.5986
Calculé le
29/10/2026 23:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3721 | r1h: 1.085% · r4h: 2.954% · r1d: -5.36% · r3d: -6.05% · ema21_slope: -0.3218% · dist_ema21: -3.444% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5634 | rs_1h: 0.294% · rs_4h: 4.988% · rs_1d: -2.18% · rs_3d: -3.05% · beta_24h: 1.762 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4441 | rvol_20: 0.69× · zscore_50: 0.207 · trend: 117.04% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7643 | ADX: 31.7 (trend) · Chop: 18.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.921% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4830
Score SMA
0.4914
Rank
#51
/ 90
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6027
Rank Norm SMA
0.5729
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2369 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -9.686% · r1d: -10.77% · r3d: -9.58% · ema21_slope: 0.0362% · dist_ema21: -8.361% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2135 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -6.135% · rs_1d: -6.63% · rs_3d: -6.88% · beta_24h: 2.328 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 13.08× · zscore_50: 6.848 · trend: 430.29% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6281 | ADX: 15.4 (weak) · Chop: 26.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6432 | ATR%: 4.070% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -6.304%
(0.4223)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.342% | 0.1R | -1.502% | 0.2R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.342% | 0.1R | -2.802% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.479% | 0.1R | -2.802% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.554% | 0.1R | -3.990% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.554% | 0.1R | -6.687% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.554% | 0.1R | -7.881% | 1.3R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 36h | +0.554% | 0.1R | -7.881% | 1.3R | 0.1× | 432 |
| 48h | +0.554% | 0.1R | -7.881% | 1.3R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.554% | 0.1R | -10.602% | 1.7R | 0.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 255 min
MAE in 1245 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 6 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.19
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
34%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late | near -0.8ATR | — | 0.65 | range_high | +0.21% | -0.58 | 28/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
40%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.64 | bear_high_confirmed | -4.29% | -0.57 | 29/10 16:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | 0.73 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.63% | -0.24 | 29/10 22:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | near -1.7ATR | 0.74 | bear_medium | -1.72% | +0.39 | 29/10 23:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#454017
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.676 | compression | range_high |
34%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late 36b -1.6ATR | near -0.8ATR | — | 4.99 | 98% | ↔ +0.02 | below_value | -2.64 | — | #215728 | 0.65 | range_high | +0.21% | -0.58 |
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 20:21
|
|
4h
#453986
|
↔ neutral | range | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.532 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
40%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late 1b -2.3ATR | near 0.0ATR | — | 13.08 | 100% | ↑ +0.86 | below_value | -2.64 | — | #215728 | 0.64 | bear_high_confirmed | -4.29% | -0.57 |
29/10 16:00
upd 29/10 20:19
|
|
1h
anchor #455486
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | grind | 0.338 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early 4b -1.0ATR | — | — | 0.69 | 96% | ↑ +0.94 | value | +0.57 | — | #216362 | 0.73 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.63% | -0.24 |
29/10 22:00
upd 29/10 23:11
|
|
15m
#455772
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.603 | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late 12b 1.1ATR | — | near -1.7ATR | 0.27 | 79% | ↓ -0.89 | value | +0.57 | — | #216362 | 0.74 | bear_medium | -1.72% | +0.39 |
29/10 23:30
upd 29/10 23:46
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 36b | — | 7.585×ATR | p81 | -1.606×ATR | p71 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 1b | — | 3.984×ATR | p61 | -2.251×ATR | p91 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.977×ATR | p23 | -1.002×ATR | p59 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 12b | — | 4.583×ATR | p82 | +1.101×ATR | p52 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.7156
- reason: down_bo width=1.41×ATR dur=60b phase=extending
- stop_price: 7.12169196
- tp_price: 5.6436701
- atr:
- score: 0.71564131562904
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-10-30T15:49:46.300294
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.71564131562904
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.0655
- obi_top10 : 0.032
- micro_price : 6.75937015
- spread_pct : 0.014795
- mid_price : 6.7595
- bid_wall_price : 6.71
- bid_wall_size : 53611
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 6.8
- ask_wall_size : 41524.2
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0694
- obi_top5_std : 0.0047
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6934
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
7.2348
- balance_zone_bottom:
6.97115
- balance_zone_mid:
7.102975
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793116800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793329200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.4086
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
60
- balance_zone_quality: loose
- balance_zone_maturity: stretched
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7156
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: extending
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793304000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
6.97115
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7167
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
7
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.4519
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
14
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
7
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.18716961 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
60
inside_close_ratio
0.7167
bars_since_breakout
7
distance_to_edge_atr
1.4519
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23:49 | 6.69940000 | 0% |
| 2 | 23:59 | 6.69940000 | 0% |
| 3 | 00:44 | 6.77460000 | +1.122% |
| 4 | 00:52 | 6.77460000 | +1.122% |
| 5 | 01:03 | 6.77460000 | +1.122% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6934ms
Confidence avant OB :
72%
→
72%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.066
avg -0.069
± 0.005
OBI Top 10
0.032
Microstructure
Mid Price
6.7595
Micro Price
6.7594
Spread
0.0148%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
6.7100
Size
53,611.00
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
6.8000
Size
41,524.20
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.6994 | 7.1217 | 5.6437 | 2.5 | 7.036 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 6.6994
- Stop Loss: 7.1217
- Take Profit: 5.6437
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 7.1217 - 6.6994 = 0.4223
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 6.6994 - 5.6437 = 1.0557
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.0557 / 0.4223 = 2.4999
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 126.915 | 100 | 18.9442 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.4223
Taille de position = 8 / 0.4223 = 18.94
Taille de position USD = 18.94 x 6.6994 = 126.89
Donc, tu peux acheter 18.94 avec un stoploss a 7.1217
Avec un position size USD de 126.89$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 18.94 x 0.4223 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 18.94 x 1.0557 = 19.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.99$
Résumé
- Taille de position 18.94
- Taille de position USD 126.89
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.99
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4999
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 15.76 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.3 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -6.30 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -6.4767 % | 102.75 % | 14 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.6994 | 7.1217 | 5.6437 | 2.5 | 7.036 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 6.6994
- Stop Loss: 7.1217
- Take Profit: 5.6437
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 7.1217 - 6.6994 = 0.4223
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 6.6994 - 5.6437 = 1.0557
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.0557 / 0.4223 = 2.4999
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -6.304%
(0.4223)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.342% | 0.1R | -1.502% | 0.2R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.342% | 0.1R | -2.802% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.479% | 0.1R | -2.802% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.554% | 0.1R | -3.990% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.554% | 0.1R | -6.687% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.554% | 0.1R | -7.881% | 1.3R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 36h | +0.554% | 0.1R | -7.881% | 1.3R | 0.1× | 432 |
| 48h | +0.554% | 0.1R | -7.881% | 1.3R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.554% | 0.1R | -10.602% | 1.7R | 0.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 255 min
MAE in 1245 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 6 days ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.