Short Trade on USELESS (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 1364.97 USELESS at 0.125$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1215 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1305 (4.74 %)
02 Nov 2026 at 05:15:08
hyperliquid
USELESS
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
02 Nov 2026 05:15
→ 10:10
· 4 hours
Position
Entry 0.1246$
Qty 1364.9734 USELESS
Size 170.103$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1215 (+2.49%)
TP $ 4.23$
SL 0.1305 (-4.74%)
SL $ 8.05$
RR 0.53
Status
loss
PnL
-4.74%
/ -8.05$
MAE -5.12%
MFE +0.91%
0.2R
expires
02 Nov 11:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 240918)
#52 / 53
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 05:00
score du 02/11/2026 05:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1501
Quality Score
0.344
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#52 / 53
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.74 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#52 / 53
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.74 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.59×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-1.01
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
2.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 05:03
02/11 05:03
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 31/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 01/11 23:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 02/11 04:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7616
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
14.0%
Macro
broad_risk_off
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→-0.004
Δ 1h
→-0.031
Δ 4h
▼-0.369
Δ 12h
▼-0.204
Δ 24h
▼-0.165
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 44.7% |
| 1h | 10.5% |
| 4h | 7.9% |
| 24h | 13.2% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 50.0% | -0.00% |
| 4h | 23.7% | -1.01% |
| 24h | 13.2% | -3.37% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
15.8%
Expansion
15.8%
Tail ↑
+0.47
Tail ↓
+0.73
Dispersion :
0.153
Universe :
38
(+1 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+1 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
02/11 05:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.2566
Score SMA
0.2362
Rank
#49
/ 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0400
Rank Norm SMA
0.0595
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2152 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 3.37% · r3d: 2.43% · ema21_slope: -1.2271% · dist_ema21: -18.088% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2995 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 2.35% · rs_3d: 1.94% · beta_24h: 4.296 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2427 | rvol_20: 0.84× · zscore_50: -0.669 · trend: -25.19% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4576 | ADX: 19.3 (weak) · Chop: 63.3 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 18.395% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 05:00
Score brut
0.3441
Score SMA
0.4567
Rank
#52
/ 53
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1501
Rank Norm SMA
0.2550
Calculé le
02/11/2026 05:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2306 | r1h: -0.952% · r4h: -2.598% · r1d: -7.96% · r3d: -6.02% · ema21_slope: -0.1012% · dist_ema21: -3.005% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2699 | rs_1h: -0.740% · rs_4h: -2.222% · rs_1d: -7.89% · rs_3d: -6.52% · beta_24h: 3.396 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2382 | rvol_20: 0.72× · zscore_50: -0.150 · trend: -40.69% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4884 | ADX: 13.1 (weak) · Chop: 53.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.944% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 03:00
Score brut
0.1936
Score SMA
0.3489
Rank
#52
/ 52
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0096
Rank Norm SMA
0.1041
Calculé le
02/11/2026 03:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1151 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -4.006% · r1d: -4.32% · r3d: -4.76% · ema21_slope: -0.5853% · dist_ema21: -5.968% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2362 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -3.349% · rs_1d: -4.51% · rs_3d: -4.68% · beta_24h: 4.507 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1896 | rvol_20: 0.36× · zscore_50: -0.473 · trend: -34.17% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.2957 | ADX: 19.0 (weak) · Chop: 83.0 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.1774 | ATR%: 5.468% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.735%
(0.0059)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.915% | 0.2R | -0.072% | 0.0R | 12.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.915% | 0.2R | -1.429% | 0.3R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.915% | 0.2R | -3.628% | 0.8R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.915% | 0.2R | -5.120% | 1.1R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +4.470% | 0.9R | -5.120% | 1.1R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.470% | 0.9R | -5.120% | 1.1R | 0.9× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.559% | 1.0R | -5.120% | 1.1R | 0.9× | 288 |
| 48h | +4.559% | 1.0R | -17.697% | 3.7R | 0.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +4.559% | 1.0R | -20.385% | 4.3R | 0.2× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1339 min
MAE in 294 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 5 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.94
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ — | — | — | — | — | — | bear_high |
37%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | — | range_high | +0.70% | -0.98 | 31/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 36% | late | — | — | 0.61 | bear_high | -2.68% | -0.21 | 01/11 23:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.65 | range_low | -0.38% | -0.56 | 02/11 04:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | — | — | 0.58 | range_low | -0.06% | -0.35 | 02/11 04:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#482073
|
↔ | — | — | — | — | — | — | bear_high |
37%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid 39b -1.4ATR | — | — | 0.84 | 20% | ↑ +0.15 | above_value | -0.56 | — | #227360 | — | range_high | +0.70% | -0.98 |
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:22
|
|
4h
#484294
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | 0.483 | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 36% | late 16b -1.6ATR | — | — | 0.36 | 29% | ↓ -0.67 | above_value | -2.85 | — | #228289 | 0.61 | bear_high | -2.68% | -0.21 |
01/11 23:00
upd 02/11 03:14
|
|
1h
anchor #484829
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.445 | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid 8b -1.6ATR | — | — | 0.72 | 51% | ↑ +0.36 | above_value | -3.43 | — | #228544 | 0.65 | range_low | -0.38% | -0.56 |
02/11 04:00
upd 02/11 05:11
|
|
15m
#484777
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.727 | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late 24b -2.4ATR | — | — | 2.16 | 83% | ↑ +0.44 | above_value | -2.84 | — | #228442 | 0.58 | range_low | -0.06% | -0.35 |
02/11 04:45
upd 02/11 05:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 39b | — | 9.328×ATR | — | -1.378×ATR | p62 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 16b | — | 2.342×ATR | p24 | -1.582×ATR | p80 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 8b | — | 3.679×ATR | p65 | -1.561×ATR | p73 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 24b | — | 7.629×ATR | p96 | -2.426×ATR | p94 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.13048092
- tp_price: 0.1215045
- atr: 0.00234437
- expires_at: 2026-11-02T16:15:08+00:00
Details
- rank: 49
- total: 53
- score: 0.2303
- delta_2h: -0.0431
- extension_atr: -1.55
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1477
- confidence: 0.923
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:15 | 0.12462000 | +0.016% |
| 2 | 06:15 | 0.12437000 | -0.185% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1246 | 0.1305 | 0.1215 | 0.53 | 0.1373 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1246
- Stop Loss: 0.1305
- Take Profit: 0.1215
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1305 - 0.1246 = 0.0059
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1246 - 0.1215 = 0.0031
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0031 / 0.0059 = 0.5254
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 170.103 | 100 | 1364.9734 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0059
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0059 = 1355.93
Taille de position USD = 1355.93 x 0.1246 = 168.95
Donc, tu peux acheter 1355.93 avec un stoploss a 0.1305
Avec un position size USD de 168.95$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1355.93 x 0.0059 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1355.93 x 0.0031 = 4.2
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.2$
Résumé
- Taille de position 1355.93
- Taille de position USD 168.95
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 4.2
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5254
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.49 % | 4.23 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.74 % | 8.05 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.05 $ | -4.74 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -5.1204 % | 108.13 % | 9 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1246 | 0.1305 | 0.1215 | 0.53 | 0.1373 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1246
- Stop Loss: 0.1305
- Take Profit: 0.1215
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1305 - 0.1246 = 0.0059
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1246 - 0.1215 = 0.0031
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0031 / 0.0059 = 0.5254
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.735%
(0.0059)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.915% | 0.2R | -0.072% | 0.0R | 12.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.915% | 0.2R | -1.429% | 0.3R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.915% | 0.2R | -3.628% | 0.8R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.915% | 0.2R | -5.120% | 1.1R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +4.470% | 0.9R | -5.120% | 1.1R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.470% | 0.9R | -5.120% | 1.1R | 0.9× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.559% | 1.0R | -5.120% | 1.1R | 0.9× | 288 |
| 48h | +4.559% | 1.0R | -17.697% | 3.7R | 0.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +4.559% | 1.0R | -20.385% | 4.3R | 0.2× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1339 min
MAE in 294 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 5 days ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.