Short Trade on NEAR (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 57.85 NEAR at 4.11$ per unit. Take profit: 4.0071 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 4.2481 (3.37 %)
02 Nov 2026 at 05:15:08
hyperliquid
NEAR
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
02 Nov 2026 05:15
→ 10:55
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 4.1098$
Qty 57.8499 NEAR
Size 237.7515$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 4.0071 (+2.5%)
TP $ 5.94$
SL 4.2481 (-3.37%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.74
Status
win
PnL
+2.50%
/ +5.94$
MAE -1.07%
MFE +2.87%
0.9R
expires
02 Nov 11:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 240890)
#44 / 53
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 05:00
score du 02/11/2026 05:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3480
Quality Score
0.420
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#44 / 53
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
90 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.37 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#44 / 53
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
90 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.37 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.03×ATR |
| 4h | near | -2.05×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.97×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-1.01
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
88.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 05:00
02/11 05:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 31/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 01/11 23:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 02/11 04:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7616
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
14.0%
Macro
broad_risk_off
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→-0.004
Δ 1h
→-0.031
Δ 4h
▼-0.369
Δ 12h
▼-0.204
Δ 24h
▼-0.165
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 44.7% |
| 1h | 10.5% |
| 4h | 7.9% |
| 24h | 13.2% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 50.0% | -0.00% |
| 4h | 23.7% | -1.01% |
| 24h | 13.2% | -3.37% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
15.8%
Expansion
15.8%
Tail ↑
+0.47
Tail ↓
+0.73
Dispersion :
0.153
Universe :
38
(+1 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+1 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
02/11 05:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.3324
Score SMA
0.3438
Rank
#31
/ 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4000
Rank Norm SMA
0.4838
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3816 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.25% · r3d: 5.68% · ema21_slope: -0.5892% · dist_ema21: -7.318% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4569 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -4.27% · rs_3d: 5.19% · beta_24h: 3.404 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1258 | rvol_20: 0.33× · zscore_50: -1.416 · trend: -34.85% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5235 | ADX: 22.3 (weak) · Chop: 58.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 10.944% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 05:00
Score brut
0.4196
Score SMA
0.5129
Rank
#44
/ 53
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3480
Rank Norm SMA
0.4808
Calculé le
02/11/2026 05:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2524 | r1h: -0.387% · r4h: -3.017% · r1d: -6.34% · r3d: -5.80% · ema21_slope: -0.1859% · dist_ema21: -2.985% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3068 | rs_1h: -0.175% · rs_4h: -2.642% · rs_1d: -6.27% · rs_3d: -6.30% · beta_24h: 2.570 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3930 | rvol_20: 0.81× · zscore_50: -0.004 · trend: 58.34% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6887 | ADX: 22.6 (weak) · Chop: 36.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.417% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 03:00
Score brut
0.3692
Score SMA
0.4392
Rank
#39
/ 52
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3005
Rank Norm SMA
0.3131
Calculé le
02/11/2026 03:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2261 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -4.432% · r1d: -5.91% · r3d: -3.43% · ema21_slope: -0.1047% · dist_ema21: -5.406% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2818 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -3.776% · rs_1d: -6.09% · rs_3d: -3.35% · beta_24h: 2.217 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3643 | rvol_20: 1.25× · zscore_50: 0.195 · trend: -26.74% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4536 | ADX: 10.8 (weak) · Chop: 55.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9003 | ATR%: 3.299% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.365%
(0.1383)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.402% | 0.1R | -0.484% | 0.1R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.402% | 0.1R | -1.068% | 0.3R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.338% | 0.4R | -1.068% | 0.3R | 1.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.874% | 0.9R | -1.068% | 0.3R | 2.7× | 72 |
| 8h | +4.976% | 1.5R | -1.068% | 0.3R | 4.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +6.506% | 1.9R | -1.068% | 0.3R | 6.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +8.935% | 2.7R | -1.068% | 0.3R | 8.4× | 288 |
| 48h | +10.122% | 3.0R | -1.068% | 0.3R | 9.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +10.122% | 3.0R | -4.027% | 1.2R | 2.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1339 min
MAE in 119 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 5 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.51
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | — | 0.51 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.86 | 31/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | near -2.1ATR | — | 0.54 | bear_high | -2.68% | +0.11 | 01/11 23:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
42%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.67 | range_low | -0.38% | -0.57 | 02/11 04:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_medium |
63%
|
noisy_chop 46% | early | — | — | 0.59 | range_low | -0.06% | -0.30 | 02/11 04:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#481997
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.644 | compression | bull_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early 20b -0.8ATR | — | — | 0.33 | 66% | ↓ -0.43 | above_value | -3.47 | — | #227336 | 0.51 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.86 |
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:19
|
|
4h
#484248
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.619 | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late 9b -2.3ATR | near -2.1ATR | — | 1.25 | 43% | ↓ -0.52 | below_value | -3.46 | — | #228266 | 0.54 | bear_high | -2.68% | +0.11 |
01/11 23:00
upd 02/11 03:12
|
|
1h
anchor #484806
|
↓ down | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.491 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
42%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late 8b -2.0ATR | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.81 | 43% | ↑ +0.39 | below_value | -3.31 | — | #228521 | 0.67 | range_low | -0.38% | -0.57 |
02/11 04:00
upd 02/11 05:10
|
|
15m
#484754
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.384 | normal | bear_medium |
63%
|
noisy_chop 46% | early 8b -1.1ATR | — | — | 0.31 | 54% | ↑ +0.52 | below_value | -2.96 | — | #228419 | 0.59 | range_low | -0.06% | -0.30 |
02/11 04:45
upd 02/11 05:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 20b | — | 3.677×ATR | p46 | -0.818×ATR | p41 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 9b | — | 3.361×ATR | p43 | -2.261×ATR | p91 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 8b | — | 3.949×ATR | p76 | -1.981×ATR | p89 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 1.656×ATR | p3 | -1.143×ATR | p58 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 4.24808893
- tp_price: 4.007055
- atr: 0.05531557
- expires_at: 2026-11-02T16:15:08+00:00
Details
- rank: 48
- total: 53
- score: 0.2581
- delta_2h: -0.0062
- extension_atr: -2.19
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.348
- confidence: 0.904
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.1098 | 4.2481 | 4.0071 | 0.74 | 3.6054 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 4.1098
- Stop Loss: 4.2481
- Take Profit: 4.0071
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 4.2481 - 4.1098 = 0.1383
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 4.1098 - 4.0071 = 0.1027
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1027 / 0.1383 = 0.7426
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 237.7515 | 100 | 57.8499 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.1383
Taille de position = 8 / 0.1383 = 57.85
Taille de position USD = 57.85 x 4.1098 = 237.75
Donc, tu peux acheter 57.85 avec un stoploss a 4.2481
Avec un position size USD de 237.75$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 57.85 x 0.1383 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 57.85 x 0.1027 = 5.94
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.94$
Résumé
- Taille de position 57.85
- Taille de position USD 237.75
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 5.94
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.7426
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 5.94 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.37 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 5.94 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.0682 % | 31.74 % | 15 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.1098 | 4.2481 | 4.0071 | 0.74 | 3.6054 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 4.1098
- Stop Loss: 4.2481
- Take Profit: 4.0071
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 4.2481 - 4.1098 = 0.1383
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 4.1098 - 4.0071 = 0.1027
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1027 / 0.1383 = 0.7426
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.365%
(0.1383)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.402% | 0.1R | -0.484% | 0.1R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.402% | 0.1R | -1.068% | 0.3R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.338% | 0.4R | -1.068% | 0.3R | 1.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.874% | 0.9R | -1.068% | 0.3R | 2.7× | 72 |
| 8h | +4.976% | 1.5R | -1.068% | 0.3R | 4.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +6.506% | 1.9R | -1.068% | 0.3R | 6.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +8.935% | 2.7R | -1.068% | 0.3R | 8.4× | 288 |
| 48h | +10.122% | 3.0R | -1.068% | 0.3R | 9.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +10.122% | 3.0R | -4.027% | 1.2R | 2.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1339 min
MAE in 119 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 5 days ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.