Short Trade on XPL (momentum_rotation_score)
With 2552.21 XPL at 0.0703$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07343 (4.47 %)
02 Nov 2026 at 10:15:08
hyperliquid
XPL
SHORT
momentum_rotation_score
hyperliquid
02 Nov 2026 10:15
→ 13:15
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.07029$
Qty 2552.2086 XPL
Size 179.3973$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0 (+100%)
TP $ 179.39$
SL 0.07343 (-4.47%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR
Status
win
PnL
+3.56%
/ +6.38$
MAE -1.07%
MFE +3.80%
0.9R
expires
02 Nov 13:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 241243)
#59 / 60
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 10:00
score du 02/11/2026 10:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0517
Quality Score
0.432
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#59 / 60
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.47 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#59 / 60
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.47 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.72×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -0.29×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
expanding
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.38
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
16.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 10:02
02/11 10:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 31/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 02/11 03:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 02/11 09:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7636
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
65.2%
Macro
btc_led_risk_off
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
expanding
Δ 15m
→+0.008
Δ 1h
▲+0.342
Δ 4h
▲+0.353
Δ 12h
→+0.035
Δ 24h
▲+0.225
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 82.6% |
| 1h | 60.9% |
| 4h | 84.8% |
| 24h | 19.6% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 82.6% | +0.09% |
| 4h | 76.1% | +0.38% |
| 24h | 17.4% | -2.10% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
4.4%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
4.4%
Tail ↑
+0.51
Tail ↓
+0.36
Dispersion :
0.079
Universe :
46
(+1 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+1 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
02/11 10:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.4017
Score SMA
0.3571
Rank
#18
/ 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6600
Rank Norm SMA
0.4829
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2395 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -12.60% · r3d: -2.00% · ema21_slope: -0.5980% · dist_ema21: -9.628% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2790 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -13.62% · rs_3d: -2.49% · beta_24h: 1.599 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9734 | rvol_20: 4.93× · zscore_50: 2.600 · trend: 100.15% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4360 | ADX: 16.3 (weak) · Chop: 62.9 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 10.819% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 10:00
Score brut
0.4315
Score SMA
0.5536
Rank
#59
/ 60
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0517
Rank Norm SMA
0.6231
Calculé le
02/11/2026 10:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3157 | r1h: -0.627% · r4h: 1.119% · r1d: -4.76% · r3d: -9.94% · ema21_slope: -0.2046% · dist_ema21: -0.953% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3589 | rs_1h: -0.512% · rs_4h: 1.257% · rs_1d: -4.52% · rs_3d: -10.73% · beta_24h: 1.727 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1988 | rvol_20: 0.61× · zscore_50: -0.277 · trend: -57.20% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5992 | ADX: 40.6 (trend) · Chop: 67.8 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.704% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.3937
Score SMA
0.5393
Rank
#41
/ 55
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2767
Rank Norm SMA
0.6686
Calculé le
02/11/2026 07:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3188 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.672% · r1d: -3.35% · r3d: -7.26% · ema21_slope: -0.2878% · dist_ema21: -6.966% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3763 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.401% · rs_1d: -3.25% · rs_3d: -7.94% · beta_24h: 1.229 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2530 | rvol_20: 0.52× · zscore_50: -0.061 · trend: -10.18% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7239 | ADX: 26.9 (trend) · Chop: 35.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.4476 | ATR%: 4.657% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★
3h)
Initial Risk: -4.467%
(0.0031)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.083% | 0.5R | -1.070% | 0.2R | 2.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.181% | 0.7R | -1.070% | 0.2R | 3.0× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +3.800% | 0.9R | -1.070% | 0.2R | 3.6× | 36 |
| 4h | +5.143% | 1.2R | -1.070% | 0.2R | 4.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +6.009% | 1.4R | -1.070% | 0.2R | 5.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +11.083% | 2.5R | -1.070% | 0.2R | 10.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +11.524% | 2.6R | -1.070% | 0.2R | 10.8× | 288 |
| 48h | +14.467% | 3.2R | -1.070% | 0.2R | 13.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +14.467% | 3.2R | -1.070% | 0.2R | 13.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 744 min
MAE in 29 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 6 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 4.72
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 35% | late | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.53 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.66 | 31/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late | — | — | 0.55 | bear_high | -2.88% | -0.72 | 02/11 03:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | — | 0.49 | range_low | -0.58% | -0.18 | 02/11 09:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | explosive | expansion | bear_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.12 | range_low | -0.23% | +0.24 | 02/11 09:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#482046
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.391 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 35% | late 37b -1.1ATR | near -0.3ATR | — | 4.93 | 99% | ↑ +0.22 | value | -1.57 | — | #227351 | 0.53 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.66 |
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:21
|
|
4h
#485416
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.511 | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late 7b -1.5ATR | — | — | 0.52 | 77% | ↑ +0.34 | below_value | -3.39 | inside | #228748 | 0.55 | bear_high | -2.88% | -0.72 |
02/11 03:00
upd 02/11 07:14
|
|
1h
anchor #486292
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.733 | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early 5b -0.7ATR | — | — | 0.61 | 58% | ↓ -0.24 | above_value | -2.77 | — | #229134 | 0.49 | range_low | -0.58% | -0.18 |
02/11 09:00
upd 02/11 10:11
|
|
15m
#486228
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | explosive | 0.649 | expansion | bear_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early 1b 0.7ATR | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.10 | 3% | ↔ -0.13 | value | -3.38 | — | #229011 | 0.12 | range_low | -0.23% | +0.24 |
02/11 09:45
upd 02/11 10:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 37b | — | 7.073×ATR | p92 | -1.1×ATR | p68 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 7b | — | 5.074×ATR | p73 | -1.52×ATR | p83 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 1.453×ATR | p4 | -0.677×ATR | p33 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 1b | — | 1.478×ATR | p4 | +0.691×ATR | p45 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07029 | 0.07343 | 0.04912 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.07029
- Stop Loss: 0.07343
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07343 - 0.07029 = 0.00314
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07029 - = 0.07029
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.07029 / 0.00314 = 22.3854
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 179.3973 | 100 | 2552.2086 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00314
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00314 = 2547.77
Taille de position USD = 2547.77 x 0.07029 = 179.08
Donc, tu peux acheter 2547.77 avec un stoploss a 0.07343
Avec un position size USD de 179.08$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2547.77 x 0.00314 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2547.77 x 0.07029 = 179.08
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 179.08$
Résumé
- Taille de position 2547.77
- Taille de position USD 179.08
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 179.08
- Risk-Reward Ratio 22.3854
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 100 % | 179.39 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.47 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 6.38 $ | 3.56 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.0699 % | 23.95 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07029 | 0.07343 | 0.04912 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.07029
- Stop Loss: 0.07343
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07343 - 0.07029 = 0.00314
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07029 - = 0.07029
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.07029 / 0.00314 = 22.3854
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★
3h)
Initial Risk: -4.467%
(0.0031)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.083% | 0.5R | -1.070% | 0.2R | 2.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.181% | 0.7R | -1.070% | 0.2R | 3.0× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +3.800% | 0.9R | -1.070% | 0.2R | 3.6× | 36 |
| 4h | +5.143% | 1.2R | -1.070% | 0.2R | 4.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +6.009% | 1.4R | -1.070% | 0.2R | 5.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +11.083% | 2.5R | -1.070% | 0.2R | 10.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +11.524% | 2.6R | -1.070% | 0.2R | 10.8× | 288 |
| 48h | +14.467% | 3.2R | -1.070% | 0.2R | 13.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +14.467% | 3.2R | -1.070% | 0.2R | 13.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 744 min
MAE in 29 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 6 days ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.