Short Trade on SOL (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 5.28 SOL at 93.645$ per unit. Take profit: 89.8586 (4.04 %) & Stop Loss: 95.1596 (1.62 %)
02 Nov 2026 at 11:17:20
hyperliquid
SOL
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
02 Nov 2026 11:17
→ 23:15
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 93.645$
Qty 5.282 SOL
Size 494.6336$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)
Risk Setup
TP 89.8586 (+4.04%)
TP $ 20$
SL 95.1596 (-1.62%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+1.52%
/ +7.53$
MAE -0.26%
MFE +3.01%
1.9R
expires
02 Nov 23:17
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 241261)
#47 / 62
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 11:00
score du 02/11/2026 11:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4201
Quality Score
0.488
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#47 / 62
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
54 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.62 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#47 / 62
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
54 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.62 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.23×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.39×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.59×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
261.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 11:15
02/11 11:15
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 31/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 02/11 07:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 02/11 10:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7641
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
29.8%
Macro
broad_risk_off
Local 4h
mixed
Leadership
balanced
Legacy leadership :
mixed
Breadth state
deteriorating
Δ 15m
▼-0.202
Δ 1h
▼-0.238
Δ 4h
→-0.010
Δ 12h
▼-0.405
Δ 24h
▼-0.116
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 44.7% |
| 1h | 53.2% |
| 4h | 31.9% |
| 24h | 14.9% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 21.3% | -0.06% |
| 4h | 46.8% | -0.26% |
| 24h | 23.4% | -3.00% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
4.3%
Down ≥1σ
4.3%
Expansion
8.5%
Tail ↑
+0.43
Tail ↓
+0.56
Dispersion :
0.111
Universe :
47
(+1 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+1 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
02/11 11:16
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.3597
Score SMA
0.3651
Rank
#22
/ 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5800
Rank Norm SMA
0.5922
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2177 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.95% · r3d: -1.17% · ema21_slope: -0.5531% · dist_ema21: -7.594% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3792 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.97% · rs_3d: -1.65% · beta_24h: 1.212 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2588 | rvol_20: 0.82× · zscore_50: -0.564 · trend: -16.29% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6645 | ADX: 31.3 (trend) · Chop: 50.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.4820 | ATR%: 4.554% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.4876
Score SMA
0.5121
Rank
#47
/ 62
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4201
Rank Norm SMA
0.4981
Calculé le
02/11/2026 11:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4174 | r1h: -0.875% · r4h: -0.564% · r1d: -1.32% · r3d: -1.42% · ema21_slope: -0.0360% · dist_ema21: -0.970% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4600 | rs_1h: -0.433% · rs_4h: -0.092% · rs_1d: -0.73% · rs_3d: -1.32% · beta_24h: 1.669 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4564 | rvol_20: 1.09× · zscore_50: 0.435 · trend: 49.96% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6234 | ADX: 18.4 (weak) · Chop: 41.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.854% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.5287
Score SMA
0.4874
Rank
#24
/ 62
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5355
Rank Norm SMA
0.5387
Calculé le
02/11/2026 11:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3508 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.564% · r1d: -1.32% · r3d: -1.42% · ema21_slope: -0.1829% · dist_ema21: -2.234% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4493 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.092% · rs_1d: -0.73% · rs_3d: -1.32% · beta_24h: 1.208 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6861 | rvol_20: 2.39× · zscore_50: 1.146 · trend: 30.37% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5172 | ADX: 31.2 (trend) · Chop: 68.2 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.616% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.617%
(1.5146)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.625% | 0.4R | -0.262% | 0.2R | 2.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.290% | 1.4R | -0.262% | 0.2R | 8.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.009% | 1.9R | -0.262% | 0.2R | 11.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.009% | 1.9R | -0.262% | 0.2R | 11.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +3.009% | 1.9R | -0.262% | 0.2R | 11.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.009% | 1.9R | -0.262% | 0.2R | 11.5× | 288 |
| 36h | +4.055% | 2.5R | -0.313% | 0.2R | 13.0× | 432 |
| 48h | +4.055% | 2.5R | -4.821% | 3.0R | 0.8× | 576 |
| 72h | +4.789% | 3.0R | -4.821% | 3.0R | 1.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 2082 min
MAE in 1762 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.74
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late | — | — | 0.88 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.59 | 31/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | near -1.4ATR | — | 0.87 | bear_high | -3.28% | -0.30 | 02/11 07:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
50%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | near -0.2ATR | — | 0.88 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.00% | -0.01 | 02/11 10:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_medium |
52%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | near 0.3ATR | — | 0.87 | range_low | -0.52% | +0.01 | 02/11 11:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#481931
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.555 | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late 35b -2.0ATR | — | — | 0.82 | 40% | ↓ -0.31 | above_value | -1.51 | — | #227316 | 0.88 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.59 |
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:15
|
|
4h
#486573
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.371 | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late 20b -1.9ATR | near -1.4ATR | — | 2.39 | 90% | ↑ +0.22 | value | -1.01 | inside | #229212 | 0.87 | bear_high | -3.28% | -0.30 |
02/11 07:00
upd 02/11 11:12
|
|
1h
anchor #486572
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.381 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
50%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid 12b -1.2ATR | near -0.2ATR | — | 1.09 | 86% | ↓ -0.17 | value | -1.01 | — | #229212 | 0.88 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.00% | -0.01 |
02/11 10:00
upd 02/11 11:12
|
|
15m
#486647
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.417 | volatile_reversal | bear_medium |
52%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early 1b -0.8ATR | near 0.3ATR | — | 0.41 | 72% | ↑ +0.50 | value | -1.01 | — | #229212 | 0.87 | range_low | -0.52% | +0.01 |
02/11 11:00
upd 02/11 11:15
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 35b | — | 7.077×ATR | p83 | -2.013×ATR | p85 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 20b | — | 3.312×ATR | p47 | -1.87×ATR | p87 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 12b | — | 2.987×ATR | p60 | -1.156×ATR | p71 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 1b | — | 1.834×ATR | p6 | -0.799×ATR | p52 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.5409
- reason: down_bo width=2.07×ATR dur=57b phase=fresh|ob:bid_pressure(-0.10)
- stop_price: 95.15957554
- tp_price: 89.85856114
- atr:
- score: 0.6408647236295
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-11-03T04:17:12.164323
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.6408647236295
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.1361
- obi_top10 : 0.1713
- micro_price : 93.25354637
- spread_pct : 0.001072
- mid_price : 93.2535
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 93.6
- ask_wall_size : 41818.54
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.1865
- obi_top5_std : 0.0596
- pressure_side : bid
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7060
- aggregation_tick : 0.1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
95.877
- balance_zone_bottom:
94.289
- balance_zone_mid:
95.083
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793433600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793635200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.0738
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
57
- balance_zone_quality: drifting
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.6409
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793631600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
94.289
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7544
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.841
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
19
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
10
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.76575543 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
57
inside_close_ratio
0.7544
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.841
Signaux confirmants (8)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:17 | 93.64500000 | 0% |
| 2 | 11:27 | 93.64500000 | 0% |
| 3 | 11:38 | 93.68900000 | +0.047% |
| 4 | 11:47 | 93.68900000 | +0.047% |
| 5 | 11:56 | 93.68900000 | +0.047% |
| 6 | 12:08 | 93.46000000 | -0.198% |
| 7 | 12:17 | 93.46000000 | -0.198% |
| 8 | 12:26 | 93.46000000 | -0.198% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↑ bid
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7060ms
Confidence avant OB :
64%
→
54%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.136
avg 0.187
± 0.060
OBI Top 10
0.171
Microstructure
Mid Price
93.2535
Micro Price
93.2535
Spread
0.0011%
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
93.6000
Size
41,818.54
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 93.645 | 95.1596 | 89.8586 | 2.5 | 80.158 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 93.645
- Stop Loss: 95.1596
- Take Profit: 89.8586
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 95.1596 - 93.645 = 1.5146
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 93.645 - 89.8586 = 3.7864
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 3.7864 / 1.5146 = 2.4999
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 494.6336 | 100 | 5.282 | 5.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 1.5146
Taille de position = 8 / 1.5146 = 5.28
Taille de position USD = 5.28 x 93.645 = 494.45
Donc, tu peux acheter 5.28 avec un stoploss a 95.1596
Avec un position size USD de 494.45$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 5.28 x 1.5146 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 5.28 x 3.7864 = 19.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.99$
Résumé
- Taille de position 5.28
- Taille de position USD 494.45
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.99
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4999
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.04 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.62 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 7.53 $ | 1.52 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2616 % | 16.17 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 93.645 | 95.1596 | 89.8586 | 2.5 | 80.158 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 93.645
- Stop Loss: 95.1596
- Take Profit: 89.8586
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 95.1596 - 93.645 = 1.5146
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 93.645 - 89.8586 = 3.7864
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 3.7864 / 1.5146 = 2.4999
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.617%
(1.5146)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.625% | 0.4R | -0.262% | 0.2R | 2.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.290% | 1.4R | -0.262% | 0.2R | 8.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.009% | 1.9R | -0.262% | 0.2R | 11.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.009% | 1.9R | -0.262% | 0.2R | 11.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +3.009% | 1.9R | -0.262% | 0.2R | 11.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.009% | 1.9R | -0.262% | 0.2R | 11.5× | 288 |
| 36h | +4.055% | 2.5R | -0.313% | 0.2R | 13.0× | 432 |
| 48h | +4.055% | 2.5R | -4.821% | 3.0R | 0.8× | 576 |
| 72h | +4.789% | 3.0R | -4.821% | 3.0R | 1.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 2082 min
MAE in 1762 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.