Short Trade on ORDI (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 99.33 ORDI at 3.39$ per unit. Take profit: 3.1886 (5.94 %) & Stop Loss: 3.4704 (2.37 %)
02 Nov 2026 at 12:41:12
hyperliquid
ORDI
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
02 Nov 2026 12:41
→ 00:40
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 3.3899$
Qty 99.3348 ORDI
Size 336.7351$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 3.1886 (+5.94%)
TP $ 20$
SL 3.4704 (-2.37%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+0.05%
/ +0.18$
MAE -0.69%
MFE +1.51%
0.6R
expires
03 Nov 00:41
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: )
#31 / 56
OUT
seuil : top 15
Avg Rank 8h:
Quality Score
N/A
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#31 / 56
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
61 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
N/A
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.37 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#31 / 56
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
61 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.37 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | — | — | OK |
| 4h | — | — | OK |
| 1d | — | — | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
127,531 $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 12:30
02/11 12:30
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
— |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7646
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
21.5%
Macro
broad_risk_off
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
balanced
Legacy leadership :
mixed
Breadth state
deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.076
Δ 4h
▼-0.176
Δ 12h
▼-0.289
Δ 24h
→-0.015
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 12.5% |
| 1h | 58.3% |
| 4h | 12.5% |
| 24h | 14.6% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 12.5% | -0.18% |
| 4h | 39.6% | -0.85% |
| 24h | 20.8% | -2.40% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
12.5%
Expansion
12.5%
Tail ↑
+0.54
Tail ↓
+0.52
Dispersion :
0.194
Universe :
48
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
02/11 12:31
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4653
Score SMA
—
Rank
#11
/ 57
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8214
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1924 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.75% · r3d: -5.18% · ema21_slope: -0.8021% · dist_ema21: -7.612% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4252 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.00% · rs_3d: -0.52% · beta_24h: 1.989 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 13.08× · zscore_50: 6.764 · trend: 342.43% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6752 | ADX: 32.2 (trend) · Chop: 49.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.190% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.375%
(0.0805)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.543% | 0.2R | -0.448% | 0.2R | 1.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.484% | 0.6R | -0.448% | 0.2R | 3.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.510% | 0.6R | -0.463% | 0.2R | 3.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.510% | 0.6R | -0.687% | 0.3R | 2.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.510% | 0.6R | -0.687% | 0.3R | 2.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.510% | 0.6R | -2.357% | 1.0R | 0.6× | 288 |
| 36h | +2.419% | 1.0R | -2.357% | 1.0R | 1.0× | 432 |
| 48h | +2.419% | 1.0R | -5.915% | 2.5R | 0.4× | 576 |
| 72h | +8.873% | 3.7R | -5.915% | 2.5R | 1.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 2003 min
MAE in 1333 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.78
Prediction Score: N/A
No context market snapshot
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.6101
- reason: down_bo width=2.95×ATR dur=75b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 3.47043571
- tp_price: 3.18856073
- atr:
- score: 0.61007005816914
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-11-03T05:41:04.850876
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.61007005816914
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.0833
- obi_top10 : -0.019
- micro_price : 3.38599505
- spread_pct : 0.029542
- mid_price : 3.3855
- bid_wall_price : 3.36
- bid_wall_size : 25215.458
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 3.4
- ask_wall_size : 38547.49
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0726
- obi_top5_std : 0.0071
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6802
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
3.5081
- balance_zone_bottom:
3.4273
- balance_zone_mid:
3.4677
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793372400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793638800
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.9535
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
75
- balance_zone_quality: drifting
- balance_zone_maturity: stretched
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.6101
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793635200
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
3.4273
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7467
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.3671
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
16
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
11
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.02735706 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
75
inside_close_ratio
0.7467
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
1.3671
Signaux confirmants (6)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:41 | 3.38990000 | 0% |
| 2 | 12:50 | 3.38990000 | 0% |
| 3 | 12:59 | 3.38990000 | 0% |
| 4 | 13:12 | 3.40500000 | +0.445% |
| 5 | 13:23 | 3.40500000 | +0.445% |
| 6 | 13:34 | 3.40500000 | +0.445% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6802ms
Confidence avant OB :
61%
→
61%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.083
avg -0.073
± 0.007
OBI Top 10
-0.019
Microstructure
Mid Price
3.3855
Micro Price
3.3860
Spread
0.0295%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
3.3600
Size
25,215.46
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
3.4000
Size
38,547.49
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.3899 | 3.4704 | 3.1886 | 2.5 | 3.1755 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 3.3899
- Stop Loss: 3.4704
- Take Profit: 3.1886
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 3.4704 - 3.3899 = 0.0805
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 3.3899 - 3.1886 = 0.2013
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2013 / 0.0805 = 2.5006
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 336.7351 | 100 | 99.3348 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0805
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0805 = 99.38
Taille de position USD = 99.38 x 3.3899 = 336.89
Donc, tu peux acheter 99.38 avec un stoploss a 3.4704
Avec un position size USD de 336.89$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 99.38 x 0.0805 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 99.38 x 0.2013 = 20.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.01$
Résumé
- Taille de position 99.38
- Taille de position USD 336.89
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.01
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5006
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.94 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.37 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0.18 $ | 0.05 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6873 % | 28.94 % | 25 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.3899 | 3.4704 | 3.1886 | 2.5 | 3.1755 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 3.3899
- Stop Loss: 3.4704
- Take Profit: 3.1886
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 3.4704 - 3.3899 = 0.0805
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 3.3899 - 3.1886 = 0.2013
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2013 / 0.0805 = 2.5006
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.375%
(0.0805)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.543% | 0.2R | -0.448% | 0.2R | 1.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.484% | 0.6R | -0.448% | 0.2R | 3.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.510% | 0.6R | -0.463% | 0.2R | 3.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.510% | 0.6R | -0.687% | 0.3R | 2.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.510% | 0.6R | -0.687% | 0.3R | 2.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.510% | 0.6R | -2.357% | 1.0R | 0.6× | 288 |
| 36h | +2.419% | 1.0R | -2.357% | 1.0R | 1.0× | 432 |
| 48h | +2.419% | 1.0R | -5.915% | 2.5R | 0.4× | 576 |
| 72h | +8.873% | 3.7R | -5.915% | 2.5R | 1.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 2003 min
MAE in 1333 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.