Short Trade on DOGE (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 5818.73 DOGE at 0.0742$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07079 (4.63 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0756 (1.85 %)
02 Nov 2026 at 13:09:00
hyperliquid
DOGE
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
02 Nov 2026 13:09
→ 01:00
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.07423$
Qty 5818.732 DOGE
Size 431.9012$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 0.07079 (+4.63%)
TP $ 20.02$
SL 0.0756 (-1.85%)
SL $ 7.97$
RR 2.51
Status
win
PnL
+0.64%
/ +2.75$
MAE -0.47%
MFE +1.44%
0.8R
expires
03 Nov 01:08
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 241456)
#20 / 63
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 13:00
score du 02/11/2026 13:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5665
Quality Score
0.510
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#20 / 63
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#20 / 63
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.04×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.61×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.14×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
11.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 13:00
02/11 13:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 31/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 02/11 07:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_medium (+1) 02/11 11:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7648
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
11.1%
Macro
broad_risk_off
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.271
Δ 4h
▼-0.199
Δ 12h
▼-0.398
Δ 24h
▼-0.156
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 33.3% |
| 1h | 8.3% |
| 4h | 6.3% |
| 24h | 8.3% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 29.2% | -0.05% |
| 4h | 18.8% | -1.88% |
| 24h | 16.7% | -3.69% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
54.2%
Expansion
54.2%
Tail ↑
+0.81
Tail ↓
+0.57
Dispersion :
0.192
Universe :
48
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
02/11 13:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.3521
Score SMA
0.3430
Rank
#26
/ 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5000
Rank Norm SMA
0.4985
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2588 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.16% · r3d: 0.36% · ema21_slope: -0.5240% · dist_ema21: -5.278% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4388 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.18% · rs_3d: -0.13% · beta_24h: 1.343 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1969 | rvol_20: 0.73× · zscore_50: -0.648 · trend: -47.67% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5686 | ADX: 28.9 (trend) · Chop: 59.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.4014 | ATR%: 4.796% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 13:00
Score brut
0.5098
Score SMA
0.5283
Rank
#20
/ 63
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5665
Rank Norm SMA
0.6023
Calculé le
02/11/2026 13:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3910 | r1h: -1.264% · r4h: -1.772% · r1d: -1.79% · r3d: -1.69% · ema21_slope: -0.0401% · dist_ema21: -1.574% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4271 | rs_1h: -0.824% · rs_4h: -0.741% · rs_1d: -0.74% · rs_3d: -1.67% · beta_24h: 1.462 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5653 | rvol_20: 1.55× · zscore_50: 0.696 · trend: 62.98% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6645 | ADX: 19.7 (weak) · Chop: 33.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.807% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.5731
Score SMA
0.5072
Rank
#8
/ 63
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7121
Rank Norm SMA
0.6419
Calculé le
02/11/2026 11:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4101 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.515% · r1d: -0.88% · r3d: -1.14% · ema21_slope: -0.0900% · dist_ema21: -1.138% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4875 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.043% · rs_1d: -0.28% · rs_3d: -1.03% · beta_24h: 1.299 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9300 | rvol_20: 4.42× · zscore_50: 2.677 · trend: 63.63% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.2815 | ADX: 20.4 (weak) · Chop: 86.2 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.390% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.846%
(0.0014)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.841% | 0.5R | -0.067% | 0.0R | 12.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.436% | 0.8R | -0.067% | 0.0R | 21.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.436% | 0.8R | -0.309% | 0.2R | 4.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.436% | 0.8R | -0.468% | 0.3R | 3.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.436% | 0.8R | -0.468% | 0.3R | 3.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.436% | 0.8R | -1.863% | 1.0R | 0.8× | 287 |
| 36h | +2.657% | 1.4R | -1.994% | 1.1R | 1.3× | 432 |
| 48h | +2.657% | 1.4R | -5.510% | 3.0R | 0.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +4.249% | 2.3R | -5.510% | 3.0R | 0.8× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1971 min
MAE in 1651 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 5.54
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | — | — | 0.81 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.39 | 31/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.80 | bear_high | -3.28% | -0.00 | 02/11 07:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 30% | early | near -1.0ATR | — | 0.87 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.01% | +0.01 | 02/11 11:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_medium |
51%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.83 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.00% | -0.07 | 02/11 12:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#481946
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | grind | 0.678 | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late 40b -1.3ATR | — | — | 0.73 | 23% | ↓ -0.34 | above_value | -0.34 | — | #227320 | 0.81 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.39 |
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:16
|
|
4h
#486585
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | balanced | 0.398 | compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid 21b -1.2ATR | near -0.6ATR | — | 4.42 | 87% | ↑ +0.24 | above_value | -1.07 | — | #229218 | 0.80 | bear_high | -3.28% | -0.00 |
02/11 07:00
upd 02/11 11:12
|
|
1h
anchor #486967
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.439 | expansion_after_compression | bear_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 30% | early 4b -0.7ATR | near -1.0ATR | — | 0.53 | 62% | ↔ +0.11 | above_value | -1.03 | — | #229408 | 0.87 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.01% | +0.01 |
02/11 11:00
upd 02/11 12:09
|
|
15m
#487234
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.496 | volatile_reversal | bear_medium |
51%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late 5b -1.8ATR | — | — | 0.41 | 85% | ↓ -0.29 | above_value | -1.03 | — | #229408 | 0.83 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.00% | -0.07 |
02/11 12:45
upd 02/11 13:00
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 40b | — | 8.419×ATR | p100 | -1.345×ATR | p70 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 21b | — | 2.712×ATR | p14 | -1.179×ATR | p66 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.456×ATR | p2 | -0.659×ATR | p46 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 5b | — | 2.967×ATR | p51 | -1.819×ATR | p93 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.7713
- reason: down_bo width=1.99×ATR dur=59b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.07560087
- tp_price: 0.07078882
- atr:
- score: 0.7713059372379
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-11-03T06:08:51.794252
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.7713059372379
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0302
- obi_top10 : 0.0503
- micro_price : 0.07427163
- spread_pct : 0.013464
- mid_price : 0.074275
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.0746
- ask_wall_size : 28087413
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0323
- obi_top5_std : 0.0354
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6992
- aggregation_tick : 0.0001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.07612
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.074966
- balance_zone_mid:
0.075543
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793433600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793642400
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.9941
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
59
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7713
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793638800
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.074966
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.9492
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.2787
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
7
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
11
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.0005787 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
59
inside_close_ratio
0.9492
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
1.2787
Signaux confirmants (12)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:09 | 0.07422600 | -0.005% |
| 2 | 13:20 | 0.07422600 | -0.005% |
| 3 | 13:31 | 0.07422600 | -0.005% |
| 4 | 17:13 | 0.07430900 | +0.106% |
| 5 | 17:24 | 0.07430900 | +0.106% |
| 6 | 18:10 | 0.07417000 | -0.081% |
| 7 | 18:19 | 0.07417000 | -0.081% |
| 8 | 18:27 | 0.07417000 | -0.081% |
| 9 | 18:36 | 0.07419600 | -0.046% |
| 10 | 18:44 | 0.07419600 | -0.046% |
| 11 | 18:52 | 0.07419600 | -0.046% |
| 12 | 19:01 | 0.07419600 | -0.046% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6992ms
Confidence avant OB :
77%
→
77%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.030
avg -0.032
± 0.035
OBI Top 10
0.050
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0743
Micro Price
0.0743
Spread
0.0135%
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.0746
Size
28,087,413.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07423 | 0.0756 | 0.07079 | 2.51 | 0.06544 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.07423
- Stop Loss: 0.0756
- Take Profit: 0.07079
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0756 - 0.07423 = 0.00137
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07423 - 0.07079 = 0.00344
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00344 / 0.00137 = 2.5109
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 431.9012 | 100 | 5818.732 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00137
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00137 = 5839.42
Taille de position USD = 5839.42 x 0.07423 = 433.46
Donc, tu peux acheter 5839.42 avec un stoploss a 0.0756
Avec un position size USD de 433.46$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 5839.42 x 0.00137 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 5839.42 x 0.00344 = 20.09
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.09$
Résumé
- Taille de position 5839.42
- Taille de position USD 433.46
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.09
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5109
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.63 % | 20.02 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.85 % | 7.97 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 2.75 $ | 0.64 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4675 % | 25.33 % | 21 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07423 | 0.0756 | 0.07079 | 2.51 | 0.06544 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.07423
- Stop Loss: 0.0756
- Take Profit: 0.07079
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0756 - 0.07423 = 0.00137
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07423 - 0.07079 = 0.00344
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00344 / 0.00137 = 2.5109
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.846%
(0.0014)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.841% | 0.5R | -0.067% | 0.0R | 12.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.436% | 0.8R | -0.067% | 0.0R | 21.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.436% | 0.8R | -0.309% | 0.2R | 4.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.436% | 0.8R | -0.468% | 0.3R | 3.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.436% | 0.8R | -0.468% | 0.3R | 3.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.436% | 0.8R | -1.863% | 1.0R | 0.8× | 287 |
| 36h | +2.657% | 1.4R | -1.994% | 1.1R | 1.3× | 432 |
| 48h | +2.657% | 1.4R | -5.510% | 3.0R | 0.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +4.249% | 2.3R | -5.510% | 3.0R | 0.8× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1971 min
MAE in 1651 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.