Short Trade on ICP

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02 Nov 2026 at 13:55:41 hyperliquid

Short Trade on ICP (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 157.81 ICP at 2.464$ per unit. Take profit: 2.3371 (5.14 %) & Stop Loss: 2.5145 (2.06 %)

ICP SHORT BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 02 Nov 2026 13:55 → 01:45 · 11 hours

Position

Entry 2.4638$

Qty 157.813 ICP

Size 388.8196$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)

Risk Setup

TP 2.3371 (+5.14%)

TP $ 19.99$

SL 2.5145 (-2.06%)

SL $ 8$

RR 2.5

Status win PnL +1.49% / +5.81$ MAE -0.12% MFE +2.35% 1.1R expires 03 Nov 01:55 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: )

#36 / 79

OUT

seuil : top 15

Avg Rank 8h:

Quality Score

N/A

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#36 / 79

OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

79 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

N/A

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

2.06 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#36 / 79

OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

79 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

2.06 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	—
4h	clear	—
1d	clear	—

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	—	—	OK
4h	—	—	OK
1d	—	—	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

740,658 $

volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 13:47

Coin Market Regime V2
—

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7651

Voir snapshot →

bear developing bear_expansion

Strategic	bear 0.55	expansion +2
Operational	bear 0.55	expansion +1
Tactical	range 0.25	range 0
Micro	bear 0.55	expansion

MTF alignment : 0.85

Stability : 0.63

Transition risk : 0.37

Score contribution (this trade) +3

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 10.4%

Macro alt_capitulation

Local 4h bearish Leadership btc_leading

Legacy leadership : btc

Breadth state stable

Δ 15m

→-0.028

Δ 1h

→-0.007

Δ 4h

▼-0.540

Δ 12h

▼-0.081

Δ 24h

→+0.004

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	64.6%
1h	18.8%
4h	2.1%
24h	10.4%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	68.8%	+0.04%
4h	20.8%	-2.05%
24h	18.8%	-3.53%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

0.0%

Down ≥1σ

54.2%

Expansion

54.2%

Tail ↑

+0.64

Tail ↓

+0.51

Dispersion : 0.190

Universe : 48 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M

+0 added · -0 removed

Regime confidence : 0.78

Snapshot évalué : 02/11 13:46 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Quality score non disponible pour ce trade.

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.058% (0.0507)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.116%	0.5R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	12
2h	+1.116%	0.5R	-0.122%	0.1R	9.2×	24
4h	+1.116%	0.5R	-0.122%	0.1R	9.2×	48
8h	+1.964%	1.0R	-0.122%	0.1R	16.1×	96
12h ★	+2.354%	1.1R	-0.122%	0.1R	19.3×	143
24h	+2.354%	1.1R	-2.050%	1.0R	1.2×	288
36h	+2.354%	1.1R	-2.861%	1.4R	0.8×	432
48h	+2.354%	1.1R	-6.725%	3.3R	0.4×	576
72h	+2.354%	1.1R	-8.438%	4.1R	0.3×	864

⏱ MFE in 489 min MAE in 2129 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 6.46

Prediction Score: N/A

No context market snapshot

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL

Indicators:

long_trend: -1
confidence: 0.7903
reason: down_bo width=1.86×ATR dur=47b phase=fresh
stop_price: 2.51449292
tp_price: 2.33706771
atr:
score: 0.79031530886935
exit_rules:
expires_at: 2026-11-03T06:55:33.171454
max_bars: 12
max_bars_tf: 1h
confidence_pre_ob: 0.79031530886935

Details

1H:
15m:
5m:
btc_indicators
market_structures
market_structure_v2
trend_analyzer_1h
orderbook_context
obi_top5 : 0.0332
obi_top10 : 0.056
micro_price : 2.45506597
spread_pct : 0.0815
mid_price : 2.455
bid_wall_price : 2.44
bid_wall_size : 56739.05
bid_wall_dist_atr :
ask_wall_price : 2.48
ask_wall_size : 43787.34
ask_wall_dist_atr :
snapshots_count : 5
obi_top5_mean : 0.0333
obi_top5_std : 0.0001
pressure_side : neutral
collection_mode : ws_rolling
collection_ms : 7097
aggregation_tick : 0.01
error :
strategy_details
strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
strategy_details
balance_zone_top:
```
2.5327
```
balance_zone_bottom:
```
2.4919
```
balance_zone_mid:
```
2.5123
```
balance_zone_start_time:
```
1793476800
```
balance_zone_end_time:
```
1793642400
```
balance_zone_width_atr:
```
1.8605
```
balance_zone_duration_bars:
```
47
```
balance_zone_quality: tight
balance_zone_maturity: established
balance_zone_confidence:
```
0.7903
```
balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
balance_zone_breakout_time:
```
1793631600
```
balance_zone_breakout_price:
```
2.4919
```
strategy_details
balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
```
0.8511
```
balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
```
3
```
balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
```
1.2814
```
balance_metrics_has_retested:
```
1
```
balance_metrics_retest_count:
```
2
```
balance_metrics_touch_upper:
```
6
```
balance_metrics_touch_lower:
```
4
```
regime : bear_high
atr_entry : 0.02192918

Signal Details

duration_bars

inside_close_ratio

0.8511

bars_since_breakout

distance_to_edge_atr

1.2814

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7097ms Confidence avant OB : 79% → 79%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.033

avg 0.033 ± 0.000

OBI Top 10 0.056

Microstructure

Mid Price

2.4550

Micro Price

2.4551

Spread

0.0815%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price

2.4400

Size

56,739.05

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price

2.4800

Size

43,787.34

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
2.4638	2.5145	2.3371	2.5	2.4265

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 2.4638
Stop Loss: 2.5145
Take Profit: 2.3371

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 2.5145 - 2.4638 = 0.0507
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 2.4638 - 2.3371 = 0.1267
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1267 / 0.0507 = 2.499

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
388.8196	100	157.813	4.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.0507

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0507 = 157.79

Taille de position USD = 157.79 x 2.4638 = 388.76

Donc, tu peux acheter 157.79 avec un stoploss a 2.5145

Avec un position size USD de 388.76$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 157.79 x 0.0507 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 157.79 x 0.1267 = 19.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.99$

Résumé

Taille de position 157.79
Taille de position USD 388.76
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 19.99
Risk-Reward Ratio 2.499

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
5.14 %	19.99 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
2.06 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
5.81 $	1.49

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-0.1218 %	5.92 %	3

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
2.4638	2.5145	2.3371	2.5	2.4265

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 2.4638
Stop Loss: 2.5145
Take Profit: 2.3371

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 2.5145 - 2.4638 = 0.0507
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 2.4638 - 2.3371 = 0.1267
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1267 / 0.0507 = 2.499

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.058% (0.0507)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.116%	0.5R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	12
2h	+1.116%	0.5R	-0.122%	0.1R	9.2×	24
4h	+1.116%	0.5R	-0.122%	0.1R	9.2×	48
8h	+1.964%	1.0R	-0.122%	0.1R	16.1×	96
12h ★	+2.354%	1.1R	-0.122%	0.1R	19.3×	143
24h	+2.354%	1.1R	-2.050%	1.0R	1.2×	288
36h	+2.354%	1.1R	-2.861%	1.4R	0.8×	432
48h	+2.354%	1.1R	-6.725%	3.3R	0.4×	576
72h	+2.354%	1.1R	-8.438%	4.1R	0.3×	864

⏱ MFE in 489 min MAE in 2129 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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