Short Trade on APT (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 618.26 APT at 0.619$ per unit. Take profit: 0.5863 (5.22 %) & Stop Loss: 0.6315 (2.09 %)
02 Nov 2026 at 14:01:18
hyperliquid
APT
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
02 Nov 2026 14:01
→ 01:55
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.6186$
Qty 618.2643 APT
Size 382.4583$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 0.5863 (+5.22%)
TP $ 19.97$
SL 0.6315 (-2.09%)
SL $ 7.98$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+1.58%
/ +6.06$
MAE -1.86%
MFE +1.91%
0.9R
expires
03 Nov 02:01
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 241465)
#50 / 63
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 13:00
score du 02/11/2026 13:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7018
Quality Score
0.487
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#50 / 63
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.09 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#50 / 63
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.09 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.00×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 3.00×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.37×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
2.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 14:00
02/11 14:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 31/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 02/11 07:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 02/11 12:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7651
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
10.4%
Macro
alt_capitulation
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→-0.028
Δ 1h
→-0.007
Δ 4h
▼-0.540
Δ 12h
▼-0.081
Δ 24h
→+0.004
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 64.6% |
| 1h | 18.8% |
| 4h | 2.1% |
| 24h | 10.4% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 68.8% | +0.04% |
| 4h | 20.8% | -2.05% |
| 24h | 18.8% | -3.53% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
54.2%
Expansion
54.2%
Tail ↑
+0.64
Tail ↓
+0.51
Dispersion :
0.190
Universe :
48
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
02/11 13:46
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 13:00
Score brut
0.4865
Score SMA
0.4993
Rank
#50
/ 63
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7018
Rank Norm SMA
0.3967
Calculé le
02/11/2026 13:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3939 | r1h: -0.801% · r4h: -1.932% · r1d: -2.29% · r3d: -1.32% · ema21_slope: -0.0468% · dist_ema21: -1.390% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4399 | rs_1h: -0.361% · rs_4h: -0.901% · rs_1d: -1.24% · rs_3d: -1.30% · beta_24h: 1.773 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3606 | rvol_20: 0.60× · zscore_50: 0.013 · trend: 57.60% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5750 | ADX: 20.2 (weak) · Chop: 49.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.184% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.5343
Score SMA
0.4322
Rank
#22
/ 63
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6269
Rank Norm SMA
0.2819
Calculé le
02/11/2026 11:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3268 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.270% · r1d: -1.29% · r3d: -0.08% · ema21_slope: -0.1937% · dist_ema21: -1.732% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4517 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.201% · rs_1d: -0.70% · rs_3d: 0.03% · beta_24h: 2.050 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9107 | rvol_20: 4.97× · zscore_50: 2.373 · trend: 64.34% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.2745 | ADX: 21.1 (weak) · Chop: 87.8 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.468% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.085%
(0.0129)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.889% | 0.4R | -0.631% | 0.3R | 1.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.889% | 0.4R | -0.857% | 0.4R | 1.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.889% | 0.4R | -1.859% | 0.9R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.889% | 0.4R | -1.859% | 0.9R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.908% | 0.9R | -1.859% | 0.9R | 1.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.988% | 1.0R | -1.859% | 0.9R | 1.1× | 288 |
| 36h | +4.365% | 2.1R | -2.166% | 1.0R | 2.0× | 432 |
| 48h | +4.365% | 2.1R | -6.709% | 3.2R | 0.7× | 576 |
| 72h | +7.953% | 3.8R | -6.709% | 3.2R | 1.2× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1918 min
MAE in 2148 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.39
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.68 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.95 | 31/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | — | 0.57 | bear_high | -3.28% | +0.20 | 02/11 07:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
48%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid | near -1.0ATR | — | 0.73 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.42% | -0.04 | 02/11 12:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.72 | bear_low | -1.23% | -0.10 | 02/11 13:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#483746
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | grind | 0.575 | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid 21b -1.7ATR | — | — | 0.30 | 13% | ↓ -0.65 | above_value | -10.67 | — | #228057 | 0.68 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.95 |
31/10 20:00
upd 02/11 01:17
|
|
4h
#486603
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.497 | compression | bear_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early 16b -1.1ATR | — | — | 4.97 | 90% | ↑ +0.31 | above_value | -0.15 | — | #229227 | 0.57 | bear_high | -3.28% | +0.20 |
02/11 07:00
upd 02/11 11:13
|
|
1h
anchor #487309
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.497 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
48%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid 2b -1.2ATR | near -1.0ATR | — | 0.60 | 66% | ↑ +0.74 | above_value | -1.21 | — | #229545 | 0.73 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.42% | -0.04 |
02/11 12:00
upd 02/11 13:10
|
|
15m
#487515
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.378 | expansion | bear_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late 3b -1.6ATR | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.04 | 26% | ↓ -0.93 | above_value | -1.21 | — | #229545 | 0.72 | bear_low | -1.23% | -0.10 |
02/11 13:30
upd 02/11 13:46
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 21b | — | 5.55×ATR | p78 | -1.714×ATR | p77 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 16b | — | 1.893×ATR | p0 | -1.067×ATR | p57 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 2.359×ATR | p45 | -1.153×ATR | p66 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 3b | — | 0.66×ATR | p0 | -1.594×ATR | p86 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.813
- reason: down_bo width=2.23×ATR dur=32b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.63153945
- tp_price: 0.58625138
- atr:
- score: 0.8130053460972
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-11-03T07:01:09.968672
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.8130053460972
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.1257
- obi_top10 : -0.1243
- micro_price : 0.61991051
- spread_pct : 0.016132
- mid_price : 0.61995
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.1288
- obi_top5_std : 0.003
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6855
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.6388
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.62285
- balance_zone_mid:
0.630825
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793530800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793642400
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.2325
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
32
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.813
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793638800
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.62285
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.9375
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.5949
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
7
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
10
- regime : bear_high_confirmed
- atr_entry : 0.00714449 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
32
inside_close_ratio
0.9375
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.5949
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:01 | 0.61860000 | 0% |
| 2 | 14:17 | 0.61810000 | -0.081% |
| 3 | 14:31 | 0.61810000 | -0.081% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6855ms
Confidence avant OB :
81%
→
81%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.126
avg -0.129
± 0.003
OBI Top 10
-0.124
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.6200
Micro Price
0.6199
Spread
0.0161%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6186 | 0.6315 | 0.5863 | 2.5 | 0.5248 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6186
- Stop Loss: 0.6315
- Take Profit: 0.5863
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6315 - 0.6186 = 0.0129
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6186 - 0.5863 = 0.0323
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0323 / 0.0129 = 2.5039
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 382.4583 | 100 | 618.2643 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0129
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0129 = 620.16
Taille de position USD = 620.16 x 0.6186 = 383.63
Donc, tu peux acheter 620.16 avec un stoploss a 0.6315
Avec un position size USD de 383.63$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 620.16 x 0.0129 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 620.16 x 0.0323 = 20.03
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.03$
Résumé
- Taille de position 620.16
- Taille de position USD 383.63
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.03
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5039
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.22 % | 19.97 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.09 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 6.06 $ | 1.58 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.859 % | 89.14 % | 19 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6186 | 0.6315 | 0.5863 | 2.5 | 0.5248 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6186
- Stop Loss: 0.6315
- Take Profit: 0.5863
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6315 - 0.6186 = 0.0129
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6186 - 0.5863 = 0.0323
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0323 / 0.0129 = 2.5039
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.085%
(0.0129)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.889% | 0.4R | -0.631% | 0.3R | 1.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.889% | 0.4R | -0.857% | 0.4R | 1.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.889% | 0.4R | -1.859% | 0.9R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.889% | 0.4R | -1.859% | 0.9R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.908% | 0.9R | -1.859% | 0.9R | 1.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.988% | 1.0R | -1.859% | 0.9R | 1.1× | 288 |
| 36h | +4.365% | 2.1R | -2.166% | 1.0R | 2.0× | 432 |
| 48h | +4.365% | 2.1R | -6.709% | 3.2R | 0.7× | 576 |
| 72h | +7.953% | 3.8R | -6.709% | 3.2R | 1.2× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1918 min
MAE in 2148 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.