Short Trade on SEI (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 7379.53 SEI at 0.0468$ per unit. Take profit: 0.04406 (5.79 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04786 (2.33 %)
02 Nov 2026 at 14:02:42
hyperliquid
SEI
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
02 Nov 2026 14:02
→ 02:00
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.04677$
Qty 7379.5292 SEI
Size 345.1627$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.04406 (+5.79%)
TP $ 20$
SL 0.04786 (-2.33%)
SL $ 8.04$
RR 2.49
Status
win
PnL
+0.61%
/ +2.12$
MAE -0.95%
MFE +1.38%
0.6R
expires
03 Nov 02:02
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 241470)
#42 / 63
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 13:00
score du 02/11/2026 13:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6522
Quality Score
0.501
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#42 / 63
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
76 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.33 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#42 / 63
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
76 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.33 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.22×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.77×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.56×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 14:00
02/11 14:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 31/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 02/11 07:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 02/11 12:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7652
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
10.4%
Macro
alt_capitulation
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
→-0.007
Δ 4h
▼-0.548
Δ 12h
▼-0.081
Δ 24h
→+0.004
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 77.1% |
| 1h | 18.8% |
| 4h | 2.1% |
| 24h | 10.4% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 81.3% | +0.07% |
| 4h | 20.8% | -2.05% |
| 24h | 18.8% | -3.53% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
54.2%
Expansion
54.2%
Tail ↑
+0.64
Tail ↓
+0.51
Dispersion :
0.190
Universe :
48
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
02/11 14:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 13:00
Score brut
0.5012
Score SMA
0.4817
Rank
#42
/ 63
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6522
Rank Norm SMA
0.3492
Calculé le
02/11/2026 13:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3914 | r1h: -0.947% · r4h: -1.584% · r1d: -1.40% · r3d: -3.23% · ema21_slope: -0.0795% · dist_ema21: -1.386% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4362 | rs_1h: -0.507% · rs_4h: -0.553% · rs_1d: -0.35% · rs_3d: -3.21% · beta_24h: 1.645 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4603 | rvol_20: 0.88× · zscore_50: 0.414 · trend: 78.37% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5510 | ADX: 10.9 (weak) · Chop: 43.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.034% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.5638
Score SMA
0.4366
Rank
#11
/ 63
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7619
Rank Norm SMA
0.3068
Calculé le
02/11/2026 11:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3150 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.156% · r1d: -0.71% · r3d: -1.46% · ema21_slope: -0.2443% · dist_ema21: -2.132% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4576 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.628% · rs_1d: -0.12% · rs_3d: -1.36% · beta_24h: 1.797 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 5.61× · zscore_50: 3.913 · trend: 118.34% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3662 | ADX: 28.4 (trend) · Chop: 84.0 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.274% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.331%
(0.0011)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.877% | 0.4R | -0.404% | 0.2R | 2.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.877% | 0.4R | -0.528% | 0.2R | 1.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.877% | 0.4R | -0.952% | 0.4R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.377% | 0.6R | -0.952% | 0.4R | 1.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.377% | 0.6R | -0.952% | 0.4R | 1.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.377% | 0.6R | -3.601% | 1.5R | 0.4× | 288 |
| 36h | +1.563% | 0.7R | -3.729% | 1.6R | 0.4× | 432 |
| 48h | +1.563% | 0.7R | -9.645% | 4.1R | 0.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +4.526% | 1.9R | -9.645% | 4.1R | 0.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1917 min
MAE in 2152 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.14
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.64 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.98 | 31/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | near -0.8ATR | — | 0.59 | bear_high | -3.28% | -0.07 | 02/11 07:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
49%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.75 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.42% | -0.13 | 02/11 12:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | normal | bear_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.70 | bear_low | -1.08% | -0.07 | 02/11 13:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#487380
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.348 | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late 34b -2.1ATR | — | — | 0.41 | 38% | ↓ -0.53 | value | -1.40 | — | #229550 | 0.64 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.98 |
31/10 20:00
upd 02/11 13:18
|
|
4h
#486613
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.509 | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early 15b -1.3ATR | near -0.8ATR | — | 5.61 | 96% | ↑ +0.50 | above_value | -0.45 | — | #229232 | 0.59 | bear_high | -3.28% | -0.07 |
02/11 07:00
upd 02/11 11:14
|
|
1h
anchor #487314
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.516 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
49%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid 2b -1.4ATR | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.88 | 86% | ↑ +0.56 | value | -1.40 | — | #229550 | 0.75 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.42% | -0.13 |
02/11 12:00
upd 02/11 13:10
|
|
15m
#487587
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | 0.554 | normal | bear_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid 3b -1.5ATR | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.03 | 15% | ↓ -0.90 | value | -1.40 | — | #229550 | 0.70 | bear_low | -1.08% | -0.07 |
02/11 13:45
upd 02/11 14:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 34b | — | 9.497×ATR | p86 | -2.055×ATR | p82 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 15b | — | 2.104×ATR | p4 | -1.282×ATR | p56 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 2.363×ATR | p43 | -1.431×ATR | p75 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 1.565×ATR | p0 | -1.543×ATR | p69 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.761
- reason: down_bo width=1.92×ATR dur=46b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.04785708
- tp_price: 0.0440628
- atr:
- score: 0.76104401950031
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-11-03T07:02:34.023904
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.76104401950031
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0423
- obi_top10 : 0.0748
- micro_price : 0.04679653
- spread_pct : 0.021372
- mid_price : 0.046795
- bid_wall_price : 0.0464
- bid_wall_size : 5512071
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.0469
- ask_wall_size : 4557689.2
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0405
- obi_top5_std : 0.0043
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7412
- aggregation_tick : 0.0001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.048276
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.047341
- balance_zone_mid:
0.0478085
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793480400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793642400
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.9247
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
46
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.761
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793638800
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.047341
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8696
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.1692
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
10
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
13
- regime : bear_high_confirmed
- atr_entry : 0.00048579 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
46
inside_close_ratio
0.8696
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
1.1692
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:02 | 0.04677300 | +0.006% |
| 2 | 14:18 | 0.04673500 | -0.075% |
| 3 | 14:32 | 0.04673500 | -0.075% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7412ms
Confidence avant OB :
76%
→
76%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.042
avg 0.041
± 0.004
OBI Top 10
0.075
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0468
Micro Price
0.0468
Spread
0.0214%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.0464
Size
5,512,071.00
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.0469
Size
4,557,689.20
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04677 | 0.04786 | 0.04406 | 2.49 | 0.0419 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.04677
- Stop Loss: 0.04786
- Take Profit: 0.04406
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04786 - 0.04677 = 0.00109
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04677 - 0.04406 = 0.00271
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00271 / 0.00109 = 2.4862
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 345.1627 | 100 | 7379.5292 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00109
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00109 = 7339.45
Taille de position USD = 7339.45 x 0.04677 = 343.27
Donc, tu peux acheter 7339.45 avec un stoploss a 0.04786
Avec un position size USD de 343.27$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 7339.45 x 0.00109 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 7339.45 x 0.00271 = 19.89
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.89$
Résumé
- Taille de position 7339.45
- Taille de position USD 343.27
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.89
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4862
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.79 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.33 % | 8.04 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 2.12 $ | 0.61 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.9515 % | 40.83 % | 27 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04677 | 0.04786 | 0.04406 | 2.49 | 0.0419 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.04677
- Stop Loss: 0.04786
- Take Profit: 0.04406
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04786 - 0.04677 = 0.00109
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04677 - 0.04406 = 0.00271
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00271 / 0.00109 = 2.4862
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.331%
(0.0011)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.877% | 0.4R | -0.404% | 0.2R | 2.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.877% | 0.4R | -0.528% | 0.2R | 1.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.877% | 0.4R | -0.952% | 0.4R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.377% | 0.6R | -0.952% | 0.4R | 1.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.377% | 0.6R | -0.952% | 0.4R | 1.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.377% | 0.6R | -3.601% | 1.5R | 0.4× | 288 |
| 36h | +1.563% | 0.7R | -3.729% | 1.6R | 0.4× | 432 |
| 48h | +1.563% | 0.7R | -9.645% | 4.1R | 0.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +4.526% | 1.9R | -9.645% | 4.1R | 0.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1917 min
MAE in 2152 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.