Short Trade on XPL (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 2533.73 XPL at 0.0669$ per unit. Take profit: 0.06526 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07009 (4.71 %)
02 Nov 2026 at 14:15:06
hyperliquid
XPL
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
02 Nov 2026 14:15
→ 20:15
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.06694$
Qty 2533.7303 XPL
Size 169.5978$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.06526 (+2.51%)
TP $ 4.26$
SL 0.07009 (-4.71%)
SL $ 7.98$
RR 0.53
Status
loss
PnL
-0.52%
/ -0.88$
MAE -1.33%
MFE +1.31%
0.3R
expires
02 Nov 20:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 241559)
#58 / 63
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 14:00
score du 02/11/2026 14:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0429
Quality Score
0.436
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#58 / 63
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.71 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#58 / 63
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.71 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.96×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -0.29×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-2.05
OK
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD TRADE
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
18.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 14:02
02/11 14:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 31/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 02/11 07:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 02/11 13:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7652
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
10.4%
Macro
alt_capitulation
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
→-0.007
Δ 4h
▼-0.548
Δ 12h
▼-0.081
Δ 24h
→+0.004
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 77.1% |
| 1h | 18.8% |
| 4h | 2.1% |
| 24h | 10.4% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 81.3% | +0.07% |
| 4h | 20.8% | -2.05% |
| 24h | 18.8% | -3.53% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
54.2%
Expansion
54.2%
Tail ↑
+0.64
Tail ↓
+0.51
Dispersion :
0.190
Universe :
48
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
02/11 14:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.4017
Score SMA
0.3571
Rank
#18
/ 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6600
Rank Norm SMA
0.4829
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2395 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -12.60% · r3d: -2.00% · ema21_slope: -0.5980% · dist_ema21: -9.628% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2790 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -13.62% · rs_3d: -2.49% · beta_24h: 1.599 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9734 | rvol_20: 4.93× · zscore_50: 2.600 · trend: 100.15% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4360 | ADX: 16.3 (weak) · Chop: 62.9 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 10.819% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 14:00
Score brut
0.4355
Score SMA
0.5491
Rank
#58
/ 63
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0429
Rank Norm SMA
0.6064
Calculé le
02/11/2026 14:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1742 | r1h: -1.668% · r4h: -4.840% · r1d: -6.61% · r3d: -14.58% · ema21_slope: -0.2322% · dist_ema21: -4.562% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1658 | rs_1h: -1.494% · rs_4h: -3.752% · rs_1d: -5.50% · rs_3d: -15.07% · beta_24h: 1.863 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6696 | rvol_20: 3.24× · zscore_50: 0.071 · trend: -1.34% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7335 | ADX: 41.9 (trend) · Chop: 52.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.936% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.3791
Score SMA
0.5368
Rank
#58
/ 63
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1700
Rank Norm SMA
0.6606
Calculé le
02/11/2026 11:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2909 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.260% · r1d: -4.60% · r3d: -10.58% · ema21_slope: -0.3743% · dist_ema21: -6.596% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3503 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.211% · rs_1d: -4.01% · rs_3d: -10.47% · beta_24h: 1.160 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2313 | rvol_20: 0.43× · zscore_50: -0.131 · trend: -19.98% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7343 | ADX: 28.1 (trend) · Chop: 36.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.4783 | ATR%: 4.565% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.706%
(0.0032)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.306% | 0.3R | -1.331% | 0.3R | 1.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.306% | 0.3R | -1.331% | 0.3R | 1.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.306% | 0.3R | -1.331% | 0.3R | 1.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.306% | 0.3R | -1.331% | 0.3R | 1.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +6.633% | 1.4R | -1.331% | 0.3R | 5.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +7.096% | 1.5R | -1.331% | 0.3R | 5.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +7.096% | 1.5R | -1.331% | 0.3R | 5.3× | 288 |
| 48h | +10.187% | 2.2R | -1.331% | 0.3R | 7.7× | 576 |
| 72h | +13.998% | 3.0R | -1.331% | 0.3R | 10.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 504 min
MAE in 44 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.89
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 35% | late | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.53 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.66 | 31/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | — | — | 0.55 | bear_high | -3.28% | -0.66 | 02/11 07:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | weak | grind | normal | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | near -2.0ATR | — | 0.49 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.56% | -0.45 | 02/11 13:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | fading | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
46%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | 0.15 | bear_low | -1.08% | -0.41 | 02/11 13:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#482046
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.391 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 35% | late 37b -1.1ATR | near -0.3ATR | — | 4.93 | 99% | ↑ +0.22 | value | -1.57 | — | #227351 | 0.53 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.66 |
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:21
|
|
4h
#486684
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.448 | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid 8b -1.4ATR | — | — | 0.43 | 72% | ↑ +0.27 | above_value | -2.49 | inside | #229260 | 0.55 | bear_high | -3.28% | -0.66 |
02/11 07:00
upd 02/11 11:18
|
|
1h
anchor #487679
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | weak | grind | 0.534 | normal | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late 3b -2.8ATR | near -2.0ATR | — | 3.24 | 95% | ↑ +0.27 | below_value | -5.00 | inside | #229705 | 0.49 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.56% | -0.45 |
02/11 13:00
upd 02/11 14:10
|
|
15m
#487614
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | fading | 0.706 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
46%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late 17b -2.1ATR | — | — | 1.09 | 77% | ↑ +0.67 | below_value | -4.03 | — | #229577 | 0.15 | bear_low | -1.08% | -0.41 |
02/11 13:45
upd 02/11 14:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 37b | — | 7.073×ATR | p92 | -1.1×ATR | p68 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 8b | — | 5.247×ATR | p77 | -1.415×ATR | p78 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 3b | — | 3.06×ATR | p67 | -2.812×ATR | p98 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 17b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -2.086×ATR | p89 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.0700934
- tp_price: 0.0652626
- atr: 0.00126296
- expires_at: 2026-11-03T01:15:06+00:00
Details
- rank: 62
- total: 64
- score: 0.2017
- delta_2h: -0.0449
- extension_atr: -2.34
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.041
- confidence: 0.968
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:15 | 0.06693600 | -0.006% |
| 2 | 15:15 | 0.06735800 | +0.624% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.06694 | 0.07009 | 0.06526 | 0.53 | 0.04866 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.06694
- Stop Loss: 0.07009
- Take Profit: 0.06526
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07009 - 0.06694 = 0.00315
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.06694 - 0.06526 = 0.00168
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00168 / 0.00315 = 0.5333
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 169.5978 | 100 | 2533.7303 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00315
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00315 = 2539.68
Taille de position USD = 2539.68 x 0.06694 = 170.01
Donc, tu peux acheter 2539.68 avec un stoploss a 0.07009
Avec un position size USD de 170.01$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2539.68 x 0.00315 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2539.68 x 0.00168 = 4.27
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.27$
Résumé
- Taille de position 2539.68
- Taille de position USD 170.01
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 4.27
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5333
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 4.26 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.71 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -0.88 $ | -0.52 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.331 % | 28.28 % | 29 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.06694 | 0.07009 | 0.06526 | 0.53 | 0.04866 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.06694
- Stop Loss: 0.07009
- Take Profit: 0.06526
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07009 - 0.06694 = 0.00315
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.06694 - 0.06526 = 0.00168
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00168 / 0.00315 = 0.5333
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.706%
(0.0032)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.306% | 0.3R | -1.331% | 0.3R | 1.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.306% | 0.3R | -1.331% | 0.3R | 1.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.306% | 0.3R | -1.331% | 0.3R | 1.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.306% | 0.3R | -1.331% | 0.3R | 1.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +6.633% | 1.4R | -1.331% | 0.3R | 5.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +7.096% | 1.5R | -1.331% | 0.3R | 5.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +7.096% | 1.5R | -1.331% | 0.3R | 5.3× | 288 |
| 48h | +10.187% | 2.2R | -1.331% | 0.3R | 7.7× | 576 |
| 72h | +13.998% | 3.0R | -1.331% | 0.3R | 10.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 504 min
MAE in 44 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.