Short Trade on RUNE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 196.55 RUNE at 0.556$ per unit. Take profit: 0.5426 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.5972 (7.31 %)
02 Nov 2026 at 14:15:07
hyperliquid
RUNE
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
02 Nov 2026 14:15
→ 14:20
· 4 minutes
Position
Entry 0.5565$
Qty 196.5459 RUNE
Size 109.3797$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.5426 (+2.5%)
TP $ 2.73$
SL 0.5972 (-7.31%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.34
Status
win
PnL
+2.50%
/ +2.73$
MAE -2.05%
MFE +3.72%
0.5R
expires
02 Nov 20:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 241534)
#62 / 63
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 14:00
score du 02/11/2026 14:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1719
Quality Score
0.399
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#62 / 63
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
86 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.31 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#62 / 63
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
86 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.31 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.72×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.09×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.58×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-2.05
OK
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD TRADE
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
3.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 14:00
02/11 14:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3) 31/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 02/11 07:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 02/11 13:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7652
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
10.4%
Macro
alt_capitulation
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
→-0.007
Δ 4h
▼-0.548
Δ 12h
▼-0.081
Δ 24h
→+0.004
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 77.1% |
| 1h | 18.8% |
| 4h | 2.1% |
| 24h | 10.4% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 81.3% | +0.07% |
| 4h | 20.8% | -2.05% |
| 24h | 18.8% | -3.53% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
54.2%
Expansion
54.2%
Tail ↑
+0.64
Tail ↓
+0.51
Dispersion :
0.190
Universe :
48
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
02/11 14:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.3091
Score SMA
0.4976
Rank
#38
/ 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2600
Rank Norm SMA
0.7593
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1589 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -11.91% · r3d: -10.45% · ema21_slope: -0.4554% · dist_ema21: -13.010% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1523 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -12.93% · rs_3d: -10.94% · beta_24h: 0.836 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6890 | rvol_20: 2.00× · zscore_50: 0.729 · trend: 104.08% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5704 | ADX: 16.0 (weak) · Chop: 46.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.767% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 14:00
Score brut
0.3987
Score SMA
0.5179
Rank
#62
/ 63
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1719
Rank Norm SMA
0.5149
Calculé le
02/11/2026 14:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2983 | r1h: -1.914% · r4h: 0.529% · r1d: -4.43% · r3d: -13.91% · ema21_slope: -0.1386% · dist_ema21: 0.617% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2996 | rs_1h: -1.741% · rs_4h: 1.617% · rs_1d: -3.32% · rs_3d: -14.40% · beta_24h: 0.345 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1805 | rvol_20: 0.41× · zscore_50: -0.404 · trend: -44.48% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6701 | ADX: 30.9 (trend) · Chop: 49.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9772 | ATR%: 3.069% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.4022
Score SMA
0.5354
Rank
#52
/ 63
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1998
Rank Norm SMA
0.6648
Calculé le
02/11/2026 11:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3362 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 5.230% · r1d: -7.68% · r3d: -11.78% · ema21_slope: -0.6868% · dist_ema21: -6.017% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3851 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 5.701% · rs_1d: -7.08% · rs_3d: -11.68% · beta_24h: -0.424 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4811 | rvol_20: 1.03× · zscore_50: 0.370 · trend: 78.52% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6697 | ADX: 20.4 (weak) · Chop: 20.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0835 | ATR%: 5.750% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -7.314%
(0.0407)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +3.722% | 0.5R | -1.598% | 0.2R | 2.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.722% | 0.5R | -1.598% | 0.2R | 2.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.722% | 0.5R | -1.598% | 0.2R | 2.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +3.722% | 0.5R | -2.049% | 0.3R | 1.8× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.722% | 0.5R | -2.049% | 0.3R | 1.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.722% | 0.5R | -7.608% | 1.0R | 0.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.722% | 0.5R | -20.332% | 2.8R | 0.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +3.722% | 0.5R | -20.332% | 2.8R | 0.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +3.722% | 0.5R | -21.263% | 2.9R | 0.2× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 4 min
MAE in 1319 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.8
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
50%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | — | — | 0.66 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.84 | 31/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | balanced | expansion | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 49% | early | — | — | 0.50 | bear_high | -3.28% | -0.94 | 02/11 07:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | 0.32 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.56% | -0.00 | 02/11 13:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | range_high |
43%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.04 | bear_low | -1.08% | +0.45 | 02/11 13:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#481985
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.588 | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
50%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid 1b -1.6ATR | — | — | 2.00 | 94% | ↑ +0.72 | below_value | -5.37 | — | #227332 | 0.66 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.84 |
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:18
|
|
4h
#486615
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | balanced | 0.426 | expansion | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 49% | early 2b -0.9ATR | — | — | 1.03 | 91% | ↑ +0.51 | below_value | -3.92 | inside | #229233 | 0.50 | bear_high | -3.28% | -0.94 |
02/11 07:00
upd 02/11 11:14
|
|
1h
anchor #487653
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.543 | normal | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early 7b 0.2ATR | — | — | 0.41 | 73% | ↓ -0.60 | below_value | -4.71 | — | #229679 | 0.32 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.56% | -0.00 |
02/11 13:00
upd 02/11 14:09
|
|
15m
#487588
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.530 | compression | range_high |
43%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early 5b 0.0ATR | — | — | 1.35 | 63% | ↔ -0.07 | below_value | -4.04 | — | #229551 | 0.04 | bear_low | -1.08% | +0.45 |
02/11 13:45
upd 02/11 14:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 1b | — | 3.278×ATR | p14 | -1.566×ATR | p74 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 2.083×ATR | p6 | -0.949×ATR | p49 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 2.428×ATR | p33 | +0.186×ATR | p9 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 2.316×ATR | p29 | -0.002×ATR | p1 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.59721297
- tp_price: 0.54259725
- atr: 0.01628119
- expires_at: 2026-11-03T01:15:07+00:00
Details
- rank: 55
- total: 64
- score: 0.2983
- delta_2h: -0.0073
- extension_atr: 0.55
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.172
- confidence: 0.857
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5565 | 0.5972 | 0.5426 | 0.34 | 0.5479 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.5565
- Stop Loss: 0.5972
- Take Profit: 0.5426
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.5972 - 0.5565 = 0.0407
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5565 - 0.5426 = 0.0139
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0139 / 0.0407 = 0.3415
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 109.3797 | 100 | 196.5459 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0407
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0407 = 196.56
Taille de position USD = 196.56 x 0.5565 = 109.39
Donc, tu peux acheter 196.56 avec un stoploss a 0.5972
Avec un position size USD de 109.39$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 196.56 x 0.0407 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 196.56 x 0.0139 = 2.73
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.73$
Résumé
- Taille de position 196.56
- Taille de position USD 109.39
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 2.73
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3415
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 2.73 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.31 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 2.73 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5565 | 0.5972 | 0.5426 | 0.34 | 0.5479 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.5565
- Stop Loss: 0.5972
- Take Profit: 0.5426
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.5972 - 0.5565 = 0.0407
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5565 - 0.5426 = 0.0139
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0139 / 0.0407 = 0.3415
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -7.314%
(0.0407)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +3.722% | 0.5R | -1.598% | 0.2R | 2.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.722% | 0.5R | -1.598% | 0.2R | 2.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.722% | 0.5R | -1.598% | 0.2R | 2.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +3.722% | 0.5R | -2.049% | 0.3R | 1.8× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.722% | 0.5R | -2.049% | 0.3R | 1.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.722% | 0.5R | -7.608% | 1.0R | 0.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.722% | 0.5R | -20.332% | 2.8R | 0.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +3.722% | 0.5R | -20.332% | 2.8R | 0.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +3.722% | 0.5R | -21.263% | 2.9R | 0.2× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 4 min
MAE in 1319 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.