02 Nov 2026 at 14:17:59 hyperliquid

Short Trade on UNI (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 47.98 UNI at 7.086$ per unit. Take profit: 6.6689 (5.88 %) & Stop Loss: 7.2524 (2.35 %)

UNI SHORT BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 02 Nov 2026 14:17 → 02:15 · 11 hours

Position

Entry 7.0857$

Qty 47.9838 UNI

Size 339.999$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 6.6689 (+5.88%)

TP $ 20$

SL 7.2524 (-2.35%)

SL $ 8$

RR 2.5

Status win PnL +1.61% / +5.46$ MAE -1.00% MFE +4.03% 1.7R expires 03 Nov 02:17 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 241532)
#12 / 63
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 14:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.7761

Quality Score
0.548
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#12 / 63
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.35 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#12 / 63
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.35 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.51×ATR
4h clear 3.06×ATR
1d near 0.43×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
15.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 14:15
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

31/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : range_high (0)

02/11 07:00

Tactical (1H) : range_high (0)

02/11 13:00

Score : -3 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7653
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

+2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro bear

0.55

expansion

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.63
Transition risk : 0.37
Score contribution (this trade) +3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 11.8%
Macro broad_risk_off
Local 4h bearish Leadership btc_leading
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state stable
Δ 15m
→+0.014
Δ 1h
→-0.010
Δ 4h
▼-0.418
Δ 12h
→+0.013
Δ 24h
→+0.029

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 39.6%
1h 16.7%
4h 2.1%
24h 10.4%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 39.6% -0.04%
4h 22.9% -1.65%
24h 18.8% -3.38%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
31.3%
Expansion
31.3%
Tail ↑
+0.63
Tail ↓
+0.40
Dispersion : 0.168
Universe : 48 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.78
Snapshot évalué : 02/11 14:16 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.4232
Score SMA
0.3730
Rank
#12 / 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7800
Rank Norm SMA
0.5813
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4642 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 1.94% · r3d: 11.58% · ema21_slope: -0.4570% · dist_ema21: -0.404%
Force Relative 25% 0.5942 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.92% · rs_3d: 11.10% · beta_24h: 2.446
Volume 20% 0.2677 rvol_20: 0.74× · zscore_50: -0.647 · trend: 4.69%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5458 ADX: 30.3 (trend) · Chop: 63.7 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.077% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 02/11/2026 14:00
Score brut
0.5483
Score SMA
0.5410
Rank
#12 / 63
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7761
Rank Norm SMA
0.6564
Calculé le
02/11/2026 14:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4657 r1h: -0.859% · r4h: -2.161% · r1d: -0.05% · r3d: 2.90% · ema21_slope: -0.0089% · dist_ema21: -1.271%
Force Relative 25% 0.4823 rs_1h: -0.686% · rs_4h: -1.073% · rs_1d: 1.05% · rs_3d: 2.40% · beta_24h: 1.878
Volume 20% 0.5900 rvol_20: 1.71× · zscore_50: 0.842 · trend: 55.32%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4670 ADX: 13.5 (weak) · Chop: 56.2 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.426% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 02/11/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.5360
Score SMA
0.5169
Rank
#21 / 63
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7646
Rank Norm SMA
0.6928
Calculé le
02/11/2026 11:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5548 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.362% · r1d: -0.74% · r3d: 3.73% · ema21_slope: 0.1653% · dist_ema21: 1.026%
Force Relative 25% 0.5776 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.834% · rs_1d: -0.15% · rs_3d: 3.84% · beta_24h: 2.543
Volume 20% 0.3511 rvol_20: 1.31× · zscore_50: 0.039 · trend: -36.25%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.3663 ADX: 15.0 (weak) · Chop: 70.1 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.852% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.353% (0.1667)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.712% 0.7R -0.049% 0.0R 34.7× 12
2h +1.712% 0.7R -0.049% 0.0R 34.7× 24
4h +1.712% 0.7R -0.876% 0.4R 2.0× 48
8h +4.032% 1.7R -0.998% 0.4R 4.0× 96
12h ★ +4.032% 1.7R -0.998% 0.4R 4.0× 144
24h +4.032% 1.7R -4.436% 1.9R 0.9× 288
36h +4.032% 1.7R -5.390% 2.3R 0.8× 432
48h +4.032% 1.7R -9.890% 4.2R 0.4× 576
72h +6.671% 2.8R -10.349% 4.4R 0.6× 864
⏱ MFE in 462 min MAE in 2157 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.3
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate grind compression bull_high
64%
noisy_chop 32% mid near 0.4ATR — 0.64 range_high +0.70% +0.66 31/10 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range strong explosive compression range_high
45%
noisy_chop 35% mid — near -0.4ATR 0.63 bear_high -3.28% +0.67 02/11 07:00
1h ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced expansion_after_compression range_high
38%
noisy_chop 35% early near -0.5ATR — 0.68 bear_medium_confirmed -1.56% +0.02 02/11 13:00
15m ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition strong balanced expansion bear_high
59%
noisy_chop 40% mid — — 0.67 bear_low -1.08% -0.13 02/11 14:00
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#481982
↑ up range range moderate grind 0.698 compression bull_high
64%
noisy_chop 32% mid 39b -0.1ATR near 0.4ATR — 0.74 69% ↑ +0.23 value +3.14 — #227331 0.64 range_high +0.70% +0.66
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:18
4h
#486611
↔ neutral range range strong explosive 0.841 compression range_high
45%
noisy_chop 35% mid 22b 0.4ATR — near -0.4ATR 1.31 83% ↓ -0.63 value +2.61 — #229231 0.63 bear_high -3.28% +0.67
02/11 07:00
upd 02/11 11:14
1h anchor
#487651
↔ neutral range range moderate balanced 0.618 expansion_after_compression range_high
38%
noisy_chop 35% early 5b -0.9ATR near -0.5ATR — 1.71 78% ↑ +0.73 above_value +1.46 — #229677 0.68 bear_medium_confirmed -1.56% +0.02
02/11 13:00
upd 02/11 14:09
15m
#487716
↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition strong balanced 0.422 expansion bear_high
59%
noisy_chop 40% mid 4b -1.3ATR — — 0.62 77% ↑ +0.26 above_value +1.46 — #229677 0.67 bear_low -1.08% -0.13
02/11 14:00
upd 02/11 14:16
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 39b — 6.397×ATR p69 -0.055×ATR p4
4h ↑ up mid 22b — 4.686×ATR p64 +0.448×ATR p37
1h ↓ down early 5b — 2.374×ATR p37 -0.884×ATR p60
15m ↓ down mid 4b — 2.287×ATR p32 -1.29×ATR p76

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.7933
  3. reason: down_bo width=2.13×ATR dur=38b phase=fresh|ob:bid_pressure(-0.10)
  4. stop_price: 7.25242285
  5. tp_price: 6.66889287
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.89328055698079
  8. exit_rules:
  9. expires_at: 2026-11-03T07:17:51.515079
  10. max_bars: 12
  11. max_bars_tf: 1h
  12. confidence_pre_ob: 0.89328055698079
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : 0.2308
  14. obi_top10 : 0.0527
  15. micro_price : 7.07027586
  16. spread_pct : 0.014144
  17. mid_price : 7.0705
  18. bid_wall_price : 7.03
  19. bid_wall_size : 111575
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price : 7.1
  22. ask_wall_size : 71884
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : 0.2404
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.0099
  27. pressure_side : bid
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 7099
  30. aggregation_tick : 0.01
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    7.3453
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    7.1403
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    7.2428
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1793512800
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1793646000
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    2.1303
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    38
  43. balance_zone_quality: tight
  44. balance_zone_maturity: established
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.8933
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1793642400
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    7.1403
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.8684
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    1
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    0.5674
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    
                                                                                                                                
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    0
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    5
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    11
  59. regime : bear_high
  60. atr_entry : 0.09622853
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
38
inside_close_ratio
0.8684
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.5674

Signaux confirmants (23)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 14:17 7.08570000 0%
2 14:32 7.08570000 0%
3 14:47 7.05230000 -0.471%
4 14:56 7.05230000 -0.471%
5 15:08 7.06330000 -0.316%
6 15:19 7.06330000 -0.316%
7 15:28 7.06330000 -0.316%
8 15:38 7.02240000 -0.893%
9 15:46 7.02240000 -0.893%
10 15:54 7.02240000 -0.893%
11 16:05 7.02240000 -0.893%
12 16:14 7.01580000 -0.986%
13 16:23 7.01580000 -0.986%
14 16:32 7.01580000 -0.986%
15 16:42 7.07540000 -0.145%
16 16:51 7.07540000 -0.145%
17 17:00 7.07540000 -0.145%
18 17:17 7.11720000 +0.445%
19 17:26 7.11720000 +0.445%
20 17:36 7.07600000 -0.137%
21 17:45 7.07600000 -0.137%
22 17:53 7.07600000 -0.137%
23 18:02 7.07600000 -0.137%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

↑ bid ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7099ms Confidence avant OB : 89% → 79%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.231
avg 0.240 ± 0.010
OBI Top 10 0.053

Microstructure

Mid Price
7.0705
Micro Price
7.0703
Spread
0.0141%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
7.0300
Size
111,575.00

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
7.1000
Size
71,884.00

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
7.0857 7.2524 6.6689 2.5 5.5636
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 7.0857
  • Stop Loss: 7.2524
  • Take Profit: 6.6689

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 7.2524 - 7.0857 = 0.1667

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 7.0857 - 6.6689 = 0.4168

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.4168 / 0.1667 = 2.5003

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
339.999 100 47.9838 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.1667

Taille de position = 8 / 0.1667 = 47.99

Taille de position USD = 47.99 x 7.0857 = 340.04

Donc, tu peux acheter 47.99 avec un stoploss a 7.2524

Avec un position size USD de 340.04$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 47.99 x 0.1667 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 47.99 x 0.4168 = 20

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 47.99
  • Taille de position USD 340.04
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 20
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5003

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
5.88 % 20 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.35 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
5.46 $ 1.61
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.9978 % 42.41 % 12
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
7.0857 7.2524 6.6689 2.5 5.5636
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 7.0857
  • Stop Loss: 7.2524
  • Take Profit: 6.6689

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 7.2524 - 7.0857 = 0.1667

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 7.0857 - 6.6689 = 0.4168

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.4168 / 0.1667 = 2.5003

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.353% (0.1667)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.712% 0.7R -0.049% 0.0R 34.7× 12
2h +1.712% 0.7R -0.049% 0.0R 34.7× 24
4h +1.712% 0.7R -0.876% 0.4R 2.0× 48
8h +4.032% 1.7R -0.998% 0.4R 4.0× 96
12h ★ +4.032% 1.7R -0.998% 0.4R 4.0× 144
24h +4.032% 1.7R -4.436% 1.9R 0.9× 288
36h +4.032% 1.7R -5.390% 2.3R 0.8× 432
48h +4.032% 1.7R -9.890% 4.2R 0.4× 576
72h +6.671% 2.8R -10.349% 4.4R 0.6× 864
⏱ MFE in 462 min MAE in 2157 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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