Short Trade on GRASS (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 323.62 GRASS at 0.556$ per unit. Take profit: 0.5424 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.581 (4.44 %)
02 Nov 2026 at 16:15:15
hyperliquid
GRASS
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
02 Nov 2026 16:15
→ 22:15
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.5563$
Qty 323.6152 GRASS
Size 180.0271$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.5424 (+2.5%)
TP $ 4.5$
SL 0.581 (-4.44%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 0.56
Status
win
PnL
+0.69%
/ +1.24$
MAE -2.06%
MFE +1.66%
0.4R
expires
02 Nov 22:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 241742)
#60 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 16:00
score du 02/11/2026 16:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1674
Quality Score
0.399
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#60 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
89 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.44 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#60 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
89 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.44 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.80×ATR |
| 4h | near | -3.15×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.99×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-1.60
OK
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD TRADE
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
2.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 16:01
02/11 16:01
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 31/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 02/11 11:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 02/11 15:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7660
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
15.0%
Macro
broad_risk_off
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
→+0.034
Δ 4h
▼-0.232
Δ 12h
→-0.022
Δ 24h
→-0.001
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 67.4% |
| 1h | 20.4% |
| 4h | 8.2% |
| 24h | 10.2% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 69.4% | +0.05% |
| 4h | 26.5% | -1.60% |
| 24h | 16.3% | -4.10% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.0%
Down ≥1σ
32.7%
Expansion
34.7%
Tail ↑
+0.83
Tail ↓
+0.41
Dispersion :
0.165
Universe :
49
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
02/11 16:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.3778
Score SMA
0.4781
Rank
#20
/ 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6200
Rank Norm SMA
0.7656
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5139 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 3.94% · r3d: 3.74% · ema21_slope: 0.0247% · dist_ema21: -5.628% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4500 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 2.92% · rs_3d: 3.26% · beta_24h: 3.540 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1851 | rvol_20: 0.55× · zscore_50: -0.616 · trend: -36.62% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4939 | ADX: 23.0 (weak) · Chop: 62.7 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 12.738% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.3987
Score SMA
0.4963
Rank
#60
/ 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1674
Rank Norm SMA
0.3809
Calculé le
02/11/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2158 | r1h: -0.292% · r4h: -4.814% · r1d: -5.39% · r3d: -6.36% · ema21_slope: -0.2574% · dist_ema21: -4.128% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3209 | rs_1h: 0.098% · rs_4h: -3.917% · rs_1d: -3.99% · rs_3d: -6.20% · beta_24h: 1.357 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2476 | rvol_20: 0.64× · zscore_50: -0.490 · trend: -7.14% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7142 | ADX: 25.7 (trend) · Chop: 33.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.877% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 15:00
Score brut
0.3162
Score SMA
0.4492
Rank
#59
/ 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0639
Rank Norm SMA
0.3720
Calculé le
02/11/2026 15:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1531 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -3.972% · r1d: -4.31% · r3d: -6.60% · ema21_slope: -0.3025% · dist_ema21: -6.857% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2332 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -3.428% · rs_1d: -3.42% · rs_3d: -6.79% · beta_24h: 2.279 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3481 | rvol_20: 1.40× · zscore_50: -0.255 · trend: -34.59% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5121 | ADX: 18.6 (weak) · Chop: 55.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6549 | ATR%: 4.035% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.440%
(0.0247)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.530% | 0.1R | -1.720% | 0.4R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.530% | 0.1R | -1.720% | 0.4R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.530% | 0.1R | -2.056% | 0.5R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.657% | 0.4R | -2.056% | 0.5R | 0.8× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.657% | 0.4R | -2.056% | 0.5R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.121% | 0.5R | -2.056% | 0.5R | 1.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.121% | 0.5R | -5.637% | 1.3R | 0.4× | 288 |
| 48h | +4.383% | 1.0R | -10.946% | 2.5R | 0.4× | 576 |
| 72h | +11.226% | 2.5R | -10.946% | 2.5R | 1.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 674 min
MAE in 934 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.72
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
49%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | near -1.0ATR | — | 0.44 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.96 | 31/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | near -3.1ATR | — | 0.40 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.73% | -0.65 | 02/11 11:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | near -0.8ATR | — | 0.57 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.78% | -0.59 | 02/11 15:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | 0.62 | bear_low | -1.19% | -0.27 | 02/11 15:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#482018
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.534 | compression | bull_high |
49%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early 4b -0.5ATR | near -1.0ATR | — | 0.55 | 66% | ↓ -0.31 | above_value | +1.22 | — | #227342 | 0.44 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.96 |
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:19
|
|
4h
#488040
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | 0.723 | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late 20b -2.2ATR | near -3.1ATR | — | 1.40 | 38% | ↑ +0.28 | above_value | -3.90 | — | #229824 | 0.40 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.73% | -0.65 |
02/11 11:00
upd 02/11 15:15
|
|
1h
anchor #488400
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.483 | expansion | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late 1b -2.3ATR | near -0.8ATR | — | 0.64 | 32% | ↔ +0.00 | above_value | -3.91 | inside | #230019 | 0.57 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.78% | -0.59 |
02/11 15:00
upd 02/11 16:10
|
|
15m
#488334
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.371 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early 5b -1.1ATR | — | — | 0.11 | 11% | ↓ -0.61 | above_value | -3.90 | — | #229824 | 0.62 | bear_low | -1.19% | -0.27 |
02/11 15:45
upd 02/11 16:02
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 2.17×ATR | p5 | -0.501×ATR | p29 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 20b | — | 2.716×ATR | p25 | -2.163×ATR | p90 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 1b | — | 0.976×ATR | p0 | -2.26×ATR | p93 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 2.436×ATR | p44 | -1.108×ATR | p48 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.58102072
- tp_price: 0.5423925
- atr: 0.00988829
- expires_at: 2026-11-03T03:15:15+00:00
Details
- rank: 57
- total: 64
- score: 0.2296
- delta_2h: -0.0968
- extension_atr: -1.77
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1674
- confidence: 0.889
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5563 | 0.581 | 0.5424 | 0.56 | 0.4127 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.5563
- Stop Loss: 0.581
- Take Profit: 0.5424
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.581 - 0.5563 = 0.0247
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5563 - 0.5424 = 0.0139
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0139 / 0.0247 = 0.5628
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 180.0271 | 100 | 323.6152 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0247
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0247 = 323.89
Taille de position USD = 323.89 x 0.5563 = 180.18
Donc, tu peux acheter 323.89 avec un stoploss a 0.581
Avec un position size USD de 180.18$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 323.89 x 0.0247 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 323.89 x 0.0139 = 4.5
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.5$
Résumé
- Taille de position 323.89
- Taille de position USD 180.18
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 4.5
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5628
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 4.5 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.44 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 1.24 $ | 0.69 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.0564 % | 46.31 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5563 | 0.581 | 0.5424 | 0.56 | 0.4127 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.5563
- Stop Loss: 0.581
- Take Profit: 0.5424
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.581 - 0.5563 = 0.0247
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5563 - 0.5424 = 0.0139
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0139 / 0.0247 = 0.5628
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.440%
(0.0247)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.530% | 0.1R | -1.720% | 0.4R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.530% | 0.1R | -1.720% | 0.4R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.530% | 0.1R | -2.056% | 0.5R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.657% | 0.4R | -2.056% | 0.5R | 0.8× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.657% | 0.4R | -2.056% | 0.5R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.121% | 0.5R | -2.056% | 0.5R | 1.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.121% | 0.5R | -5.637% | 1.3R | 0.4× | 288 |
| 48h | +4.383% | 1.0R | -10.946% | 2.5R | 0.4× | 576 |
| 72h | +11.226% | 2.5R | -10.946% | 2.5R | 1.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 674 min
MAE in 934 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.