02 Nov 2026 at 17:14:07 hyperliquid

Short Trade on INJ (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 41.04 INJ at 7$ per unit. Take profit: 6.5122 (6.96 %) & Stop Loss: 7.1944 (2.78 %)

INJ SHORT BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 02 Nov 2026 17:14 → 05:10 · 11 hours

Position

Entry 6.9995$

Qty 41.044 INJ

Size 287.2871$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 6.5122 (+6.96%)

TP $ 20$

SL 7.1944 (-2.78%)

SL $ 8$

RR 2.5

Status loss PnL -1.57% / -4.5$ MAE -2.50% MFE +2.49% 0.9R expires 03 Nov 05:13 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 241776)
#26 / 64
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 17:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3783

Quality Score
0.498
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#26 / 64
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
90 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#26 / 64
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
90 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.12×ATR
4h near -0.55×ATR
1d clear 0.64×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
2.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 17:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

31/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

02/11 11:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

02/11 16:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7664
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

+2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Micro bear

0.55

transition

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.63
Transition risk : 0.37
Score contribution (this trade) +4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 28.7%
Macro broad_risk_off
Local 4h bearish Leadership balanced
Legacy leadership : mixed
Breadth state recovering
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.137
Δ 4h
▲+0.176
Δ 12h
▲+0.146
Δ 24h
▼-0.057

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 48.0%
1h 78.0%
4h 26.0%
24h 10.0%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 48.0% +0.00%
4h 46.0% -0.42%
24h 20.0% -3.36%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
2.0%
Tail ↑
+0.61
Tail ↓
+0.44
Dispersion : 0.122
Universe : 50 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.78
Snapshot évalué : 02/11 17:01 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.3259
Score SMA
0.3687
Rank
#32 / 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3800
Rank Norm SMA
0.5352
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3785 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.49% · r3d: -2.04% · ema21_slope: -0.3509% · dist_ema21: -7.277%
Force Relative 25% 0.4357 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.51% · rs_3d: -2.53% · beta_24h: 2.628
Volume 20% 0.1353 rvol_20: 0.20× · zscore_50: -0.971 · trend: -52.33%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5089 ADX: 15.5 (weak) · Chop: 53.0 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 9.471% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 02/11/2026 17:00
Score brut
0.4981
Score SMA
0.5023
Rank
#26 / 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3783
Rank Norm SMA
0.4339
Calculé le
02/11/2026 17:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4772 r1h: 1.573% · r4h: 0.316% · r1d: -1.53% · r3d: -1.50% · ema21_slope: -0.1278% · dist_ema21: -0.994%
Force Relative 25% 0.5594 rs_1h: 1.488% · rs_4h: 0.691% · rs_1d: -0.22% · rs_3d: -1.71% · beta_24h: 2.395
Volume 20% 0.4491 rvol_20: 1.28× · zscore_50: 0.404 · trend: 23.19%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5883 ADX: 16.4 (weak) · Chop: 44.2 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.462% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 02/11/2026 15:00
Score brut
0.4008
Score SMA
0.4332
Rank
#51 / 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2161
Rank Norm SMA
0.3195
Calculé le
02/11/2026 15:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3062 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.648% · r1d: -1.29% · r3d: -1.72% · ema21_slope: -0.2163% · dist_ema21: -3.808%
Force Relative 25% 0.4180 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.103% · rs_1d: -0.39% · rs_3d: -1.91% · beta_24h: 1.916
Volume 20% 0.2351 rvol_20: 0.91× · zscore_50: -0.603 · trend: -42.94%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4225 ADX: 14.1 (weak) · Chop: 62.3 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.9408 ATR%: 3.178% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.785% (0.1949)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.152% 0.4R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +1.152% 0.4R -0.019% 0.0R 61.9× 24
4h +1.152% 0.4R -0.574% 0.2R 2.0× 48
8h +2.490% 0.9R -0.944% 0.3R 2.6× 96
12h ★ +2.490% 0.9R -2.505% 0.9R 1.0× 144
24h +2.490% 0.9R -6.102% 2.2R 0.4× 288
36h +2.490% 0.9R -11.235% 4.0R 0.2× 432
48h +2.490% 0.9R -14.384% 5.2R 0.2× 576
72h +2.490% 0.9R -22.670% 8.1R 0.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 255 min MAE in 2155 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 5.41
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate fading normal bull_high
57%
noisy_chop 30% early — — 0.57 range_high +0.70% +0.27 31/10 20:00
4h ↓ down range range moderate grind compression bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 39% mid near -0.6ATR — 0.52 bear_high_confirmed -3.73% -0.29 02/11 11:00
1h ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate grind expansion_after_compression bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 36% early near -0.1ATR — 0.62 bear_medium_confirmed -1.66% -0.04 02/11 16:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong explosive compression bear_medium
61%
noisy_chop 38% early — near 0.3ATR 0.71 bear_low -1.03% +0.07 02/11 16:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#481949
↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate fading 0.528 normal bull_high
57%
noisy_chop 30% early 11b -0.9ATR — — 0.20 40% ↓ -0.79 below_value -9.63 — #227321 0.57 range_high +0.70% +0.27
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:16
4h
#487980
↓ down range range moderate grind 0.471 compression bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 39% mid 12b -1.3ATR near -0.6ATR — 0.91 20% ↓ -0.18 below_value -1.97 — #229794 0.52 bear_high_confirmed -3.73% -0.29
02/11 11:00
upd 02/11 15:12
1h anchor
#488706
↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate grind 0.396 expansion_after_compression bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 36% early 8b -0.6ATR near -0.1ATR — 1.28 56% ↑ +0.71 value -1.46 — #230120 0.62 bear_medium_confirmed -1.66% -0.04
02/11 16:00
upd 02/11 17:12
15m
#488640
↓ down transition bearish_transition strong explosive 0.277 compression bear_medium
61%
noisy_chop 38% early 7b 0.6ATR — near 0.3ATR 0.17 25% ↔ +0.13 below_value -2.54 — #229989 0.71 bear_low -1.03% +0.07
02/11 16:45
upd 02/11 17:01
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 11b — 3.288×ATR p10 -0.895×ATR p50
4h ↓ down mid 12b — 2.64×ATR p43 -1.331×ATR p76
1h ↓ down early 8b — 2.641×ATR p45 -0.624×ATR p36
15m ↓ down early 7b — 0×ATR p0 +0.646×ATR p39

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.8994
  3. reason: down_bo width=2.03×ATR dur=63b phase=extending
  4. stop_price: 7.194413
  5. tp_price: 6.51221749
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.89942239978483
  8. exit_rules:
  9. expires_at: 2026-11-03T10:13:59.538735
  10. max_bars: 12
  11. max_bars_tf: 1h
  12. confidence_pre_ob: 0.89942239978483
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : -0.0769
  14. obi_top10 : 0.0414
  15. micro_price : 6.99570564
  16. spread_pct : 0.028592
  17. mid_price : 6.996
  18. bid_wall_price : 6.98
  19. bid_wall_size : 37176.98
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price : 7.02
  22. ask_wall_size : 38979.54
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : -0.0236
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.0769
  27. pressure_side : neutral
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 7071
  30. aggregation_tick : 0.01
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    7.2831
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    7.0863
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    7.1847
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1793433600
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1793656800
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    2.0261
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    63
  43. balance_zone_quality: tight
  44. balance_zone_maturity: stretched
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.8994
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: extending
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1793631600
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    7.0863
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.6349
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    7
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    0.8936
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    
                                                                                                                                
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    0
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    11
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    11
  59. regime : bear_high
  60. atr_entry : 0.09713003
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
63
inside_close_ratio
0.6349
bars_since_breakout
7
distance_to_edge_atr
0.8936

Signaux confirmants (19)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 17:14 6.99950000 0%
2 17:24 6.99950000 0%
3 17:34 6.93620000 -0.904%
4 17:43 6.93620000 -0.904%
5 17:51 6.93620000 -0.904%
6 18:00 6.93620000 -0.904%
7 18:10 6.94200000 -0.821%
8 18:19 6.94200000 -0.821%
9 18:27 6.94200000 -0.821%
10 18:37 6.97110000 -0.406%
11 18:44 6.97110000 -0.406%
12 18:52 6.97110000 -0.406%
13 19:01 6.97110000 -0.406%
14 19:13 6.99090000 -0.123%
15 19:23 6.99090000 -0.123%
16 19:32 6.99090000 -0.123%
17 19:41 7.01230000 +0.183%
18 19:50 7.01230000 +0.183%
19 19:58 7.01230000 +0.183%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7071ms Confidence avant OB : 90% → 90%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 -0.077
avg -0.024 ± 0.077
OBI Top 10 0.041

Microstructure

Mid Price
6.9960
Micro Price
6.9957
Spread
0.0286%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
6.9800
Size
37,176.98

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
7.0200
Size
38,979.54

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
6.9995 7.1944 6.5122 2.5 8.0075
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 6.9995
  • Stop Loss: 7.1944
  • Take Profit: 6.5122

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 7.1944 - 6.9995 = 0.1949

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 6.9995 - 6.5122 = 0.4873

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.4873 / 0.1949 = 2.5003

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
287.2871 100 41.044 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.1949

Taille de position = 8 / 0.1949 = 41.05

Taille de position USD = 41.05 x 6.9995 = 287.33

Donc, tu peux acheter 41.05 avec un stoploss a 7.1944

Avec un position size USD de 287.33$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 41.05 x 0.1949 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 41.05 x 0.4873 = 20

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 41.05
  • Taille de position USD 287.33
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 20
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5003

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
6.96 % 20 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.78 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-4.5 $ -1.57
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.5045 % 89.94 % 35
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
6.9995 7.1944 6.5122 2.5 8.0075
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 6.9995
  • Stop Loss: 7.1944
  • Take Profit: 6.5122

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 7.1944 - 6.9995 = 0.1949

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 6.9995 - 6.5122 = 0.4873

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.4873 / 0.1949 = 2.5003

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.785% (0.1949)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.152% 0.4R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +1.152% 0.4R -0.019% 0.0R 61.9× 24
4h +1.152% 0.4R -0.574% 0.2R 2.0× 48
8h +2.490% 0.9R -0.944% 0.3R 2.6× 96
12h ★ +2.490% 0.9R -2.505% 0.9R 1.0× 144
24h +2.490% 0.9R -6.102% 2.2R 0.4× 288
36h +2.490% 0.9R -11.235% 4.0R 0.2× 432
48h +2.490% 0.9R -14.384% 5.2R 0.2× 576
72h +2.490% 0.9R -22.670% 8.1R 0.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 255 min MAE in 2155 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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