Short Trade on SUI (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 377.4 SUI at 0.877$ per unit. Take profit: 0.8238 (6.03 %) & Stop Loss: 0.8979 (2.42 %)
02 Nov 2026 at 17:14:27
hyperliquid
SUI
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
02 Nov 2026 17:14
→ 05:10
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.8767$
Qty 377.4041 SUI
Size 330.889$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.8238 (+6.03%)
TP $ 19.96$
SL 0.8979 (-2.42%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+0.56%
/ +1.84$
MAE -0.18%
MFE +2.03%
0.8R
expires
03 Nov 05:14
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 241777)
#33 / 64
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 17:00
score du 02/11/2026 17:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6301
Quality Score
0.487
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#33 / 64
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.42 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#33 / 64
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.42 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.56×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.14×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.24×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
11.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 17:00
02/11 17:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 31/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 02/11 11:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 02/11 16:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7664
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.55 |
transition
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
28.7%
Macro
broad_risk_off
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
balanced
Legacy leadership :
mixed
Breadth state
recovering
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.137
Δ 4h
▲+0.176
Δ 12h
▲+0.146
Δ 24h
▼-0.057
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 48.0% |
| 1h | 78.0% |
| 4h | 26.0% |
| 24h | 10.0% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 48.0% | +0.00% |
| 4h | 46.0% | -0.42% |
| 24h | 20.0% | -3.36% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
2.0%
Tail ↑
+0.61
Tail ↓
+0.44
Dispersion :
0.122
Universe :
50
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
02/11 17:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.3144
Score SMA
0.3084
Rank
#37
/ 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2800
Rank Norm SMA
0.3203
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2933 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.21% · r3d: 3.63% · ema21_slope: -0.7273% · dist_ema21: -6.285% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4583 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.81% · rs_3d: 3.14% · beta_24h: 1.927 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1243 | rvol_20: 0.23× · zscore_50: -1.237 · trend: -44.94% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5799 | ADX: 25.2 (trend) · Chop: 54.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.727% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 17:00
Score brut
0.4867
Score SMA
0.5140
Rank
#33
/ 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6301
Rank Norm SMA
0.5206
Calculé le
02/11/2026 17:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4540 | r1h: 0.919% · r4h: 0.535% · r1d: -2.02% · r3d: -1.62% · ema21_slope: -0.1114% · dist_ema21: -0.600% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5295 | rs_1h: 0.835% · rs_4h: 0.910% · rs_1d: -0.72% · rs_3d: -1.83% · beta_24h: 1.545 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4309 | rvol_20: 1.14× · zscore_50: 0.599 · trend: 16.55% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6442 | ADX: 24.2 (weak) · Chop: 45.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.023% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 15:00
Score brut
0.4585
Score SMA
0.4700
Rank
#34
/ 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4800
Rank Norm SMA
0.4458
Calculé le
02/11/2026 15:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3464 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.571% · r1d: -2.20% · r3d: -2.22% · ema21_slope: -0.0830% · dist_ema21: -2.794% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4387 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.026% · rs_1d: -1.30% · rs_3d: -2.41% · beta_24h: 1.662 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4163 | rvol_20: 1.49× · zscore_50: -0.006 · trend: -6.52% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4110 | ADX: 17.3 (weak) · Chop: 67.1 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.987% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.418%
(0.0212)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.780% | 0.3R | -0.074% | 0.0R | 10.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.780% | 0.3R | -0.074% | 0.0R | 10.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.154% | 0.5R | -0.184% | 0.1R | 6.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.759% | 0.7R | -0.184% | 0.1R | 9.6× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.034% | 0.8R | -0.184% | 0.1R | 11.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.034% | 0.8R | -3.070% | 1.3R | 0.7× | 288 |
| 36h | +2.199% | 0.9R | -4.760% | 2.0R | 0.5× | 432 |
| 48h | +2.199% | 0.9R | -9.075% | 3.8R | 0.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +4.186% | 1.7R | -9.075% | 3.8R | 0.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1725 min
MAE in 2060 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.34
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | — | 0.77 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.71 | 31/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.66 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.73% | -0.12 | 02/11 11:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.84 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.66% | -0.07 | 02/11 16:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | range_medium |
40%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.81 | bear_low | -1.03% | +0.02 | 02/11 16:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#481952
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.655 | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid 35b -1.2ATR | — | — | 0.23 | 7% | ↓ -0.39 | above_value | -1.80 | — | #227322 | 0.77 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.71 |
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:17
|
|
4h
#487982
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.514 | compression | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late 16b -2.0ATR | near 0.1ATR | — | 1.49 | 44% | ↓ -0.25 | below_value | -1.77 | — | #229795 | 0.66 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.73% | -0.12 |
02/11 11:00
upd 02/11 15:12
|
|
1h
anchor #488707
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.383 | expansion | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early 2b -0.5ATR | — | near 0.1ATR | 1.14 | 66% | ↑ +0.56 | value | -0.88 | — | #230121 | 0.84 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.66% | -0.07 |
02/11 16:00
upd 02/11 17:12
|
|
15m
#488641
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.391 | normal | range_medium |
40%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early 2b 0.9ATR | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.74 | 82% | ↓ -0.50 | below_value | -1.81 | — | #229990 | 0.81 | bear_low | -1.03% | +0.02 |
02/11 16:45
upd 02/11 17:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 35b | — | 6.488×ATR | p72 | -1.177×ATR | p61 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 16b | — | 2.44×ATR | p11 | -2.039×ATR | p86 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 1.764×ATR | p28 | -0.539×ATR | p37 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 2.127×ATR | p25 | +0.863×ATR | p58 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.7837
- reason: down_bo width=2.65×ATR dur=39b phase=extending
- stop_price: 0.89794744
- tp_price: 0.8237564
- atr:
- score: 0.78370088246377
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-11-03T10:14:19.360740
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.78370088246377
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0498
- obi_top10 : -0.0112
- micro_price : 0.87521468
- spread_pct : 0.011426
- mid_price : 0.87525
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0475
- obi_top5_std : 0.0015
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6894
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.90846
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.88572
- balance_zone_mid:
0.89709
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793520000
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793656800
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.6521
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
39
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7837
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: extending
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793631600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.88572
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7179
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
7
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.0461
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
5
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
6
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00857441 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
39
inside_close_ratio
0.7179
bars_since_breakout
7
distance_to_edge_atr
1.0461
Signaux confirmants (9)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:14 | 0.87675000 | +0.006% |
| 2 | 17:25 | 0.87675000 | +0.006% |
| 3 | 19:42 | 0.87599000 | -0.081% |
| 4 | 19:50 | 0.87599000 | -0.081% |
| 5 | 19:58 | 0.87599000 | -0.081% |
| 6 | 20:08 | 0.87415000 | -0.291% |
| 7 | 20:17 | 0.87415000 | -0.291% |
| 8 | 20:24 | 0.87415000 | -0.291% |
| 9 | 20:33 | 0.87415000 | -0.291% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6894ms
Confidence avant OB :
78%
→
78%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.050
avg 0.048
± 0.002
OBI Top 10
-0.011
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.8753
Micro Price
0.8752
Spread
0.0114%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8767 | 0.8979 | 0.8238 | 2.5 | 0.7747 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.8767
- Stop Loss: 0.8979
- Take Profit: 0.8238
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.8979 - 0.8767 = 0.0212
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.8767 - 0.8238 = 0.0529
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0529 / 0.0212 = 2.4953
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 330.889 | 100 | 377.4041 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0212
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0212 = 377.36
Taille de position USD = 377.36 x 0.8767 = 330.83
Donc, tu peux acheter 377.36 avec un stoploss a 0.8979
Avec un position size USD de 330.83$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 377.36 x 0.0212 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 377.36 x 0.0529 = 19.96
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.96$
Résumé
- Taille de position 377.36
- Taille de position USD 330.83
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.96
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4953
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.03 % | 19.96 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.42 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 1.84 $ | 0.56 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1836 % | 7.59 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8767 | 0.8979 | 0.8238 | 2.5 | 0.7747 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.8767
- Stop Loss: 0.8979
- Take Profit: 0.8238
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.8979 - 0.8767 = 0.0212
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.8767 - 0.8238 = 0.0529
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0529 / 0.0212 = 2.4953
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.418%
(0.0212)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.780% | 0.3R | -0.074% | 0.0R | 10.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.780% | 0.3R | -0.074% | 0.0R | 10.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.154% | 0.5R | -0.184% | 0.1R | 6.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.759% | 0.7R | -0.184% | 0.1R | 9.6× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.034% | 0.8R | -0.184% | 0.1R | 11.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.034% | 0.8R | -3.070% | 1.3R | 0.7× | 288 |
| 36h | +2.199% | 0.9R | -4.760% | 2.0R | 0.5× | 432 |
| 48h | +2.199% | 0.9R | -9.075% | 3.8R | 0.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +4.186% | 1.7R | -9.075% | 3.8R | 0.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1725 min
MAE in 2060 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.