Short Trade on ZEC (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 0.14 ZEC at 1140.9$ per unit. Take profit: 1112.3775 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1196.5456 (4.88 %)
02 Nov 2026 at 19:15:20
hyperliquid
ZEC
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
02 Nov 2026 19:15
→ 01:15
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 1140.9$
Qty 0.1438 ZEC
Size 164.0236$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 1112.3775 (+2.5%)
TP $ 4.1$
SL 1196.5456 (-4.88%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.51
Status
win
PnL
+0.96%
/ +1.57$
MAE -1.81%
MFE +1.81%
0.4R
expires
03 Nov 01:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 241951)
#59 / 65
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 19:00
score du 02/11/2026 19:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3306
Quality Score
0.421
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#59 / 65
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#59 / 65
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.86×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.76×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.00×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
recovering
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.12
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
595.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 19:02
02/11 19:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 31/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 02/11 11:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 02/11 17:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7672
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.60
Transition risk :
0.40
Score contribution (this trade)
+4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
52.1%
Macro
btc_led_risk_off
Local 4h
mixed
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
recovering
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.181
Δ 4h
▲+0.405
Δ 12h
▲+0.264
Δ 24h
→-0.035
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 60.4% |
| 1h | 20.8% |
| 4h | 58.3% |
| 24h | 12.5% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 56.3% | +0.01% |
| 4h | 81.3% | +0.12% |
| 24h | 27.1% | -3.37% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
0.0%
Tail ↑
+0.27
Tail ↓
+0.33
Dispersion :
0.084
Universe :
48
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.76
Snapshot évalué :
02/11 19:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.4055
Score SMA
0.4425
Rank
#17
/ 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6800
Rank Norm SMA
0.7403
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6012 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -1.33% · r3d: 0.89% · ema21_slope: 0.0317% · dist_ema21: -0.852% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5075 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -2.35% · rs_3d: 0.40% · beta_24h: 2.535 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1797 | rvol_20: 0.53× · zscore_50: -1.111 · trend: -12.73% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4152 | ADX: 16.1 (weak) · Chop: 65.2 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.703% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.4209
Score SMA
0.5455
Rank
#59
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3306
Rank Norm SMA
0.6419
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2117 | r1h: -1.825% · r4h: -1.450% · r1d: -8.07% · r3d: -10.65% · ema21_slope: -0.3230% · dist_ema21: -5.698% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2484 | rs_1h: -1.660% · rs_4h: -1.097% · rs_1d: -6.13% · rs_3d: -9.96% · beta_24h: 4.152 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3842 | rvol_20: 0.94× · zscore_50: 0.307 · trend: 19.55% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7668 | ADX: 32.0 (trend) · Chop: 22.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.065% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.4208
Score SMA
0.5395
Rank
#43
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4585
Rank Norm SMA
0.7388
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2537 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.450% · r1d: -8.07% · r3d: -10.65% · ema21_slope: -0.1980% · dist_ema21: -8.170% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2935 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.097% · rs_1d: -6.13% · rs_3d: -9.96% · beta_24h: 2.813 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4797 | rvol_20: 1.25× · zscore_50: 0.073 · trend: 65.75% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5431 | ADX: 13.1 (weak) · Chop: 46.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.7400 | ATR%: 3.780% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.877%
(55.6456)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.814% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.473% | 0.1R | -1.814% | 0.4R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.104% | 0.2R | -1.814% | 0.4R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.814% | 0.4R | -1.814% | 0.4R | 1.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.814% | 0.4R | -1.814% | 0.4R | 1.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.814% | 0.4R | -4.742% | 1.0R | 0.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.814% | 0.4R | -9.195% | 1.9R | 0.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +1.814% | 0.4R | -18.643% | 3.8R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +1.814% | 0.4R | -18.643% | 3.8R | 0.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 314 min
MAE in 1264 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.76
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | — | 0.58 | range_high | +0.70% | +0.76 | 31/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
55%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | near -0.8ATR | — | 0.63 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.73% | -0.61 | 02/11 11:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
51%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late | — | — | 0.72 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.52% | -0.57 | 02/11 17:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.74 | bear_low | -0.92% | -0.22 | 02/11 18:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#482055
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.564 | compression | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early 14b -0.1ATR | — | — | 0.53 | 50% | ↔ -0.00 | above_value | -0.35 | — | #227354 | 0.58 | range_high | +0.70% | +0.76 |
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:21
|
|
4h
#488085
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.493 | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
55%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late 3b -2.7ATR | near -0.8ATR | — | 4.79 | 100% | ↑ +0.29 | below_value | -4.04 | — | #229839 | 0.63 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.73% | -0.61 |
02/11 11:00
upd 02/11 15:18
|
|
1h
anchor #489092
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | 0.330 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
51%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late 3b -2.1ATR | — | — | 0.20 | 24% | ↑ +0.48 | below_value | -3.91 | — | #230298 | 0.72 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.52% | -0.57 |
02/11 17:00
upd 02/11 18:10
|
|
15m
#489371
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.772 | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late 7b -2.0ATR | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.10 | 20% | ↓ -0.77 | below_value | -3.91 | — | #230298 | 0.74 | bear_low | -0.92% | -0.22 |
02/11 18:45
upd 02/11 19:04
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 14b | — | 1.736×ATR | p0 | -0.102×ATR | p7 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 3b | — | 3.077×ATR | p44 | -2.651×ATR | p97 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 3b | — | 1.308×ATR | p2 | -2.051×ATR | p94 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 7b | — | 2.283×ATR | p30 | -1.958×ATR | p83 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 1196.54564633
- tp_price: 1112.3775
- atr: 22.25825853
- expires_at: 2026-11-03T06:15:20+00:00
Details
- rank: 60
- total: 66
- score: 0.2369
- delta_2h: -0.088
- extension_atr: -2.49
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3345
- confidence: 0.908
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1140.9 | 1196.5456 | 1112.3775 | 0.51 | 878.46 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1140.9
- Stop Loss: 1196.5456
- Take Profit: 1112.3775
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1196.5456 - 1140.9 = 55.6456
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1140.9 - 1112.3775 = 28.5225
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 28.5225 / 55.6456 = 0.5126
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 164.0236 | 100 | 0.1438 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 55.6456
Taille de position = 8 / 55.6456 = 0.14
Taille de position USD = 0.14 x 1140.9 = 159.73
Donc, tu peux acheter 0.14 avec un stoploss a 1196.5456
Avec un position size USD de 159.73$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 0.14 x 55.6456 = 7.79
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.79$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 0.14 x 28.5225 = 3.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.99$
Résumé
- Taille de position 0.14
- Taille de position USD 159.73
- Perte potentielle 7.79
- Gain potentiel 3.99
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5126
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 4.1 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.88 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 1.57 $ | 0.96 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.8144 % | 37.2 % | 12 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1140.9 | 1196.5456 | 1112.3775 | 0.51 | 878.46 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1140.9
- Stop Loss: 1196.5456
- Take Profit: 1112.3775
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1196.5456 - 1140.9 = 55.6456
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1140.9 - 1112.3775 = 28.5225
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 28.5225 / 55.6456 = 0.5126
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.877%
(55.6456)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.814% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.473% | 0.1R | -1.814% | 0.4R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.104% | 0.2R | -1.814% | 0.4R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.814% | 0.4R | -1.814% | 0.4R | 1.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.814% | 0.4R | -1.814% | 0.4R | 1.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.814% | 0.4R | -4.742% | 1.0R | 0.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.814% | 0.4R | -9.195% | 1.9R | 0.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +1.814% | 0.4R | -18.643% | 3.8R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +1.814% | 0.4R | -18.643% | 3.8R | 0.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 314 min
MAE in 1264 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.