02 Nov 2026 at 19:41:32 hyperliquid

Short Trade on DOGE (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 7103.22 DOGE at 0.0745$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07168 (3.77 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07562 (1.52 %)

DOGE SHORT BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 02 Nov 2026 19:41 → 07:40 · 11 hours

Position

Entry 0.07449$

Qty 7103.2186 DOGE

Size 529.1472$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)

Risk Setup

TP 0.07168 (+3.77%)

TP $ 19.96$

SL 0.07562 (-1.52%)

SL $ 8.03$

RR 2.49

Status loss PnL -0.94% / -4.99$ MAE -1.05% MFE +1.34% 0.9R expires 03 Nov 07:41 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 241905)
#15 / 65
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 19:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.6408

Quality Score
0.519
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#15 / 65
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.52 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#15 / 65
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.52 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.34×ATR
4h near -0.92×ATR
1d clear 0.79×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↓ down late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
9.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 19:30
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

01/11 19:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

02/11 15:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

02/11 18:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7674
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

+2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Micro bear

0.55

expansion

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.60
Transition risk : 0.40
Score contribution (this trade) +4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 59.7%
Macro btc_led_risk_off
Local 4h bullish Leadership alts_leading
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state expanding
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.069
Δ 4h
▲+0.407
Δ 12h
▲+0.289
Δ 24h
▲+0.108

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 70.8%
1h 56.3%
4h 81.3%
24h 16.7%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 66.7% +0.05%
4h 81.3% +0.46%
24h 31.3% -2.80%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
0.0%
Tail ↑
+0.30
Tail ↓
+0.37
Dispersion : 0.073
Universe : 48 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.76
Snapshot évalué : 02/11 19:31 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 02/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.3541
Score SMA
0.3464
Rank
#21 / 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6875
Rank Norm SMA
0.5287
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1989 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -1.71% · r3d: -2.29% · ema21_slope: -0.5268% · dist_ema21: -6.309%
Force Relative 25% 0.4424 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.23% · rs_3d: -1.60% · beta_24h: 1.297
Volume 20% 0.2898 rvol_20: 1.16× · zscore_50: -0.424 · trend: -40.37%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5806 ADX: 29.9 (trend) · Chop: 59.0 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.3880 ATR%: 4.836% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 02/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.5191
Score SMA
0.5290
Rank
#15 / 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6408
Rank Norm SMA
0.6044
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4698 r1h: 0.003% · r4h: 0.646% · r1d: -1.71% · r3d: -2.29% · ema21_slope: -0.0849% · dist_ema21: -0.706%
Force Relative 25% 0.5174 rs_1h: 0.168% · rs_4h: 0.999% · rs_1d: 0.23% · rs_3d: -1.60% · beta_24h: 1.468
Volume 20% 0.2070 rvol_20: 0.40× · zscore_50: -0.267 · trend: -31.37%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7162 ADX: 28.1 (trend) · Chop: 40.4 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 0.804% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 02/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.4834
Score SMA
0.5084
Rank
#22 / 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7169
Rank Norm SMA
0.6506
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4054 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.646% · r1d: -1.71% · r3d: -2.29% · ema21_slope: -0.1068% · dist_ema21: -1.771%
Force Relative 25% 0.5077 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.999% · rs_1d: 0.23% · rs_3d: -1.60% · beta_24h: 0.857
Volume 20% 0.2954 rvol_20: 0.68× · zscore_50: -0.434 · trend: 21.99%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5049 ADX: 22.7 (weak) · Chop: 60.9 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.479% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.517% (0.0011)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.329% 0.2R -0.067% 0.0R 4.9× 12
2h +0.678% 0.5R -0.067% 0.0R 10.1× 24
4h +1.004% 0.7R -0.067% 0.0R 15.0× 48
8h +1.344% 0.9R -0.067% 0.0R 20.0× 96
12h ★ +1.344% 0.9R -1.046% 0.7R 1.3× 144
24h +1.344% 0.9R -1.638% 1.1R 0.8× 288
36h +2.996% 2.0R -1.638% 1.1R 1.8× 432
48h +2.996% 2.0R -5.142% 3.4R 0.6× 576
72h +5.812% 3.8R -5.142% 3.4R 1.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 1578 min MAE in 1258 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 6.36
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range strong grind compression bear_high
55%
noisy_chop 42% late — — 0.81 bear_high -1.23% -0.46 01/11 19:00
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong explosive compression bear_high_confirmed
62%
noisy_chop 37% mid near -0.9ATR — 0.80 bear_high -4.00% -0.12 02/11 15:00
1h ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate grind expansion_after_compression bear_high
64%
noisy_chop 38% early near 0.3ATR — 0.87 bear_medium_confirmed -1.65% -0.03 02/11 18:00
15m ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression range_low
40%
noisy_chop 44% mid — — 0.82 range_low -0.58% +0.11 02/11 19:15
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#489505
↔ neutral range range strong grind 0.683 compression bear_high
55%
noisy_chop 42% late 41b -1.5ATR — — 1.16 45% ↓ -0.24 value -2.25 — #230384 0.81 bear_high -1.23% -0.46
01/11 19:00
upd 02/11 19:17
4h
#489400
↓ down transition bearish_transition strong explosive 0.386 compression bear_high_confirmed
62%
noisy_chop 37% mid 22b -1.5ATR near -0.9ATR — 0.68 28% ↑ +0.57 value -2.25 inside #230384 0.80 bear_high -4.00% -0.12
02/11 15:00
upd 02/11 19:12
1h anchor
#489399
↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate grind 0.388 expansion_after_compression bear_high
64%
noisy_chop 38% early 4b -0.8ATR near 0.3ATR — 0.40 52% ↑ +0.36 value -2.25 — #230384 0.87 bear_medium_confirmed -1.65% -0.03
02/11 18:00
upd 02/11 19:12
15m
#489675
↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.577 compression range_low
40%
noisy_chop 44% mid 7b 1.3ATR — — 1.52 79% ↓ -0.64 value -2.25 — #230384 0.82 range_low -0.58% +0.11
02/11 19:15
upd 02/11 19:30
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 41b — 8.854×ATR p100 -1.546×ATR p80
4h ↓ down mid 22b — 2.345×ATR p3 -1.536×ATR p80
1h ↑ up early 4b — 1.738×ATR p17 -0.781×ATR p55
15m ↑ up mid 7b — 2.073×ATR p24 +1.32×ATR p77

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.7724
  3. reason: down_bo width=1.90×ATR dur=51b phase=extending
  4. stop_price: 0.07562025
  5. tp_price: 0.07167838
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.77235661062654
  8. exit_rules:
  9. expires_at: 2026-11-03T12:41:24.382896
  10. max_bars: 12
  11. max_bars_tf: 1h
  12. confidence_pre_ob: 0.77235661062654
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : 0.0357
  14. obi_top10 : -0.0094
  15. micro_price : 0.0744617
  16. spread_pct : 0.01343
  17. mid_price : 0.074465
  18. bid_wall_price :
  19. bid_wall_size :
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price : 0.0747
  22. ask_wall_size : 29569403
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : 0.0284
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.0237
  27. pressure_side : neutral
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 6997
  30. aggregation_tick : 0.0001
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    0.07612
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    0.075003
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    0.0755615
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1793484000
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1793664000
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    1.9014
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    51
  43. balance_zone_quality: tight
  44. balance_zone_maturity: established
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.7724
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: extending
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1793638800
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    0.075003
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.8039
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    7
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    0.8664
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    
                                                                                                                                
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    0
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    6
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    8
  59. regime : bear_high
  60. atr_entry : 0.00058746
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
51
inside_close_ratio
0.8039
bars_since_breakout
7
distance_to_edge_atr
0.8664

Signaux confirmants (21)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 19:41 0.07449400 +0.005%
2 19:49 0.07449400 +0.005%
3 19:58 0.07449400 +0.005%
4 20:08 0.07447300 -0.023%
5 20:16 0.07447300 -0.023%
6 20:24 0.07447300 -0.023%
7 20:32 0.07447300 -0.023%
8 20:41 0.07442100 -0.093%
9 20:48 0.07442100 -0.093%
10 20:56 0.07442100 -0.093%
11 21:07 0.07423600 -0.341%
12 21:16 0.07423600 -0.341%
13 21:24 0.07423600 -0.341%
14 21:33 0.07423600 -0.341%
15 21:41 0.07438800 -0.137%
16 21:49 0.07438800 -0.137%
17 21:57 0.07438800 -0.137%
18 23:34 0.07429000 -0.268%
19 23:42 0.07429000 -0.268%
20 23:50 0.07429000 -0.268%
21 23:58 0.07429000 -0.268%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 6997ms Confidence avant OB : 77% → 77%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.036
avg 0.028 ± 0.024
OBI Top 10 -0.009

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.0745
Micro Price
0.0745
Spread
0.0134%

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
0.0747
Size
29,569,403.00

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.07449 0.07562 0.07168 2.49 0.06245
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.07449
  • Stop Loss: 0.07562
  • Take Profit: 0.07168

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.07562 - 0.07449 = 0.00113

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.07449 - 0.07168 = 0.00281

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00281 / 0.00113 = 2.4867

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
529.1472 100 7103.2186 5.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00113

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00113 = 7079.65

Taille de position USD = 7079.65 x 0.07449 = 527.36

Donc, tu peux acheter 7079.65 avec un stoploss a 0.07562

Avec un position size USD de 527.36$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 7079.65 x 0.00113 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 7079.65 x 0.00281 = 19.89

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.89$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 7079.65
  • Taille de position USD 527.36
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 19.89
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4867

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
3.77 % 19.96 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.52 % 8.03 $
PNL PNL %
-4.99 $ -0.94
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.0458 % 68.94 % 16
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.07449 0.07562 0.07168 2.49 0.06245
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.07449
  • Stop Loss: 0.07562
  • Take Profit: 0.07168

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.07562 - 0.07449 = 0.00113

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.07449 - 0.07168 = 0.00281

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00281 / 0.00113 = 2.4867

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.517% (0.0011)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.329% 0.2R -0.067% 0.0R 4.9× 12
2h +0.678% 0.5R -0.067% 0.0R 10.1× 24
4h +1.004% 0.7R -0.067% 0.0R 15.0× 48
8h +1.344% 0.9R -0.067% 0.0R 20.0× 96
12h ★ +1.344% 0.9R -1.046% 0.7R 1.3× 144
24h +1.344% 0.9R -1.638% 1.1R 0.8× 288
36h +2.996% 2.0R -1.638% 1.1R 1.8× 432
48h +2.996% 2.0R -5.142% 3.4R 0.6× 576
72h +5.812% 3.8R -5.142% 3.4R 1.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 1578 min MAE in 1258 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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