Short Trade on GRAM (BosPullback)
With 504.19 GRAM at 1.179$ per unit. Take profit: 1.139 (3.37 %) & Stop Loss: 1.1946 (1.35 %)
Short Trade on GRAM (BosPullback)
With 504.19 GRAM at 1.179$ per unit. Take profit: 1.139 (3.37 %) & Stop Loss: 1.1946 (1.35 %)
Position
Entry 1.1787$
Qty 504.1879 GRAM
Size 594.2863$ (margin 100$) (leverage 6)
Risk Setup
TP 1.139 (+3.37%)
TP $ 20.02$
SL 1.1946 (-1.35%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 2.5
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8688
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.23×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.38×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 01/11 19:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 02/11 15:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 02/11 19:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_medium |
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 29.2% |
| 1h | 47.9% |
| 4h | 25.0% |
| 24h | 12.5% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 31.3% | -0.07% |
| 4h | 8.3% | -0.31% |
| 24h | 22.9% | -3.50% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2139 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -2.38% · r3d: 1.06% · ema21_slope: -0.7560% · dist_ema21: -6.808% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4715 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.43% · rs_3d: 1.74% · beta_24h: 1.201 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2224 | rvol_20: 0.87× · zscore_50: -0.560 · trend: -53.45% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7265 | ADX: 36.4 (trend) · Chop: 47.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.1889 | ATR%: 5.433% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4537 | r1h: -0.430% · r4h: -0.034% · r1d: -2.04% · r3d: 0.51% · ema21_slope: -0.0847% · dist_ema21: -0.948% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4549 | rs_1h: -0.828% · rs_4h: -0.470% · rs_1d: -0.77% · rs_3d: 1.06% · beta_24h: 0.582 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3176 | rvol_20: 0.73× · zscore_50: 0.073 · trend: 7.02% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6514 | ADX: 32.5 (trend) · Chop: 53.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.833% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4445 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.440% · r1d: -2.38% · r3d: 1.06% · ema21_slope: 0.0187% · dist_ema21: -1.115% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5394 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.793% · rs_1d: -0.43% · rs_3d: 1.74% · beta_24h: 0.319 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3953 | rvol_20: 1.15× · zscore_50: -0.056 · trend: 21.52% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5392 | ADX: 26.6 (trend) · Chop: 60.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.739% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.636% | 0.5R | -0.322% | 0.2R | 2.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.636% | 0.5R | -0.322% | 0.2R | 2.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.925% | 0.7R | -0.348% | 0.3R | 2.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.062% | 1.5R | -0.348% | 0.3R | 5.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.435% | 1.8R | -0.348% | 0.3R | 7.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.834% | 2.1R | -0.348% | 0.3R | 8.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +3.708% | 2.8R | -2.121% | 1.6R | 1.8× | 576 |
| 72h | +7.653% | 5.7R | -2.121% | 1.6R | 3.6× | 864 |
computed 1 week ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 36% | late | — | — | — | bear_high | -1.23% | -0.59 | 01/11 19:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.50 | bear_high | -4.00% | +0.42 | 02/11 15:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.52 | bear_medium | -1.24% | -0.08 | 02/11 19:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_medium |
62%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.48 | range_low | -0.42% | +0.03 | 02/11 20:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#489661
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.546 | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 36% | late 35b -1.4ATR | — | — | 0.87 | 48% | ↔ -0.01 | value | -2.78 | inside | #230440 | — | bear_high | -1.23% | -0.59 |
01/11 19:00
upd 02/11 19:25
|
|
4h
#489559
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.530 | compression | bear_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early 8b -0.8ATR | — | — | 1.15 | 47% | ↔ +0.10 | value | -2.78 | — | #230440 | 0.50 | bear_high | -4.00% | +0.42 |
02/11 15:00
upd 02/11 19:20
|
|
1h
anchor #489936
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.409 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early 2b -1.0ATR | — | — | 0.73 | 70% | ↑ +0.72 | above_value | -3.16 | — | #230639 | 0.52 | bear_medium | -1.24% | -0.08 |
02/11 19:00
upd 02/11 20:11
|
|
15m
#490141
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.371 | compression | bear_medium |
62%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early 6b -0.2ATR | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.28 | 41% | ↔ -0.14 | above_value | -3.16 | — | #230639 | 0.48 | range_low | -0.42% | +0.03 |
02/11 20:30
upd 02/11 20:48
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 35b | — | 8.381×ATR | p100 | -1.405×ATR | p75 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 2.29×ATR | p13 | -0.763×ATR | p50 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 1.147×ATR | p0 | -1.02×ATR | p46 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 1.905×ATR | p24 | -0.182×ATR | p13 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
1.1936
146
0.2523
0.5107
0.3633
0.1789
0.5142
0.672
0.3222
0.3793
0.2858
0.904
0.6046
0.6483
-0.0702
-0.05
0
-0.5657
-1.1716
0.4
0.6
-1
6
1
0.6423
0.4689
3.1179
0.5
0.672
2.0952
-1.1716
0.3488
0.3207
0.84
0.4431
0.4454
0.4707
0.9148
0.6483
-4.7621
8.7794
1
1
1
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1.1725
1.1936
1.1936
1.1725
1.1797
1.167
1.17335
0.8456
1.2039
1.2028
1.20335
0.7094
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.1787 | 1.1946 | 1.139 | 2.5 | 1.0879 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.1946 - 1.1787 = 0.0159
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.1787 - 1.139 = 0.0397
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0397 / 0.0159 = 2.4969
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 594.2863 | 100 | 504.1879 | 6.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0159 = 503.14
Taille de position USD = 503.14 x 1.1787 = 593.05
Donc, tu peux acheter 503.14 avec un stoploss a 1.1946
Avec un position size USD de 593.05$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 503.14 x 0.0159 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 503.14 x 0.0397 = 19.97
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.97$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.37 % | 20.02 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.35 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 20.02 $ | 3.37 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3478 % | 25.78 % | 15 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.1787 | 1.1946 | 1.139 | 2.5 | 1.0879 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.1946 - 1.1787 = 0.0159
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.1787 - 1.139 = 0.0397
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0397 / 0.0159 = 2.4969
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.636% | 0.5R | -0.322% | 0.2R | 2.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.636% | 0.5R | -0.322% | 0.2R | 2.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.925% | 0.7R | -0.348% | 0.3R | 2.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.062% | 1.5R | -0.348% | 0.3R | 5.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.435% | 1.8R | -0.348% | 0.3R | 7.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.834% | 2.1R | -0.348% | 0.3R | 8.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +3.708% | 2.8R | -2.121% | 1.6R | 1.8× | 576 |
| 72h | +7.653% | 5.7R | -2.121% | 1.6R | 3.6× | 864 |
computed 1 week ago
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