Short Trade on BCH (BosPullback)
With 2.1 BCH at 275.48$ per unit. Take profit: 265.9491 (3.46 %) & Stop Loss: 279.2924 (1.38 %)
Short Trade on BCH (BosPullback)
With 2.1 BCH at 275.48$ per unit. Take profit: 265.9491 (3.46 %) & Stop Loss: 279.2924 (1.38 %)
Position
Entry 275.48$
Qty 2.0984 BCH
Size 578.0788$ (margin 100$) (leverage 6)
Risk Setup
TP 265.9491 (+3.46%)
TP $ 20$
SL 279.2924 (-1.38%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5044
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.04×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.84×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.65×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 01/11 19:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 02/11 15:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 02/11 19:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_low |
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 29.2% |
| 1h | 47.9% |
| 4h | 25.0% |
| 24h | 12.5% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 31.3% | -0.07% |
| 4h | 8.3% | -0.31% |
| 24h | 22.9% | -3.50% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4101 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -2.90% · r3d: -6.05% · ema21_slope: 0.0075% · dist_ema21: -2.558% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4403 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.96% · rs_3d: -5.36% · beta_24h: 1.428 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2567 | rvol_20: 0.83× · zscore_50: -0.298 · trend: -32.36% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4402 | ADX: 17.2 (weak) · Chop: 63.3 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0221 | ATR%: 5.934% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4112 | r1h: -0.137% · r4h: -0.443% · r1d: -2.43% · r3d: -5.32% · ema21_slope: -0.0808% · dist_ema21: -0.431% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4263 | rs_1h: -0.135% · rs_4h: -0.792% · rs_1d: -0.81% · rs_3d: -4.97% · beta_24h: 1.020 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1738 | rvol_20: 0.28× · zscore_50: -0.567 · trend: -41.29% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5451 | ADX: 22.7 (weak) · Chop: 56.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.783% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4173 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.386% · r1d: -2.90% · r3d: -6.05% · ema21_slope: -0.1383% · dist_ema21: -2.099% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4575 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.033% · rs_1d: -0.96% · rs_3d: -5.36% · beta_24h: 1.644 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1983 | rvol_20: 0.51× · zscore_50: -0.796 · trend: -12.09% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4313 | ADX: 18.5 (weak) · Chop: 65.7 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.128% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.955% | 0.7R | -0.127% | 0.1R | 7.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.955% | 0.7R | -0.127% | 0.1R | 7.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.955% | 0.7R | -0.127% | 0.1R | 7.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.955% | 0.7R | -0.835% | 0.6R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.955% | 0.7R | -1.067% | 0.8R | 0.9× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.069% | 1.5R | -1.067% | 0.8R | 1.9× | 288 |
| 48h | +3.717% | 2.7R | -3.739% | 2.7R | 1.0× | 575 |
| 72h | +3.735% | 2.7R | -5.514% | 4.0R | 0.7× | 864 |
computed 1 week ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | range_high |
43%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | — | 0.66 | bear_high | -1.23% | +0.70 | 01/11 19:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | — | 0.54 | bear_high | -4.00% | -0.45 | 02/11 15:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | near 0.0ATR | near -0.6ATR | 0.69 | bear_medium | -1.24% | -0.10 | 02/11 19:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | range_low |
37%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | near 0.5ATR | near 0.3ATR | 0.58 | range_low | -0.45% | -0.09 | 02/11 20:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#489537
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.514 | normal | range_high |
43%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early 18b -0.5ATR | — | — | 0.83 | 59% | ↔ -0.15 | value | -3.22 | — | #230393 | 0.66 | bear_high | -1.23% | +0.70 |
01/11 19:00
upd 02/11 19:19
|
|
4h
#489418
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.643 | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid 17b -1.3ATR | — | — | 0.51 | 22% | ↓ -0.15 | value | -3.22 | — | #230393 | 0.54 | bear_high | -4.00% | -0.45 |
02/11 15:00
upd 02/11 19:13
|
|
1h
anchor #489888
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.433 | normal | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early 4b -0.4ATR | near 0.0ATR | near -0.6ATR | 0.72 | 49% | ↔ -0.09 | value | -2.94 | — | #230592 | 0.69 | bear_medium | -1.24% | -0.10 |
02/11 19:00
upd 02/11 20:09
|
|
15m
#490163
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.517 | compression | range_low |
37%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early 7b -0.4ATR | near 0.5ATR | near 0.3ATR | 0.11 | 12% | ↔ -0.14 | value | -2.94 | — | #230592 | 0.58 | range_low | -0.45% | -0.09 |
02/11 20:45
upd 02/11 21:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 18b | — | 1.217×ATR | p0 | -0.451×ATR | p27 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 17b | — | 3.667×ATR | p44 | -1.3×ATR | p71 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 0.953×ATR | p0 | -0.412×ATR | p22 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 0.896×ATR | p0 | -0.393×ATR | p18 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
279.09
143
0.2652
0.6189
0.3944
0.2267
0.5317
0.8781
0.3794
0.3673
0.2929
0.3494
0.6299
0.3625
-0.0722
-0.0858
0
-0.9423
-2.3363
0.35
0.65
-1
9
1
0.5466
0.641
3.0122
0.6
0.8781
2.645
-2.3363
0.2682
0.2706
0.36
-0.0999
0.4369
0.4588
0.7253
0.3625
-11.458
6.5162
1
0
1
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[label] => LL
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[label] => LL
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272.68
279.09
279.09
272.68
270.26
269.63
269.945
0.8747
279.98
275.6
277.79
0.7846
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 275.48 | 279.2924 | 265.9491 | 2.5 | 216.5 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 279.2924 - 275.48 = 3.8124
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 275.48 - 265.9491 = 9.5309
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 9.5309 / 3.8124 = 2.5
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 578.0788 | 100 | 2.0984 | 6.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 3.8124 = 2.1
Taille de position USD = 2.1 x 275.48 = 578.51
Donc, tu peux acheter 2.1 avec un stoploss a 279.2924
Avec un position size USD de 578.51$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2.1 x 3.8124 = 8.01
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2.1 x 9.5309 = 20.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.46 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.38 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 20 $ | 3.46 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.0672 % | 77.12 % | 54 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 275.48 | 279.2924 | 265.9491 | 2.5 | 216.5 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 279.2924 - 275.48 = 3.8124
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 275.48 - 265.9491 = 9.5309
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 9.5309 / 3.8124 = 2.5
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.955% | 0.7R | -0.127% | 0.1R | 7.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.955% | 0.7R | -0.127% | 0.1R | 7.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.955% | 0.7R | -0.127% | 0.1R | 7.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.955% | 0.7R | -0.835% | 0.6R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.955% | 0.7R | -1.067% | 0.8R | 0.9× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.069% | 1.5R | -1.067% | 0.8R | 1.9× | 288 |
| 48h | +3.717% | 2.7R | -3.739% | 2.7R | 1.0× | 575 |
| 72h | +3.735% | 2.7R | -5.514% | 4.0R | 0.7× | 864 |
computed 1 week ago
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