03 Nov 2026 at 21:11:43 hyperliquid

Short Trade on BNB (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 1.76 BNB at 694.3$ per unit. Take profit: 682.914 (1.64 %) & Stop Loss: 698.8544 (0.66 %)

BNB SHORT BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 03 Nov 2026 21:11 → 22:00 · 48 minutes

Position

Entry 694.3$

Qty 1.7565 BNB

Size 1219.5672$ (margin 100$) (leverage 12)

Risk Setup

TP 682.914 (+1.64%)

TP $ 20$

SL 698.8544 (-0.66%)

SL $ 8$

RR 2.5

Status win PnL +1.64% / +20$ MAE -1.64% MFE +1.95% 3.0R expires 04 Nov 09:11

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 244092)
#35 / 60
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 03/11/2026 21:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2527

Quality Score
0.490
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#35 / 60
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
89 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.66 %
TIGHT
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#35 / 60
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
89 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.66 %
TIGHT
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h near 0.12×ATR
1d near -0.25×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
10.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/11 21:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3)

02/11 19:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

03/11 15:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_medium (+1)

03/11 20:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7776
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

+2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

transition

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.57
Transition risk : 0.43
Score contribution (this trade) +3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 8.9%
Macro alt_capitulation
Local 4h bearish Leadership btc_leading
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.054
Δ 4h
▼-0.667
Δ 12h
▼-0.752
Δ 24h
▼-0.085

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 84.4%
1h 4.4%
4h 2.2%
24h 51.1%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 71.1% +0.17%
4h 13.3% -2.60%
24h 55.6% +0.02%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
48.9%
Expansion
48.9%
Tail ↑
+0.48
Tail ↓
+0.82
Dispersion : 0.124
Universe : 45 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.74
Snapshot évalué : 03/11 21:01 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 03/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.4680
Score SMA
0.5329
Rank
#11 / 58
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8246
Rank Norm SMA
0.9068
Calculé le
03/11/2026 19:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3188 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.10% · r3d: -0.71% · ema21_slope: -0.2173% · dist_ema21: -3.752%
Force Relative 25% 0.4638 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.92% · rs_3d: -0.58% · beta_24h: 1.191
Volume 20% 0.3348 rvol_20: 0.41× · zscore_50: -0.140 · trend: 58.10%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6745 ADX: 28.4 (trend) · Chop: 45.9 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.8831 ATR%: 3.351% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 03/11/2026 21:00
Score brut
0.4903
Score SMA
0.5079
Rank
#35 / 60
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2527
Rank Norm SMA
0.5050
Calculé le
03/11/2026 21:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4508 r1h: -0.455% · r4h: -1.115% · r1d: -0.77% · r3d: -1.40% · ema21_slope: -0.0060% · dist_ema21: -0.732%
Force Relative 25% 0.4796 rs_1h: -0.186% · rs_4h: -0.002% · rs_1d: -0.65% · rs_3d: -0.53% · beta_24h: 0.981
Volume 20% 0.2853 rvol_20: 1.11× · zscore_50: -0.408 · trend: -39.35%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5205 ADX: 16.7 (weak) · Chop: 52.8 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 0.556% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 03/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.4720
Score SMA
0.5133
Rank
#35 / 59
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4828
Rank Norm SMA
0.6731
Calculé le
03/11/2026 19:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4290 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.235% · r1d: -0.10% · r3d: -0.71% · ema21_slope: -0.1109% · dist_ema21: -0.812%
Force Relative 25% 0.4802 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.435% · rs_1d: -0.92% · rs_3d: -0.58% · beta_24h: 0.875
Volume 20% 0.1862 rvol_20: 0.33× · zscore_50: -0.207 · trend: -69.41%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5737 ADX: 33.2 (trend) · Chop: 63.3 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.197% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -0.656% (4.5544)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.947% 3.0R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +1.947% 3.0R -0.000% 0.0R — 24
4h +1.947% 3.0R -1.008% 1.5R 1.9× 48
8h +1.947% 3.0R -1.642% 2.5R 1.2× 96
12h ★ +1.947% 3.0R -1.642% 2.5R 1.2× 144
24h +1.947% 3.0R -4.134% 6.3R 0.5× 288
36h +1.947% 3.0R -4.134% 6.3R 0.5× 432
48h +1.947% 3.0R -4.134% 6.3R 0.5× 576
72h +1.947% 3.0R -4.134% 6.3R 0.5× 864
⏱ MFE in 48 min MAE in 1228 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 50
ML Pullback Score: 1.66
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind expansion_after_compression bear_high_confirmed
57%
noisy_chop 37% mid near -0.3ATR — 0.82 range_high -0.41% +0.08 02/11 19:00
4h ↓ down range range moderate grind compression bear_high
60%
noisy_chop 37% early near 0.1ATR — 0.78 bear_high -2.83% -0.08 03/11 15:00
1h ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced expansion bear_medium
57%
noisy_chop 36% mid — near 0.4ATR 0.76 bear_medium -0.95% -0.08 03/11 20:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind volatile_reversal range_low
35%
noisy_chop 46% mid — — 0.85 range_low -0.48% +0.01 03/11 20:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#497861
↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.528 expansion_after_compression bear_high_confirmed
57%
noisy_chop 37% mid 6b -1.1ATR near -0.3ATR — 0.41 73% ↑ +0.78 above_value -1.52 — #233815 0.82 range_high -0.41% +0.08
02/11 19:00
upd 03/11 19:16
4h
#497760
↓ down range range moderate grind 0.402 compression bear_high
60%
noisy_chop 37% early 28b -0.8ATR near 0.1ATR — 0.33 55% ↓ -0.34 above_value -1.52 — #233815 0.78 bear_high -2.83% -0.08
03/11 15:00
upd 03/11 19:11
1h anchor
#498493
↔ neutral range range moderate balanced 0.531 expansion bear_medium
57%
noisy_chop 36% mid 2b -1.3ATR — near 0.4ATR 1.11 53% ↑ +0.17 value -2.76 — #234114 0.76 bear_medium -0.95% -0.08
03/11 20:00
upd 03/11 21:09
15m
#498432
↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.401 volatile_reversal range_low
35%
noisy_chop 46% mid 2b -1.5ATR — — 1.62 67% ↑ +0.67 above_value -2.06 — #233993 0.85 range_low -0.48% +0.01
03/11 20:45
upd 03/11 21:00
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 6b — 2.734×ATR p20 -1.107×ATR p63
4h ↓ down early 28b — 2.679×ATR p28 -0.761×ATR p49
1h ↓ down mid 2b — 2.411×ATR p39 -1.251×ATR p69
15m ↓ down mid 2b — 1.89×ATR p17 -1.539×ATR p75

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.8898
  3. reason: down_bo width=1.98×ATR dur=32b phase=fresh
  4. stop_price: 698.85440271
  5. tp_price: 682.91399322
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.88977732718559
  8. exit_rules:
  9. expires_at: 2026-11-04T14:11:35.665121
  10. max_bars: 12
  11. max_bars_tf: 1h
  12. confidence_pre_ob: 0.88977732718559
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : -0.053
  14. obi_top10 : 0.0607
  15. micro_price : 692.76523504
  16. spread_pct : 0.001444
  17. mid_price : 692.765
  18. bid_wall_price :
  19. bid_wall_size :
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price :
  22. ask_wall_size :
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : -0.008
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.0515
  27. pressure_side : neutral
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 7022
  30. aggregation_tick : 1
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    702.15
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    694.82
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    698.485
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1793646000
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1793757600
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    1.9843
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    32
  43. balance_zone_quality: tight
  44. balance_zone_maturity: established
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.8898
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1793754000
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    694.82
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.8438
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    1
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    0.1408
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    1
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    1
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    4
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    11
  59. regime : bear_high
  60. atr_entry : 3.6940271
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
32
inside_close_ratio
0.8438
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.1408

Signaux confirmants (8)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 21:11 694.30000000 0%
2 21:19 694.30000000 0%
3 21:25 694.30000000 0%
4 21:33 694.30000000 0%
5 21:39 690.67000000 -0.523%
6 21:45 690.67000000 -0.523%
7 21:51 690.67000000 -0.523%
8 21:58 690.67000000 -0.523%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7022ms Confidence avant OB : 89% → 89%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 -0.053
avg -0.008 ± 0.052
OBI Top 10 0.061

Microstructure

Mid Price
692.7650
Micro Price
692.7652
Spread
0.0014%

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
694.3 698.8544 682.914 2.5 594.73
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 694.3
  • Stop Loss: 698.8544
  • Take Profit: 682.914

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 698.8544 - 694.3 = 4.5544000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 694.3 - 682.914 = 11.386

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 11.386 / 4.5544000000001 = 2.5

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1219.5672 100 1.7565 12.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 4.5544000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 4.5544000000001 = 1.76

Taille de position USD = 1.76 x 694.3 = 1221.97

Donc, tu peux acheter 1.76 avec un stoploss a 698.8544

Avec un position size USD de 1221.97$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1.76 x 4.5544000000001 = 8.02

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.02$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1.76 x 11.386 = 20.04

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.04$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1.76
  • Taille de position USD 1221.97
  • Perte potentielle 8.02
  • Gain potentiel 20.04
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.64 % 20 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.66 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
20 $ 1.64
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
694.3 698.8544 682.914 2.5 594.73
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 694.3
  • Stop Loss: 698.8544
  • Take Profit: 682.914

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 698.8544 - 694.3 = 4.5544000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 694.3 - 682.914 = 11.386

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 11.386 / 4.5544000000001 = 2.5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 685.1912
            [stop_loss] => 698.8544
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-04 03:00:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 682.914
            [stop_loss] => 698.8544
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-04 03:00:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 680.6368
            [stop_loss] => 698.8544
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-04 05:35:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 678.3596
            [stop_loss] => 698.8544
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-04 05:35:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 676.0824
            [stop_loss] => 698.8544
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-04 05:35:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 673.8052
            [stop_loss] => 698.8544
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-04 05:35:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 671.528
            [stop_loss] => 698.8544
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-04 05:35:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 669.2508
            [stop_loss] => 698.8544
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-04 05:35:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 666.9736
            [stop_loss] => 698.8544
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-04 05:35:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 664.6964
            [stop_loss] => 698.8544
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-04 05:35:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 662.4192
            [stop_loss] => 698.8544
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-04 05:35:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -0.656% (4.5544)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.947% 3.0R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +1.947% 3.0R -0.000% 0.0R — 24
4h +1.947% 3.0R -1.008% 1.5R 1.9× 48
8h +1.947% 3.0R -1.642% 2.5R 1.2× 96
12h ★ +1.947% 3.0R -1.642% 2.5R 1.2× 144
24h +1.947% 3.0R -4.134% 6.3R 0.5× 288
36h +1.947% 3.0R -4.134% 6.3R 0.5× 432
48h +1.947% 3.0R -4.134% 6.3R 0.5× 576
72h +1.947% 3.0R -4.134% 6.3R 0.5× 864
⏱ MFE in 48 min MAE in 1228 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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