Short Trade on BNB (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1.76 BNB at 694.3$ per unit. Take profit: 682.914 (1.64 %) & Stop Loss: 698.8544 (0.66 %)
Short Trade on BNB (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1.76 BNB at 694.3$ per unit. Take profit: 682.914 (1.64 %) & Stop Loss: 698.8544 (0.66 %)
Position
Entry 694.3$
Qty 1.7565 BNB
Size 1219.5672$ (margin 100$) (leverage 12)
Risk Setup
TP 682.914 (+1.64%)
TP $ 20$
SL 698.8544 (-0.66%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2527
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | 0.12×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.25×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3) 02/11 19:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 03/11 15:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_medium (+1) 03/11 20:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 84.4% |
| 1h | 4.4% |
| 4h | 2.2% |
| 24h | 51.1% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 71.1% | +0.17% |
| 4h | 13.3% | -2.60% |
| 24h | 55.6% | +0.02% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3188 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.10% · r3d: -0.71% · ema21_slope: -0.2173% · dist_ema21: -3.752% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4638 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.92% · rs_3d: -0.58% · beta_24h: 1.191 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3348 | rvol_20: 0.41× · zscore_50: -0.140 · trend: 58.10% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6745 | ADX: 28.4 (trend) · Chop: 45.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8831 | ATR%: 3.351% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4508 | r1h: -0.455% · r4h: -1.115% · r1d: -0.77% · r3d: -1.40% · ema21_slope: -0.0060% · dist_ema21: -0.732% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4796 | rs_1h: -0.186% · rs_4h: -0.002% · rs_1d: -0.65% · rs_3d: -0.53% · beta_24h: 0.981 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2853 | rvol_20: 1.11× · zscore_50: -0.408 · trend: -39.35% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5205 | ADX: 16.7 (weak) · Chop: 52.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.556% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4290 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.235% · r1d: -0.10% · r3d: -0.71% · ema21_slope: -0.1109% · dist_ema21: -0.812% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4802 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.435% · rs_1d: -0.92% · rs_3d: -0.58% · beta_24h: 0.875 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1862 | rvol_20: 0.33× · zscore_50: -0.207 · trend: -69.41% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5737 | ADX: 33.2 (trend) · Chop: 63.3 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.197% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.947% | 3.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.947% | 3.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +1.947% | 3.0R | -1.008% | 1.5R | 1.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.947% | 3.0R | -1.642% | 2.5R | 1.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.947% | 3.0R | -1.642% | 2.5R | 1.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.947% | 3.0R | -4.134% | 6.3R | 0.5× | 288 |
| 36h | +1.947% | 3.0R | -4.134% | 6.3R | 0.5× | 432 |
| 48h | +1.947% | 3.0R | -4.134% | 6.3R | 0.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +1.947% | 3.0R | -4.134% | 6.3R | 0.5× | 864 |
computed 1 week ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.82 | range_high | -0.41% | +0.08 | 02/11 19:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.78 | bear_high | -2.83% | -0.08 | 03/11 15:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bear_medium |
57%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.76 | bear_medium | -0.95% | -0.08 | 03/11 20:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | range_low |
35%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | — | — | 0.85 | range_low | -0.48% | +0.01 | 03/11 20:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#497861
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.528 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid 6b -1.1ATR | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.41 | 73% | ↑ +0.78 | above_value | -1.52 | — | #233815 | 0.82 | range_high | -0.41% | +0.08 |
02/11 19:00
upd 03/11 19:16
|
|
4h
#497760
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.402 | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early 28b -0.8ATR | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.33 | 55% | ↓ -0.34 | above_value | -1.52 | — | #233815 | 0.78 | bear_high | -2.83% | -0.08 |
03/11 15:00
upd 03/11 19:11
|
|
1h
anchor #498493
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.531 | expansion | bear_medium |
57%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid 2b -1.3ATR | — | near 0.4ATR | 1.11 | 53% | ↑ +0.17 | value | -2.76 | — | #234114 | 0.76 | bear_medium | -0.95% | -0.08 |
03/11 20:00
upd 03/11 21:09
|
|
15m
#498432
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.401 | volatile_reversal | range_low |
35%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid 2b -1.5ATR | — | — | 1.62 | 67% | ↑ +0.67 | above_value | -2.06 | — | #233993 | 0.85 | range_low | -0.48% | +0.01 |
03/11 20:45
upd 03/11 21:00
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 2.734×ATR | p20 | -1.107×ATR | p63 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 28b | — | 2.679×ATR | p28 | -0.761×ATR | p49 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 2.411×ATR | p39 | -1.251×ATR | p69 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 1.89×ATR | p17 | -1.539×ATR | p75 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
702.15
694.82
698.485
1793646000
1793757600
1.9843
32
0.8898
1793754000
694.82
0.8438
1
0.1408
1
1
4
11
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (8)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21:11 | 694.30000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 21:19 | 694.30000000 | 0% |
| 3 | 21:25 | 694.30000000 | 0% |
| 4 | 21:33 | 694.30000000 | 0% |
| 5 | 21:39 | 690.67000000 | -0.523% |
| 6 | 21:45 | 690.67000000 | -0.523% |
| 7 | 21:51 | 690.67000000 | -0.523% |
| 8 | 21:58 | 690.67000000 | -0.523% |
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 694.3 | 698.8544 | 682.914 | 2.5 | 594.73 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 698.8544 - 694.3 = 4.5544000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 694.3 - 682.914 = 11.386
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 11.386 / 4.5544000000001 = 2.5
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1219.5672 | 100 | 1.7565 | 12.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 4.5544000000001 = 1.76
Taille de position USD = 1.76 x 694.3 = 1221.97
Donc, tu peux acheter 1.76 avec un stoploss a 698.8544
Avec un position size USD de 1221.97$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1.76 x 4.5544000000001 = 8.02
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.02$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1.76 x 11.386 = 20.04
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.04$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.64 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.66 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 20 $ | 1.64 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 694.3 | 698.8544 | 682.914 | 2.5 | 594.73 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 698.8544 - 694.3 = 4.5544000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 694.3 - 682.914 = 11.386
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 11.386 / 4.5544000000001 = 2.5
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 685.1912
[stop_loss] => 698.8544
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-11-04 03:00:00+00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 682.914
[stop_loss] => 698.8544
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-11-04 03:00:00+00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 680.6368
[stop_loss] => 698.8544
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-11-04 05:35:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 678.3596
[stop_loss] => 698.8544
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-11-04 05:35:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 676.0824
[stop_loss] => 698.8544
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-11-04 05:35:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 673.8052
[stop_loss] => 698.8544
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-11-04 05:35:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 671.528
[stop_loss] => 698.8544
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-11-04 05:35:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 669.2508
[stop_loss] => 698.8544
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-11-04 05:35:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 666.9736
[stop_loss] => 698.8544
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-11-04 05:35:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 664.6964
[stop_loss] => 698.8544
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-11-04 05:35:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 662.4192
[stop_loss] => 698.8544
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2026-11-04 05:35:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.947% | 3.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.947% | 3.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +1.947% | 3.0R | -1.008% | 1.5R | 1.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.947% | 3.0R | -1.642% | 2.5R | 1.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.947% | 3.0R | -1.642% | 2.5R | 1.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.947% | 3.0R | -4.134% | 6.3R | 0.5× | 288 |
| 36h | +1.947% | 3.0R | -4.134% | 6.3R | 0.5× | 432 |
| 48h | +1.947% | 3.0R | -4.134% | 6.3R | 0.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +1.947% | 3.0R | -4.134% | 6.3R | 0.5× | 864 |
computed 1 week ago
Aucun commentaire.