Short Trade on LINK (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 34.3 LINK at 10.882$ per unit. Take profit: 10.2989 (5.36 %) & Stop Loss: 11.1152 (2.14 %)
Short Trade on LINK (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 34.3 LINK at 10.882$ per unit. Take profit: 10.2989 (5.36 %) & Stop Loss: 11.1152 (2.14 %)
Position
Entry 10.882$
Qty 34.3015 LINK
Size 373.2689$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 10.2989 (+5.36%)
TP $ 20$
SL 11.1152 (-2.14%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1966
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.97×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.95×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.74×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 02/11 19:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 03/11 15:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 03/11 20:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 84.4% |
| 1h | 4.4% |
| 4h | 2.2% |
| 24h | 51.1% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 71.1% | +0.17% |
| 4h | 13.3% | -2.60% |
| 24h | 55.6% | +0.02% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1878 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.83% · r3d: -5.37% · ema21_slope: -0.5748% · dist_ema21: -6.301% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3817 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.65% · rs_3d: -5.24% · beta_24h: 1.696 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2233 | rvol_20: 0.69× · zscore_50: -0.608 · trend: -24.52% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6250 | ADX: 27.0 (trend) · Chop: 50.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.055% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3710 | r1h: -0.623% · r4h: -2.647% · r1d: -2.11% · r3d: -6.51% · ema21_slope: -0.0582% · dist_ema21: -2.097% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3813 | rs_1h: -0.354% · rs_4h: -1.534% · rs_1d: -2.00% · rs_3d: -5.65% · beta_24h: 1.053 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8454 | rvol_20: 3.04× · zscore_50: 1.738 · trend: 47.17% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6621 | ADX: 19.4 (weak) · Chop: 36.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.983% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3660 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.235% · r1d: -0.83% · r3d: -5.37% · ema21_slope: -0.1814% · dist_ema21: -2.030% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4320 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.036% · rs_1d: -1.65% · rs_3d: -5.24% · beta_24h: 0.706 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2084 | rvol_20: 0.54× · zscore_50: -0.280 · trend: -33.97% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4205 | ADX: 15.9 (weak) · Chop: 64.4 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.966% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.380% | 1.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +2.380% | 1.1R | -0.165% | 0.1R | 14.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.380% | 1.1R | -1.866% | 0.9R | 1.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.380% | 1.1R | -3.327% | 1.6R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.380% | 1.1R | -3.327% | 1.6R | 0.7× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.380% | 1.1R | -8.362% | 3.9R | 0.3× | 288 |
| 36h | +2.380% | 1.1R | -8.362% | 3.9R | 0.3× | 432 |
| 48h | +3.510% | 1.6R | -8.362% | 3.9R | 0.4× | 576 |
| 72h | +3.510% | 1.6R | -8.362% | 3.9R | 0.4× | 864 |
computed 1 week ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.81 | range_high | -0.41% | -0.58 | 02/11 19:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | — | 0.77 | bear_high | -2.83% | -0.44 | 03/11 15:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
54%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.77 | bear_medium | -0.95% | -0.25 | 03/11 20:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_medium_confirmed |
52%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | — | — | 0.80 | range_low | -0.48% | -0.12 | 03/11 20:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#497893
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.662 | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late 35b -1.1ATR | — | — | 0.69 | 50% | ↔ +0.05 | above_value | -0.99 | — | #233823 | 0.81 | range_high | -0.41% | -0.58 |
02/11 19:00
upd 03/11 19:18
|
|
4h
#497776
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.369 | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid 18b -1.3ATR | — | — | 0.54 | 29% | ↔ -0.03 | above_value | -0.99 | — | #233823 | 0.77 | bear_high | -2.83% | -0.44 |
03/11 15:00
upd 03/11 19:12
|
|
1h
anchor #498501
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.392 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
54%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late 4b -2.0ATR | — | — | 3.04 | 93% | ↔ +0.04 | value | -2.53 | — | #234122 | 0.77 | bear_medium | -0.95% | -0.25 |
03/11 20:00
upd 03/11 21:10
|
|
15m
#498440
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.500 | volatile_reversal | bear_medium_confirmed |
52%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late 3b -1.8ATR | — | — | 0.18 | 25% | ↑ +0.36 | value | -1.96 | — | #234001 | 0.80 | range_low | -0.48% | -0.12 |
03/11 20:45
upd 03/11 21:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 35b | — | 7.116×ATR | p81 | -1.14×ATR | p63 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 18b | — | 4.217×ATR | p44 | -1.254×ATR | p65 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 4b | — | 3.131×ATR | p58 | -2.004×ATR | p87 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 3b | — | 1.454×ATR | p0 | -1.786×ATR | p93 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
11.188
11.022
11.105
1793638800
1793757600
1.6233
34
0.7887
1793750400
11.022
0.8235
2
1.3691
0
6
10
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (12)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21:13 | 10.88200000 | 0% |
| 2 | 21:20 | 10.88200000 | 0% |
| 3 | 21:27 | 10.88200000 | 0% |
| 4 | 00:08 | 10.95500000 | +0.671% |
| 5 | 00:14 | 10.95500000 | +0.671% |
| 6 | 00:21 | 10.95500000 | +0.671% |
| 7 | 00:27 | 10.95500000 | +0.671% |
| 8 | 00:35 | 10.92800000 | +0.423% |
| 9 | 00:42 | 10.92800000 | +0.423% |
| 10 | 00:48 | 10.92800000 | +0.423% |
| 11 | 00:54 | 10.92800000 | +0.423% |
| 12 | 01:01 | 10.92800000 | +0.423% |
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.882 | 11.1152 | 10.2989 | 2.5 | 9.2977 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 11.1152 - 10.882 = 0.2332
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 10.882 - 10.2989 = 0.5831
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.5831 / 0.2332 = 2.5004
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 373.2689 | 100 | 34.3015 | 4.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.2332 = 34.31
Taille de position USD = 34.31 x 10.882 = 373.36
Donc, tu peux acheter 34.31 avec un stoploss a 11.1152
Avec un position size USD de 373.36$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 34.31 x 0.2332 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 34.31 x 0.5831 = 20.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.36 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.14 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -2.14 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.2147 % | 103.35 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.882 | 11.1152 | 10.2989 | 2.5 | 9.2977 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 11.1152 - 10.882 = 0.2332
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 10.882 - 10.2989 = 0.5831
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.5831 / 0.2332 = 2.5004
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 10.2989
[entry_price] => 10.882
[stop_loss] => 11.13852
[rr_ratio] => 2.27
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-11-04 07:45:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 10.2989
[entry_price] => 10.882
[stop_loss] => 11.16184
[rr_ratio] => 2.08
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-11-04 07:45:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 10.2989
[entry_price] => 10.882
[stop_loss] => 11.18516
[rr_ratio] => 1.92
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-11-04 08:05:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.380% | 1.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +2.380% | 1.1R | -0.165% | 0.1R | 14.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.380% | 1.1R | -1.866% | 0.9R | 1.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.380% | 1.1R | -3.327% | 1.6R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.380% | 1.1R | -3.327% | 1.6R | 0.7× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.380% | 1.1R | -8.362% | 3.9R | 0.3× | 288 |
| 36h | +2.380% | 1.1R | -8.362% | 3.9R | 0.3× | 432 |
| 48h | +3.510% | 1.6R | -8.362% | 3.9R | 0.4× | 576 |
| 72h | +3.510% | 1.6R | -8.362% | 3.9R | 0.4× | 864 |
computed 1 week ago
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