Short Trade on PONS (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 703.63 PONS at 0.203$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1979 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2143 (5.57 %)
03 Nov 2026 at 21:15:07
hyperliquid
PONS
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
03 Nov 2026 21:15
→ 21:55
· 39 minutes
Position
Entry 0.203$
Qty 703.6289 PONS
Size 142.8085$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1979 (+2.51%)
TP $ 3.59$
SL 0.2143 (-5.57%)
SL $ 7.95$
RR 0.45
Status
win
PnL
+2.51%
/ +3.59$
MAE -9.47%
MFE +5.83%
1.1R
expires
04 Nov 03:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 244146)
#60 / 60
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/11/2026 21:00
score du 03/11/2026 21:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0577
Quality Score
0.328
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#60 / 60
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.57 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#60 / 60
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.57 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.76×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | — | — | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD TRADE
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-2.60
OK
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD TRADE
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
8.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/11 21:03
03/11 21:03
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 02/11 19:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 03/11 15:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 03/11 20:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7776
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.57
Transition risk :
0.43
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
8.9%
Macro
alt_capitulation
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.054
Δ 4h
▼-0.667
Δ 12h
▼-0.752
Δ 24h
▼-0.085
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 84.4% |
| 1h | 4.4% |
| 4h | 2.2% |
| 24h | 51.1% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 71.1% | +0.17% |
| 4h | 13.3% | -2.60% |
| 24h | 55.6% | +0.02% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
48.9%
Expansion
48.9%
Tail ↑
+0.48
Tail ↓
+0.82
Dispersion :
0.124
Universe :
45
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.74
Snapshot évalué :
03/11 21:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
03/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.1732
Score SMA
0.2231
Rank
#58
/ 58
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.1175
Calculé le
03/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.0568 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -1.23% · r3d: -12.37% · ema21_slope: -1.7506% · dist_ema21: -24.662% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1244 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -2.05% · rs_3d: -12.24% · beta_24h: 4.166 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2647 | rvol_20: 1.19× · zscore_50: -0.685 · trend: -68.46% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4807 | ADX: 24.6 (weak) · Chop: 66.0 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 21.000% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
03/11/2026 21:00
Score brut
0.3284
Score SMA
0.4891
Rank
#60
/ 60
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0577
Rank Norm SMA
0.3591
Calculé le
03/11/2026 21:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3073 | r1h: 0.020% · r4h: -1.641% · r1d: -3.38% · r3d: -14.00% · ema21_slope: -0.1041% · dist_ema21: -0.847% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3509 | rs_1h: 0.289% · rs_4h: -0.528% · rs_1d: -3.26% · rs_3d: -13.13% · beta_24h: 1.964 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3301 | rvol_20: 1.04× · zscore_50: 0.231 · trend: -29.04% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4682 | ADX: 28.5 (trend) · Chop: 71.5 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.341% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
03/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.3111
Score SMA
0.4099
Rank
#58
/ 59
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0259
Rank Norm SMA
0.2681
Calculé le
03/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2607 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.113% · r1d: -1.23% · r3d: -12.37% · ema21_slope: -0.7600% · dist_ema21: -7.213% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2768 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.313% · rs_1d: -2.05% · rs_3d: -12.24% · beta_24h: 4.431 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1824 | rvol_20: 0.33× · zscore_50: -0.854 · trend: -20.49% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6849 | ADX: 22.2 (weak) · Chop: 36.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.2451 | ATR%: 5.265% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.567%
(0.0113)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +5.833% | 1.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +5.833% | 1.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +5.833% | 1.1R | -5.690% | 1.0R | 1.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +5.833% | 1.1R | -9.468% | 1.7R | 0.6× | 72 |
| 8h | +5.833% | 1.1R | -10.256% | 1.8R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.833% | 1.1R | -11.310% | 2.0R | 0.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +5.833% | 1.1R | -14.399% | 2.6R | 0.4× | 288 |
| 48h | +12.276% | 2.2R | -14.601% | 2.6R | 0.8× | 576 |
| 72h | +12.276% | 2.2R | -14.601% | 2.6R | 0.8× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 49 min
MAE in 779 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.65
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ — | — | — | — | — | — | bear_high |
37%
|
noisy_chop 44% | — | — | — | — | range_high | -0.41% | -1.00 | 02/11 19:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | 0.41 | bear_high | -2.83% | -0.83 | 03/11 15:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | — | 0.61 | bear_medium | -0.95% | -0.05 | 03/11 20:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.59 | range_low | -0.48% | +0.09 | 03/11 20:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#497988
|
↔ | — | — | — | — | — | — | bear_high |
37%
|
noisy_chop 44% | — | — | — | 1.19 | 28% | ↔ -0.13 | value | -6.86 | inside | #233868 | — | range_high | -0.41% | -1.00 |
02/11 19:00
upd 03/11 19:23
|
|
4h
#497890
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | fading | 0.723 | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid 26b -1.5ATR | — | — | 0.33 | 4% | ↑ +0.50 | value | -6.86 | inside | #233868 | 0.41 | bear_high | -2.83% | -0.83 |
03/11 15:00
upd 03/11 19:18
|
|
1h
anchor #498548
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.405 | normal | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early 4b -0.4ATR | — | — | 1.04 | 73% | ↓ -0.82 | value | -7.97 | — | #234169 | 0.61 | bear_medium | -0.95% | -0.05 |
03/11 20:00
upd 03/11 21:12
|
|
15m
#498486
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.437 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early 1b -0.1ATR | near -0.3ATR | — | 4.38 | 91% | ↑ +0.57 | value | -7.96 | — | #234047 | 0.59 | range_low | -0.48% | +0.09 |
03/11 20:45
upd 03/11 21:04
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 26b | — | 4.199×ATR | p59 | -1.529×ATR | p71 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.23×ATR | p4 | -0.396×ATR | p21 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 1b | — | 1.67×ATR | p19 | -0.053×ATR | p4 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.21432963
- tp_price: 0.197886
- atr: 0.00454785
- expires_at: 2026-11-04T08:15:07+00:00
Details
- rank: 59
- total: 60
- score: 0.2201
- delta_2h: -0.0996
- extension_atr: -0.12
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0534
- confidence: 0.983
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.203 | 0.2143 | 0.1979 | 0.45 | 0.1244 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.203
- Stop Loss: 0.2143
- Take Profit: 0.1979
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2143 - 0.203 = 0.0113
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.203 - 0.1979 = 0.0051
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0051 / 0.0113 = 0.4513
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 142.8085 | 100 | 703.6289 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0113
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0113 = 707.96
Taille de position USD = 707.96 x 0.203 = 143.72
Donc, tu peux acheter 707.96 avec un stoploss a 0.2143
Avec un position size USD de 143.72$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 707.96 x 0.0113 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 707.96 x 0.0051 = 3.61
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.61$
Résumé
- Taille de position 707.96
- Taille de position USD 143.72
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.61
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4513
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 3.59 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.57 % | 7.95 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 3.59 $ | 2.51 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.203 | 0.2143 | 0.1979 | 0.45 | 0.1244 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.203
- Stop Loss: 0.2143
- Take Profit: 0.1979
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2143 - 0.203 = 0.0113
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.203 - 0.1979 = 0.0051
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0051 / 0.0113 = 0.4513
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1804
[stop_loss] => 0.2143
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-11-04 06:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.17475
[stop_loss] => 0.2143
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-11-04 06:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1691
[stop_loss] => 0.2143
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-11-04 06:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.16345
[stop_loss] => 0.2143
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-11-04 06:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1578
[stop_loss] => 0.2143
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-11-04 06:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.15215
[stop_loss] => 0.2143
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-11-04 06:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1465
[stop_loss] => 0.2143
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-11-04 06:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.14085
[stop_loss] => 0.2143
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-11-04 06:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1352
[stop_loss] => 0.2143
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-11-04 06:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.12955
[stop_loss] => 0.2143
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-11-04 06:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1239
[stop_loss] => 0.2143
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2026-11-04 06:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.567%
(0.0113)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +5.833% | 1.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +5.833% | 1.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +5.833% | 1.1R | -5.690% | 1.0R | 1.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +5.833% | 1.1R | -9.468% | 1.7R | 0.6× | 72 |
| 8h | +5.833% | 1.1R | -10.256% | 1.8R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.833% | 1.1R | -11.310% | 2.0R | 0.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +5.833% | 1.1R | -14.399% | 2.6R | 0.4× | 288 |
| 48h | +12.276% | 2.2R | -14.601% | 2.6R | 0.8× | 576 |
| 72h | +12.276% | 2.2R | -14.601% | 2.6R | 0.8× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 49 min
MAE in 779 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.